{"id":7620,"date":"2019-09-18T11:39:04","date_gmt":"2019-09-18T11:39:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/?p=7620"},"modified":"2019-09-20T11:40:31","modified_gmt":"2019-09-20T11:40:31","slug":"expert-utok-na-ropne-objekty-v-saudske-arabii-byl-vyhodny-jen-pro-rusko","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/expert-utok-na-ropne-objekty-v-saudske-arabii-byl-vyhodny-jen-pro-rusko\/","title":{"rendered":"Expert: \u00fatok na ropn\u00e9 objekty v Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bii byl v\u00fdhodn\u00fd jen pro Rusko"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Redakce mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed dobrovolnick\u00e9 komunity InformNapalm p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161\u00ed p\u0159eklad zaj\u00edmav\u00e9ho rozhovoru, kter\u00fd vy\u0161el na port\u00e1lu <a href=\"http:\/\/ru.rfi.fr\/v-mire\/20190917-mikhail-krutikhin-ataka-v-saudovskoi-aravii-mozhet-bolno-udarit-po-rossii\">RFI<\/a>. Podrobnosti tohoto rozhovoru ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee \u00fatok dron\u016f na ropnou rafin\u00e9rii v\u00a0Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bii byl v\u00fdhodn\u00fd jen pro Rusko.<\/strong><!--more--><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>Po \u00fatoku dron\u016f na ropnou rafin\u00e9rii v\u00a0Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bii prudk\u00e9 v\u00fdkyvy cen ropy pokra\u010dovaly i v\u00a0\u00fater\u00fd 17.\u00a0z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed. K\u00a0ve\u010deru tyto ceny sice klesly, je\u0161t\u011b den p\u0159edt\u00edm v\u0161ak experti nevylu\u010dovali, \u017ee by cena za barel Brent mohla v\u00fdhledov\u011b p\u0159ekro\u010dit 100\u00a0dolar\u016f.<\/p>\n<p>O\u00a0tom, za jak\u00fdch podm\u00ednek by k\u00a0tomu mohlo doj\u00edt, pro\u010d by n\u00e1sledky skokov\u00e9ho vzestupu ropn\u00fdch cen mohly v\u00a0kone\u010dn\u00e9m d\u016fsledku ohrozit Rusko a pro\u010d n\u011bkter\u00e9 osoby v\u00a0Rusku mohly o\u00a0chystan\u00e9m \u00fatoku proti Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bii p\u0159edem v\u011bd\u011bt, \u0159ekl v\u00a0rozhovoru pro RFI spole\u010dn\u00edk poradensk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti RusEnergy Michail Krutichin.<\/p>\n<p><strong>RFI: Tento \u00fatok zp\u016fsobil v\u00fdpadek \u0161pi\u010dkov\u00e9ho objemu dod\u00e1vek ropy na sv\u011btov\u00fd trh, kter\u00fd se \u0159ad\u00ed mezi nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed v\u00a0d\u011bjin\u00e1ch&#8230; V\u00a0p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b, \u017ee by Sa\u00fadi navzdory <a href=\"http:\/\/www.kommersant.ru\/doc\/4095586?from=hotnews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">slib\u016fm<\/a> nedok\u00e1zali t\u011b\u017ebu po del\u0161\u00ed dobu obnovit, p\u0159edstavovalo by to pro trh \u0161ok, nebo kompenza\u010dn\u00ed mechanismy zafunguj\u00ed rychle?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Michail Krutichin: <\/strong>Kompenza\u010dn\u00ed mechanismy se ji\u017e spou\u0161t\u011bly nejednou: kdy\u017e byl hurik\u00e1n Katrina, kdy\u017e byla v\u00e1lka v\u00a0Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu, kdy\u017e Libye zmizela z\u00a0ropn\u00e9ho trhu&#8230; Tedy k\u00a0p\u0159\u00edpad\u016fm, kter\u00e9 odz\u00e1tkovaly mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed z\u00e1soby ropy, ji\u017e doch\u00e1zelo. Nic podobn\u00e9ho tomu, co m\u00e1me te\u010f, se v\u0161ak nestalo nikdy. M\u00e1me okam\u017eit\u00fd v\u00fdpadek 5,7\u00a0milionu barel\u016f denn\u011b.<\/p>\n<p>Aby se tedy v\u00fdpadek (pln\u011b) nahradil, je nutno sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 kapacity p\u0159ece jen spustit. Sa\u00fadi dnes tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee k\u00a0pln\u011bn\u00ed v\u0161ech sv\u00fdch z\u00e1vazk\u016f jim z\u00e1soby sta\u010d\u00ed na 37\u00a0dn\u016f. Ji\u017e dnes se v\u0161ak vzd\u00e1vaj\u00ed n\u011bkter\u00fdch kontrakt\u016f. Co\u017e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee tankery sice kotv\u00ed v\u00a0Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bii, nejsou v\u0161ak pln\u011bny. Bylo tak\u00e9 zastaveno p\u0159e\u010derp\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed ropy na termin\u00e1ly v\u00a0Bahrajnu atd. Trh to ji\u017e za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 poci\u0165ovat. A <a href=\"http:\/\/ru.rfi.fr\/v-mire\/20190916-neftyanoi-krizis-v-saudovskoi-aravii-glavnoe\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed cen ropy<\/a>, k\u00a0n\u011bmu\u017e do\u0161lo, spadalo do v\u0161ech rizik, kter\u00e9 vid\u00ed lid\u00e9 obchoduj\u00edc\u00ed s\u00a0ropn\u00fdmi futures. Jak dlouho to potrv\u00e1, to se zat\u00edm \u0159\u00edct ned\u00e1, podle leteck\u00fdch z\u00e1b\u011br\u016f to v\u0161ak vypad\u00e1, \u017ee k\u00a0obnoven\u00ed za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed budou Sa\u00fadi pot\u0159ebovat nejm\u00e9n\u011b t\u0159i m\u011bs\u00edce.<\/p>\n<p><strong>A bez \u00fapln\u00e9ho zprovozn\u011bn\u00ed sa\u00fadsk\u00fdch kapacit sv\u011btov\u00fd trh nedok\u00e1\u017ee \u201eobnovit rovnov\u00e1hu\u201c?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Zat\u00edm toho schopen je. V\u00a0zem\u00edch OECD jsou nahromad\u011bny z\u00e1soby na 92\u00a0dn\u016f podle jejich vlastn\u00edch odhad\u016f&#8230; Nav\u00edc je t\u0159eba po\u010d\u00edtat s\u00a0ropou, kter\u00e1 ji\u017e je v\u00a0tankerech a ropovodech, a tak\u00e9 s\u00a0ropou nakumulovanou v\u00a0\u010c\u00edn\u011b, i kdy\u017e nev\u00edme, kolik ji je. Za t\u011bchto podm\u00ednek je tedy obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9 jak spo\u010d\u00edtat z\u00e1soby, tak odhadnout, jak\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem se bude ropa vypou\u0161t\u011bt na trh. Zat\u00edm z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 v\u00a0koridoru mezi 60 a\u017e 70\u00a0barely zna\u010dky Brent a nejsou patrn\u00e9 d\u016fvody, pro\u010d by m\u011bla p\u0159ekro\u010dit 70. Kdyby do\u0161lo je\u0161t\u011b k\u00a0n\u011bjak\u00fdm dal\u0161\u00edm incident\u016fm v\u00a0Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu, cena by mohla d\u00e1le stoupat.<\/p>\n<p><strong>V\u00a0p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b, \u017ee dne\u0161n\u00ed situace bude trvat, si tedy nep\u0159ipou\u0161t\u00edte variantu, o\u00a0n\u00ed\u017e mluv\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed experti, tedy mo\u017enost vzestupu ceny na 100\u00a0dolar\u016f nebo je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edc?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>V\u00a0sou\u010dasn\u00e9 situaci s\u00a0takov\u00fdm v\u00fdhledem nepo\u010d\u00edt\u00e1m. Leda\u017ee by zazn\u011bly n\u011bjak\u00e9 popla\u0161n\u00e9 sign\u00e1ly. Jako t\u0159eba v\u010dera (16.\u00a0z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed), kdy cena vy\u0161plhala je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edc pot\u00e9, co se objevily <a href=\"http:\/\/www.rbc.ru\/politics\/16\/09\/2019\/5d7f79a59a7947523256826b\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">zpr\u00e1vy<\/a>, \u017ee se \u00cdr\u00e1nci zmocnili tankeru v\u00a0Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu. Nav\u00edc h\u00fat\u00edov\u00e9 slibuj\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed \u00fatoky, je tedy t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 \u0159\u00edct, co se stane v\u00a0budoucnu. V\u010dera jsem mluvil v\u00a0Istanbulu s\u00a0americk\u00fdm diplomatem Matthewem Bryzou, kter\u00fd mi \u0159ekl, \u017ee o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 jak\u00fdsi omezen\u00fd \u00fatok ze strany USA na vojensk\u00e9 c\u00edle v\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1nu. Konkr\u00e9tn\u011b v\u0161ak nikdo zat\u00edm nedok\u00e1\u017ee nic \u0159\u00edct.<\/p>\n<p><strong>N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed experti vyjad\u0159uj\u00ed n\u00e1zor, \u017ee i p\u0159es <a href=\"http:\/\/ru.rfi.fr\/v-mire\/20190916-ataka-dronov-es-rossiya-i-kitai-prizvali-k-spokoistviyu-ssha-i-iran\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed americk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy<\/a> je pro Washington v\u00a0dlouhodob\u00e9m v\u00fdhledu v\u00fdhodn\u00e9, kdyby \u201esa\u00fad\u0161t\u00ed konkurenti\u201c o\u00a0sv\u00e9 postaveni na trhu p\u0159i\u0161li.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Ne, je tomu pr\u00e1v\u011b naopak. Americk\u00e9 hospod\u00e1\u0159stv\u00ed je z\u00e1visl\u00e9 na n\u00edzk\u00fdch cen\u00e1ch energetick\u00fdch surovin. Kdyby ceny \u0161ly nahoru, je to pro USA \u0161patn\u00e1 zpr\u00e1va. Lehk\u00e1 b\u0159idlicov\u00e1 ropa nedok\u00e1\u017ee nahradit tu ropu, kter\u00e1 by mohla z\u00a0trhu odej\u00edt. Proto zde Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 jsou v\u00a0nev\u00fdhod\u011b. A kdyby zah\u00e1jili n\u011bjak\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 operace, by\u0165 jen omezen\u00e9, mohlo by to v\u00e9st k\u00a0dal\u0161\u00edmu zvy\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed cen, co\u017e, jak op\u011bt zd\u016fraz\u0148uji, nen\u00ed v\u016fbec v\u00a0z\u00e1jmu USA.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<h3><span style=\"color: #ff9900\">Vysok\u00e9 ceny ropy jsou \u0161patnou zpr\u00e1vou pro americk\u00e9 hospod\u00e1\u0159stv\u00ed. A kdyby Washington reagoval zah\u00e1jen\u00edm n\u011bjak\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch operac\u00ed, mohlo by to zp\u016fsobit je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1r\u016fst cen. Nakonec \u00cdr\u00e1n je ten, kdo pot\u0159ebuje \u00fato\u010dit na Sa\u00fadskou Ar\u00e1bii nejm\u00e9n\u011b ze v\u0161ech.<\/span><\/h3>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Nakonec \u00cdr\u00e1n to v\u016fbec pot\u0159ebuje nejm\u00e9n\u011b ze v\u0161ech (Washington obvi\u0148uje Teher\u00e1n, \u017ee stoj\u00ed v\u00a0pozad\u00ed \u201e\u00fatoku jemensk\u00fdch povstalc\u016f\u201c na objekt v\u00a0Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bii\u00a0\u2013 RFI).<\/p>\n<p>Kv\u016fli sankc\u00edm \u00cdr\u00e1n prakticky neobchoduje s\u00a0v\u00fdjimkou nep\u0159\u00edli\u0161 velk\u00e9ho pa\u0161ovan\u00e9ho objemu, proto nem\u00e1 pot\u0159ebu usilovat o\u00a0zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed cen. Zvy\u0161ovat nap\u011bt\u00ed se Sa\u00fadskou Ar\u00e1bii pro n\u011bj tak\u00e9 nen\u00ed v\u00fdhodn\u00e9, nav\u00edc americk\u00e9 \u00fa\u0159ady vys\u00edlaj\u00ed Teher\u00e1nu <a href=\"http:\/\/ru.rfi.fr\/v-mire\/20190827-iran-prizval-ssha-sdelat-pervyi-shag-i-otmenit-sanktsii\">n\u00e1znaky<\/a>, \u017ee by nem\u011bly nic proti p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e9mu nav\u00e1z\u00e1n\u00ed dialogu&#8230; Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b i \u00cdr\u00e1n m\u00e1 \u201ejest\u0159\u00e1by\u201c, kte\u0159\u00ed dok\u00e1\u017eou sami od sebe uko\u0159istit tanker nebo odp\u00e1lit raketu&#8230; V\u00a0z\u00e1sad\u011b v\u0161ak plat\u00ed, \u017ee pro \u00cdr\u00e1n je to stejn\u011b jako pro Ameri\u010dany naprosto nev\u00fdhodn\u00e9.<\/p>\n<p>Dnes je to v\u0161ak v\u00fdhodn\u00e9 pro Rusko, kter\u00e9 by p\u0159i vysok\u00fdch cen\u00e1ch z\u00edskalo v\u00edce pen\u011bz do rozpo\u010dtu.<\/p>\n<p><strong>U\u017e jste <a href=\"http:\/\/ru.krymr.com\/a\/dorogaya-neft-i-rossiyskiy-budget-dla-snneksirovannogo-kryma\/30167392.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">mluvil<\/a> o\u00a0tom, \u017ee v\u00a0Rusku byli zaznamen\u00e1ni spekulanti, kte\u0159\u00ed na tomto \u00fatoku proti Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bii dob\u0159e vyd\u011blali&#8230;<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Ano, 11.\u00a0z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed, n\u011bkolik dn\u00ed p\u0159ed \u00fatokem, za\u010dal n\u011bkdo na moskevsk\u00e9 burze ne\u010dekan\u011b skupovat za ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed ceny futures na ropu. Prodej t\u011bchto futures b\u011bhem dne stoupl o\u00a0174\u00a0%. Ud\u011blala to n\u011bjak\u00e1 jedin\u00e1 fyzick\u00e1 osoba. Pozorovatel\u00e9 \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed, \u017ee kdyby k\u00a0n\u011b\u010demu takov\u00e9mu do\u0161lo v\u00a0kter\u00e9koli jin\u00e9 civilizovan\u00e9 zemi, bylo by ihned zah\u00e1jeno vy\u0161et\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed. N\u011bkdo toti\u017e v\u011bd\u011bl, \u017ee k\u00a0\u00fatoku dojde, a po\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b se na tom napakoval. V\u00a0Rusku se v\u0161ak nejsp\u00ed\u0161 nestane nic.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<h3><span style=\"color: #ff9900\">Kdyby se to nestalo v\u00a0Rusku, ale v\u00a0jin\u00e9 zemi, za\u010dalo by se to hned vy\u0161et\u0159ovat. N\u011bkdo toti\u017e v\u011bd\u011bl, \u017ee k\u00a0\u00fatoku dojde, a slu\u0161n\u011b na tom zbohatl. Informace mohla poch\u00e1zet od rozv\u011bdky nebo od lid\u00ed, kte\u0159\u00ed se na p\u0159\u00edprav\u011b t\u00e9to operace pod\u00edleli&#8230;<\/span><\/h3>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><strong>Kdo mohl b\u00fdt zdrojem t\u00e9to informace?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Mohla by to b\u00fdt zpravodajsk\u00e1 komunita, kter\u00e1 ji p\u0159edala hr\u00e1\u010d\u016fm na trhu. Pop\u0159. jsou onymi hr\u00e1\u010di p\u0159\u00edmo lid\u00e9 od rozv\u011bdky. Nebo jde o\u00a0lidi, kte\u0159\u00ed se n\u011bjak\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem pod\u00edleli na p\u0159\u00edprav\u011b t\u00e9to (vojensk\u00e9) operace spole\u010dn\u011b s\u00a0t\u011bmi, kdo ji provedl.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Existuj\u00ed obavy, \u017ee udr\u017e\u00ed-li se vysok\u00e9 ceny ropy del\u0161\u00ed dobu, n\u00e1sledn\u011b dojde k\u00a0je\u0161t\u011b prud\u0161\u00edmu poklesu?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>N\u00e1sledn\u00fd pokles lze o\u010dek\u00e1vat, a to v\u00a0d\u016fsledku recese\u00a0\u2013 je tu podez\u0159en\u00ed, \u017ee by do n\u00ed mohl spadnout cel\u00fd sv\u011bt. A kdyby se dnes ceny ropy zv\u00fd\u0161ily, p\u0159isp\u011blo by to k\u00a0omezen\u00ed spot\u0159eby energetick\u00fdch surovin a dalo je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed podn\u011bt ke glob\u00e1ln\u00ed recesi. Tak\u017ee Rusko by sice m\u011blo z\u00a0vysok\u00fdch cen kr\u00e1tkodobou v\u00fdhru, nakonec v\u0161ak m\u016f\u017ee hodn\u011b ztratit, kdy\u017e se stane jednou z\u00a0hlavn\u00edch ob\u011bt\u00ed recese.<\/p>\n<p>A kdyby ceny na \u00farovni 40\u00a0dolar\u016f za barel vydr\u017eely dva a p\u016fl a\u017e t\u0159i roky, mohlo by Rusko zopakovat cestu Sov\u011btsk\u00e9ho svazu.<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>\u010ct\u011bte tak\u00e9: <a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/utok-na-ropne-objekty-v-saudske-arabii-rozvedka-ukazuje-na-iran-ale-hodi-se-rusku\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u00datok na ropn\u00e9 objekty v\u00a0Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bii: rozv\u011bdka ukazuje na \u00cdr\u00e1n, ale hod\u00ed se Rusku<\/a><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/utok-na-ropne-objekty-v-saudske-arabii-rozvedka-ukazuje-na-iran-ale-hodi-se-rusku\/\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2019\/09\/%C3%9Atok-na-ropn%C3%A9-objekty-v-Sa%C3%BAdsk%C3%A9-Ar%C3%A1bii_-rozv%C4%9Bdka-ukazuje-na-%C3%8Dr%C3%A1n-ale-hod%C3%AD-se-Rusku.jpg\" width=\"642\" height=\"336\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft \" src=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2015\/12\/InformNapalm_logo_05.png\" width=\"114\" height=\"50\" \/>\u0160\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed nebo p\u0159evzet\u00ed s\u00a0odkazem na zdroj je v\u00edt\u00e1no! (<a href=\"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Creative Commons\u00a0\u2014 Attribution\u00a04.0 International\u00a0\u2014 CC BY\u00a04.0<\/a>). P\u0159ihlaste se k\u00a0odb\u011bru novinek na str\u00e1nce <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/informnapalmcesko\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">InformNapalm \u010cesko<\/a> na Facebooku a nechte se pohotov\u011b informovat o\u00a0nov\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvc\u00edch v\u00a0\u010de\u0161tin\u011b. Klikn\u011bte na \u201eSd\u00edlet\u201c a pod\u011blte se s\u00a0p\u0159\u00e1teli.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><strong>Podpo\u0159it InformNapalm lze <a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/crowdfunding\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">na odkazu<\/a>.<\/strong><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>P\u0159eklad: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/scyhol\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Svatoslav \u0160\u010dyhol<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Redakce mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed dobrovolnick\u00e9 komunity InformNapalm p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161\u00ed p\u0159eklad zaj\u00edmav\u00e9ho rozhovoru, kter\u00fd vy\u0161el na port\u00e1lu RFI. Podrobnosti tohoto rozhovoru&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":78,"featured_media":7621,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,516,519],"tags":[7667],"class_list":["post-7620","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-aktuality","category-all-news","category-world","tag-saudska-arabie"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Expert: \u00fatok na ropn\u00e9 objekty v Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bii byl v\u00fdhodn\u00fd jen pro Rusko - InformNapalm.org (\u010ce\u0161tina)<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/expert-utok-na-ropne-objekty-v-saudske-arabii-byl-vyhodny-jen-pro-rusko\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Expert: \u00fatok na ropn\u00e9 objekty v Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bii byl v\u00fdhodn\u00fd jen pro Rusko - InformNapalm.org (\u010ce\u0161tina)\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Redakce mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed dobrovolnick\u00e9 komunity InformNapalm p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161\u00ed p\u0159eklad zaj\u00edmav\u00e9ho rozhovoru, kter\u00fd vy\u0161el na port\u00e1lu RFI. Podrobnosti tohoto rozhovoru...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/expert-utok-na-ropne-objekty-v-saudske-arabii-byl-vyhodny-jen-pro-rusko\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"InformNapalm.org (\u010ce\u0161tina)\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2019-09-18T11:39:04+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2019-09-20T11:40:31+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2019\/09\/Expert_-\u00fatok-na-ropn\u00e9-objekty-v-Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9-Ar\u00e1bii-byl-v\u00fdhodn\u00fd-jen-pro-Rusko.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"642\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"336\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"svatoslav\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"svatoslav\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"8 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/expert-utok-na-ropne-objekty-v-saudske-arabii-byl-vyhodny-jen-pro-rusko\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/expert-utok-na-ropne-objekty-v-saudske-arabii-byl-vyhodny-jen-pro-rusko\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"svatoslav\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/#\/schema\/person\/df2cf86bd5e35ae01a82d1108d3c5f51\"},\"headline\":\"Expert: \u00fatok na ropn\u00e9 objekty v Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bii byl v\u00fdhodn\u00fd jen pro Rusko\",\"datePublished\":\"2019-09-18T11:39:04+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2019-09-20T11:40:31+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/expert-utok-na-ropne-objekty-v-saudske-arabii-byl-vyhodny-jen-pro-rusko\/\"},\"wordCount\":1570,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/expert-utok-na-ropne-objekty-v-saudske-arabii-byl-vyhodny-jen-pro-rusko\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2019\/09\/Expert_-\u00fatok-na-ropn\u00e9-objekty-v-Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9-Ar\u00e1bii-byl-v\u00fdhodn\u00fd-jen-pro-Rusko.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Aktuality\",\"Novinky\",\"Sv\u011btov\u00fd\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/expert-utok-na-ropne-objekty-v-saudske-arabii-byl-vyhodny-jen-pro-rusko\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/expert-utok-na-ropne-objekty-v-saudske-arabii-byl-vyhodny-jen-pro-rusko\/\",\"name\":\"Expert: \u00fatok na ropn\u00e9 objekty v Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bii byl v\u00fdhodn\u00fd jen pro Rusko - 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Podrobnosti tohoto rozhovoru...","og_url":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/expert-utok-na-ropne-objekty-v-saudske-arabii-byl-vyhodny-jen-pro-rusko\/","og_site_name":"InformNapalm.org (\u010ce\u0161tina)","article_published_time":"2019-09-18T11:39:04+00:00","article_modified_time":"2019-09-20T11:40:31+00:00","og_image":[{"width":642,"height":336,"url":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2019\/09\/Expert_-\u00fatok-na-ropn\u00e9-objekty-v-Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9-Ar\u00e1bii-byl-v\u00fdhodn\u00fd-jen-pro-Rusko.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"svatoslav","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"svatoslav","Est. reading time":"8 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/expert-utok-na-ropne-objekty-v-saudske-arabii-byl-vyhodny-jen-pro-rusko\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/expert-utok-na-ropne-objekty-v-saudske-arabii-byl-vyhodny-jen-pro-rusko\/"},"author":{"name":"svatoslav","@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/#\/schema\/person\/df2cf86bd5e35ae01a82d1108d3c5f51"},"headline":"Expert: \u00fatok na ropn\u00e9 objekty v Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bii byl v\u00fdhodn\u00fd jen pro Rusko","datePublished":"2019-09-18T11:39:04+00:00","dateModified":"2019-09-20T11:40:31+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/expert-utok-na-ropne-objekty-v-saudske-arabii-byl-vyhodny-jen-pro-rusko\/"},"wordCount":1570,"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/expert-utok-na-ropne-objekty-v-saudske-arabii-byl-vyhodny-jen-pro-rusko\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2019\/09\/Expert_-\u00fatok-na-ropn\u00e9-objekty-v-Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9-Ar\u00e1bii-byl-v\u00fdhodn\u00fd-jen-pro-Rusko.jpg","keywords":["Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie"],"articleSection":["Aktuality","Novinky","Sv\u011btov\u00fd"],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/expert-utok-na-ropne-objekty-v-saudske-arabii-byl-vyhodny-jen-pro-rusko\/","url":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/expert-utok-na-ropne-objekty-v-saudske-arabii-byl-vyhodny-jen-pro-rusko\/","name":"Expert: \u00fatok na ropn\u00e9 objekty v Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bii byl v\u00fdhodn\u00fd jen pro Rusko - InformNapalm.org (\u010ce\u0161tina)","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/expert-utok-na-ropne-objekty-v-saudske-arabii-byl-vyhodny-jen-pro-rusko\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/expert-utok-na-ropne-objekty-v-saudske-arabii-byl-vyhodny-jen-pro-rusko\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2019\/09\/Expert_-\u00fatok-na-ropn\u00e9-objekty-v-Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9-Ar\u00e1bii-byl-v\u00fdhodn\u00fd-jen-pro-Rusko.jpg","datePublished":"2019-09-18T11:39:04+00:00","dateModified":"2019-09-20T11:40:31+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/#\/schema\/person\/df2cf86bd5e35ae01a82d1108d3c5f51"},"breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/expert-utok-na-ropne-objekty-v-saudske-arabii-byl-vyhodny-jen-pro-rusko\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/expert-utok-na-ropne-objekty-v-saudske-arabii-byl-vyhodny-jen-pro-rusko\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/expert-utok-na-ropne-objekty-v-saudske-arabii-byl-vyhodny-jen-pro-rusko\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2019\/09\/Expert_-\u00fatok-na-ropn\u00e9-objekty-v-Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9-Ar\u00e1bii-byl-v\u00fdhodn\u00fd-jen-pro-Rusko.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2019\/09\/Expert_-\u00fatok-na-ropn\u00e9-objekty-v-Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9-Ar\u00e1bii-byl-v\u00fdhodn\u00fd-jen-pro-Rusko.jpg","width":642,"height":336},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/expert-utok-na-ropne-objekty-v-saudske-arabii-byl-vyhodny-jen-pro-rusko\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Expert: \u00fatok na ropn\u00e9 objekty v Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bii byl v\u00fdhodn\u00fd jen pro Rusko"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/#website","url":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/","name":"InformNapalm.org (\u010ce\u0161tina)","description":"Nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed zpr\u00e1vy z Ukrajiny","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/#\/schema\/person\/df2cf86bd5e35ae01a82d1108d3c5f51","name":"svatoslav","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/0cc633af9f94c5bc8eca4c7a7bf1e1f390e89d3af1b6a34e2886692888437497?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/0cc633af9f94c5bc8eca4c7a7bf1e1f390e89d3af1b6a34e2886692888437497?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"svatoslav"},"url":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/author\/svatoslav\/"}]}},"post_src":"<strong>Redakce mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed dobrovolnick\u00e9 komunity InformNapalm p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161\u00ed p\u0159eklad zaj\u00edmav\u00e9ho rozhovoru, kter\u00fd vy\u0161el na port\u00e1lu <a href=\"http:\/\/ru.rfi.fr\/v-mire\/20190917-mikhail-krutikhin-ataka-v-saudovskoi-aravii-mozhet-bolno-udarit-po-rossii\">RFI<\/a>. Podrobnosti tohoto rozhovoru ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee \u00fatok dron\u016f na ropnou rafin\u00e9rii v\u00a0Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bii byl v\u00fdhodn\u00fd jen pro Rusko.<\/strong><!--more-->\r\n\r\n<strong>\u00a0<\/strong>\r\n\r\n<hr \/>\r\n\r\nPo \u00fatoku dron\u016f na ropnou rafin\u00e9rii v\u00a0Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bii prudk\u00e9 v\u00fdkyvy cen ropy pokra\u010dovaly i v\u00a0\u00fater\u00fd 17.\u00a0z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed. K\u00a0ve\u010deru tyto ceny sice klesly, je\u0161t\u011b den p\u0159edt\u00edm v\u0161ak experti nevylu\u010dovali, \u017ee by cena za barel Brent mohla v\u00fdhledov\u011b p\u0159ekro\u010dit 100\u00a0dolar\u016f.\r\n\r\nO\u00a0tom, za jak\u00fdch podm\u00ednek by k\u00a0tomu mohlo doj\u00edt, pro\u010d by n\u00e1sledky skokov\u00e9ho vzestupu ropn\u00fdch cen mohly v\u00a0kone\u010dn\u00e9m d\u016fsledku ohrozit Rusko a pro\u010d n\u011bkter\u00e9 osoby v\u00a0Rusku mohly o\u00a0chystan\u00e9m \u00fatoku proti Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bii p\u0159edem v\u011bd\u011bt, \u0159ekl v\u00a0rozhovoru pro RFI spole\u010dn\u00edk poradensk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti RusEnergy Michail Krutichin.\r\n\r\n<strong>RFI: Tento \u00fatok zp\u016fsobil v\u00fdpadek \u0161pi\u010dkov\u00e9ho objemu dod\u00e1vek ropy na sv\u011btov\u00fd trh, kter\u00fd se \u0159ad\u00ed mezi nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed v\u00a0d\u011bjin\u00e1ch... V\u00a0p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b, \u017ee by Sa\u00fadi navzdory <a href=\"http:\/\/www.kommersant.ru\/doc\/4095586?from=hotnews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">slib\u016fm<\/a> nedok\u00e1zali t\u011b\u017ebu po del\u0161\u00ed dobu obnovit, p\u0159edstavovalo by to pro trh \u0161ok, nebo kompenza\u010dn\u00ed mechanismy zafunguj\u00ed rychle?<\/strong>\r\n\r\n<strong>Michail Krutichin: <\/strong>Kompenza\u010dn\u00ed mechanismy se ji\u017e spou\u0161t\u011bly nejednou: kdy\u017e byl hurik\u00e1n Katrina, kdy\u017e byla v\u00e1lka v\u00a0Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu, kdy\u017e Libye zmizela z\u00a0ropn\u00e9ho trhu... Tedy k\u00a0p\u0159\u00edpad\u016fm, kter\u00e9 odz\u00e1tkovaly mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed z\u00e1soby ropy, ji\u017e doch\u00e1zelo. Nic podobn\u00e9ho tomu, co m\u00e1me te\u010f, se v\u0161ak nestalo nikdy. M\u00e1me okam\u017eit\u00fd v\u00fdpadek 5,7\u00a0milionu barel\u016f denn\u011b.\r\n\r\nAby se tedy v\u00fdpadek (pln\u011b) nahradil, je nutno sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 kapacity p\u0159ece jen spustit. Sa\u00fadi dnes tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee k\u00a0pln\u011bn\u00ed v\u0161ech sv\u00fdch z\u00e1vazk\u016f jim z\u00e1soby sta\u010d\u00ed na 37\u00a0dn\u016f. Ji\u017e dnes se v\u0161ak vzd\u00e1vaj\u00ed n\u011bkter\u00fdch kontrakt\u016f. Co\u017e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee tankery sice kotv\u00ed v\u00a0Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bii, nejsou v\u0161ak pln\u011bny. Bylo tak\u00e9 zastaveno p\u0159e\u010derp\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed ropy na termin\u00e1ly v\u00a0Bahrajnu atd. Trh to ji\u017e za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 poci\u0165ovat. A <a href=\"http:\/\/ru.rfi.fr\/v-mire\/20190916-neftyanoi-krizis-v-saudovskoi-aravii-glavnoe\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed cen ropy<\/a>, k\u00a0n\u011bmu\u017e do\u0161lo, spadalo do v\u0161ech rizik, kter\u00e9 vid\u00ed lid\u00e9 obchoduj\u00edc\u00ed s\u00a0ropn\u00fdmi futures. Jak dlouho to potrv\u00e1, to se zat\u00edm \u0159\u00edct ned\u00e1, podle leteck\u00fdch z\u00e1b\u011br\u016f to v\u0161ak vypad\u00e1, \u017ee k\u00a0obnoven\u00ed za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed budou Sa\u00fadi pot\u0159ebovat nejm\u00e9n\u011b t\u0159i m\u011bs\u00edce.\r\n\r\n<strong>A bez \u00fapln\u00e9ho zprovozn\u011bn\u00ed sa\u00fadsk\u00fdch kapacit sv\u011btov\u00fd trh nedok\u00e1\u017ee \u201eobnovit rovnov\u00e1hu\u201c?<\/strong>\r\n\r\nZat\u00edm toho schopen je. V\u00a0zem\u00edch OECD jsou nahromad\u011bny z\u00e1soby na 92\u00a0dn\u016f podle jejich vlastn\u00edch odhad\u016f... Nav\u00edc je t\u0159eba po\u010d\u00edtat s\u00a0ropou, kter\u00e1 ji\u017e je v\u00a0tankerech a ropovodech, a tak\u00e9 s\u00a0ropou nakumulovanou v\u00a0\u010c\u00edn\u011b, i kdy\u017e nev\u00edme, kolik ji je. Za t\u011bchto podm\u00ednek je tedy obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9 jak spo\u010d\u00edtat z\u00e1soby, tak odhadnout, jak\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem se bude ropa vypou\u0161t\u011bt na trh. Zat\u00edm z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 v\u00a0koridoru mezi 60 a\u017e 70\u00a0barely zna\u010dky Brent a nejsou patrn\u00e9 d\u016fvody, pro\u010d by m\u011bla p\u0159ekro\u010dit 70. Kdyby do\u0161lo je\u0161t\u011b k\u00a0n\u011bjak\u00fdm dal\u0161\u00edm incident\u016fm v\u00a0Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu, cena by mohla d\u00e1le stoupat.\r\n\r\n<strong>V\u00a0p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b, \u017ee dne\u0161n\u00ed situace bude trvat, si tedy nep\u0159ipou\u0161t\u00edte variantu, o\u00a0n\u00ed\u017e mluv\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed experti, tedy mo\u017enost vzestupu ceny na 100\u00a0dolar\u016f nebo je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edc?<\/strong>\r\n\r\nV\u00a0sou\u010dasn\u00e9 situaci s\u00a0takov\u00fdm v\u00fdhledem nepo\u010d\u00edt\u00e1m. Leda\u017ee by zazn\u011bly n\u011bjak\u00e9 popla\u0161n\u00e9 sign\u00e1ly. Jako t\u0159eba v\u010dera (16.\u00a0z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed), kdy cena vy\u0161plhala je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edc pot\u00e9, co se objevily <a href=\"http:\/\/www.rbc.ru\/politics\/16\/09\/2019\/5d7f79a59a7947523256826b\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">zpr\u00e1vy<\/a>, \u017ee se \u00cdr\u00e1nci zmocnili tankeru v\u00a0Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu. Nav\u00edc h\u00fat\u00edov\u00e9 slibuj\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed \u00fatoky, je tedy t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 \u0159\u00edct, co se stane v\u00a0budoucnu. V\u010dera jsem mluvil v\u00a0Istanbulu s\u00a0americk\u00fdm diplomatem Matthewem Bryzou, kter\u00fd mi \u0159ekl, \u017ee o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 jak\u00fdsi omezen\u00fd \u00fatok ze strany USA na vojensk\u00e9 c\u00edle v\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1nu. Konkr\u00e9tn\u011b v\u0161ak nikdo zat\u00edm nedok\u00e1\u017ee nic \u0159\u00edct.\r\n\r\n<strong>N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed experti vyjad\u0159uj\u00ed n\u00e1zor, \u017ee i p\u0159es <a href=\"http:\/\/ru.rfi.fr\/v-mire\/20190916-ataka-dronov-es-rossiya-i-kitai-prizvali-k-spokoistviyu-ssha-i-iran\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed americk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy<\/a> je pro Washington v\u00a0dlouhodob\u00e9m v\u00fdhledu v\u00fdhodn\u00e9, kdyby \u201esa\u00fad\u0161t\u00ed konkurenti\u201c o\u00a0sv\u00e9 postaveni na trhu p\u0159i\u0161li.<\/strong>\r\n\r\nNe, je tomu pr\u00e1v\u011b naopak. Americk\u00e9 hospod\u00e1\u0159stv\u00ed je z\u00e1visl\u00e9 na n\u00edzk\u00fdch cen\u00e1ch energetick\u00fdch surovin. Kdyby ceny \u0161ly nahoru, je to pro USA \u0161patn\u00e1 zpr\u00e1va. Lehk\u00e1 b\u0159idlicov\u00e1 ropa nedok\u00e1\u017ee nahradit tu ropu, kter\u00e1 by mohla z\u00a0trhu odej\u00edt. Proto zde Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 jsou v\u00a0nev\u00fdhod\u011b. A kdyby zah\u00e1jili n\u011bjak\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 operace, by\u0165 jen omezen\u00e9, mohlo by to v\u00e9st k\u00a0dal\u0161\u00edmu zvy\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed cen, co\u017e, jak op\u011bt zd\u016fraz\u0148uji, nen\u00ed v\u016fbec v\u00a0z\u00e1jmu USA.\r\n<blockquote>\r\n<h3><span style=\"color: #ff9900\">Vysok\u00e9 ceny ropy jsou \u0161patnou zpr\u00e1vou pro americk\u00e9 hospod\u00e1\u0159stv\u00ed. A kdyby Washington reagoval zah\u00e1jen\u00edm n\u011bjak\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch operac\u00ed, mohlo by to zp\u016fsobit je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1r\u016fst cen. Nakonec \u00cdr\u00e1n je ten, kdo pot\u0159ebuje \u00fato\u010dit na Sa\u00fadskou Ar\u00e1bii nejm\u00e9n\u011b ze v\u0161ech.<\/span><\/h3>\r\n<\/blockquote>\r\nNakonec \u00cdr\u00e1n to v\u016fbec pot\u0159ebuje nejm\u00e9n\u011b ze v\u0161ech (Washington obvi\u0148uje Teher\u00e1n, \u017ee stoj\u00ed v\u00a0pozad\u00ed \u201e\u00fatoku jemensk\u00fdch povstalc\u016f\u201c na objekt v\u00a0Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bii\u00a0\u2013 RFI).\r\n\r\nKv\u016fli sankc\u00edm \u00cdr\u00e1n prakticky neobchoduje s\u00a0v\u00fdjimkou nep\u0159\u00edli\u0161 velk\u00e9ho pa\u0161ovan\u00e9ho objemu, proto nem\u00e1 pot\u0159ebu usilovat o\u00a0zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed cen. Zvy\u0161ovat nap\u011bt\u00ed se Sa\u00fadskou Ar\u00e1bii pro n\u011bj tak\u00e9 nen\u00ed v\u00fdhodn\u00e9, nav\u00edc americk\u00e9 \u00fa\u0159ady vys\u00edlaj\u00ed Teher\u00e1nu <a href=\"http:\/\/ru.rfi.fr\/v-mire\/20190827-iran-prizval-ssha-sdelat-pervyi-shag-i-otmenit-sanktsii\">n\u00e1znaky<\/a>, \u017ee by nem\u011bly nic proti p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e9mu nav\u00e1z\u00e1n\u00ed dialogu... Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b i \u00cdr\u00e1n m\u00e1 \u201ejest\u0159\u00e1by\u201c, kte\u0159\u00ed dok\u00e1\u017eou sami od sebe uko\u0159istit tanker nebo odp\u00e1lit raketu... V\u00a0z\u00e1sad\u011b v\u0161ak plat\u00ed, \u017ee pro \u00cdr\u00e1n je to stejn\u011b jako pro Ameri\u010dany naprosto nev\u00fdhodn\u00e9.\r\n\r\nDnes je to v\u0161ak v\u00fdhodn\u00e9 pro Rusko, kter\u00e9 by p\u0159i vysok\u00fdch cen\u00e1ch z\u00edskalo v\u00edce pen\u011bz do rozpo\u010dtu.\r\n\r\n<strong>U\u017e jste <a href=\"http:\/\/ru.krymr.com\/a\/dorogaya-neft-i-rossiyskiy-budget-dla-snneksirovannogo-kryma\/30167392.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">mluvil<\/a> o\u00a0tom, \u017ee v\u00a0Rusku byli zaznamen\u00e1ni spekulanti, kte\u0159\u00ed na tomto \u00fatoku proti Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bii dob\u0159e vyd\u011blali...<\/strong>\r\n\r\nAno, 11.\u00a0z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed, n\u011bkolik dn\u00ed p\u0159ed \u00fatokem, za\u010dal n\u011bkdo na moskevsk\u00e9 burze ne\u010dekan\u011b skupovat za ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed ceny futures na ropu. Prodej t\u011bchto futures b\u011bhem dne stoupl o\u00a0174\u00a0%. Ud\u011blala to n\u011bjak\u00e1 jedin\u00e1 fyzick\u00e1 osoba. Pozorovatel\u00e9 \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed, \u017ee kdyby k\u00a0n\u011b\u010demu takov\u00e9mu do\u0161lo v\u00a0kter\u00e9koli jin\u00e9 civilizovan\u00e9 zemi, bylo by ihned zah\u00e1jeno vy\u0161et\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed. N\u011bkdo toti\u017e v\u011bd\u011bl, \u017ee k\u00a0\u00fatoku dojde, a po\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b se na tom napakoval. V\u00a0Rusku se v\u0161ak nejsp\u00ed\u0161 nestane nic.\r\n<blockquote>\r\n<h3><span style=\"color: #ff9900\">Kdyby se to nestalo v\u00a0Rusku, ale v\u00a0jin\u00e9 zemi, za\u010dalo by se to hned vy\u0161et\u0159ovat. N\u011bkdo toti\u017e v\u011bd\u011bl, \u017ee k\u00a0\u00fatoku dojde, a slu\u0161n\u011b na tom zbohatl. Informace mohla poch\u00e1zet od rozv\u011bdky nebo od lid\u00ed, kte\u0159\u00ed se na p\u0159\u00edprav\u011b t\u00e9to operace pod\u00edleli...<\/span><\/h3>\r\n<\/blockquote>\r\n<strong>Kdo mohl b\u00fdt zdrojem t\u00e9to informace?<\/strong>\r\n\r\nMohla by to b\u00fdt zpravodajsk\u00e1 komunita, kter\u00e1 ji p\u0159edala hr\u00e1\u010d\u016fm na trhu. Pop\u0159. jsou onymi hr\u00e1\u010di p\u0159\u00edmo lid\u00e9 od rozv\u011bdky. Nebo jde o\u00a0lidi, kte\u0159\u00ed se n\u011bjak\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem pod\u00edleli na p\u0159\u00edprav\u011b t\u00e9to (vojensk\u00e9) operace spole\u010dn\u011b s\u00a0t\u011bmi, kdo ji provedl.\r\n\r\n<strong>Existuj\u00ed obavy, \u017ee udr\u017e\u00ed-li se vysok\u00e9 ceny ropy del\u0161\u00ed dobu, n\u00e1sledn\u011b dojde k\u00a0je\u0161t\u011b prud\u0161\u00edmu poklesu?<\/strong>\r\n\r\nN\u00e1sledn\u00fd pokles lze o\u010dek\u00e1vat, a to v\u00a0d\u016fsledku recese\u00a0\u2013 je tu podez\u0159en\u00ed, \u017ee by do n\u00ed mohl spadnout cel\u00fd sv\u011bt. A kdyby se dnes ceny ropy zv\u00fd\u0161ily, p\u0159isp\u011blo by to k\u00a0omezen\u00ed spot\u0159eby energetick\u00fdch surovin a dalo je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed podn\u011bt ke glob\u00e1ln\u00ed recesi. Tak\u017ee Rusko by sice m\u011blo z\u00a0vysok\u00fdch cen kr\u00e1tkodobou v\u00fdhru, nakonec v\u0161ak m\u016f\u017ee hodn\u011b ztratit, kdy\u017e se stane jednou z\u00a0hlavn\u00edch ob\u011bt\u00ed recese.\r\n\r\nA kdyby ceny na \u00farovni 40\u00a0dolar\u016f za barel vydr\u017eely dva a p\u016fl a\u017e t\u0159i roky, mohlo by Rusko zopakovat cestu Sov\u011btsk\u00e9ho svazu.\r\n\r\n<strong><em>\u010ct\u011bte tak\u00e9: <a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/utok-na-ropne-objekty-v-saudske-arabii-rozvedka-ukazuje-na-iran-ale-hodi-se-rusku\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u00datok na ropn\u00e9 objekty v\u00a0Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bii: rozv\u011bdka ukazuje na \u00cdr\u00e1n, ale hod\u00ed se Rusku<\/a><\/em><\/strong>\r\n\r\n<a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/utok-na-ropne-objekty-v-saudske-arabii-rozvedka-ukazuje-na-iran-ale-hodi-se-rusku\/\"><img class=\"alignnone size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2019\/09\/%C3%9Atok-na-ropn%C3%A9-objekty-v-Sa%C3%BAdsk%C3%A9-Ar%C3%A1bii_-rozv%C4%9Bdka-ukazuje-na-%C3%8Dr%C3%A1n-ale-hod%C3%AD-se-Rusku.jpg\" width=\"642\" height=\"336\" \/><\/a>\r\n\r\n<hr \/>\r\n\r\n<img class=\"alignleft \" src=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2015\/12\/InformNapalm_logo_05.png\" width=\"114\" height=\"50\" \/>\u0160\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed nebo p\u0159evzet\u00ed s\u00a0odkazem na zdroj je v\u00edt\u00e1no! (<a href=\"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Creative Commons\u00a0\u2014 Attribution\u00a04.0 International\u00a0\u2014 CC BY\u00a04.0<\/a>). P\u0159ihlaste se k\u00a0odb\u011bru novinek na str\u00e1nce <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/informnapalmcesko\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">InformNapalm \u010cesko<\/a> na Facebooku a nechte se pohotov\u011b informovat o\u00a0nov\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvc\u00edch v\u00a0\u010de\u0161tin\u011b. Klikn\u011bte na \u201eSd\u00edlet\u201c a pod\u011blte se s\u00a0p\u0159\u00e1teli.\r\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><strong>Podpo\u0159it InformNapalm lze <a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/crowdfunding\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">na odkazu<\/a>.<\/strong><\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n<hr \/>\r\n\r\nP\u0159eklad: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/scyhol\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Svatoslav \u0160\u010dyhol<\/a>","amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7620","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/78"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7620"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7620\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7622,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7620\/revisions\/7622"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/7621"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7620"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7620"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7620"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}