{"id":431,"date":"2015-03-28T16:23:13","date_gmt":"2015-03-28T16:23:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/?p=431"},"modified":"2015-12-16T09:05:04","modified_gmt":"2015-12-16T09:05:04","slug":"informacni-souhrn-tymu-informnapalm-ke-dni-24-brezna-2015","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/informacni-souhrn-tymu-informnapalm-ke-dni-24-brezna-2015\/","title":{"rendered":"Informa\u010dn\u00ed souhrn t\u00fdmu InformNapalm ke dni 24. b\u0159ezna 2015"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u201eV\u00e1lka miluje v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed a nem\u00e1 r\u00e1da dlouh\u00e9 trv\u00e1n\u00ed\u201c
\n<\/em>Sun-c’<\/p>\n

Zah\u00e1jili jsme informa\u010dn\u00ed souhrn pr\u00e1v\u011b t\u011bmito slovy, proto\u017ee jasn\u011b odr\u00e1\u017eej\u00ed to, k\u00a0\u010demu do\u0161lo na Donbasu. P\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed, kter\u00e9 nastalo po odchodu protiteroristick\u00fdch jednotek z\u00a0Debalceve<\/strong>, pot\u0159ebovaly ob\u011b strany. Ozbrojenci utrp\u011bli v\u00fdrazn\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty (t\u0159eba v\u00a0Al\u010devsku <\/strong>se m\u00edstn\u00ed r\u00e1dobyvoj\u00e1ci ul\u00e9vali po nemocnic\u00edch, aby se pozd\u011bji nedostali na frontu), ukrajinsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da byla sv\u00fdm brilantn\u00edm odchodem pon\u011bkud demoralizov\u00e1na. N\u00e1sledovalo stahov\u00e1n\u00ed t\u011b\u017ek\u00fdch zbran\u00ed. Na rozd\u00edl od protiteroristick\u00fdch sil ozbrojenci p\u0159esouvali techniku v\u00a0kruz\u00edch, tedy stahovali ji po hlavn\u00edch komunikac\u00edch a vraceli poln\u00edmi cestami. Nen\u00ed dosud jasn\u00e9, o\u00a0co \u0161lo: zm\u00e1st z\u00e1stupce OBSE, nebo sv\u00e9 voj\u00e1ky n\u011bjak zam\u011bstnat, aby se k\u00e1ze\u0148sky nerozlo\u017eili. Jasn\u00e9 je jen jedno: ozbrojenci, kdy\u017e imitovali sta\u017een\u00ed d\u011blost\u0159electva, dok\u00e1zali nakumulovat v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed po\u010det mechanizovan\u00fdch \u00fatvar\u016f na hlavn\u00edch a o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00fdch sm\u011brech \u00fatok\u016f. Nav\u00edc je t\u0159eba pouk\u00e1zat na neust\u00e1l\u00e1 cvi\u010den\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch jednotek na bojovou pohotovost a vytvo\u0159en\u00ed nov\u00fdch opevn\u011bn\u00fdch lokalit prakticky v\u0161emi sm\u011bry.<\/p>\n

Uk\u00e1zalo se v\u0161ak, \u017ee p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed p\u0159ece jen sehr\u00e1lo svou roli. B\u016fhv\u00edjak\u00fdm z\u00e1zrakem se na\u0161\u00ed vl\u00e1d\u011b poda\u0159ilo z\u00edskat prvn\u00ed tran\u0161i od MMF ve v\u00fd\u0161i 5\u00a0miliard eur. Pr\u00e1v\u011b tato skute\u010dnost je pro Moskvu velmi v\u00fdznamn\u00e1 z\u00a0hlediska volby dal\u0161\u00edho postupu. Za prv\u00e9 nyn\u00ed Putin ch\u00e1pe, \u017ee stra\u0161it ho jen tak u\u017e nebudou. F\u00e1ze \u201eakutn\u00edho znepokojen\u00ed\u201c Evropy ze situace na Ukrajin\u011b pominula a Merkelov\u00e1 nikoli nadarmo pohrozila p\u0159im\u011b\u0159enou odpov\u011bd\u00ed na \u00fatoky na Mariupol<\/strong> a sever Donbasu. Sv\u011btov\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00edci cel\u00fd rok tyto pen\u00edze k\u0159e\u010dovit\u011b \u201erodili\u201c, nyn\u00ed tedy prost\u011b mus\u00ed alespo\u0148 na\u010das nechat v\u0161e, jak je. Za druh\u00e9 je tu p\u0159ijet\u00ed z\u00e1kona o\u00a0zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00edm postaven\u00ed Don\u011bck\u00e9 a Luhansk\u00e9 oblasti. P\u0159esn\u011bji \u0159e\u010deno jeho nep\u0159ijet\u00ed v\u00a0rusk\u00e9m prost\u0159ed\u00ed. De facto je t\u00edm Rusko vystaveno siln\u00e9mu tlaku sv\u011btov\u00e9 ve\u0159ejnosti, co\u017e nut\u00ed Putina hledat mo\u017enosti, jak se vyhnout financov\u00e1n\u00ed okupovan\u00fdch \u00fazem\u00ed, a p\u00e1trat po jin\u00fdch zp\u016fsobech destabilizace situace na Ukrajin\u011b. Mo\u017enost\u00ed je tu dost. Nebudeme zkoumat podstatu Kolomojsk\u00e9ho v\u00e1lky proti v\u0161em ani nov\u00e9 perly od Firta\u0161e. Putin m\u00e1 i dal\u0161\u00ed varianty: t\u0159eba Achmetov.<\/p>\n

Pr\u00e1v\u011b za Achmetovovy pomoci se Moskva sna\u017e\u00ed rozkl\u00ed\u017eit Mariupol<\/strong>. Neznamen\u00e1 to, \u017ee by Rinat Leonidovy\u010d byl agentem Moskvy. Moskva jen dok\u00e1\u017ee hezky zahr\u00e1t na Achmetovovy z\u00e1jmy. O\u00a0co jde? T\u0159eba jen o\u00a0to, \u017ee v\u00a0situaci, kdy byla infrastruktura Donbasu notn\u011b poni\u010dena, Achmetovov\u00fdm podnik\u016fm se v\u00e1lka jakoby vyhnula. Nav\u00edc k\u00a0tomu mus\u00edme ch\u00e1pat, jak se odl\u00e9v\u00e1 ocel v\u00a0tov\u00e1rn\u00e1ch Achmetova. Pr\u00e1v\u011b proto m\u016f\u017ee nastat situace, kdy proru\u0161t\u00ed provokat\u00e9\u0159i rozhoupaj\u00ed Mariupol <\/strong>a pak do m\u011bsta vstoup\u00ed vojska tzv. DLR. Soud\u011b podle pokus\u016f s\u00a0Ber\u010fansk\u00fdm leti\u0161t\u011bm je tato varianta velmi pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e1. Vych\u00e1z\u00ed tedy, \u017ee zat\u00edmco n\u011bkdo d\u011bl\u00ed Ukrtransnaftu, n\u011bkde jinde by se mohl od\u0161t\u011bpit dal\u0161\u00ed kousek Ukrajiny.<\/p>\n

Ov\u0161em v\u00a0p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b, \u017ee dostane p\u0159ednost n\u00e1siln\u00e1 varianta, bude vypadat takto: na pozad\u00ed ud\u00e1lost\u00ed v\u00a0Kos\u0165antynivce, kde do\u0161lo k\u00a0tragick\u00e9 nehod\u011b, nep\u0159\u00edtel p\u0159esunul sv\u00e9 s\u00edly k\u00a0severoz\u00e1padn\u00edmu okraji Horlivky<\/strong>; nejsp\u00ed\u0161 se po\u010d\u00edtalo s\u00a0t\u00edm, \u017ee nevole obyvatelstva kv\u016fli usmrcen\u00e9 d\u00edvce zp\u016fsob\u00ed hromadnou vzpouru, kter\u00e1 omez\u00ed aktivity 81.\u00a0brig\u00e1dy, co\u017e umo\u017en\u00ed pr\u016flom ve sm\u011bru Horlivka\u00a0\u2013 Dzer\u017eynsk\u00a0\u2013 Kos\u0165antynivka <\/strong>a obsazen\u00ed m\u011bsta. Je t\u0159eba vyzdvihnout zkoordinovanou \u010dinnost Ministerstva obrany a m\u00e9di\u00ed, kter\u00e1 umo\u017enila nejen potrestat vin\u00edky, ale tak\u00e9 tento proces vhodn\u011b informa\u010dn\u011b prezentovat. I kdy\u017e je pravda, \u017ee na klid je zat\u00edm brzo\u00a0\u2013 podle informac\u00ed, kter\u00e9 vy\u017eaduj\u00ed ov\u011b\u0159en\u00ed, do Kos\u0165antynivky <\/strong>dorazilo j\u00e1dro ozbrojenc\u016f, kter\u00e9 se pokus\u00ed situaci ve m\u011bst\u011b destabilizovat.<\/p>\n

Podle informac\u00ed z\u00a0ve\u0159ejn\u00fdch zdroj\u016f ozbrojenci nechali opravit \u017eelezni\u010dn\u00ed koleje v\u00a0Debalceve<\/strong>, co\u017e jim umo\u017e\u0148uje v\u00fdrazn\u011b usnadnit z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed jednotek rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00fdch hned u\u00a0stykov\u00e9 linie. \u00datok pod\u00e9l\u00a0M03 Debalceve\u00a0\u2013 Artemivsk <\/strong>v\u0161ak de facto nen\u00ed mo\u017en\u00fd kv\u016fli syst\u00e9mu p\u0159ehradn\u00edch n\u00e1dr\u017e\u00ed mezi t\u011bmito m\u011bsty. Naproti tomu \u00fatoky z\u00a0Horlivky <\/strong>a Pervomajsku <\/strong>na Artemivsk <\/strong>vypadaj\u00ed docela l\u00e1kav\u011b. Nav\u00edc pokud by se ozbrojenc\u016fm poda\u0159ilo dob\u00fdt Kos\u0165antynivku<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

V\u00a0p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b obsazen\u00ed Kos\u0165antynivky <\/strong>se ozbrojenci nejsp\u00ed\u0161 nebudou pokou\u0161et dostat ke Kramatorsku <\/strong>p\u0159es Dru\u017ekivku <\/strong>a Olexijevo-Dru\u017ekivku<\/strong>, proto\u017ee ru\u0161t\u00ed gener\u00e1lov\u00e9 nejsp\u00ed\u0161 dob\u0159e pamatuj\u00ed smutn\u00e9 zku\u0161enosti z\u00a0Prvn\u00ed \u010de\u010densk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, na druhou stranu vyrazit po M03 sm\u011brem Slovjansk <\/strong>je nejlep\u0161\u00ed mo\u017en\u00e1 varianta. Nesm\u00edme v\u0161ak zapomenout, \u017ee ji\u017e brzy za\u010dne vegeta\u010dn\u00ed obdob\u00ed, s\u00a0t\u00edm, \u017ee si dob\u0159e pamatujeme na lo\u0148skou letn\u00ed kampa\u0148, kdy men\u0161\u00ed odd\u00edly ozbrojenc\u016f pom\u011brn\u011b \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011b odol\u00e1valy protiteroristick\u00fdm s\u00edl\u00e1m pr\u00e1v\u011b na severu oblasti, kdy pou\u017e\u00edvaly partyz\u00e1nsk\u00e9 taktiky. Nav\u00edc by kontrola nad Kos\u0165antynivkou <\/strong>umo\u017enila vyvinout \u00fatok na Krasnoarmijsk<\/strong>, co\u017e by ozbrojenc\u016fm umo\u017enilo kontrolovat z\u00e1padn\u00ed br\u00e1nu oblasti.<\/p>\n

Vyhodnotit sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 ofenz\u00edvy na Krasnoarmijsk <\/strong>n\u00e1s donutily shora popsan\u00e9 ud\u00e1losti, a sice Kolomojsk\u00e9ho v\u00e1lka proti oligarch\u016fm a vl\u00e1d\u011b. R\u00e1di bychom p\u0159ipomn\u011bli, \u017ee Dnipropetrovsk<\/strong>, jeho\u017e obyvatel\u00e9 m\u011bli v\u011bt\u0161inou vazby na Ji\u017en\u00ed stroj\u00edrny, jejich\u017e lv\u00ed pod\u00edl produkce sm\u011b\u0159oval do Ruska, dosud nevykazoval \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 zn\u00e1mky separatismu jen d\u00edky opat\u0159en\u00edm guvern\u00e9ra oblasti. Tlak na Kolomojsk\u00e9ho by mohl zp\u016fsobit destabilizaci situace v\u00a0regionu se v\u0161\u00edm, co z\u00a0toho vypl\u00fdv\u00e1…<\/p>\n

V\u00a0minul\u00e9m informa\u010dn\u00edm souhrnu jsme ji\u017e psali, \u017ee dobyt\u00ed Artemivsku <\/strong>by ozbrojenc\u016fm umo\u017enilo pon\u011bkud zt\u00ed\u017eit z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed protiteroristick\u00fdch jednotek. Nav\u00edc obsazen\u00ed Artemivsku <\/strong>umo\u017en\u00ed ozbrojenc\u016fm p\u0159ikr\u00fdt lev\u00e9 k\u0159\u00eddlo a prov\u00e9st ofenz\u00edvu na Lysy\u010dansk <\/strong>za \u00fa\u010delem ovl\u00e1dnut\u00ed p\u0159\u00edvoz\u016f. Zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed pozornost je nutn\u00e9 v\u011bnovat bodu se sou\u0159adnicemi N48,819444\u00b0 E38,588033\u00b0, kde se v\u00a0lokalit\u011b Ustynivky <\/strong>nach\u00e1z\u00ed brod p\u0159es \u0159eku Severn\u00ed Don\u011bc, kter\u00fd tu z\u016fstal po b\u00fdval\u00e9m cvi\u010di\u0161ti. Kontrola nad t\u00edmto brodem by umo\u017enila ozbrojenc\u016fm p\u0159esunout techniku na severn\u00ed stranu \u0159eky a p\u0159ibl\u00ed\u017eit se ke \u0160\u010das\u0165a <\/strong>od severu. Z\u00a0materi\u00e1l\u016f od Iraklije Komachidzeho m\u016f\u017eeme vysledovat, jak nep\u0159\u00edtel kumuluje \u00fato\u010dn\u00e9 uskupen\u00ed pobl\u00ed\u017e Millerova, co\u017e ponech\u00e1v\u00e1 vysokou pravd\u011bpodobnost \u00fatoku od rusk\u00fdch hranic, kter\u00fd by vypadal jako p\u0159ekon\u00e1n\u00ed Severn\u00edho Donce u\u00a0Lysy\u010dansku <\/strong>a Ustynivky<\/strong>. Obdobn\u011b je t\u0159eba v\u011bnovat zv\u00fd\u0161enou pozornost obci Stanycja Luhanska<\/strong>, kde se ozbrojenci ji\u017e pokusili p\u0159ekonat \u0159eku a z\u0159\u00eddit severn\u011b od \u0159eky kontroln\u00ed stanovi\u0161t\u011b. Pokud jde o\u00a0sm\u011br Vesela Hora\u00a0\u2013 \u0160\u010das\u0165a<\/strong>, op\u011bt bychom r\u00e1di p\u0159ipomn\u011bli Severn\u00ed Don\u011bc, aktivita ozbrojenc\u016f v\u00a0t\u00e9to lokalit\u011b by tedy mohla slou\u017eit jen k\u00a0odveden\u00ed pozornosti.<\/p>\n

Te\u010f k\u00a0jihu. Ozbrojenci nad\u00e1le shroma\u017e\u010fuj\u00ed s\u00edly k\u00a0\u00fatoku na Avdijivku<\/strong>. Mo\u017en\u00e1 je d\u016fvodem zdej\u0161\u00ed koksovna, mo\u017en\u00e1 nutnost vytla\u010dit protiteroristick\u00e9 jednotky d\u00e1l od silnice M04, aby nemohly kontrolovat p\u0159esuny ozbrojeneck\u00e9 techniky. Ka\u017edop\u00e1dn\u011b se snahami o\u00a0dobyt\u00ed Avdijivky <\/strong>ozbrojenci nep\u0159estanou. Kdy\u017e p\u016fjdeme je\u0161t\u011b d\u00e1le na jih, je t\u0159eba poznamenat zv\u00fd\u0161enou aktivitu ozbrojenc\u016f v\u00a0lokalit\u011b Doku\u010dajevsk <\/strong>a Starobe\u0161eve<\/strong>. Nep\u0159\u00edtel pokra\u010duje ve stahov\u00e1n\u00ed techniky pro p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00fd \u00fatok na Volnovachu <\/strong>a d\u00e1l sm\u011brem Volodarske <\/strong>a Manhu\u0161<\/strong> s\u00a0\u00famyslem od\u0159\u00edznout Mariupol <\/strong>od z\u00e1sobovac\u00edch cest. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 stahuje techniku do okol\u00ed \u0160yrokyne<\/strong> ve snaze odt\u00e1hnout sem protiteroristick\u00e9 s\u00edly. D\u00e1le je t\u0159eba o\u010dek\u00e1vat na mo\u017en\u00e9 vylod\u011bn\u00ed desantu u\u00a0Ber\u010fansku<\/strong>, co\u017e nab\u00edr\u00e1 na aktualit\u011b v\u00a0kontextu ned\u00e1vn\u00e9ho cvi\u010den\u00ed rusk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed p\u011bchoty na Krymu.<\/p>\n

Materi\u00e1l p\u0159ipravil vojensk\u00fd analytik t\u00fdmu InformNapalm Artem Vasylenko za aktivn\u00ed informa\u010dn\u00ed podpory skupiny InformNapalm.<\/em><\/p>\n

\n

Rusky: https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/7314-svodka-komandy-informnapalm-po-sostoyanyyu-na-24-marta-2015-goda<\/a>, publikov\u00e1no dne 24.\u00a0b\u0159ezna 2015<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201eV\u00e1lka miluje v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed a nem\u00e1 r\u00e1da dlouh\u00e9 trv\u00e1n\u00ed\u201c Sun-c’ Zah\u00e1jili jsme informa\u010dn\u00ed souhrn pr\u00e1v\u011b t\u011bmito slovy, proto\u017ee…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":432,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,1,516],"tags":[176,174,175,56],"class_list":["post-431","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-aktuality","category-hlavni-zpravy","category-all-news","tag-ukrajinska-krize","tag-ukrajinska-svodka","tag-ukrajinsky-informacni-souhrn","tag-valka-na-ukrajine"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nInforma\u010dn\u00ed souhrn t\u00fdmu InformNapalm ke dni 24. b\u0159ezna 2015 - InformNapalm.org (\u010ce\u0161tina)<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/informacni-souhrn-tymu-informnapalm-ke-dni-24-brezna-2015\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Informa\u010dn\u00ed souhrn t\u00fdmu InformNapalm ke dni 24. b\u0159ezna 2015 - 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P\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed, kter\u00e9 nastalo po odchodu protiteroristick\u00fdch jednotek z\u00a0<strong>Debalceve<\/strong>, pot\u0159ebovaly ob\u011b strany. Ozbrojenci utrp\u011bli v\u00fdrazn\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty (t\u0159eba v\u00a0<strong>Al\u010devsku <\/strong>se m\u00edstn\u00ed r\u00e1dobyvoj\u00e1ci ul\u00e9vali po nemocnic\u00edch, aby se pozd\u011bji nedostali na frontu), ukrajinsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da byla sv\u00fdm brilantn\u00edm odchodem pon\u011bkud demoralizov\u00e1na. N\u00e1sledovalo stahov\u00e1n\u00ed t\u011b\u017ek\u00fdch zbran\u00ed. Na rozd\u00edl od protiteroristick\u00fdch sil ozbrojenci p\u0159esouvali techniku v\u00a0kruz\u00edch, tedy stahovali ji po hlavn\u00edch komunikac\u00edch a vraceli poln\u00edmi cestami. Nen\u00ed dosud jasn\u00e9, o\u00a0co \u0161lo: zm\u00e1st z\u00e1stupce OBSE, nebo sv\u00e9 voj\u00e1ky n\u011bjak zam\u011bstnat, aby se k\u00e1ze\u0148sky nerozlo\u017eili. Jasn\u00e9 je jen jedno: ozbrojenci, kdy\u017e imitovali sta\u017een\u00ed d\u011blost\u0159electva, dok\u00e1zali nakumulovat v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed po\u010det mechanizovan\u00fdch \u00fatvar\u016f na hlavn\u00edch a o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00fdch sm\u011brech \u00fatok\u016f. Nav\u00edc je t\u0159eba pouk\u00e1zat na neust\u00e1l\u00e1 cvi\u010den\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch jednotek na bojovou pohotovost a vytvo\u0159en\u00ed nov\u00fdch opevn\u011bn\u00fdch lokalit prakticky v\u0161emi sm\u011bry.<!--more-->\r\n\r\nUk\u00e1zalo se v\u0161ak, \u017ee p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed p\u0159ece jen sehr\u00e1lo svou roli. B\u016fhv\u00edjak\u00fdm z\u00e1zrakem se na\u0161\u00ed vl\u00e1d\u011b poda\u0159ilo z\u00edskat prvn\u00ed tran\u0161i od MMF ve v\u00fd\u0161i 5\u00a0miliard eur. Pr\u00e1v\u011b tato skute\u010dnost je pro Moskvu velmi v\u00fdznamn\u00e1 z\u00a0hlediska volby dal\u0161\u00edho postupu. Za prv\u00e9 nyn\u00ed Putin ch\u00e1pe, \u017ee stra\u0161it ho jen tak u\u017e nebudou. F\u00e1ze \u201eakutn\u00edho znepokojen\u00ed\u201c Evropy ze situace na Ukrajin\u011b pominula a Merkelov\u00e1 nikoli nadarmo pohrozila p\u0159im\u011b\u0159enou odpov\u011bd\u00ed na \u00fatoky na <strong>Mariupol<\/strong> a sever Donbasu. Sv\u011btov\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00edci cel\u00fd rok tyto pen\u00edze k\u0159e\u010dovit\u011b \u201erodili\u201c, nyn\u00ed tedy prost\u011b mus\u00ed alespo\u0148 na\u010das nechat v\u0161e, jak je. Za druh\u00e9 je tu p\u0159ijet\u00ed z\u00e1kona o\u00a0zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00edm postaven\u00ed Don\u011bck\u00e9 a Luhansk\u00e9 oblasti. P\u0159esn\u011bji \u0159e\u010deno jeho nep\u0159ijet\u00ed v\u00a0rusk\u00e9m prost\u0159ed\u00ed. De facto je t\u00edm Rusko vystaveno siln\u00e9mu tlaku sv\u011btov\u00e9 ve\u0159ejnosti, co\u017e nut\u00ed Putina hledat mo\u017enosti, jak se vyhnout financov\u00e1n\u00ed okupovan\u00fdch \u00fazem\u00ed, a p\u00e1trat po jin\u00fdch zp\u016fsobech destabilizace situace na Ukrajin\u011b. Mo\u017enost\u00ed je tu dost. Nebudeme zkoumat podstatu Kolomojsk\u00e9ho v\u00e1lky proti v\u0161em ani nov\u00e9 perly od Firta\u0161e. Putin m\u00e1 i dal\u0161\u00ed varianty: t\u0159eba Achmetov.\r\n\r\nPr\u00e1v\u011b za Achmetovovy pomoci se Moskva sna\u017e\u00ed rozkl\u00ed\u017eit <strong>Mariupol<\/strong>. Neznamen\u00e1 to, \u017ee by Rinat Leonidovy\u010d byl agentem Moskvy. Moskva jen dok\u00e1\u017ee hezky zahr\u00e1t na Achmetovovy z\u00e1jmy. O\u00a0co jde? T\u0159eba jen o\u00a0to, \u017ee v\u00a0situaci, kdy byla infrastruktura Donbasu notn\u011b poni\u010dena, Achmetovov\u00fdm podnik\u016fm se v\u00e1lka jakoby vyhnula. Nav\u00edc k\u00a0tomu mus\u00edme ch\u00e1pat, jak se odl\u00e9v\u00e1 ocel v\u00a0tov\u00e1rn\u00e1ch Achmetova. Pr\u00e1v\u011b proto m\u016f\u017ee nastat situace, kdy proru\u0161t\u00ed provokat\u00e9\u0159i rozhoupaj\u00ed <strong>Mariupol <\/strong>a pak do m\u011bsta vstoup\u00ed vojska tzv. DLR. Soud\u011b podle pokus\u016f s\u00a0Ber\u010fansk\u00fdm leti\u0161t\u011bm je tato varianta velmi pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e1. Vych\u00e1z\u00ed tedy, \u017ee zat\u00edmco n\u011bkdo d\u011bl\u00ed Ukrtransnaftu, n\u011bkde jinde by se mohl od\u0161t\u011bpit dal\u0161\u00ed kousek Ukrajiny.\r\n\r\nOv\u0161em v\u00a0p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b, \u017ee dostane p\u0159ednost n\u00e1siln\u00e1 varianta, bude vypadat takto: na pozad\u00ed ud\u00e1lost\u00ed v\u00a0Kos\u0165antynivce, kde do\u0161lo k\u00a0tragick\u00e9 nehod\u011b, nep\u0159\u00edtel p\u0159esunul sv\u00e9 s\u00edly k\u00a0severoz\u00e1padn\u00edmu okraji <strong>Horlivky<\/strong>; nejsp\u00ed\u0161 se po\u010d\u00edtalo s\u00a0t\u00edm, \u017ee nevole obyvatelstva kv\u016fli usmrcen\u00e9 d\u00edvce zp\u016fsob\u00ed hromadnou vzpouru, kter\u00e1 omez\u00ed aktivity 81.\u00a0brig\u00e1dy, co\u017e umo\u017en\u00ed pr\u016flom ve sm\u011bru <strong>Horlivka\u00a0\u2013 Dzer\u017eynsk\u00a0\u2013 Kos\u0165antynivka <\/strong>a obsazen\u00ed m\u011bsta. Je t\u0159eba vyzdvihnout zkoordinovanou \u010dinnost Ministerstva obrany a m\u00e9di\u00ed, kter\u00e1 umo\u017enila nejen potrestat vin\u00edky, ale tak\u00e9 tento proces vhodn\u011b informa\u010dn\u011b prezentovat. I kdy\u017e je pravda, \u017ee na klid je zat\u00edm brzo\u00a0\u2013 podle informac\u00ed, kter\u00e9 vy\u017eaduj\u00ed ov\u011b\u0159en\u00ed, do <strong>Kos\u0165antynivky <\/strong>dorazilo j\u00e1dro ozbrojenc\u016f, kter\u00e9 se pokus\u00ed situaci ve m\u011bst\u011b destabilizovat.\r\n\r\nPodle informac\u00ed z\u00a0ve\u0159ejn\u00fdch zdroj\u016f ozbrojenci nechali opravit \u017eelezni\u010dn\u00ed koleje v\u00a0<strong>Debalceve<\/strong>, co\u017e jim umo\u017e\u0148uje v\u00fdrazn\u011b usnadnit z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed jednotek rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00fdch hned u\u00a0stykov\u00e9 linie. \u00datok pod\u00e9l\u00a0M03 <strong>Debalceve\u00a0\u2013 Artemivsk <\/strong>v\u0161ak de facto nen\u00ed mo\u017en\u00fd kv\u016fli syst\u00e9mu p\u0159ehradn\u00edch n\u00e1dr\u017e\u00ed mezi t\u011bmito m\u011bsty. Naproti tomu \u00fatoky z\u00a0<strong>Horlivky <\/strong>a <strong>Pervomajsku <\/strong>na <strong>Artemivsk <\/strong>vypadaj\u00ed docela l\u00e1kav\u011b. Nav\u00edc pokud by se ozbrojenc\u016fm poda\u0159ilo dob\u00fdt <strong>Kos\u0165antynivku<\/strong>.\r\n\r\nV\u00a0p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b obsazen\u00ed <strong>Kos\u0165antynivky <\/strong>se ozbrojenci nejsp\u00ed\u0161 nebudou pokou\u0161et dostat ke <strong>Kramatorsku <\/strong>p\u0159es <strong>Dru\u017ekivku <\/strong>a <strong>Olexijevo-Dru\u017ekivku<\/strong>, proto\u017ee ru\u0161t\u00ed gener\u00e1lov\u00e9 nejsp\u00ed\u0161 dob\u0159e pamatuj\u00ed smutn\u00e9 zku\u0161enosti z\u00a0Prvn\u00ed \u010de\u010densk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, na druhou stranu vyrazit po M03 sm\u011brem <strong>Slovjansk <\/strong>je nejlep\u0161\u00ed mo\u017en\u00e1 varianta. Nesm\u00edme v\u0161ak zapomenout, \u017ee ji\u017e brzy za\u010dne vegeta\u010dn\u00ed obdob\u00ed, s\u00a0t\u00edm, \u017ee si dob\u0159e pamatujeme na lo\u0148skou letn\u00ed kampa\u0148, kdy men\u0161\u00ed odd\u00edly ozbrojenc\u016f pom\u011brn\u011b \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011b odol\u00e1valy protiteroristick\u00fdm s\u00edl\u00e1m pr\u00e1v\u011b na severu oblasti, kdy pou\u017e\u00edvaly partyz\u00e1nsk\u00e9 taktiky. Nav\u00edc by kontrola nad <strong>Kos\u0165antynivkou <\/strong>umo\u017enila vyvinout \u00fatok na <strong>Krasnoarmijsk<\/strong>, co\u017e by ozbrojenc\u016fm umo\u017enilo kontrolovat z\u00e1padn\u00ed br\u00e1nu oblasti.\r\n\r\nVyhodnotit sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 ofenz\u00edvy na <strong>Krasnoarmijsk <\/strong>n\u00e1s donutily shora popsan\u00e9 ud\u00e1losti, a sice Kolomojsk\u00e9ho v\u00e1lka proti oligarch\u016fm a vl\u00e1d\u011b. R\u00e1di bychom p\u0159ipomn\u011bli, \u017ee <strong>Dnipropetrovsk<\/strong>, jeho\u017e obyvatel\u00e9 m\u011bli v\u011bt\u0161inou vazby na Ji\u017en\u00ed stroj\u00edrny, jejich\u017e lv\u00ed pod\u00edl produkce sm\u011b\u0159oval do Ruska, dosud nevykazoval \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 zn\u00e1mky separatismu jen d\u00edky opat\u0159en\u00edm guvern\u00e9ra oblasti. Tlak na Kolomojsk\u00e9ho by mohl zp\u016fsobit destabilizaci situace v\u00a0regionu se v\u0161\u00edm, co z\u00a0toho vypl\u00fdv\u00e1...\r\n\r\nV\u00a0minul\u00e9m informa\u010dn\u00edm souhrnu jsme ji\u017e psali, \u017ee dobyt\u00ed <strong>Artemivsku <\/strong>by ozbrojenc\u016fm umo\u017enilo pon\u011bkud zt\u00ed\u017eit z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed protiteroristick\u00fdch jednotek. Nav\u00edc obsazen\u00ed <strong>Artemivsku <\/strong>umo\u017en\u00ed ozbrojenc\u016fm p\u0159ikr\u00fdt lev\u00e9 k\u0159\u00eddlo a prov\u00e9st ofenz\u00edvu na <strong>Lysy\u010dansk <\/strong>za \u00fa\u010delem ovl\u00e1dnut\u00ed p\u0159\u00edvoz\u016f. Zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed pozornost je nutn\u00e9 v\u011bnovat bodu se sou\u0159adnicemi N48,819444\u00b0 E38,588033\u00b0, kde se v\u00a0lokalit\u011b <strong>Ustynivky <\/strong>nach\u00e1z\u00ed brod p\u0159es \u0159eku Severn\u00ed Don\u011bc, kter\u00fd tu z\u016fstal po b\u00fdval\u00e9m cvi\u010di\u0161ti. Kontrola nad t\u00edmto brodem by umo\u017enila ozbrojenc\u016fm p\u0159esunout techniku na severn\u00ed stranu \u0159eky a p\u0159ibl\u00ed\u017eit se ke <strong>\u0160\u010das\u0165a <\/strong>od severu. Z\u00a0materi\u00e1l\u016f od Iraklije Komachidzeho m\u016f\u017eeme vysledovat, jak nep\u0159\u00edtel kumuluje \u00fato\u010dn\u00e9 uskupen\u00ed pobl\u00ed\u017e Millerova, co\u017e ponech\u00e1v\u00e1 vysokou pravd\u011bpodobnost \u00fatoku od rusk\u00fdch hranic, kter\u00fd by vypadal jako p\u0159ekon\u00e1n\u00ed Severn\u00edho Donce u\u00a0<strong>Lysy\u010dansku <\/strong>a <strong>Ustynivky<\/strong>. Obdobn\u011b je t\u0159eba v\u011bnovat zv\u00fd\u0161enou pozornost obci <strong>Stanycja Luhanska<\/strong>, kde se ozbrojenci ji\u017e pokusili p\u0159ekonat \u0159eku a z\u0159\u00eddit severn\u011b od \u0159eky kontroln\u00ed stanovi\u0161t\u011b. Pokud jde o\u00a0sm\u011br <strong>Vesela Hora\u00a0\u2013 \u0160\u010das\u0165a<\/strong>, op\u011bt bychom r\u00e1di p\u0159ipomn\u011bli Severn\u00ed Don\u011bc, aktivita ozbrojenc\u016f v\u00a0t\u00e9to lokalit\u011b by tedy mohla slou\u017eit jen k\u00a0odveden\u00ed pozornosti.\r\n\r\nTe\u010f k\u00a0jihu. Ozbrojenci nad\u00e1le shroma\u017e\u010fuj\u00ed s\u00edly k\u00a0\u00fatoku na <strong>Avdijivku<\/strong>. Mo\u017en\u00e1 je d\u016fvodem zdej\u0161\u00ed koksovna, mo\u017en\u00e1 nutnost vytla\u010dit protiteroristick\u00e9 jednotky d\u00e1l od silnice M04, aby nemohly kontrolovat p\u0159esuny ozbrojeneck\u00e9 techniky. Ka\u017edop\u00e1dn\u011b se snahami o\u00a0dobyt\u00ed <strong>Avdijivky <\/strong>ozbrojenci nep\u0159estanou. Kdy\u017e p\u016fjdeme je\u0161t\u011b d\u00e1le na jih, je t\u0159eba poznamenat zv\u00fd\u0161enou aktivitu ozbrojenc\u016f v\u00a0lokalit\u011b <strong>Doku\u010dajevsk <\/strong>a <strong>Starobe\u0161eve<\/strong>. Nep\u0159\u00edtel pokra\u010duje ve stahov\u00e1n\u00ed techniky pro p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00fd \u00fatok na <strong>Volnovachu <\/strong>a d\u00e1l sm\u011brem <strong>Volodarske <\/strong>a <strong>Manhu\u0161<\/strong> s\u00a0\u00famyslem od\u0159\u00edznout <strong>Mariupol <\/strong>od z\u00e1sobovac\u00edch cest. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 stahuje techniku do okol\u00ed <strong>\u0160yrokyne<\/strong> ve snaze odt\u00e1hnout sem protiteroristick\u00e9 s\u00edly. D\u00e1le je t\u0159eba o\u010dek\u00e1vat na mo\u017en\u00e9 vylod\u011bn\u00ed desantu u\u00a0<strong>Ber\u010fansku<\/strong>, co\u017e nab\u00edr\u00e1 na aktualit\u011b v\u00a0kontextu ned\u00e1vn\u00e9ho cvi\u010den\u00ed rusk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed p\u011bchoty na Krymu.\r\n\r\n<em>Materi\u00e1l p\u0159ipravil vojensk\u00fd analytik t\u00fdmu InformNapalm Artem Vasylenko za aktivn\u00ed informa\u010dn\u00ed podpory skupiny InformNapalm.<\/em>\r\n\r\n<hr \/>\r\n\r\nRusky: <a title=\"\u0421\u0432\u043e\u0434\u043a\u0430 \u043a\u043e\u043c\u0430\u043d\u0434\u044b InformNapalm \u043f\u043e \u0441\u043e\u0441\u0442\u043e\u044f\u043d\u0438\u044e \u043d\u0430 24 \u043c\u0430\u0440\u0442\u0430 2015 \u0433\u043e\u0434\u0430\" href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/7314-svodka-komandy-informnapalm-po-sostoyanyyu-na-24-marta-2015-goda\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/7314-svodka-komandy-informnapalm-po-sostoyanyyu-na-24-marta-2015-goda<\/a>, publikov\u00e1no dne 24.\u00a0b\u0159ezna 2015","amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/431","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=431"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/431\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":434,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/431\/revisions\/434"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/432"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=431"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=431"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=431"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}