{"id":8705,"date":"2020-09-03T09:31:49","date_gmt":"2020-09-03T09:31:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/?p=8705"},"modified":"2020-09-07T09:43:15","modified_gmt":"2020-09-07T09:43:15","slug":"rozbor-hlaseni-smm-obse-na-donbase-za-srpen-zpravodajske-znaky-chystane-eskalace","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/rozbor-hlaseni-smm-obse-na-donbase-za-srpen-zpravodajske-znaky-chystane-eskalace\/","title":{"rendered":"Rozbor hl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed SMM OBSE na Donbase za srpen: zpravodajsk\u00e9 znaky chystan\u00e9 eskalace"},"content":{"rendered":"

Dobrovoln\u00edci z\u00a0mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed zpravodajsk\u00e9 komunity <\/strong>InformNapalm<\/strong><\/a> st\u00e1le sb\u00edraj\u00ed data o\u00a0opera\u010dn\u00ed situaci na Donbase, vedou OSINT monitorov\u00e1n\u00ed soci\u00e1ln\u00edch s\u00edt\u00ed a dokumentuj\u00ed <\/strong>\u010detn\u00e9 d\u016fkazy<\/strong><\/a> \u00fa\u010dasti rusk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f z\u00a0povol\u00e1n\u00ed a \u017eold\u00e1k\u016f ve v\u00e1lce Rusk\u00e9 federace proti Ukrajin\u011b.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Jedn\u00edm z\u00a0ofici\u00e1ln\u00edch zdroj\u016f pro anal\u00fdzu a porovn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed informac\u00ed jsou jist\u011b hl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed Speci\u00e1ln\u00ed monitorovac\u00ed mise (SMM) OBSE v\u00a0Ukrajin\u011b. Porovn\u00e1vat je m\u016f\u017eeme bu\u010f s\u00a0ve\u0159ejn\u00fdmi prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edmi od Kancel\u00e1\u0159e prezidenta<\/a>, nebo s\u00a0\u00fadaji v\u00a0hl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edch tiskov\u00e9 kancel\u00e1\u0159e<\/a> Operace spojen\u00fdch sil (OSS) na Donbase (jak jsme to d\u011blali p\u0159i minul\u00e9m tzv. p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed). Je jasn\u00e9, \u017ee i samotn\u00e1 hl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed SMM OBSE vzbuzuj\u00ed mnoho ot\u00e1zek, vezmeme-li v\u00a0\u00favahu, \u017ee ve stavu samotn\u00fdch pozorovatel\u016f v\u00a0Ukrajin\u011b je stabiln\u011b vysok\u00e9 zastoupen\u00ed st\u00e1tn\u00edch ob\u010dan\u016f Rusk\u00e9 federace<\/a> a zem\u00ed v\u016f\u010di RF loaj\u00e1ln\u00edch, co\u017e umo\u017e\u0148uje agresorsk\u00e9mu st\u00e1tu ovliv\u0148ovat, kter\u00e1 data budou monitorov\u00e1na. \u017d\u00e1dn\u00e9 alternativy ani jin\u00e9 ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed monitorovac\u00ed \u00fadaje od mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch pozorovatel\u016f v\u0161ak aktu\u00e1ln\u011b nem\u00e1me, proto nezb\u00fdv\u00e1 ne\u017e tento informa\u010dn\u00ed zdroj pou\u017e\u00edvat \u201es\u00a0rezervou podle toho, odkud v\u00edtr fouk\u00e1\u201c. Tak\u00e9 je vhodn\u00e9 m\u00edt na pam\u011bti, \u017ee se mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed pozorovatel\u00e9 od OBSE velmi \u010dasto sami st\u00e1vaj\u00ed ter\u010dem informa\u010dn\u00edch operac\u00ed ze strany Rusk\u00e9 federace s\u00a0t\u00edm, \u017ee jejich pohyb po \u00fazem\u00ed, kter\u00e9 kontroluj\u00ed rusk\u00e9 okupa\u010dn\u00ed odd\u00edly a formace 1. a 2.\u00a0arm\u00e1dn\u00edch sbor\u016f<\/a> v\u00a0tzv. lidov\u00fdch republik\u00e1ch, je v\u0161emo\u017en\u011b omezov\u00e1n. A kdy\u017e je omezen vizu\u00e1ln\u00ed kontakt, tedy pozorovac\u00ed kamery vypnuty nebo vy\u0159azeny z\u00a0provozu a monitorov\u00e1n\u00ed z\u00a0dron\u016f v\u0161emo\u017en\u011b br\u00e1n\u00ed rusk\u00e9 prost\u0159edky radioelektronick\u00e9ho boje<\/a>, pozorovatel\u00e9 se \u010dasto op\u00edraj\u00ed pouze na akustick\u00e9 informace o\u00a0detonac\u00edch nebo pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed paln\u00fdch zbran\u00ed. I tato metoda m\u00e1 sv\u00e9 mouchy, v\u00a0situaci chyb\u011bj\u00edc\u00edho vizu\u00e1ln\u00edho kontaktu toti\u017e rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da ke klam\u00e1n\u00ed \u010dasto aktivn\u011b vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 technick\u00fdch prost\u0159edk\u016f pro informa\u010dn\u011b psychologick\u00e9 p\u016fsoben\u00ed, nap\u0159. akustick\u00e9 stanice ZS-82<\/a> umo\u017e\u0148uj\u00edc\u00ed napodobit detonace \u010di jin\u00e9 zvuky, kter\u00e9 mohou vytvo\u0159it chybnou p\u0159edstavu o\u00a0skute\u010dn\u00e9 situaci.<\/p>\n

Rozbor hl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed SMM OBSE z\u00a0druh\u00e9 poloviny srpna a\u017e z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2020<\/h2>\n

Dobrovoln\u00edci z\u00a0InformNapalmu zanalyzovali 11\u00a0hl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed SMM OBSE s\u00a0\u010d\u00edsly 199\/2020 a\u017e 209\/2020 za obdob\u00ed 21.\u00a0srpna a\u017e 2.\u00a0z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2020. Seznam odkaz\u016f na hl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed uv\u00e1d\u00edme d\u00e1le:<\/p>\n

    \n
  1. Daily Report 199\/2020 issued on 21 August 2020<\/a><\/li>\n
  2. Daily Report 200\/2020 issued on 22 August 2020<\/a><\/li>\n
  3. Daily Report 201\/2020 issued on 24 August 2020<\/a><\/li>\n
  4. Daily Report 202\/2020 issued on 25 August 2020<\/a><\/li>\n
  5. Daily Report 203\/2020 issued on 26 August 2020<\/a><\/li>\n
  6. Daily Report 204\/2020 issued on 27 August 2020<\/a><\/li>\n
  7. Daily Report 205\/2020 issued on 28 August 2020<\/a><\/li>\n
  8. Daily Report 206\/2020 issued on 29 August 2020<\/a><\/li>\n
  9. Daily Report 207\/2020 issued on 31 August 2020<\/a><\/li>\n
  10. Daily Report 208\/2020 issued on 1 September 2020<\/a><\/li>\n
  11. Daily Report 209\/2020 issued on 2 September 2020<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    V\u00a0t\u00e9to dob\u011b si Ukrajina p\u0159ipomn\u011bla Den st\u00e1tn\u00ed vlajky (23.\u00a0srpna), Den nez\u00e1vislosti (24.\u00a0srpna) a uctila pam\u00e1tku padl\u00fdch na Den pam\u011bti (29.\u00a0srpna). \u00da\u010delem monitorov\u00e1n\u00ed bylo vyhodnotit kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 str\u00e1nky hl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed a zjistit zpravodajsk\u00e9 znaky, kter\u00e9 by umo\u017enily vykreslit obr\u00e1zek skute\u010dn\u00e9 aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed situace v\u00a0oblasti boj\u016f.<\/p>\n

    \u201ePo zased\u00e1n\u00ed T\u0159\u00edstrann\u00e9 kontaktn\u00ed skupiny z\u00a022.\u00a0\u010dervence, kdy byla dosa\u017eena dohoda na dal\u0161\u00edch opat\u0159en\u00edch pro pos\u00edlen\u00ed re\u017eimu klidu zbran\u00ed, zaznamenala SMM od 00:01\u00a0hod 27.\u00a0\u010dervence a\u017e do konce sledovan\u00e9ho obdob\u00ed celkem 893\u00a0p\u0159\u00edpad\u016f poru\u0161en\u00ed re\u017eimu klidu zbran\u00ed <\/strong>v\u00a0Don\u011bck\u00e9 a Luhansk\u00e9 oblasti (zejm\u00e9na 149\u00a0detonac\u00ed, 2\u00a0neidentifikovan\u00e9 let\u00edc\u00ed st\u0159ely, 13\u00a0osv\u011btlovac\u00edch raket, 729\u00a0d\u00e1vek a v\u00fdst\u0159el\u016f)\u201c\u00a0\u2013 tolik OBSE.<\/em><\/p>\n

    Situace v\u00a0\u00fasec\u00edch sta\u017een\u00ed arm\u00e1d<\/h2>\n

    \u201eSMM st\u00e1le vedla monitorov\u00e1n\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed situace na t\u0159ech pilotn\u00edch \u00fasec\u00edch sta\u017een\u00ed arm\u00e1d a v\u00a0jejich okol\u00ed. V\u00a0r\u00e1mci t\u00e9to \u010dinnosti mise permanentn\u011b zaznamen\u00e1vala p\u0159\u00edtomnost lid\u00ed na b\u00fdval\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch a tylov\u00fdch pozic\u00edch a v\u00a0jejich bl\u00edzkosti v\u00a0mez\u00edch \u00fasek\u016f sta\u017een\u00ed v\u00a0katastrech Zolote a Petrivske\u201c\u00a0\u2013 op\u011bt OBSE.<\/em><\/p>\n

    Pod\u00edvejme se na ka\u017ed\u00fd z\u00a0\u00fasek\u016f sta\u017een\u00ed arm\u00e1d bl\u00ed\u017ee:<\/p>\n

    Stanycja Luhanska<\/u><\/h2>\n

    Pozorovatel\u00e9 od OBSE denn\u011b vid\u011bli p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00edky ozbrojen\u00fdch formac\u00ed (s\u00a0p\u00e1skami na ruk\u00e1vech s\u00a0n\u00e1pisem \u201eSCKK\u201c) na ji\u017en\u00edm okraji nov\u00e9ho mostn\u00edho oblouku u\u00a0Stanyci Luhansk\u00e9. Zaznamenali jedin\u00fd v\u00fdst\u0159el z\u00a0paln\u00e9 zbran\u011b ve\u010der 24.\u00a0srpna.<\/p>\n

    Obyvatel\u00e9 Stanyci Luhansk\u00e9 v\u0161ak pravideln\u011b p\u00ed\u0161ou na soci\u00e1ln\u00edch s\u00edt\u00edch o\u00a0poru\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed tzv. re\u017eimu klidu zbran\u00ed ze strany rusk\u00fdch okupa\u010dn\u00edch odd\u00edl\u016f. T\u0159eba zn\u00e1m\u00e1 dobrovolnice Sv\u011bta Sv\u011btikovov\u00e1 nejednou psala o\u00a0poru\u0161en\u00edch z\u00a027.\u00a0srpna, 21:23\u00a0hod<\/a>, a 30.\u00a0srpna, 6:07 a 6:40\u00a0hod<\/a>.<\/p>\n

    D\u00e1le jsme zaznamenali, \u017ee SMM OBSE ve sv\u00fdch hl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edch st\u00e1le manipuluje s\u00a0citliv\u00fdmi informacemi kolem poru\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed dohod o\u00a0sta\u017een\u00ed zbran\u00ed. Psali jsme o\u00a0tom v\u00a0lednu 2020<\/a> a pozorujeme to op\u011bt v\u00a0hl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed z\u00a01.\u00a0z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2020 \u010d.\u00a0208\/2020.<\/p>\n

    <\/a><\/p>\n

    Stoj\u00ed za p\u0159ipomenut\u00ed, \u017ee dle Minsk\u00fdch protokol\u016f m\u011blo j\u00edt o\u00a0sta\u017een\u00ed tank\u016f, d\u011blost\u0159electva, reaktivn\u00edch raketomet\u016f a taktick\u00fdch raket, o\u00a0sta\u017een\u00ed protiletadlov\u00fdch raketov\u00fdch komplet\u016f v\u0161ak Minsk\u00e9 protokoly nic ne\u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed. Zve\u0159ej\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed t\u011bchto informac\u00ed tak\u00e9 odporuje z\u00e1sad\u00e1m neutrality a nestrannosti, jimi\u017e by se m\u011bli z\u00e1stupci SMM OBSE \u0159\u00eddit p\u0159i poskytov\u00e1n\u00ed citliv\u00fdch informac\u00ed obrann\u00e9 povahy.<\/p>\n

    Zolote<\/u><\/h2>\n

    Pozorovatel\u00e9 ze SMM denn\u011b vid\u00ed p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00edky ozbrojen\u00fdch formac\u00ed (s\u00a0p\u00e1skami na ruk\u00e1vech s\u00a0n\u00e1pisem \u201eSCKK\u201c), a to samotn\u00e9 nebo spole\u010dn\u011b s\u00a0lidmi v\u00a0ochrann\u00fdch oblec\u00edch, jak postupuj\u00ed dovnit\u0159 \u00faseku sta\u017een\u00ed arm\u00e1d o\u00a0350\u00a0m. Zemn\u00ed pr\u00e1ce mimo \u00fasek sta\u017een\u00ed pobl\u00ed\u017e silni\u010dn\u00ed komunikace T1316 se rychle bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed k\u00a0linii sta\u017een\u00ed.<\/p>\n

    \u201e28.\u00a0srpna cca 100\u00a0m ji\u017en\u011b od jej\u00edho ji\u017en\u00edho okraje vid\u011bli pozorovatel\u00e9 15\u00a0d\u011bln\u00edk\u016f, jak za pomoci 3\u00a0bagr\u016f a 1\u00a0n\u00e1kla\u010f\u00e1ku s\u00a0p\u0159\u00edv\u011bsem prov\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed zemn\u00ed pr\u00e1ce na \u00fasec\u00edch nap\u0159\u00ed\u010d a pod\u00e9l silni\u010dn\u00ed komunikace T1316\u201c\u00a0\u2013 OBSE.<\/em><\/p>\n

    Stoj\u00ed za zm\u00ednku, \u017ee pr\u00e1ce prob\u00edhaj\u00ed nep\u0159etr\u017eit\u011b dokonce i o\u00a0v\u00edkendech.<\/p>\n

    \u201e26.\u00a0srpna dron SMM st\u0159edn\u00edho doletu poprv\u00e9 zaznamenal mimo \u00fasek sta\u017een\u00ed nov\u00fd z\u00e1kop ve tvaru p\u00edsmene L (30\u00a0m dlouh\u00fd, podle odhadu pat\u0159\u00ed ozbrojen\u00fdm formac\u00edm) orienta\u010dn\u011b 150\u00a0m z\u00e1padn\u011b od z\u00e1padn\u00edho okraje \u00faseku sta\u017een\u00ed a cca 100\u00a0m severn\u011b od \u017eelezni\u010dn\u00ed trat\u011b, kter\u00e1 \u00fasekem sta\u017een\u00ed proch\u00e1z\u00ed\u201c\u00a0\u2013 OBSE.<\/em><\/p>\n

    Okupa\u010dn\u00ed arm\u00e1da tedy st\u00e1le zneu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 tzv. p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed k\u00a0roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed sv\u00fdch opevn\u011bn\u00fdch stanovi\u0161\u0165 a ofenzivn\u00edch mo\u017enost\u00ed.<\/strong><\/p>\n

    Petrivske<\/u><\/h2>\n

    P\u0159i monitorov\u00e1n\u00ed pobl\u00ed\u017e \u00faseku sta\u017een\u00ed arm\u00e1d v\u00a0katastru Petrivske zde \u010dlenov\u00e9 hl\u00eddky mise obvykle pozoruj\u00ed klidnou situaci. Za pomoci dronu SMM dlouh\u00e9ho doletu bylo na n\u011bkdej\u0161\u00ed pozici ozbrojen\u00fdch formac\u00ed ka\u017edou noc zpozorov\u00e1no 1 a\u017e 6\u00a0osob.<\/p>\n

    \u201e30.\u00a0srpna v\u00a0mez\u00edch \u00faseku sta\u017een\u00ed v\u00a0katastru obce Petrivske odhalil dron SMM kr\u00e1tk\u00e9ho doletu stavebn\u00ed materi\u00e1l s\u00a0d\u0159ev\u011bn\u00fdmi tr\u00e1my a pytle s\u00a0p\u00edskem slo\u017een\u00e9 na hromadu v\u00a0bl\u00edzkosti pozic ozbrojen\u00fdch formac\u00ed pobl\u00ed\u017e jihov\u00fdchodn\u00edho kouta \u00faseku sta\u017een\u00ed\u201c.<\/em><\/p>\n

    InformNapalm upozor\u0148uje \u010dten\u00e1\u0159e, \u017ee v\u00a0r\u00e1mci sledovan\u00e9ho obdob\u00ed kamery SMM OBSE v\u00a0Zolote nefungovaly ve dnech 20. a\u017e 24.\u00a0srpna, v\u00a0Petrivske 20.\u00a0srpna a\u017e 1.\u00a0z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed. Z\u00a0toho m\u016f\u017eeme vyvodit, \u017ee SMM nem\u00e1 kompletn\u00ed informace o\u00a0tom, co se na t\u011bchto \u00fasec\u00edch sta\u017een\u00ed d\u011bje, situaci tedy m\u016f\u017eeme ozna\u010dit jako klidnou jen pomysln\u011b, proto\u017ee nap\u0159. nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e9 minov\u00e1n\u00ed \u00faseku by mohlo z\u016fstat bez pov\u0161imnut\u00ed.<\/p>\n

    Minov\u00e1n\u00ed ter\u00e9nu<\/h2>\n

    Rusk\u00e9 okupa\u010dn\u00ed odd\u00edly st\u00e1le minuj\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed \u00faseky.<\/p>\n

    20. srpna \u201ecca 20\u00a0m severn\u011b od silnice, orienta\u010dn\u011b 1,5\u00a0km severov\u00fdchodn\u011b od obce Rajivka t\u00fdm SMM poprv\u00e9 zaznamenal novou v\u00fdstra\u017enou zna\u010dku upozor\u0148uj\u00edc\u00ed na minov\u00e9 nebezpe\u010d\u00ed (p\u0159ipevn\u011bn\u00e1 ke stromu \u010derven\u00e1 d\u0159ev\u011bn\u00e1 tabulka 30×30\u00a0cm s\u00a0n\u00e1pisem \u201eStop! Miny\u201c psan\u00fdm cyrilic\u00ed)\u201c<\/em>.<\/p>\n

    28. srpna \u201ena z\u00e1padn\u00edm okraji \u010dtvrti Trudivski v\u00a0m\u011bstsk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti Petrivskyj v\u00a0Don\u011bcku minidron SMM poprv\u00e9 zaznamenal 10\u00a0protitankov\u00fdch min, kter\u00e9 byly nastra\u017eeny ve 2\u00a0\u0159ad\u00e1ch a zablokovaly silnici vedouc\u00ed na z\u00e1pad do obce Marjinka\u201c<\/em>.<\/p>\n

    \u010ct\u011bte tak\u00e9: <\/em><\/strong>Ukrajina \u0159ekla v\u00a0OBSE o\u00a0rusk\u00fdch protip\u011bchotn\u00edch min\u00e1ch na Donbase, kter\u00e9 mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed \u00famluvy zakazuj\u00ed<\/em><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

    \u017denijn\u00ed pr\u00e1ce<\/strong><\/p>\n

    Rusk\u00e9 okupa\u010dn\u00ed odd\u00edly pokra\u010duj\u00ed v\u00a0\u017eenijn\u00edch prac\u00edch po cel\u00e9 d\u00e9lce frontov\u00e9 linie:<\/p>\n