{"id":8604,"date":"2020-07-31T13:10:42","date_gmt":"2020-07-31T13:10:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/?p=8604"},"modified":"2020-08-03T13:24:03","modified_gmt":"2020-08-03T13:24:03","slug":"nezdary-ruske-gru-na-pozadi-pandemie-covidu-19","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/nezdary-ruske-gru-na-pozadi-pandemie-covidu-19\/","title":{"rendered":"Nezdary rusk\u00e9 GRU na pozad\u00ed pandemie COVIDu-19"},"content":{"rendered":"

Nab\u00edz\u00edme informa\u010dn\u00ed shrnut\u00ed, kter\u00e9 vy\u0161lo na str\u00e1nk\u00e1ch internetov\u00e9ho m\u00e9dia Ukrajinsk\u00fd t\u00fdden<\/a> <\/strong>31.\u00a0\u010dervence 2020. Toto shrnut\u00ed zpracoval zakladatel mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed dobrovolnick\u00e9 komunity InformNapalm<\/a> Roman Burko. D\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 informace nebo inside z\u00a0okupovan\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed Krymu \u010di Donbasu, kter\u00e9 mohou b\u00fdt pou\u017eity pro nov\u00e9 p\u0159ehledov\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvky na toto t\u00e9ma, m\u016f\u017eete autorovi hl\u00e1sit<\/a> na Facebook i vy.<\/em><\/p>\n

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Od kybernetick\u00e9ho terorismu v\u00a0EU p\u0159es ovliv\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed b\u011blorusk\u00fdch voleb a\u017e k\u00a0invazi do Ukrajiny<\/h2>\n

Pandemie COVIDu-19 se stala pro lidstvo skute\u010dnou zkou\u0161kou. Dosah t\u00e9to choroby lze jen t\u011b\u017eko p\u0159ecenit, a stejn\u011b tak bychom nem\u011bli podce\u0148ovat ani dal\u0161\u00ed nem\u00e9n\u011b nebezpe\u010dnou a z\u00e1ke\u0159nou v\u011bc ohro\u017euj\u00edc\u00ed mnoho zem\u00ed sv\u011bta, a sice hybridn\u00ed agresi Rusk\u00e9 federace. M\u00e1 s\u00a0koronavirem mnoho spole\u010dn\u00e9ho: n\u011bkdo ji prod\u011bl\u00e1 t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 bez p\u0159\u00edznak\u016f, st\u00e1le \u010dast\u011bji v\u0161ak na mnoha m\u00edstech sv\u011bta \u201estoupne teplota\u201c a za\u010dne hore\u010dka. Pak je to jako v\u00a0lidsk\u00e9m organismu, z\u00e1le\u017e\u00ed na imunit\u011b, v\u00a0jak\u00e9 m\u00ed\u0159e je schopen nemoc porazit nebo u\u010dinit preventivn\u00ed opat\u0159en\u00ed k\u00a0jej\u00ed rychl\u00e9 lokalizaci.<\/p>\n

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Neuplyne jedin\u00fd t\u00fdden, ani\u017e by sv\u011bt zburcovala informace o\u00a0dal\u0161\u00edch hybridn\u00edch \u00fatoc\u00edch proti samostatn\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm z\u00a0podn\u011btu rusk\u00fdch tajn\u00fdch slu\u017eeb. V\u00a0minul\u00e9m shrnut\u00ed jsme upozor\u0148ovali<\/a> na skand\u00e1l kolem pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9 \u00fa\u010dasti rusk\u00fdch tajn\u00fdch slu\u017eeb a vl\u00e1dy na financov\u00e1n\u00ed terorismu v\u00a0Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu a na \u201epohr\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed svaly\u201c pobl\u00ed\u017e ukrajinsk\u00fdch hranic. P\u0159ed dv\u011bma t\u00fddny \u0161lo pro zm\u011bnu o\u00a0halasn\u00fd skand\u00e1l kv\u016fli kybernetick\u00fdm sabot\u00e1\u017e\u00edm rusk\u00fdch hacker\u016f<\/a>, kte\u0159\u00ed pracuj\u00ed pro ruskou rozv\u011bdku a sna\u017eili se ukr\u00e1st v\u00fdzkumy t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00ed se vakc\u00edn a l\u00e9\u010dby COVIDu-19 z\u00a0akademick\u00fdch a farmaceutick\u00fdch \u00fastav\u016f po cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b. Tento t\u00fdden se n\u011bkter\u00e1 z\u00a0t\u011bchto t\u00e9mat do\u010dkala pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Sankce EU proti p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00edk\u016fm rusk\u00e9 GRU<\/h2>\n

30. \u010dervence EU uvalila sankce na \u010dtve\u0159ici rusk\u00fdch hacker\u016f pracuj\u00edc\u00edch pro Hlavn\u00ed \u00fa\u0159ad Gener\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0161t\u00e1bu Ozbrojen\u00fdch sil RF (tato zpravodajsk\u00e1 struktura je v\u00edce pov\u011bdom\u00e1 pod star\u0161\u00edm n\u00e1zvem jako Hlavn\u00ed rozv\u011bdn\u00fd \u00fa\u0159ad neboli GRU). O sankc\u00edch bylo informov\u00e1no<\/a> na str\u00e1nk\u00e1ch ofici\u00e1ln\u00edho zpravodaje Evropsk\u00e9 unie. Evropsk\u00e1 trestn\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed postihla p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00edky GRU Alexeje Morence, Alexeje Minina, Olega Sotnikova a Jevgenije Serebrjakova, kte\u0159\u00ed p\u0159edt\u00edm \u010delili tak\u00e9 podez\u0159en\u00ed z\u00a0operac\u00ed v\u00a0USA, Nizozemsku, Braz\u00edlii, Malajsii a \u0160v\u00fdcarsku. EU tak\u00e9 uvalila sankce na jednu ze zn\u00e1m\u00fdch struktur GRU, Hlavn\u00ed centrum speci\u00e1ln\u00edch technologi\u00ed Hlavn\u00edho \u00fa\u0159adu Gener\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0161t\u00e1bu rusk\u00fdch Ozbrojen\u00fdch sil. Podle zpr\u00e1vy jak jednotlivci, tak cel\u00e9 slo\u017eky zpravodajsk\u00fdch struktur RF, kte\u0159\u00ed \u010del\u00ed sankc\u00edm Evropsk\u00e9 unie, se pod\u00edleli na \u00fatoc\u00edch proti Organizaci pro z\u00e1kaz chemick\u00fdch zbr\u00e1n\u00ed, \u00fatoc\u00edch WannaCry a Cloud Hopper a pro Ukrajince velmi pov\u011bdom\u00e9m \u00fatoku s\u00a0pou\u017eit\u00edm viru NotPetya. Dovol\u00edme si p\u0159ipomenout, \u017ee v\u00a0roce 2017 po\u0161kodil rusk\u00fd vir NotPetya ukrajinsk\u00e9 finan\u010dn\u00ed spole\u010dnosti, energetick\u00e9, telekomunika\u010dn\u00ed, medi\u00e1ln\u00ed a st\u00e1tn\u00ed struktury. Mezi po\u0161kozen\u00e9 pat\u0159ily zejm\u00e9na leti\u0161t\u011b Boryspil, Ukrpo\u0161ta, Ukrtelekom, Ministerstvo infrastruktury Ukrajiny a dal\u0161\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Zde nezb\u00fdv\u00e1 ne\u017e p\u0159ipomenout rozhovor<\/a> s\u00a0exvelitelem Ozbrojen\u00fdch sil USA v\u00a0Evrop\u011b, expertem Centra pro anal\u00fdzu evropsk\u00e9 politiky (CEPA), gener\u00e1lporu\u010d\u00edkem (ve v\u00fdslu\u017eb\u011b) Benem Hodgesem, kter\u00fd vy\u0161el na str\u00e1nk\u00e1ch T\u00fddne <\/em><\/strong>10.\u00a0\u010dervence. V\u00a0tomto rozhovoru Ben Hodges uv\u00e1d\u00ed, \u017ee pokud se Kreml odhodl\u00e1 k\u00a0nov\u00e9 ofenziv\u011b proti Ukrajin\u011b, maj\u00ed Ukrajinci o\u010dek\u00e1vat siln\u00e9 kybernetick\u00e9 \u00fatoky, jejich\u017e c\u00edlem bude zlikvidovat komunika\u010dn\u00ed a \u0159\u00eddic\u00ed syst\u00e9my (webov\u00e9 str\u00e1nky komunity InformNapalm uv\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed p\u0159etisk tohoto rozhovoru<\/a>, kter\u00fd dobrovoln\u00edci p\u0159elo\u017eili do 12\u00a0sv\u011btov\u00fdch jazyk\u016f<\/em>).<\/p>\n

B\u011blorusko na rusk\u00e9 mu\u0161ce<\/h2>\n

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O\u00a0intern\u00edch \u010di extern\u00edch p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00edc\u00edch Hlavn\u00edho \u00fa\u0159adu Gener\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0161t\u00e1bu Ozbrojen\u00fdch sil RF se ov\u0161em tento t\u00fdden nemluvilo jen v\u00a0kontextu ovliv\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed po\u010d\u00edta\u010dov\u00fdch s\u00edt\u00ed v\u00a0r\u016fzn\u00fdch zem\u00edch sv\u011bta.<\/p>\n

29. \u010dervence bylo v B\u011blorusku zadr\u017eeno 33 st\u00e1tn\u00edch ob\u010dan\u016f RF, kte\u0159\u00ed pat\u0159ili do skupiny rusk\u00fdch z\u00e1\u0161kodn\u00edk\u016f v r\u00e1mci tzv. SVS Vagner, co\u017e je proxy formace, kterou pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 Hlavn\u00ed \u00fa\u0159ad Gener\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0161t\u00e1bu Ozbrojen\u00fdch sil RF k realizaci neleg\u00e1ln\u00edch vojensk\u00fdch operac\u00ed v zahrani\u010d\u00ed. Tzv. SVS Vagner aktivn\u011b pou\u017e\u00edvala Rusk\u00e1 federace ve v\u00e1lk\u00e1ch jak v Ukrajin\u011b, tak v S\u00fdrii, Libyi a dal\u0161\u00edch v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch konfliktech. B\u011blorusk\u00e9 tajn\u00e9 slu\u017eby tak\u00e9 uvedly, \u017ee jde jen o \u010d\u00e1st skupiny z 200 osob, kter\u00e9 do zem\u011b p\u0159i\u0161ly, aby destabilizovaly situaci v dob\u011b voleb.<\/p>\n

\u010ct\u011bte tak\u00e9: Ozbrojence z\u00a0SVS Vagner zradila vojensk\u00e1 \u0161t\u00e1bn\u00ed kultura: dotazn\u00edky, pasy, \u010destn\u00e1 prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n

Na webov\u00fdch str\u00e1nk\u00e1ch mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed zpravodajsk\u00e9 komunity InformNaplam byl zve\u0159ejn\u011bn velk\u00fd po\u010det vy\u0161et\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed<\/a> t\u00e9to hybridn\u00ed struktury z\u00a0ozbrojenc\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed pln\u00ed \u0161pinav\u00e9 a krvav\u00e9 \u00fakoly Kremlu pod kuratelou rusk\u00e9 rozv\u011bdky. Tento dal\u0161\u00ed nezdar rusk\u00fdch tajn\u00fdch slu\u017eeb nemohl uniknout snah\u00e1m rozost\u0159it tuto ud\u00e1lost z\u00e1plavou fake news, dezinformac\u00ed a konspira\u010dn\u00edch teori\u00ed, kter\u00e9 se snad ka\u017edou minutu vhazovaly do informa\u010dn\u00edho prostoru ze strany Ruska a j\u00edm kontrolovan\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00ed. Do v\u00fdmluv byla zapojena i \u201et\u011b\u017ek\u00e1 munice\u201c: k\u00a0situaci se vyj\u00e1d\u0159ili tiskov\u00fd mluv\u010d\u00ed prezidenta RF Dmitrij Peskov a velvyslanec RF v\u00a0B\u011blorusku Dmitrij Mezencev. Posledn\u011b jmenovan\u00fd dokonce sd\u00edlel svou fantastickou verzi d\u016fvodu pobytu \u201evagnerovc\u016f\u201c v\u00a0l\u00e1ze\u0148sk\u00e9m dom\u011b B\u011blarusa\u010dka pobl\u00ed\u017e Minsku. Ru\u0161t\u00ed ozbrojenci byli \u00fadajn\u011b oby\u010dejn\u00ed bodyguardi, kte\u0159\u00ed Minskem jen proj\u00ed\u017ed\u011bli, nestihli letadlo do Turecka a museli se p\u0159echodn\u011b ubytovat v\u00a0l\u00e1zn\u00edch. Tato verze neobstoj\u00ed v\u00a0mnoha ohledech. Zkusme si jen p\u0159edstavit, jak by zareagovaly tureck\u00e9 tajn\u00e9 slu\u017eby, kdyby se do jejich zem\u011b skute\u010dn\u011b p\u0159esunula cel\u00e1 \u010deta od tzv. SVS Vagner\u00a0\u2013 proxy formace rusk\u00e9 GRU, j\u00ed\u017e \u010delili jak voj\u00e1ci USA v\u00a0S\u00fdrii, tak ture\u010dt\u00ed voj\u00e1ci v\u00a0Libyi. Ture\u010dt\u00ed voj\u00e1ci tyto rusk\u00e9 jednotky \u00fa\u010dinn\u011b likvidovali \u00fato\u010dn\u00fdmi drony a pova\u017euj\u00ed je za sv\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 nep\u0159\u00e1tele.<\/p>\n

30. \u010dervence vy\u0161la na webu mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed zpravodajsk\u00e9 komunity InformNapalm dv\u011b samostatn\u00e1 vy\u0161et\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed, kter\u00e1 z t\u00e9to rusk\u00e9 verze nenech\u00e1vaj\u00ed k\u00e1men na kameni.<\/p>\n

Publikace TOP 9\u00a0fakt\u016f: co v\u00a0B\u011blorusku skute\u010dn\u011b d\u011blala skupina rusk\u00fdch ozbrojenc\u016f ze SVS Vagner<\/a> rozkl\u00e1d\u00e1 po poli\u010dk\u00e1ch ka\u017edou str\u00e1nku, kter\u00e1 bo\u0159\u00ed ne\u0161ikovn\u00e9 snahy rusk\u00e9 strany o\u00a0vysv\u011btlen\u00ed p\u0159\u00edtomnosti cel\u00e9 \u010dety ozbrojenc\u016f. Mezi zadr\u017een\u00fdmi nechyb\u00ed ani osoby, za nimi\u017e se t\u00e1hne krvav\u00e1 stopa \u00fa\u010dasti ve v\u00e1lce proti Ukrajin\u011b nebo pln\u011bn\u00ed vojensk\u00fdch \u00fakol\u016f na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m V\u00fdchod\u011b a v\u00a0Africe.<\/p>\n

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V\u00a0anglicky psan\u00e9 zpr\u00e1v\u011b \u201eRusko se chyst\u00e1 na ovliv\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed b\u011blorusk\u00fdch voleb\u201c (Russia gearing up for meddling in elections in Belarus<\/a>), kterou zpracovali analytici z\u00a0The Institute for Global Threats and Democracies Studies (IGTDS), \u0161lo o\u00a0to, \u017ee zadr\u017een\u00ed skupiny \u201evagnerovc\u016f\u201c, mezi nimi\u017e nechyb\u00ed odst\u0159elova\u010di s\u00a0bojov\u00fdmi zku\u0161enostmi, by mohlo ukazovat na to, \u017ee Kreml p\u0159ipravuje destabilizaci se st\u0159elbou na \u00fa\u010dastn\u00edky poklidn\u00fdch protest\u016f, k\u00a0n\u00edm\u017e bude pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b doch\u00e1zet na pozad\u00ed b\u011blorusk\u00fdch voleb<\/strong>. Tento sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 velice p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1 ud\u00e1losti z\u00a0kyjevsk\u00e9ho Majdanu v\u00a0\u00fanoru 2014. Kone\u010dn\u00fdm c\u00edlem Ruska v\u00a0p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b uplatn\u011bn\u00ed tohoto sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e je nasazen\u00ed \u201evojensk\u00fdch m\u00edrov\u00fdch sbor\u016f\u201c kv\u016fli \u00fadajn\u00e9 stabilizaci situace a de facto an\u0161lus B\u011bloruska.<\/p>\n

Redaktor b\u011blorusk\u00e9 jazykov\u00e9 mutace webov\u00fdch str\u00e1nek InformNapalm Dzjanis Iva\u0161yn sd\u00edlel na sv\u00e9 facebookov\u00e9 str\u00e1nce<\/a> zaj\u00edmavou mapu, kterou okomentoval tak, \u017ee l\u00e1ze\u0148sk\u00fd d\u016fm B\u011blarusa\u010dka, kde byli ru\u0161t\u00ed z\u00e1\u0161kodn\u00edci zadr\u017eeni, stoj\u00ed na b\u0159ehu p\u0159ehrady Drazdy ve vzd\u00e1lenosti pouh\u00fdch 5.200\u00a0metr\u016f od s\u00eddla b\u011blorusk\u00e9ho prezidenta. Neodsouhlasen\u00e9 ubytov\u00e1n\u00ed rusk\u00fdch \u017eold\u00e1k\u016f a odst\u0159elova\u010d\u016f tak\u0159ka Luka\u0161enkovi pod okny mohlo tak\u00e9 vzbudit paniku u\u00a0b\u011blorusk\u00e9ho prezidenta, co\u017e pr\u00e1v\u011b m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt d\u016fvodem tak tvrd\u00e9 reakce na rusk\u00fd postup a zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00ed t\u011bchto ud\u00e1lost\u00ed.<\/p>\n

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Zde je na m\u00edst\u011b uv\u00e9st, \u017ee v\u00a0tomto p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b jedna B\u011blorusko zcela transparentn\u011b a p\u0159ekvapiv\u011b p\u0159im\u011b\u0159en\u011b, co\u017e vylu\u010duje \u201ekonspira\u010dn\u00ed teorii\u201c o\u00a0\u00fadajn\u00e9 spole\u010dn\u00e9 operaci rusk\u00fdch a b\u011blorusk\u00fdch tajn\u00fdch slu\u017eeb s\u00a0c\u00edlem \u201ezv\u00fd\u0161it preference Alexandra Luka\u0161enka p\u0159ed volbami<\/em>\u201c. Za prv\u00e9 by tento v\u00fdvoj jen st\u011b\u017e\u00ed pomohl p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dit Luka\u0161enkovy odp\u016frce, aby ho za\u010dali podporovat, za druh\u00e9 je pochybn\u00e9, \u017ee by prorusky sm\u00fd\u0161lej\u00edc\u00ed skupiny obyvatel sv\u016fj kladn\u00fd postoj k\u00a0\u201erusk\u00e9mu sv\u011btu\u201c najednou zm\u011bnily, p\u0159ihl\u00e9dneme-li k\u00a0tomu, \u017ee i mezi l\u00eddry b\u011blorusk\u00e9ho protestn\u00edho hnut\u00ed<\/a> jsou otev\u0159en\u00ed \u201eva\u0165\u00e1ci\u201c, kte\u0159\u00ed podporovali anexi ukrajinsk\u00e9ho Krymu.<\/p>\n

Medializace zajet\u00ed \u201evagnerovc\u016f\u201c celost\u00e1tn\u00edmi b\u011blorusk\u00fdmi televizemi ji\u017e zasadila citelnou r\u00e1nu zahrani\u010dn\u011bpolitick\u00e9 pov\u011bsti Ruska a uk\u00e1zala sv\u011btu, \u017ee jde o\u00a0agresorsk\u00fd st\u00e1t, kter\u00fd je schopen nasadit cel\u00e9 \u010dety sv\u00fdch \u017eold\u00e1k\u016f dokonce i proti sv\u00fdm nejbli\u017e\u0161\u00edm spojenc\u016fm. B\u011blorusov\u00e9 sd\u00edleli video ze zadr\u017een\u00ed cel\u00e9 skupiny rusk\u00fdch ozbrojenc\u016f, uk\u00e1zali jejich pasy, \u017eetony s\u00a0osobn\u00edmi \u010d\u00edsly tzv. SVS Vagner, p\u0159edvolali velvyslance RF a Ukrajiny. S\u00a0t\u00edm, \u017ee ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed diplomat\u00e9 nebyli pozv\u00e1ni proto, \u017ee n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed ze zadr\u017een\u00fdch maj\u00ed vedle rusk\u00e9ho pasu tak\u00e9 ukrajinsk\u00fd, ale s\u00a0c\u00edlem informovat Ukrajinu<\/a> o\u00a0situaci a po\u017e\u00e1dat ji o\u00a0pomoc. Zadr\u017een\u00ed ozbrojenci budou toti\u017e prov\u011b\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed na p\u0159edm\u011bt \u00fa\u010dasti na p\u00e1ch\u00e1n\u00ed trestn\u00e9 \u010dinnosti v\u00a0Ukrajin\u011b v\u00a0r\u00e1mci v\u00e1lky na Donbase.<\/p>\n

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Tento p\u0159\u00edb\u011bh se v\u0161ak teprve za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 vyv\u00edjet, i na cest\u011b mohou \u010dekat r\u016fzn\u00e1 p\u0159ekvapen\u00ed. B\u011blorusk\u00e9 tajn\u00e9 slu\u017eby (mo\u017en\u00e1 d\u00edky z\u00e1padn\u00edm koleg\u016fm s\u00a0ohledem na to, \u017ee v\u00a0\u00fanoru 2020 B\u011blorusko poprv\u00e9 ofici\u00e1ln\u011b nav\u0161t\u00edvil ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed USA Mike Pompeo, kter\u00fd zd\u016fraznil podporu samostatnosti B\u011bloruska) zadr\u017eely velkou skupinu ozbrojenc\u016f pracuj\u00edc\u00edch pro ruskou vojenskou rozv\u011bdku. Akce t\u00e9to proxy formace Hlavn\u00edho \u00fa\u0159adu Gener\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0161t\u00e1bu Ozbrojen\u00fdch sil RF USA pe\u010dliv\u011b monitoruj\u00ed a pravideln\u011b uvaluj\u00ed sankce na osoby a struktury finan\u010dn\u011b napojen\u00e9 na tzv. SVS Vagner, sleduj\u00ed jejich pohyb po konfliktn\u00edch oblastech. \u010clensk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty NATO patrn\u011b tak\u00e9 necht\u011bj\u00ed m\u00edt u\u00a0sv\u00fdch hranic z\u00e1kladnu pro p\u0159\u00edpadnou ruskou agresi, kter\u00e1 by z\u00a0B\u011bloruska mohla p\u0159esko\u010dit d\u00e1l do pobaltsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed. Je tedy mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee tento d\u00edl\u010d\u00ed \u00fasp\u011bch b\u011blorusk\u00fdch tajn\u00fdch slu\u017eeb nen\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dnou n\u00e1hodou a nem\u00e1 osobn\u00ed d\u016fvody, a za jeho medializac\u00ed nestoj\u00ed jen Luka\u0161enk\u016fv strach, ale pragmaticky vykalkulovan\u00e1 medi\u00e1ln\u00ed sou\u010d\u00e1st odporu v\u016f\u010di rusk\u00e9 agresi. Vzd\u00e1 se Putin kv\u016fli tomuto velk\u00e9mu skand\u00e1lu sv\u00fdch pl\u00e1n\u016f na destabilizaci situace v\u00a0B\u011blorusku? Donut\u00ed ho toto zadr\u017een\u00ed jedn\u00e9 ze skupin \u201evagnerovc\u016f\u201c odvolat zb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed ozbrojence a agresi odlo\u017eit? Tyto ot\u00e1zky z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed otev\u0159eny. Mus\u00edme v\u0161ak m\u00edt na pam\u011bti, \u017ee by obsazen\u00ed B\u011bloruska poskytlo Rusku prostor nejen pro postup na z\u00e1pad, ale tak\u00e9 k\u00a0\u00fatoku na Ukrajinu od severu, pr\u00e1v\u011b proto v\u011bnujeme tomuto t\u00e9matu v\u00a0sousedn\u00ed zemi velkou pozornost. Nem\u016f\u017eeme vylou\u010dit ani jin\u00e9 sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e destabilizace B\u011bloruska nebo agrese proti Ukrajin\u011b, kdyby se Putin rozhodl j\u00edt vabank.<\/p>\n

Donbas: klid p\u0159ed bou\u0159\u00ed<\/h2>\n

Zat\u00edmco v\u0161ak t\u00e9ma agrese na Donbase m\u00e1 pro cel\u00fd sv\u011bt pauzu, prezident Ukrajiny se ji\u017e pokolik\u00e1t\u00e9 sna\u017e\u00ed v\u0161echny p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dit, \u017ee \u201ere\u017eim klidu zbran\u00ed\u201c je mo\u017en\u00fd, p\u0159esto\u017ee ji\u017e p\u0159izn\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee Rusko nem\u016f\u017ee \u201eprost\u011b p\u0159estat st\u0159\u00edlet\u201c a \u017ee k\u00a0poru\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159ece jen doch\u00e1z\u00ed. Na tomto pozad\u00ed rezonuje zpr\u00e1va, \u017ee v\u00a0r\u00e1mci jedn\u00e1n\u00ed St\u00e1l\u00e9 rady OBSE Ukrajina informovala mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed spole\u010denstv\u00ed o pr\u016fb\u011bhu obdobn\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed, kter\u00e9 platilo ve dnech 21.\u00a0\u010dervence a\u017e 26.\u00a0srpna 2020. Ozbrojen\u00e9 formace RF tehdy zavinily 4.226\u00a0p\u0159\u00edpad\u016f poru\u0161en\u00ed re\u017eimu klidu zbran\u00ed. Tato zpr\u00e1va je v\u00fdznamn\u00e1 t\u00edm, \u017ee tiskov\u00e1 kancel\u00e1\u0159 Operace spojen\u00fdch sil tehdy informovala o\u00a0\u00fapln\u00e9m klidu nebo jen ojedin\u011bl\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edpadech ost\u0159elov\u00e1n\u00ed<\/a>, co\u017e upoutalo pozornost dobrovoln\u00edk\u016f z\u00a0InformNapalmu.<\/p>\n

Ost\u0159elov\u00e1n\u00ed v\u0161ak nen\u00ed jedin\u00fdm mechanismem hybridn\u00ed agrese. St\u0159\u00edlen\u00ed na Donbase sice skute\u010dn\u011b ubylo, je to v\u0161ak sp\u00ed\u0161e kv\u016fli o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed dal\u0161\u00edch dod\u00e1vek munice z\u00a0RF. 30.\u00a0\u010dervence zaslalo Ministerstvo zahrani\u010d\u00ed Ukrajiny<\/a> protestn\u00ed n\u00f3tu Rusku kv\u016fli dal\u0161\u00edmu \u201ehumanit\u00e1rn\u00edmu\u201c konvoji, kter\u00fd vpadl na Donbas. Podobn\u00e9 \u201ehumanit\u00e1rn\u00ed\u201c konvoje z\u00a0Ruska n\u011bkdy skryt\u011b bez zbyte\u010dn\u00e9ho pout\u00e1n\u00ed pozornosti<\/a>, jindy dokonce zjevn\u011b pod z\u00e1st\u011brkou propagandy o\u00a0dod\u00e1vk\u00e1ch \u201epotravin a l\u00e9k\u016f\u201c obyvatel\u016fm Donbasu dopravuj\u00ed do tzv. lidov\u00fdch republik nespecifikovan\u00e9 n\u00e1klady, kter\u00e9 mohou obsahovat zbran\u011b a munici. Dobrovoln\u00edci z\u00a0InformNapalmu ve sv\u00fdch vy\u0161et\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00edch tak\u00e9 nejednou odhalili<\/a>, \u017ee pod z\u00e1st\u011brkou \u201ehumanit\u00e1rn\u00edch\u201c konvoj\u016f operuje rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da. Bylo zji\u0161t\u011bno, \u017ee se \u201ehumanit\u00e1rn\u00edch\u201c konvoj\u016f na Donbas z\u00fa\u010dastnili voj\u00e1ci ze 108.\u00a0v\u00fdsadkov\u00e9ho \u00fato\u010dn\u00e9ho pluku RF. Tak\u00e9 jeden z\u00a0voj\u00e1k\u016f 22.\u00a0zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed brig\u00e1dy rusk\u00e9 GRU, kter\u00fd se z\u00fa\u010dastnil operace z\u00e1boru Krymu, byl pozd\u011bji spat\u0159en jako \u00fa\u010dastn\u00edk \u201ehumanit\u00e1rn\u00edch\u201c konvoj\u016f pod z\u00e1\u0161titou rusk\u00e9ho Ministerstva pro mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u00e9 situace.<\/p>\n

Dal\u0161\u00ed klid a pokles ost\u0159elov\u00e1n\u00ed tedy nen\u00ed d\u016fvodem k\u00a0nad\u011bj\u00edm na postupn\u00e9 vy\u0159e\u0161en\u00ed konfliktu a ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky, ale jen p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost\u00ed pro Ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly RF k\u00a0dopln\u011bn\u00ed munice a p\u0159\u00edprav\u011b sil na dal\u0161\u00ed eskalaci a zkou\u0161en\u00ed Ukrajiny na odolnost.<\/p>\n

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\u010ct\u011bte tak\u00e9 minul\u00e1 shrnut\u00ed k\u00a0t\u00e9matu<\/h2>\n