{"id":7560,"date":"2019-09-07T19:46:19","date_gmt":"2019-09-07T19:46:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/?p=7560"},"modified":"2019-09-07T19:47:06","modified_gmt":"2019-09-07T19:47:06","slug":"velka-vymena-cile-zelenskeho-a-putina","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/velka-vymena-cile-zelenskeho-a-putina\/","title":{"rendered":"\u201eVelk\u00e1 v\u00fdm\u011bna\u201c: c\u00edle Zelensk\u00e9ho a Putina"},"content":{"rendered":"

Putin doc\u00edlil vyd\u00e1n\u00ed Cemacha, diskreditace ukrajinsk\u00e9ho stanoviska v\u00a0o\u010d\u00edch Z\u00e1padu a pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00a0\u201ekonstruktivn\u00edm\u201c vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Osvobozen\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00fdch ob\u010dan\u016f, z\u00a0nich\u017e byli mnoz\u00ed v\u011bzn\u011bni v\u00a0rusk\u00fdch v\u011bznic\u00edch a l\u00e1grech dlouh\u00e1 l\u00e9ta, vzbuzuje v\u00a0prvn\u00ed \u0159ad\u011b zcela p\u0159irozenou radostnou a soucitnou emotivn\u00ed reakci u\u00a0ka\u017ed\u00e9ho norm\u00e1ln\u00edho \u010dlov\u011bka. Emocion\u00e1ln\u00ed str\u00e1nka v\u0161ak obvykle z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 mimo r\u00e1mec analytick\u00fdch text\u016f. Na\u0161im \u00fakolem je pochopit motivaci stran a mo\u017en\u00e9 d\u016fsledky v\u00fdm\u011bny, kter\u00e1 prob\u011bhla.<\/p>\n

Ukrajinsk\u00e1 strana m\u00e1 motivy mnohem pochopiteln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a pr\u016fhledn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e ta rusk\u00e1. Vedle ji\u017e zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e9 citov\u00e9 lidsk\u00e9 str\u00e1nky je tu tak\u00e9 celkem p\u0159irozen\u00e1 touha nov\u00e9ho prezidenta Volodymyra Zelensk\u00e9ho uk\u00e1zat, \u017ee pln\u00ed sv\u00e9 sliby a m\u00e1 starost o\u00a0ka\u017ed\u00e9ho krajana. Nechci p\u0159itom ani tvrdit, \u017ee by tato uk\u00e1zka m\u011bla jasnou str\u00e1nku politickotechnologickou. Z\u00a0hlediska politick\u00e9 technologie by toti\u017e bylo pr\u00e1v\u011b pohodln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed nepou\u0161t\u011bt se do takov\u00e9 v\u00fdm\u011bny dnes, kdy je obliba prezidenta a loajalita v\u016f\u010di ve\u0161ker\u00fdm jeho krok\u016fm ze strany ukrajinsk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti bezmezn\u011b vysok\u00e1, ale a\u017e za n\u011bkolik m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f, kdy v\u00a0kontextu nevyhnuteln\u00fdch politick\u00fdch a hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fdch kataklyzmat za\u010dnou hlav\u011b st\u00e1tu preference klesat. Nicm\u00e9n\u011b Zelenskyj\u00a0\u2013 co\u017e m\u016f\u017eeme vid\u011bt jak na jeho \u010dinnosti, tak na \u010dinnosti jim kontrolovan\u00e9ho parlamentu\u00a0\u2013 nejrad\u011bji d\u011bl\u00e1 v\u0161e rychl\u00fdm tempem, ani\u017e by pomyslel na vlastn\u00ed politick\u00e9 vyhl\u00eddky. Z\u00a0humanit\u00e1rn\u00edho hlediska je v\u0161ak tato rychlost ve v\u011bci osvobozen\u00ed Ukrajinc\u016f sp\u00ed\u0161e p\u0159\u00ednosem. Proto\u017ee kdyby prezident byl v\u00a0ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b ochoten zaplatit za tuto v\u00fdm\u011bnu tu cenu, kterou zaplatil, je lep\u0161\u00ed, \u017ee tak u\u010dinil v\u00a0z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed, ne\u017e v\u00a0prosinci. Pro v\u011bzn\u011b je toti\u017e ka\u017ed\u00fd den za m\u0159\u00ed\u017eemi jako rok.<\/p>\n

Rusk\u00e1 motivace si zaslou\u017e\u00ed podrobn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed rozbor. Pro\u010d na v\u00fdm\u011bnu p\u0159istoupil Vladimir Putin?<\/p>\n

Prvn\u00ed motiv <\/strong>rusk\u00e9ho prezidenta je velmi jednoduch\u00fd: Kyjev prost\u011b m\u011bl k dispozici zbo\u017e\u00ed, kter\u00e9 ho zaj\u00edmalo, a sice Volodymyra Cemacha. Del\u0161\u00ed dobu koloval m\u00fdtus, \u017ee Putin m\u00e1 z\u00e1jem nap\u0159. o osud Kirilla Vy\u0161insk\u00e9ho, pr\u00e1v\u011b z toho po Vy\u0161insk\u00e9ho zadr\u017een\u00ed vych\u00e1zely i ukrajinsk\u00e9 \u00fa\u0159ady, kter\u00e9 po\u010d\u00edtaly s t\u00edm, \u017ee ho Putin nech\u00e1 vym\u011bnit za Sencova nebo Su\u0161\u010denka. \u017d\u00e1dn\u00fd v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1jem o osud n\u011bjak\u00e9ho novin\u00e1\u0159e, jakkoli bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho \u201esamotn\u00e9mu\u201c Dmitriji Kiseljovovi, v\u0161ak Putin neprojevoval. Cemach je \u00fapln\u011b jin\u00e9 kafe. Kreml se v\u00e1\u017en\u011b p\u0159ipravuje na soudn\u00ed \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed o Boeingu, i kdyby se u tohoto \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed objevil tak v\u00fdznamn\u00fd sv\u011bdek, mohlo by to rusk\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy v\u00fdrazn\u011b po\u0161kodit. Pr\u00e1v\u011b proto byla zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed operace SBU v Moskv\u011b vn\u00edm\u00e1na tak nerv\u00f3zn\u011b a byl zad\u00e1n \u00fakol za ka\u017edou cenu zabr\u00e1nit p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e9 Cemachov\u011b cest\u011b do Nizozemska. Kv\u016fli spln\u011bn\u00ed tohoto \u00fakolu nebylo \u0161koda p\u0159edat nejen ukrajinsk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edky, ale i Sencova, jeho\u017e osoba u rusk\u00fdch \u0161pi\u010dek tradi\u010dn\u011b vzbuzovala zvl\u00e1\u0161\u0165 odm\u00edtav\u00fd postoj. V\u0161ichni ostatn\u00ed propu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed Rusov\u00e9 jsou pouh\u00fdm p\u0159\u00eddavkem k Cemachovi, \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd v\u00fdznam pro Moskvu nemaj\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Druh\u00fd motiv <\/strong>Putinova rozhodnut\u00ed: realizac\u00ed Cemachova osvobozen\u00ed uk\u00e1zat Z\u00e1padu ochotu nov\u00e9 ukrajinsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy v\u00a0z\u00e1jmu vlastn\u00edch c\u00edl\u016f jednat v\u00a0rozporu s\u00a0gener\u00e1ln\u00ed lini\u00ed st\u00edh\u00e1n\u00ed Ruska za v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 zlo\u010diny jeho \u0161pi\u010dek, podr\u00fdt solidaritu ve v\u011bci potrest\u00e1n\u00ed pachatel\u016f sest\u0159elen\u00ed Boeingu, usnadnit z\u00e1padn\u00edm zem\u00edm mo\u017enost \u0159e\u0161it sv\u00e9 probl\u00e9my na \u00fakor Ukrajiny. Jde o\u00a0velmi v\u00fdznamn\u00fd \u00fakol. Ji\u017e p\u0159edt\u00edm byla kv\u016fli velk\u00e9mu zbrojn\u00edmu kontraktu z\u00a0\u201eboeingov\u00e9 koalice\u201c vy\u0159azena Malajsie, jej\u00ed\u017e autorit\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fd premi\u00e9r Mahathir Mohamad de facto odm\u00edtl obvinit Moskvu z\u00a0\u00fa\u010dasti na zni\u010den\u00ed letadla sv\u00fdch n\u00e1rodn\u00edch aerolinek. Kv\u016fli Cemachovu propu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed tuto koalici nyn\u00ed de facto opou\u0161t\u00ed i Ukrajina. Minim\u00e1ln\u011b kdyby se Nizozemsku hodila domn\u011bnka, \u017ee jsme ji opustili, m\u011blo by k\u00a0tomu ve\u0161ker\u00e9 d\u016fvody.<\/p>\n

T\u0159et\u00edm motivem <\/strong>Putinova rozhodnut\u00ed je p\u0159edv\u00e9st Volodymyru Zelensk\u00e9mu sv\u016fj konstruktivn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstup k\u00a0\u0159e\u0161en\u00ed probl\u00e9m\u016f, kter\u00e9 Ukrajin\u011b zp\u016fsobila rusk\u00e1 invaze. \u0158ekneme-li to jednodu\u0161e, vy\u0159e\u0161it se d\u00e1 v\u0161e, kdy\u017e se p\u0159istoup\u00ed na Putinovy po\u017eadavky. T\u00edmto Putin zru\u010dn\u011b nav\u00e1d\u00ed Zelensk\u00e9ho na kluzkou cestu hled\u00e1n\u00ed kompromis\u016f, kter\u00e9 by mohly v\u00e9st nejen k\u00a0ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9ho konfliktu a reintegraci Donbasu, ale tak\u00e9 k\u00a0navr\u00e1cen\u00ed Ukrajiny do jej\u00ed obvykl\u00e9 role rusk\u00e9ho satelitu, co\u017e by p\u0159edstavovalo prvn\u00ed krok k\u00a0pohlcen\u00ed Ukrajiny Ruskem.<\/p>\n

\u010ctvrt\u00fdm Putinov\u00fdm motivem <\/strong>je usnadnit z\u00e1padn\u00edm \u201ep\u0159\u00edznivc\u016fm\u201c Ruska vytvo\u0159en\u00ed m\u00fdtu, \u017ee se Kreml vrac\u00ed ke konstruktivn\u00edmu jedn\u00e1n\u00ed, i v\u00a0z\u00e1jmu reanimace dobr\u00fdch vztah\u016f s\u00a0Moskvou m\u00e1 smysl ob\u011btovat Ukrajinu, ba je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edc: zatla\u010dit na ukrajinskou vl\u00e1du, aby prok\u00e1zala \u201ekonstruktivn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstup\u201c ve vztaz\u00edch s\u00a0Moskvou a p\u0159istoupila na Putinovy podm\u00ednky, co nejd\u0159\u00edve se vr\u00e1tila do role rusk\u00e9ho satelitu a p\u0159estala dr\u00e1\u017edit z\u00e1padn\u00ed podnikatele a ty politiky, kte\u0159\u00ed c\u00edl\u00ed p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm na zisky plynouc\u00ed z\u00a0komunikace s\u00a0Kremlem. Zde se vrac\u00edme k\u00a0motivu t\u0159et\u00edmu.<\/p>\n

P\u00e1t\u00fd Putin\u016fv motiv <\/strong>bych pomysln\u011b ozna\u010dil jako \u201eSav\u010denkov\u00e9 efekt\u201c. Kdy\u017e se p\u0159ipravovalo osvobozen\u00ed Sav\u010denkov\u00e9, jen m\u00e1lokdo v\u011bd\u011bl, \u017ee Kreml po\u010d\u00edtal s\u00a0proveden\u00edm rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed operace s\u00a0c\u00edlem destabilizovat tehdej\u0161\u00ed ukrajinskou vl\u00e1du a st\u00e1t jako takov\u00fd. P\u0159esto\u017ee se v\u00a0Moskv\u011b nijak zvl\u00e1\u0161\u0165 netajili t\u00edm, \u017ee v\u00a0Sav\u010denkov\u00e9 osob\u011b cht\u011bj\u00ed podstr\u010dit do Kyjeva politickou bombu, nicm\u00e9n\u011b i ti p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00edci ukrajinsk\u00fdch elit, kte\u0159\u00ed o\u00a0t\u011bchto \u00famyslech v\u011bd\u011bli, sna\u017eili se o\u00a0tom nemluvit nahlas: a\u017e tolik byl tento postoj v\u00a0ukrajinsk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti nepopul\u00e1rn\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Zat\u00edm nev\u00edme, zda se ukr\u00fdv\u00e1 mezi t\u011bmi, koho propou\u0161t\u011bj\u00ed dnes, podobn\u00e1 \u201epolitick\u00e1 bomba\u201c, pop\u0159. v\u00edce bomb. Velmi brzy se to v\u0161ak dozv\u00edme\u00a0\u2013 budeme-li m\u00edt \u0161t\u011bst\u00ed, nikoli a\u017e po \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9m bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed, ale je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159edt\u00edm.<\/p>\n

Dnes v\u0161ak nezb\u00fdv\u00e1 ne\u017e uznat, \u017ee oba \u00fa\u010dastn\u00edci \u201evelk\u00e9 v\u00fdm\u011bny\u201c, jak Volodymyr Zelenskyj, tak Vladimir Putin, se maxim\u00e1ln\u011b p\u0159ibl\u00ed\u017eili dosa\u017een\u00ed c\u00edl\u016f, kter\u00e9 s t\u00edmto procesem spojovali. Zelenskyj dos\u00e1hl osvobozen\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00fdch v\u011bz\u0148\u016f, je\u017e jsme dnes s \u00falevou uv\u00edtali doma. Putin dos\u00e1hl vyd\u00e1n\u00ed Cemacha, diskreditace ukrajinsk\u00e9ho postoje v o\u010d\u00edch Z\u00e1padu a pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed v \u201ekonstruktivn\u00edm\u201c jedn\u00e1n\u00ed, kter\u00e9 m\u016f\u017ee v\u00e9st bu\u010f k dal\u0161\u00edmu v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9mu konfliktu, nebo ke kapitulaci a uleh\u010den\u00ed postaven\u00ed rusk\u00fdch \u201ep\u0159\u00edznivc\u016f\u201c na Z\u00e1pad\u011b.<\/p>\n

\u201eVelk\u00e1 v\u00fdm\u011bna\u201c je dokon\u00e1na, \u201evelk\u00e1 hra\u201c o\u00a0Ukrajinu v\u0161ak teprve za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1.<\/p>\n

\n

Autor: Vitalij Portnykov<\/a>
\nzdroj: Bukvu.com<\/a>, 7.\u00a0z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2019
\np\u0159eklad: Svatoslav \u0160\u010dyhol<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Putin doc\u00edlil vyd\u00e1n\u00ed Cemacha, diskreditace ukrajinsk\u00e9ho stanoviska v\u00a0o\u010d\u00edch Z\u00e1padu a pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00a0\u201ekonstruktivn\u00edm\u201c vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":78,"featured_media":7561,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[523,516,993],"tags":[7448,7447,7449],"class_list":["post-7560","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analytics","category-all-news","category-politika","tag-vladimir-putin","tag-volodymyr-zelenskyj","tag-vymena-zajatcu"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n\u201eVelk\u00e1 v\u00fdm\u011bna\u201c: c\u00edle Zelensk\u00e9ho a Putina - InformNapalm.org (\u010ce\u0161tina)<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/velka-vymena-cile-zelenskeho-a-putina\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u201eVelk\u00e1 v\u00fdm\u011bna\u201c: c\u00edle Zelensk\u00e9ho a Putina - 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Emocion\u00e1ln\u00ed str\u00e1nka v\u0161ak obvykle z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 mimo r\u00e1mec analytick\u00fdch text\u016f. Na\u0161im \u00fakolem je pochopit motivaci stran a mo\u017en\u00e9 d\u016fsledky v\u00fdm\u011bny, kter\u00e1 prob\u011bhla.\r\n\r\nUkrajinsk\u00e1 strana m\u00e1 motivy mnohem pochopiteln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a pr\u016fhledn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e ta rusk\u00e1. Vedle ji\u017e zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e9 citov\u00e9 lidsk\u00e9 str\u00e1nky je tu tak\u00e9 celkem p\u0159irozen\u00e1 touha nov\u00e9ho prezidenta Volodymyra Zelensk\u00e9ho uk\u00e1zat, \u017ee pln\u00ed sv\u00e9 sliby a m\u00e1 starost o\u00a0ka\u017ed\u00e9ho krajana. Nechci p\u0159itom ani tvrdit, \u017ee by tato uk\u00e1zka m\u011bla jasnou str\u00e1nku politickotechnologickou. Z\u00a0hlediska politick\u00e9 technologie by toti\u017e bylo pr\u00e1v\u011b pohodln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed nepou\u0161t\u011bt se do takov\u00e9 v\u00fdm\u011bny dnes, kdy je obliba prezidenta a loajalita v\u016f\u010di ve\u0161ker\u00fdm jeho krok\u016fm ze strany ukrajinsk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti bezmezn\u011b vysok\u00e1, ale a\u017e za n\u011bkolik m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f, kdy v\u00a0kontextu nevyhnuteln\u00fdch politick\u00fdch a hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fdch kataklyzmat za\u010dnou hlav\u011b st\u00e1tu preference klesat. Nicm\u00e9n\u011b Zelenskyj\u00a0\u2013 co\u017e m\u016f\u017eeme vid\u011bt jak na jeho \u010dinnosti, tak na \u010dinnosti jim kontrolovan\u00e9ho parlamentu\u00a0\u2013 nejrad\u011bji d\u011bl\u00e1 v\u0161e rychl\u00fdm tempem, ani\u017e by pomyslel na vlastn\u00ed politick\u00e9 vyhl\u00eddky. Z\u00a0humanit\u00e1rn\u00edho hlediska je v\u0161ak tato rychlost ve v\u011bci osvobozen\u00ed Ukrajinc\u016f sp\u00ed\u0161e p\u0159\u00ednosem. Proto\u017ee kdyby prezident byl v\u00a0ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b ochoten zaplatit za tuto v\u00fdm\u011bnu tu cenu, kterou zaplatil, je lep\u0161\u00ed, \u017ee tak u\u010dinil v\u00a0z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed, ne\u017e v\u00a0prosinci. Pro v\u011bzn\u011b je toti\u017e ka\u017ed\u00fd den za m\u0159\u00ed\u017eemi jako rok.\r\n\r\nRusk\u00e1 motivace si zaslou\u017e\u00ed podrobn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed rozbor. Pro\u010d na v\u00fdm\u011bnu p\u0159istoupil Vladimir Putin?\r\n\r\n<strong>Prvn\u00ed motiv <\/strong>rusk\u00e9ho prezidenta je velmi jednoduch\u00fd: Kyjev prost\u011b m\u011bl k dispozici zbo\u017e\u00ed, kter\u00e9 ho zaj\u00edmalo, a sice Volodymyra Cemacha. Del\u0161\u00ed dobu koloval m\u00fdtus, \u017ee Putin m\u00e1 z\u00e1jem nap\u0159. o osud Kirilla Vy\u0161insk\u00e9ho, pr\u00e1v\u011b z toho po Vy\u0161insk\u00e9ho zadr\u017een\u00ed vych\u00e1zely i ukrajinsk\u00e9 \u00fa\u0159ady, kter\u00e9 po\u010d\u00edtaly s t\u00edm, \u017ee ho Putin nech\u00e1 vym\u011bnit za Sencova nebo Su\u0161\u010denka. \u017d\u00e1dn\u00fd v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1jem o osud n\u011bjak\u00e9ho novin\u00e1\u0159e, jakkoli bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho \u201esamotn\u00e9mu\u201c Dmitriji Kiseljovovi, v\u0161ak Putin neprojevoval. Cemach je \u00fapln\u011b jin\u00e9 kafe. Kreml se v\u00e1\u017en\u011b p\u0159ipravuje na soudn\u00ed \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed o Boeingu, i kdyby se u tohoto \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed objevil tak v\u00fdznamn\u00fd sv\u011bdek, mohlo by to rusk\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy v\u00fdrazn\u011b po\u0161kodit. Pr\u00e1v\u011b proto byla zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed operace SBU v Moskv\u011b vn\u00edm\u00e1na tak nerv\u00f3zn\u011b a byl zad\u00e1n \u00fakol za ka\u017edou cenu zabr\u00e1nit p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e9 Cemachov\u011b cest\u011b do Nizozemska. Kv\u016fli spln\u011bn\u00ed tohoto \u00fakolu nebylo \u0161koda p\u0159edat nejen ukrajinsk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edky, ale i Sencova, jeho\u017e osoba u rusk\u00fdch \u0161pi\u010dek tradi\u010dn\u011b vzbuzovala zvl\u00e1\u0161\u0165 odm\u00edtav\u00fd postoj. V\u0161ichni ostatn\u00ed propu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed Rusov\u00e9 jsou pouh\u00fdm p\u0159\u00eddavkem k Cemachovi, \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd v\u00fdznam pro Moskvu nemaj\u00ed.\r\n\r\n<strong>Druh\u00fd motiv <\/strong>Putinova rozhodnut\u00ed: realizac\u00ed Cemachova osvobozen\u00ed uk\u00e1zat Z\u00e1padu ochotu nov\u00e9 ukrajinsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy v\u00a0z\u00e1jmu vlastn\u00edch c\u00edl\u016f jednat v\u00a0rozporu s\u00a0gener\u00e1ln\u00ed lini\u00ed st\u00edh\u00e1n\u00ed Ruska za v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 zlo\u010diny jeho \u0161pi\u010dek, podr\u00fdt solidaritu ve v\u011bci potrest\u00e1n\u00ed pachatel\u016f sest\u0159elen\u00ed Boeingu, usnadnit z\u00e1padn\u00edm zem\u00edm mo\u017enost \u0159e\u0161it sv\u00e9 probl\u00e9my na \u00fakor Ukrajiny. Jde o\u00a0velmi v\u00fdznamn\u00fd \u00fakol. Ji\u017e p\u0159edt\u00edm byla kv\u016fli velk\u00e9mu zbrojn\u00edmu kontraktu z\u00a0\u201eboeingov\u00e9 koalice\u201c vy\u0159azena Malajsie, jej\u00ed\u017e autorit\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fd premi\u00e9r Mahathir Mohamad de facto odm\u00edtl obvinit Moskvu z\u00a0\u00fa\u010dasti na zni\u010den\u00ed letadla sv\u00fdch n\u00e1rodn\u00edch aerolinek. Kv\u016fli Cemachovu propu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed tuto koalici nyn\u00ed de facto opou\u0161t\u00ed i Ukrajina. Minim\u00e1ln\u011b kdyby se Nizozemsku hodila domn\u011bnka, \u017ee jsme ji opustili, m\u011blo by k\u00a0tomu ve\u0161ker\u00e9 d\u016fvody.\r\n\r\n<strong>T\u0159et\u00edm motivem <\/strong>Putinova rozhodnut\u00ed je p\u0159edv\u00e9st Volodymyru Zelensk\u00e9mu sv\u016fj konstruktivn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstup k\u00a0\u0159e\u0161en\u00ed probl\u00e9m\u016f, kter\u00e9 Ukrajin\u011b zp\u016fsobila rusk\u00e1 invaze. \u0158ekneme-li to jednodu\u0161e, vy\u0159e\u0161it se d\u00e1 v\u0161e, kdy\u017e se p\u0159istoup\u00ed na Putinovy po\u017eadavky. T\u00edmto Putin zru\u010dn\u011b nav\u00e1d\u00ed Zelensk\u00e9ho na kluzkou cestu hled\u00e1n\u00ed kompromis\u016f, kter\u00e9 by mohly v\u00e9st nejen k\u00a0ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9ho konfliktu a reintegraci Donbasu, ale tak\u00e9 k\u00a0navr\u00e1cen\u00ed Ukrajiny do jej\u00ed obvykl\u00e9 role rusk\u00e9ho satelitu, co\u017e by p\u0159edstavovalo prvn\u00ed krok k\u00a0pohlcen\u00ed Ukrajiny Ruskem.\r\n\r\n<strong>\u010ctvrt\u00fdm Putinov\u00fdm motivem <\/strong>je usnadnit z\u00e1padn\u00edm \u201ep\u0159\u00edznivc\u016fm\u201c Ruska vytvo\u0159en\u00ed m\u00fdtu, \u017ee se Kreml vrac\u00ed ke konstruktivn\u00edmu jedn\u00e1n\u00ed, i v\u00a0z\u00e1jmu reanimace dobr\u00fdch vztah\u016f s\u00a0Moskvou m\u00e1 smysl ob\u011btovat Ukrajinu, ba je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edc: zatla\u010dit na ukrajinskou vl\u00e1du, aby prok\u00e1zala \u201ekonstruktivn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstup\u201c ve vztaz\u00edch s\u00a0Moskvou a p\u0159istoupila na Putinovy podm\u00ednky, co nejd\u0159\u00edve se vr\u00e1tila do role rusk\u00e9ho satelitu a p\u0159estala dr\u00e1\u017edit z\u00e1padn\u00ed podnikatele a ty politiky, kte\u0159\u00ed c\u00edl\u00ed p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm na zisky plynouc\u00ed z\u00a0komunikace s\u00a0Kremlem. Zde se vrac\u00edme k\u00a0motivu t\u0159et\u00edmu.\r\n\r\n<strong>P\u00e1t\u00fd Putin\u016fv motiv <\/strong>bych pomysln\u011b ozna\u010dil jako \u201eSav\u010denkov\u00e9 efekt\u201c. Kdy\u017e se p\u0159ipravovalo osvobozen\u00ed Sav\u010denkov\u00e9, jen m\u00e1lokdo v\u011bd\u011bl, \u017ee Kreml po\u010d\u00edtal s\u00a0proveden\u00edm rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed operace s\u00a0c\u00edlem destabilizovat tehdej\u0161\u00ed ukrajinskou vl\u00e1du a st\u00e1t jako takov\u00fd. P\u0159esto\u017ee se v\u00a0Moskv\u011b nijak zvl\u00e1\u0161\u0165 netajili t\u00edm, \u017ee v\u00a0Sav\u010denkov\u00e9 osob\u011b cht\u011bj\u00ed podstr\u010dit do Kyjeva politickou bombu, nicm\u00e9n\u011b i ti p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00edci ukrajinsk\u00fdch elit, kte\u0159\u00ed o\u00a0t\u011bchto \u00famyslech v\u011bd\u011bli, sna\u017eili se o\u00a0tom nemluvit nahlas: a\u017e tolik byl tento postoj v\u00a0ukrajinsk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti nepopul\u00e1rn\u00ed.\r\n\r\nZat\u00edm nev\u00edme, zda se ukr\u00fdv\u00e1 mezi t\u011bmi, koho propou\u0161t\u011bj\u00ed dnes, podobn\u00e1 \u201epolitick\u00e1 bomba\u201c, pop\u0159. v\u00edce bomb. Velmi brzy se to v\u0161ak dozv\u00edme\u00a0\u2013 budeme-li m\u00edt \u0161t\u011bst\u00ed, nikoli a\u017e po \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9m bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed, ale je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159edt\u00edm.\r\n\r\nDnes v\u0161ak nezb\u00fdv\u00e1 ne\u017e uznat, \u017ee oba \u00fa\u010dastn\u00edci \u201evelk\u00e9 v\u00fdm\u011bny\u201c, jak Volodymyr Zelenskyj, tak Vladimir Putin, se maxim\u00e1ln\u011b p\u0159ibl\u00ed\u017eili dosa\u017een\u00ed c\u00edl\u016f, kter\u00e9 s t\u00edmto procesem spojovali. Zelenskyj dos\u00e1hl osvobozen\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00fdch v\u011bz\u0148\u016f, je\u017e jsme dnes s \u00falevou uv\u00edtali doma. Putin dos\u00e1hl vyd\u00e1n\u00ed Cemacha, diskreditace ukrajinsk\u00e9ho postoje v o\u010d\u00edch Z\u00e1padu a pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed v \u201ekonstruktivn\u00edm\u201c jedn\u00e1n\u00ed, kter\u00e9 m\u016f\u017ee v\u00e9st bu\u010f k dal\u0161\u00edmu v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9mu konfliktu, nebo ke kapitulaci a uleh\u010den\u00ed postaven\u00ed rusk\u00fdch \u201ep\u0159\u00edznivc\u016f\u201c na Z\u00e1pad\u011b.\r\n\r\n\u201eVelk\u00e1 v\u00fdm\u011bna\u201c je dokon\u00e1na, \u201evelk\u00e1 hra\u201c o\u00a0Ukrajinu v\u0161ak teprve za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1.\r\n\r\n<hr \/>\r\n\r\n<em><img class=\"alignleft \" src=\"https:\/\/bykvu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/03\/69772994_970184936660455_4369994073944096768_n-300x300.jpg\" width=\"75\" height=\"75\" \/>Autor: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/portnikov\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Vitalij Portnykov<\/a>\r\nzdroj: <a href=\"https:\/\/bykvu.com\/ru\/mysli\/bolshoj-obmen-celi-zelenskogo-i-putina-2\/?fbclid=IwAR2t_ynmogUIBmAsWVGQrpR3L7sDIduCv-W5agsF5swmIXgGOXiHKFQ1oGo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Bukvu.com<\/a>, 7.\u00a0z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2019\r\np\u0159eklad: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/scyhol\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Svatoslav \u0160\u010dyhol<\/a><\/em>","amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7560","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/78"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7560"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7560\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7564,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7560\/revisions\/7564"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/7561"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7560"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7560"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7560"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}