{"id":1198,"date":"2016-01-29T21:48:03","date_gmt":"2016-01-29T21:48:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/?p=1198"},"modified":"2016-01-31T13:08:00","modified_gmt":"2016-01-31T13:08:00","slug":"energeticke-a-takticke-predpoklady-k-mozne-aktivizaci-boju-na-donbasu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/energeticke-a-takticke-predpoklady-k-mozne-aktivizaci-boju-na-donbasu\/","title":{"rendered":"Energetick\u00e9 a taktick\u00e9 p\u0159edpoklady k mo\u017en\u00e9 aktivizaci boj\u016f na Donbasu"},"content":{"rendered":"

Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed dobrovolnick\u00e1 komunita InformNapalm nad\u00e1le monitoruje situaci na okupovan\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed a v\u00a0z\u00f3n\u011b prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00ed \u201eprotiteroristick\u00e9 operace\u201c.
\nInformace o\u00a0aktivn\u00edm p\u0159eskupov\u00e1n\u00ed teroristick\u00fdch jednotek p\u0159ich\u00e1zej\u00ed ji\u017e del\u0161\u00ed dobu, b\u011bhem minul\u00e9ho t\u00fddne ov\u0161em do\u0161lo k\u00a0v\u00fdrazn\u00e9mu n\u00e1r\u016fstu kontingentu \u201edovolenk\u00e1\u0159\u016f\u201c. Inside\u0159i InformNapalmu pod\u00e1vaj\u00ed z\u00a0r\u016fzn\u00fdch s\u00eddel zpr\u00e1vy, \u017ee do jejich sledovan\u00e9 lokality dorazilo n\u011bkolik set voj\u00e1k\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed v\u016fbec neznaj\u00ed ter\u00e9n. Tyto informace p\u0159ich\u00e1zej\u00ed z\u00a0Horlivky, Pervomajsku a Luhansku. Nav\u00edc ji\u017e byla potvrzena opakovan\u00e1 mobilizace \u00fa\u010dastn\u00edk\u016f boj\u016f z\u00a0let 2014\u20132015, kte\u0159\u00ed jsou po p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed v\u00a0z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2015 op\u011bt urgentn\u011b povol\u00e1v\u00e1ni ke \u201eslu\u017eb\u011b\u201c u\u00a0teroristick\u00fdch uskupen\u00ed. Zejm\u00e9na ke dni 22.\u00a01.\u00a02016 byla zhruba stovka osob odvedena od jednoho z\u00a0dol\u016f v\u00a0Makijivce a vysl\u00e1na k\u00a0Novoazovsku. Pozoruje se sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed po\u010dt\u016f panc\u00e9\u0159ov\u00e9 techniky v\u00a0tylov\u00fdch lokalit\u00e1ch, co\u017e by mohlo nasv\u011bd\u010dovat jej\u00edmu p\u0159esunu bl\u00ed\u017e k\u00a0p\u0159edn\u00ed linii.<\/p>\n

Hlavn\u00edm d\u016fvodem zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e9 aktivity banditsk\u00fdch formac\u00ed je hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fd kolaps v\u00a0\u201eDLR\/LLR\u201c. Tov\u00e1rny byly rozkradeny a odvezeny do Ruska, jsou probl\u00e9my s\u00a0palivy, sl\u00e1bnouc\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed pomoc z\u00a0RF se prom\u00edt\u00e1 do mor\u00e1ln\u00edho a psychick\u00e9ho stavu ozbrojenc\u016f. Terorist\u00e9 nutn\u011b pot\u0159ebuj\u00ed p\u0159evz\u00edt kontrolu nad objekty energetick\u00e9 infrastruktury, jmenovit\u011b jde o\u00a0Kurachovskou, Myronivskou a Luhanskou tepl\u00e1rny (\u0160\u010das\u0165a). Jednak by jim to umo\u017enilo diktovat podm\u00ednky ukrajinsk\u00e9 stran\u011b, jednak z\u010d\u00e1sti vy\u0159e\u0161it \u0159adu sv\u00fdch hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fdch probl\u00e9m\u016f. Nav\u00edc k\u00a0tomu bylo na\u0159\u00edzen\u00edm Kabinetu ministr\u016f Ukrajiny \u010d.\u00a0263 nekontrolovan\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed Don\u011bck\u00e9 a Luhansk\u00e9 oblasti vy\u0159azeno z\u00a0energetick\u00e9ho trhu Ukrajiny.<\/p>\n

Informace o\u00a0neofici\u00e1ln\u00ed n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bv\u011b asistenta prezidenta RF Vladislava Surkova v\u00a0Luhansku<\/a> a jeho prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed, \u017ee rusk\u00e9 veden\u00ed rezignovalo na sv\u016fj pl\u00e1n za\u010dlenit \u201eDLR\/LLR\u201c do RF, nasv\u011bd\u010duje pl\u00e1n\u016fm na likvidaci \u0161patn\u011b kontrolovan\u00fdch banditsk\u00fdch formac\u00ed. V\u00a0t\u00e9to souvislosti pokra\u010duje n\u00e1r\u016fst intrik kolem ZMSB, zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed jednotky Tr\u00f3ja<\/a> a dal\u0161\u00edch banditsk\u00fdch formac\u00ed. Ozbrojenci vz\u00e1jemn\u011b obvi\u0148uj\u00ed \u0161\u00e9fy uskupen\u00ed, kter\u00e1 jim odporuj\u00ed, z\u00a0boje o\u00a0moc, zrady, obchod\u016f se zbran\u011bmi a drogami. V\u0161echny tyto faktory indikuj\u00ed nap\u011bt\u00ed a jsou zohledn\u011bny v\u00a0hodnocen\u00edch a odhadech v\u00fdvoje situace.<\/p>\n

Informace podle region\u016f.<\/strong><\/p>\n

M\u011bstsk\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st Petrivskyj v\u00a0Don\u011bcku, Doku\u010dajevsk, Staromychajlivka.
\nPodle informac\u00ed od insider\u016f jsou na z\u00e1padn\u00edm okraji Don\u011bcku soust\u0159ed\u011bny:
\n4\u00a0samohybn\u00e9 d\u011blost\u0159eleck\u00e9 syst\u00e9my r\u00e1\u017ee v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e 120\u00a0mm, pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b 2S1, u\u00a0dolu \u010d.\u00a012. Pobl\u00ed\u017e \u201eZelen\u00e9ho Haje\u201c jsou a\u017e 2\u00a0tankov\u00e9 roty a na 20\u00a0bojov\u00fdch vozidel p\u011bchoty (pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b je v\u00a0t\u00e9to lokalit\u011b rozm\u00edst\u011bna bojov\u00e1 taktick\u00e1 skupina). O\u00a0n\u011bco severn\u011bji, v\u00a0obytn\u00e9 \u010dtvrti dolu Trudivska, se nach\u00e1z\u00ed cca 2\u00a0tankov\u00e9 roty a a\u017e jeden prapor ozbrojenc\u016f (podle hrub\u00e9ho odhadu jde o\u00a0dal\u0161\u00ed bojovou taktickou skupinu). S\u00a0ohledem na rozestupy mezi skupinami lze mluvit o\u00a0\u0159azen\u00ed bojov\u00fdch formac\u00ed s\u00a0vysokou hustotou, kter\u00e9 je typick\u00e9 pro ofenzivn\u00ed operace. V\u00a0chatov\u00e9 osad\u011b mezi Staromychajlivkou a don\u011bckou \u010dtvrt\u00ed Petrivskyj je tak\u00e9 velk\u00e1 kumulace techniky a ozbrojenc\u016f. Sem se na\u0161i lid\u00e9 nemohli dostat, o\u00a0po\u010dtech tak m\u016f\u017eeme jen spekulovat. Minul\u00fd t\u00fdden byl tak\u00e9 zaznamen\u00e1n incident, kdy byly 2\u00a0kusy techniky ozbrojenc\u016f zni\u010deny (do\u0161lo k\u00a0v\u00fdbuchu munice p\u0159i startu motor\u016f). Ji\u017en\u011bji, u\u00a0jedn\u00e9 z\u00a0v\u011btrac\u00edch \u0161achet dolu Sko\u010dynsk\u00e9ho byly spat\u0159eny 1\u00a0ks BM-21, 2\u00a0ks T-64, 4\u00a0bojov\u00e1 vozidla p\u011bchoty a cca stovka p\u011b\u0161\u00e1k\u016f (patrn\u011b jde o\u00a0pr\u016fzkumnou taktickou skupinu). Nav\u00edc bylo pozorov\u00e1no i posilov\u00e1n\u00ed k\u0159\u00eddel. Prob\u00edh\u00e1 posilov\u00e1n\u00ed bojov\u00fdch formac\u00ed mezi Don\u011bckem a Doku\u010dajevskem. Doch\u00e1z\u00ed k\u00a0podivn\u00e9mu pohybu jednotek v\u00a0lokalit\u011b Severn\u00ed n\u00e1dra\u017e\u00ed\u00a0\u2013 leti\u0161t\u011b. Ka\u017ed\u00fd ve\u010der sm\u011brem k\u00a0leti\u0161ti odj\u00ed\u017ed\u011bj\u00ed dva sk\u0159\u00ed\u0148ov\u00e9 n\u00e1kla\u010f\u00e1ky (pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b \u0161t\u00e1bn\u00ed velitelsk\u00e9 vozy) a k\u00a0r\u00e1nu se vracej\u00ed zp\u011bt, z\u00e1rove\u0148 jsou ji\u017e dva ve\u010dery po sob\u011b v\u00a0m\u011bstsk\u00fdch \u010d\u00e1stech Kirovskyj, Leninskyj a Kujby\u0161evskyj sly\u0161et d\u00e1vky z\u00a0kulometu. Patrn\u011b prob\u00edhaj\u00ed p\u0159\u00edpravy na aktivizaci.<\/p>\n

M\u016f\u017eeme tak p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dat, \u017ee se p\u0159ipravuj\u00ed \u00fatoky ve sm\u011brech z\u00a0don\u011bck\u00e9 \u010dtvrti Petrivskyj na Marjinku, kter\u00fd maj\u00ed uskute\u010dnit dv\u011b bojov\u00e9 taktick\u00e9 skupiny, a ze Staromychajlivky na Krasnohorivku (1\u00a0bojov\u00e1 taktick\u00e1 skupina). C\u00edlem je dostat se na pomez\u00ed Karlivka\u00a0\u2013 Kurachove, co\u017e by terorist\u016fm umo\u017enilo kontrolovat energetickou soustavu osvobozen\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed Don\u011bck\u00e9 oblasti a z\u00edskat tak p\u00e1ku k\u00a0n\u00e1tlaku na R.\u00a0Achmetova.<\/p>\n

\u010ct\u011bte tak\u00e9: 122\u00a0mm samohybn\u00e9 houfnice Gvozdika a hromady munice 10\u00a0km od Marjinky<\/a><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

Bylo zaznamen\u00e1no posilov\u00e1n\u00ed nep\u0159\u00edtele u\u00a0aglomerace Pervomajsk\u00a0\u2013 Stachanov. Dne 25.\u00a01.\u00a02016 dorazily do Stachanova dv\u011b roty zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00edch jednotek. V\u0161ichni jsou vybaveni b\u00edl\u00fdmi maskovac\u00edmi pl\u00e1\u0161ti. Ji\u017e n\u011bkolik noc\u00ed po sob\u011b je pozorov\u00e1n p\u0159esun konvoj\u016f s\u00a0technikou od Luhansku do Brjanky. Co\u017e by mohlo nasv\u011bd\u010dovat hromad\u011bn\u00ed sil nep\u0159\u00edtele pro \u00fatok od v\u00fdchodu ve sm\u011bru Stachanov\u00a0\u2013 Kalynove\u00a0\u2013 Trojicke, jeho\u017e c\u00edlem je severn\u00ed strana Myronivsk\u00e9 p\u0159ehrady.
\nNedostatek informac\u00ed neumo\u017e\u0148uje p\u0159esn\u011b odhadnout intenzitu \u00fatoku. Tak\u00e9 chyb\u011bj\u00edc\u00ed \u00fapln\u00e9 informace o\u00a0situaci v\u00a0Horlivce, nepo\u010d\u00edt\u00e1me-li pravd\u011bpodobn\u00fd p\u0159\u00edjezd 40\u00a0kus\u016f t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 techniky do are\u00e1lu gar\u00e1\u017e\u00ed Donbasenerha p\u0159ed n\u011bkolika dny, neumo\u017e\u0148uj\u00ed potvrdit pravd\u011bpodobnost realizace shora uveden\u00e9ho \u00fatoku, proto\u017ee bez sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho \u00fatoku Horlivka\u00a0\u2013 Holmivskyj\u00a0\u2013 Novoluhansk\u00e9 by tento nem\u011bl smysl. V\u00a0p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b \u00fasp\u011bchu by ozbrojenci z\u00edskali kontrolu nad Myronivskou vodn\u00ed elektr\u00e1rnou, tud\u00ed\u017e tak\u00e9 nad s\u00eddly Popasna, Artemivsk a Kos\u0165antynivka (obdobn\u011b tomu, jak Ukrajina dnes diktuje podm\u00ednky Krymu v\u00a0oblasti elektroenergetiky, sna\u017e\u00ed se ozbrojenci chopit iniciativy s\u00a0t\u011bmito kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdmi energetick\u00fdmi soustavami).<\/p>\n

Pokud jde o\u00a0sm\u011br Luhansk\u00e1 tepl\u00e1rna, podle informac\u00ed od na\u0161ich insider\u016f ozbrojenci rozm\u00edstili v\u00a0Luhansku pod Veselou horou nejm\u00e9n\u011b jeden pos\u00edlen\u00fd prapor, s\u00a0pozicemi d\u011blost\u0159electva nejm\u00e9n\u011b 8\u00a0ks samohybn\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f 2S1 Gvozdika. D\u00e1le byl zaznamen\u00e1n p\u0159\u00edchod nov\u00fdch koz\u00e1ck\u00fdch jednotek z\u00a0RF ke \u0160\u010das\u0165a a Stanyci Luhansk\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Vzhledem k\u00a0tomu, \u017ee Luhansk\u00e1 tepl\u00e1rna m\u00e1 kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fd v\u00fdznam a zapad\u00e1 i do energeticko-hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 koncepce mo\u017en\u00e9ho \u00fatoku, m\u011bli bychom i v\u00a0tomto sm\u011bru o\u010dek\u00e1vat aktivizaci boj\u016f.<\/p>\n

Shora uveden\u00e9 hodnocen\u00ed nezohled\u0148uje politick\u00e9 vlivy a popisuje pouze soci\u00e1ln\u00ed a vojensk\u00e9 p\u0159edpoklady, z\u00a0nich\u017e mohou vych\u00e1zet budouc\u00ed kroky teroristick\u00fdch sil. Pros\u00edm, aby byla shora uveden\u00fdm sm\u011br\u016fm v\u011bnov\u00e1na pozornost. Pros\u00edm tak\u00e9 \u010dten\u00e1\u0159e InformNapalmu, kte\u0159\u00ed se zdr\u017euj\u00ed v\u00a0z\u00f3n\u011b konfliktu, aby ozn\u00e1mili ve\u0161ker\u00e9 zn\u00e1m\u00e9 informace o\u00a0pohybu a chov\u00e1n\u00ed ozbrojenc\u016f. Pi\u0161te n\u00e1m na mail prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm feedbackov\u00e9ho formul\u00e1\u0159e<\/a>, na Twitter<\/a> nebo Facebook<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Hodnocen\u00ed zpracoval analytik InformNapalmu Artem Vasylenko<\/a>.<\/p>\n

\n

Origin\u00e1l publikov\u00e1n dne 26.\u00a0ledna 2016<\/p>\n

P\u0159eklad: Svatoslav \u0160\u010dyhol<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed dobrovolnick\u00e1 komunita InformNapalm nad\u00e1le monitoruje situaci na okupovan\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed a v\u00a0z\u00f3n\u011b prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00ed \u201eprotiteroristick\u00e9 operace\u201c. Informace o\u00a0aktivn\u00edm…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":78,"featured_media":1199,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[523,518,516],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1198","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analytics","category-donbass","category-all-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nEnergetick\u00e9 a taktick\u00e9 p\u0159edpoklady k mo\u017en\u00e9 aktivizaci boj\u016f na Donbasu - InformNapalm.org (\u010ce\u0161tina)<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/energeticke-a-takticke-predpoklady-k-mozne-aktivizaci-boju-na-donbasu\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Energetick\u00e9 a taktick\u00e9 p\u0159edpoklady k mo\u017en\u00e9 aktivizaci boj\u016f na Donbasu - InformNapalm.org (\u010ce\u0161tina)\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed dobrovolnick\u00e1 komunita InformNapalm nad\u00e1le monitoruje situaci na okupovan\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed a v\u00a0z\u00f3n\u011b prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00ed \u201eprotiteroristick\u00e9 operace\u201c. 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Inside\u0159i InformNapalmu pod\u00e1vaj\u00ed z\u00a0r\u016fzn\u00fdch s\u00eddel zpr\u00e1vy, \u017ee do jejich sledovan\u00e9 lokality dorazilo n\u011bkolik set voj\u00e1k\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed v\u016fbec neznaj\u00ed ter\u00e9n. Tyto informace p\u0159ich\u00e1zej\u00ed z\u00a0Horlivky, Pervomajsku a Luhansku. Nav\u00edc ji\u017e byla potvrzena opakovan\u00e1 mobilizace \u00fa\u010dastn\u00edk\u016f boj\u016f z\u00a0let 2014\u20132015, kte\u0159\u00ed jsou po p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed v\u00a0z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2015 op\u011bt urgentn\u011b povol\u00e1v\u00e1ni ke \u201eslu\u017eb\u011b\u201c u\u00a0teroristick\u00fdch uskupen\u00ed. Zejm\u00e9na ke dni 22.\u00a01.\u00a02016 byla zhruba stovka osob odvedena od jednoho z\u00a0dol\u016f v\u00a0Makijivce a vysl\u00e1na k\u00a0Novoazovsku. Pozoruje se sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed po\u010dt\u016f panc\u00e9\u0159ov\u00e9 techniky v\u00a0tylov\u00fdch lokalit\u00e1ch, co\u017e by mohlo nasv\u011bd\u010dovat jej\u00edmu p\u0159esunu bl\u00ed\u017e k\u00a0p\u0159edn\u00ed linii.<!--more-->\r\n\r\nHlavn\u00edm d\u016fvodem zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e9 aktivity banditsk\u00fdch formac\u00ed je hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fd kolaps v\u00a0\u201eDLR\/LLR\u201c. Tov\u00e1rny byly rozkradeny a odvezeny do Ruska, jsou probl\u00e9my s\u00a0palivy, sl\u00e1bnouc\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed pomoc z\u00a0RF se prom\u00edt\u00e1 do mor\u00e1ln\u00edho a psychick\u00e9ho stavu ozbrojenc\u016f. Terorist\u00e9 nutn\u011b pot\u0159ebuj\u00ed p\u0159evz\u00edt kontrolu nad objekty energetick\u00e9 infrastruktury, jmenovit\u011b jde o\u00a0Kurachovskou, Myronivskou a Luhanskou tepl\u00e1rny (\u0160\u010das\u0165a). Jednak by jim to umo\u017enilo diktovat podm\u00ednky ukrajinsk\u00e9 stran\u011b, jednak z\u010d\u00e1sti vy\u0159e\u0161it \u0159adu sv\u00fdch hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fdch probl\u00e9m\u016f. Nav\u00edc k\u00a0tomu bylo na\u0159\u00edzen\u00edm Kabinetu ministr\u016f Ukrajiny \u010d.\u00a0263 nekontrolovan\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed Don\u011bck\u00e9 a Luhansk\u00e9 oblasti vy\u0159azeno z\u00a0energetick\u00e9ho trhu Ukrajiny.\r\n\r\nInformace o\u00a0neofici\u00e1ln\u00ed <a href=\"http:\/\/nbnews.com.ua\/ru\/news\/171184\/\" target=\"_blank\">n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bv\u011b asistenta prezidenta RF Vladislava Surkova v\u00a0Luhansku<\/a> a jeho prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed, \u017ee rusk\u00e9 veden\u00ed rezignovalo na sv\u016fj pl\u00e1n za\u010dlenit \u201eDLR\/LLR\u201c do RF, nasv\u011bd\u010duje pl\u00e1n\u016fm na likvidaci \u0161patn\u011b kontrolovan\u00fdch banditsk\u00fdch formac\u00ed. V\u00a0t\u00e9to souvislosti pokra\u010duje n\u00e1r\u016fst intrik kolem ZMSB, <a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/vzpoura-na-palube-aneb-odysea-pro-troju\/\" target=\"_blank\">zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed jednotky Tr\u00f3ja<\/a> a dal\u0161\u00edch banditsk\u00fdch formac\u00ed. Ozbrojenci vz\u00e1jemn\u011b obvi\u0148uj\u00ed \u0161\u00e9fy uskupen\u00ed, kter\u00e1 jim odporuj\u00ed, z\u00a0boje o\u00a0moc, zrady, obchod\u016f se zbran\u011bmi a drogami. V\u0161echny tyto faktory indikuj\u00ed nap\u011bt\u00ed a jsou zohledn\u011bny v\u00a0hodnocen\u00edch a odhadech v\u00fdvoje situace.\r\n\r\n<strong>Informace podle region\u016f.<\/strong>\r\n\r\nM\u011bstsk\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st Petrivskyj v\u00a0Don\u011bcku, Doku\u010dajevsk, Staromychajlivka.\r\nPodle informac\u00ed od insider\u016f jsou na z\u00e1padn\u00edm okraji Don\u011bcku soust\u0159ed\u011bny:\r\n4\u00a0samohybn\u00e9 d\u011blost\u0159eleck\u00e9 syst\u00e9my r\u00e1\u017ee v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e 120\u00a0mm, pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b 2S1, u\u00a0dolu \u010d.\u00a012. Pobl\u00ed\u017e \u201eZelen\u00e9ho Haje\u201c jsou a\u017e 2\u00a0tankov\u00e9 roty a na 20\u00a0bojov\u00fdch vozidel p\u011bchoty (pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b je v\u00a0t\u00e9to lokalit\u011b rozm\u00edst\u011bna bojov\u00e1 taktick\u00e1 skupina). O\u00a0n\u011bco severn\u011bji, v\u00a0obytn\u00e9 \u010dtvrti dolu Trudivska, se nach\u00e1z\u00ed cca 2\u00a0tankov\u00e9 roty a a\u017e jeden prapor ozbrojenc\u016f (podle hrub\u00e9ho odhadu jde o\u00a0dal\u0161\u00ed bojovou taktickou skupinu). S\u00a0ohledem na rozestupy mezi skupinami lze mluvit o\u00a0\u0159azen\u00ed bojov\u00fdch formac\u00ed s\u00a0vysokou hustotou, kter\u00e9 je typick\u00e9 pro ofenzivn\u00ed operace. V\u00a0chatov\u00e9 osad\u011b mezi Staromychajlivkou a don\u011bckou \u010dtvrt\u00ed Petrivskyj je tak\u00e9 velk\u00e1 kumulace techniky a ozbrojenc\u016f. Sem se na\u0161i lid\u00e9 nemohli dostat, o\u00a0po\u010dtech tak m\u016f\u017eeme jen spekulovat. Minul\u00fd t\u00fdden byl tak\u00e9 zaznamen\u00e1n incident, kdy byly 2\u00a0kusy techniky ozbrojenc\u016f zni\u010deny (do\u0161lo k\u00a0v\u00fdbuchu munice p\u0159i startu motor\u016f). Ji\u017en\u011bji, u\u00a0jedn\u00e9 z\u00a0v\u011btrac\u00edch \u0161achet dolu Sko\u010dynsk\u00e9ho byly spat\u0159eny 1\u00a0ks BM-21, 2\u00a0ks T-64, 4\u00a0bojov\u00e1 vozidla p\u011bchoty a cca stovka p\u011b\u0161\u00e1k\u016f (patrn\u011b jde o\u00a0pr\u016fzkumnou taktickou skupinu). Nav\u00edc bylo pozorov\u00e1no i posilov\u00e1n\u00ed k\u0159\u00eddel. Prob\u00edh\u00e1 posilov\u00e1n\u00ed bojov\u00fdch formac\u00ed mezi Don\u011bckem a Doku\u010dajevskem. Doch\u00e1z\u00ed k\u00a0podivn\u00e9mu pohybu jednotek v\u00a0lokalit\u011b Severn\u00ed n\u00e1dra\u017e\u00ed\u00a0\u2013 leti\u0161t\u011b. Ka\u017ed\u00fd ve\u010der sm\u011brem k\u00a0leti\u0161ti odj\u00ed\u017ed\u011bj\u00ed dva sk\u0159\u00ed\u0148ov\u00e9 n\u00e1kla\u010f\u00e1ky (pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b \u0161t\u00e1bn\u00ed velitelsk\u00e9 vozy) a k\u00a0r\u00e1nu se vracej\u00ed zp\u011bt, z\u00e1rove\u0148 jsou ji\u017e dva ve\u010dery po sob\u011b v\u00a0m\u011bstsk\u00fdch \u010d\u00e1stech Kirovskyj, Leninskyj a Kujby\u0161evskyj sly\u0161et d\u00e1vky z\u00a0kulometu. Patrn\u011b prob\u00edhaj\u00ed p\u0159\u00edpravy na aktivizaci.\r\n\r\nM\u016f\u017eeme tak p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dat, \u017ee se p\u0159ipravuj\u00ed \u00fatoky ve sm\u011brech z\u00a0don\u011bck\u00e9 \u010dtvrti Petrivskyj na Marjinku, kter\u00fd maj\u00ed uskute\u010dnit dv\u011b bojov\u00e9 taktick\u00e9 skupiny, a ze Staromychajlivky na Krasnohorivku (1\u00a0bojov\u00e1 taktick\u00e1 skupina). C\u00edlem je dostat se na pomez\u00ed Karlivka\u00a0\u2013 Kurachove, co\u017e by terorist\u016fm umo\u017enilo kontrolovat energetickou soustavu osvobozen\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed Don\u011bck\u00e9 oblasti a z\u00edskat tak p\u00e1ku k\u00a0n\u00e1tlaku na R.\u00a0Achmetova.\r\n\r\n\u010ct\u011bte tak\u00e9: <strong><em><a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/122mm-samohybne-houfnice-gvozdika-a-hromady-munice-10-km-od-marjinky\/\" target=\"_blank\">122\u00a0mm samohybn\u00e9 houfnice Gvozdika a hromady munice 10\u00a0km od Marjinky<\/a><\/em><\/strong>\r\n\r\nBylo zaznamen\u00e1no posilov\u00e1n\u00ed nep\u0159\u00edtele u\u00a0aglomerace Pervomajsk\u00a0\u2013 Stachanov. Dne 25.\u00a01.\u00a02016 dorazily do Stachanova dv\u011b roty zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00edch jednotek. V\u0161ichni jsou vybaveni b\u00edl\u00fdmi maskovac\u00edmi pl\u00e1\u0161ti. Ji\u017e n\u011bkolik noc\u00ed po sob\u011b je pozorov\u00e1n p\u0159esun konvoj\u016f s\u00a0technikou od Luhansku do Brjanky. Co\u017e by mohlo nasv\u011bd\u010dovat hromad\u011bn\u00ed sil nep\u0159\u00edtele pro \u00fatok od v\u00fdchodu ve sm\u011bru Stachanov\u00a0\u2013 Kalynove\u00a0\u2013 Trojicke, jeho\u017e c\u00edlem je severn\u00ed strana Myronivsk\u00e9 p\u0159ehrady.\r\nNedostatek informac\u00ed neumo\u017e\u0148uje p\u0159esn\u011b odhadnout intenzitu \u00fatoku. Tak\u00e9 chyb\u011bj\u00edc\u00ed \u00fapln\u00e9 informace o\u00a0situaci v\u00a0Horlivce, nepo\u010d\u00edt\u00e1me-li pravd\u011bpodobn\u00fd p\u0159\u00edjezd 40\u00a0kus\u016f t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 techniky do are\u00e1lu gar\u00e1\u017e\u00ed Donbasenerha p\u0159ed n\u011bkolika dny, neumo\u017e\u0148uj\u00ed potvrdit pravd\u011bpodobnost realizace shora uveden\u00e9ho \u00fatoku, proto\u017ee bez sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho \u00fatoku Horlivka\u00a0\u2013 Holmivskyj\u00a0\u2013 Novoluhansk\u00e9 by tento nem\u011bl smysl. V\u00a0p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b \u00fasp\u011bchu by ozbrojenci z\u00edskali kontrolu nad Myronivskou vodn\u00ed elektr\u00e1rnou, tud\u00ed\u017e tak\u00e9 nad s\u00eddly Popasna, Artemivsk a Kos\u0165antynivka (obdobn\u011b tomu, jak Ukrajina dnes diktuje podm\u00ednky Krymu v\u00a0oblasti elektroenergetiky, sna\u017e\u00ed se ozbrojenci chopit iniciativy s\u00a0t\u011bmito kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdmi energetick\u00fdmi soustavami).\r\n\r\nPokud jde o\u00a0sm\u011br Luhansk\u00e1 tepl\u00e1rna, podle informac\u00ed od na\u0161ich insider\u016f ozbrojenci rozm\u00edstili v\u00a0Luhansku pod Veselou horou nejm\u00e9n\u011b jeden pos\u00edlen\u00fd prapor, s\u00a0pozicemi d\u011blost\u0159electva nejm\u00e9n\u011b 8\u00a0ks samohybn\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f 2S1 Gvozdika. D\u00e1le byl zaznamen\u00e1n p\u0159\u00edchod nov\u00fdch koz\u00e1ck\u00fdch jednotek z\u00a0RF ke \u0160\u010das\u0165a a Stanyci Luhansk\u00e9.\r\n\r\nVzhledem k\u00a0tomu, \u017ee Luhansk\u00e1 tepl\u00e1rna m\u00e1 kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fd v\u00fdznam a zapad\u00e1 i do energeticko-hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 koncepce mo\u017en\u00e9ho \u00fatoku, m\u011bli bychom i v\u00a0tomto sm\u011bru o\u010dek\u00e1vat aktivizaci boj\u016f.\r\n\r\nShora uveden\u00e9 hodnocen\u00ed nezohled\u0148uje politick\u00e9 vlivy a popisuje pouze soci\u00e1ln\u00ed a vojensk\u00e9 p\u0159edpoklady, z\u00a0nich\u017e mohou vych\u00e1zet budouc\u00ed kroky teroristick\u00fdch sil. Pros\u00edm, aby byla shora uveden\u00fdm sm\u011br\u016fm v\u011bnov\u00e1na pozornost. Pros\u00edm tak\u00e9 \u010dten\u00e1\u0159e InformNapalmu, kte\u0159\u00ed se zdr\u017euj\u00ed v\u00a0z\u00f3n\u011b konfliktu, aby ozn\u00e1mili ve\u0161ker\u00e9 zn\u00e1m\u00e9 informace o\u00a0pohybu a chov\u00e1n\u00ed ozbrojenc\u016f. Pi\u0161te n\u00e1m na mail prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm <a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/contact\/\" target=\"_blank\">feedbackov\u00e9ho formul\u00e1\u0159e<\/a>, na <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/newsburko\" target=\"_blank\">Twitter<\/a> nebo <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/burkonews\" target=\"_blank\">Facebook<\/a>.\r\n\r\nHodnocen\u00ed zpracoval analytik InformNapalmu <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/vasylart?fref=ts\" target=\"_blank\">Artem Vasylenko<\/a>.\r\n\r\n<hr \/>\r\n\r\nOrigin\u00e1l publikov\u00e1n dne 26.\u00a0ledna 2016\r\n\r\nP\u0159eklad: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/scyhol\" target=\"_blank\">Svatoslav \u0160\u010dyhol<\/a>","amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1198","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/78"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1198"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1198\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1211,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1198\/revisions\/1211"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1199"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1198"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1198"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1198"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}