{"id":8760,"date":"2020-09-30T16:42:28","date_gmt":"2020-09-30T16:42:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/?p=8760"},"modified":"2020-09-30T16:42:28","modified_gmt":"2020-09-30T16:42:28","slug":"valka-v-karabachu-putinovy-zajmy-a-okno-prilezitosti-pro-armenii-a-azerbajdzan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/valka-v-karabachu-putinovy-zajmy-a-okno-prilezitosti-pro-armenii-a-azerbajdzan\/","title":{"rendered":"V\u00e1lka v Karabachu: Putinovy z\u00e1jmy a \u201eokno p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost\u00ed\u201c pro Arm\u00e9nii a \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n"},"content":{"rendered":"

Nejlep\u0161\u00edm v\u00fdchodiskem z\u00a0karaba\u0161sk\u00e9 pasti je uv\u011bdomit si, pro koho je tento konflikt ve skute\u010dnosti v\u00fdhodn\u00fd, kdo je ji\u017e dlouh\u00e1 desetilet\u00ed benefici\u00e1\u0159em tohoto prvn\u00edho \u00fazemn\u00edho konfliktu na postsov\u011btsk\u00e9m prostranstv\u00ed. T\u00edmto benefici\u00e1\u0159em je pr\u00e1v\u011b Moskva.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed eskalace mezi Arm\u00e9nii a \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nem, u\u017e druh\u00e1 b\u011bhem posledn\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f a nebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e ta minul\u00e1, n\u00e1m znovu p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1, \u017ee \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 zmrazen\u00e9 konflikty neexistuj\u00ed. \u017de ka\u017ed\u00fd tzv. zmrazen\u00fd konflikt je t\u011bhotn\u00fd v\u00e1lkou. \u017de zastaven\u00ed palby a re\u017eim klidu zbran\u00ed, by\u0165 dohodnut\u00fd na nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed \u00farovni a s\u00a0mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edmi prost\u0159edn\u00edky, d\u0159\u00edve \u010di pozd\u011bji vyst\u0159\u00edd\u00e1 dal\u0161\u00ed ost\u0159elov\u00e1n\u00ed, kter\u00e9 m\u016f\u017ee vy\u00fastit v\u00a0novou velkou v\u00e1lku. M\u011bli bychom to m\u00edt na pam\u011bti pr\u00e1v\u011b proto, \u017ee na Donbase z\u00a0vojensk\u00e9ho hlediska Kreml vybudoval pr\u00e1v\u011b konflikt karaba\u0161sk\u00e9ho typu, tedy tzv. vlekl\u00fd konflikt.<\/p>\n

Pr\u00e1v\u011b u\u00a0podobn\u00fdch konflikt\u016f m\u016f\u017ee palba ust\u00e1t, ale \u010dasem znovu propuknout s\u00a0je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed s\u00edlou. Mohou p\u0159itom um\u00edrat voj\u00e1ci a civilist\u00e9. I tak to m\u016f\u017ee trvat des\u00edtky let. Je to dokonal\u00e1 past, co\u017e Rusov\u00e9 velmi dob\u0159e v\u011bd\u00ed, proto\u017ee do podobn\u00e9 pasti ji\u017e dostali Arm\u00e9nii a \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n. Ob\u011b tyto zem\u011b tedy pot\u0159ebuj\u00ed Rusko k\u00a0tomu, aby z\u00a0t\u00e9to pasti unikly, p\u0159inejmen\u0161\u00edm si to v\u00a0Jerevanu a Baku mohou myslet. I kdy\u017e nejlep\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdchodisko z\u00a0karaba\u0161sk\u00e9 pasti je uv\u011bdomit si, pro koho je tento konflikt ve skute\u010dnosti v\u00fdhodn\u00fd, kdo je ji\u017e dlouh\u00e1 desetilet\u00ed benefici\u00e1\u0159em tohoto prvn\u00edho \u00fazemn\u00edho konfliktu na postsov\u011btsk\u00e9m prostranstv\u00ed.<\/p>\n

T\u00edmto benefici\u00e1\u0159em je pr\u00e1v\u011b Moskva. Pro Arm\u00e9nii je Rusko ofici\u00e1ln\u00edm spojencem a z\u00e1rukou, \u017ee tento st\u00e1t nezlikviduj\u00ed soused\u00e9, s\u00a0nimi\u017e dlouh\u00e1 desetilet\u00ed, ne-li stolet\u00ed, nedok\u00e1\u017ee naj\u00edt spole\u010dnou \u0159e\u010d, a sice Turecko a \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 v\u0161ak m\u00e1 Moskva velmi dobr\u00e9 vztahy tak\u00e9 s\u00a0\u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nem, jemu\u017e d\u00e1v\u00e1 nad\u011bji, \u017ee d\u0159\u00edve \u010di pozd\u011bji \u201ep\u0159imhou\u0159\u00ed o\u010di\u201c a umo\u017en\u00ed Baku bez v\u00e1\u017en\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch n\u00e1sledk\u016f znovu dostat pod kontrolu \u00e1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nsk\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed, kter\u00e9 od za\u010d\u00e1tku devades\u00e1t\u00fdch let fyzicky ovl\u00e1d\u00e1 Arm\u00e9nie.<\/p>\n

Bylo tomu tak hned od prvn\u00edho dne tohoto konfliktu. A to ani ne od 80., ale od 20.\u00a0let minul\u00e9ho stolet\u00ed, kdy bylo \u00fazem\u00ed os\u00eddlen\u00e9 p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b etnick\u00fdmi Arm\u00e9ny za\u010dlen\u011bno do \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nsk\u00e9 SSR pr\u00e1v\u011b proto, \u017ee bol\u0161evick\u00e9 Rusko, kter\u00e9 okupovalo jak Arm\u00e9nii, tak \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n, tehdy pot\u0159ebovalo podporu \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nc\u016fm bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho Turecka. A vzhledem k\u00a0tomu, \u017ee Arm\u00e9nie a \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n p\u0159edt\u00edm jako samostatn\u00e9 st\u00e1ty o\u00a0toto \u00fazem\u00ed v\u00e1l\u010dily, vr\u00e1tila se tato nedokon\u010den\u00e1 v\u00e1lka hned v\u00a0prvn\u00edch letech Gorba\u010dovovy tzv. p\u0159estavby. A Moskva tehdy mimochodem nestranila Arm\u00e9n\u016fm, ale \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nc\u016fm: negativn\u011b se postavila k\u00a0samotn\u00e9mu n\u00e1padu p\u0159edat N\u00e1horn\u011b-karaba\u0161skou autonomn\u00ed oblast Arm\u00e9nsk\u00e9 SSR, nechala zatknout \u010dleny v\u00fdboru Karabach, prvn\u00ed nekomunistick\u00e9 politick\u00e9 formace v\u00a0Sov\u011btsk\u00e9m svazu, p\u0159edhazovala Arm\u00e9n\u016fm nar\u016fstaj\u00edc\u00ed nacionalistick\u00e9 n\u00e1lady.<\/p>\n

Kdy\u017e v\u0161ak za\u010daly podobn\u00e9 n\u00e1lady s\u00edlit i v\u00a0\u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nu a m\u00edstn\u00ed komunist\u00e9 v\u00a0t\u00e9to zemi utrp\u011bli por\u00e1\u017eku, rozhodla se Moskva pro Arm\u00e9nii. A to nikoli z\u00a0velk\u00e9 l\u00e1sky k\u00a0arm\u00e9nsk\u00e9mu lidu, na n\u011bj\u017e Kreml zvysoka ka\u0161le, ale proto\u017ee vzniklo nebezpe\u010d\u00ed, \u017ee \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n bude moci se svou ropou nakl\u00e1dat s\u00e1m a opust\u00ed sf\u00e9ru vlivu Kremlu. Karaba\u0161sk\u00fd konflikt se tehdy stal pro Moskvu n\u00e1strojem, jak ovlivnit \u00e1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nskou spole\u010dnost, nad\u011bj\u00ed, \u017ee se k\u00a0moci dostanou prorusk\u00e9 s\u00edly, kter\u00e9 tuto zemi dostanou pod kremelsk\u00fd patron\u00e1t.<\/p>\n

Tento pl\u00e1n usp\u011bl jen z\u010d\u00e1sti. Por\u00e1\u017eka v\u00a0Karabachu skute\u010dn\u011b marginalizovala \u00e1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nsk\u00e9 n\u00e1rodn\u00ed demokraty a donutila prezidenta zem\u011b a l\u00eddra N\u00e1rodn\u00ed fronty Abulfaze El\u010dibeje odstoupit. P\u0159esto se Moskv\u011b nepoda\u0159ilo dosadit do \u010dela st\u00e1tu svou loutku. K\u00a0moci v\u00a0Baku se dostala n\u011bkdej\u0161\u00ed dlouholet\u00e1 hlava sov\u011btsk\u00e9ho \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nu a \u010dlen Politbyra \u00daV KSSS Hejdar Alijev, kter\u00fd sv\u00e9ho \u010dasu pat\u0159il dokonce mezi uva\u017eovan\u00e9 n\u00e1stupce Leonida Bre\u017en\u011bva. Pr\u00e1v\u011b tento zku\u0161en\u00fd st\u00e1tn\u00edk s\u00a0k\u00e1g\u00e9b\u00e1ckou minulost\u00ed vybudoval v\u00a0\u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nu autorit\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fd rodinn\u00fd re\u017eim, kter\u00fd dok\u00e1\u017ee man\u00e9vrovat mezi Z\u00e1padem, Tureckem a Ruskem a ignorovat \u00e1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nskou spole\u010dnost.<\/p>\n

Nicm\u00e9n\u011b tak\u00e9 Arm\u00e9nie se stala rukojm\u00edm vlastn\u00edho v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed. Jej\u00ed p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed a kontrola nad Karabachem byly nyn\u00ed pln\u011b z\u00e1visl\u00e9 na spojenectv\u00ed s\u00a0Ruskem. Pr\u00e1v\u011b to zp\u016fsobilo marginalizaci arm\u00e9nsk\u00fdch n\u00e1rodn\u00edch demokrat\u016f. Zakladatel v\u00fdboru Karabach a prvn\u00ed arm\u00e9nsk\u00fd prezident Levon Ter-Petrosjan tak\u00e9 na sv\u016fj \u00fa\u0159ad rezignoval, a to mimochodem pr\u00e1v\u011b v\u00a0dob\u011b, kdy m\u011bl k\u00a0nalezen\u00ed kompromisu s\u00a0Alijevem ohledn\u011b Karabachu ji\u017e bl\u00edzko.<\/p>\n

Moskva sv\u011b\u0159ila Arm\u00e9nii t\u011bm, kdo by ji zcela jist\u011b nezklamal a byl pln\u011b z\u00e1visl\u00fd na jej\u00ed p\u0159\u00edzni, a sice n\u011bkdej\u0161\u00edm karaba\u0161sk\u00fdm poln\u00edm velitel\u016fm Robertu Ko\u010darjanovi a Ser\u017ei Sarkisjanovi, kte\u0159\u00ed se stali druh\u00fdm a t\u0159et\u00edm arm\u00e9nsk\u00fdm prezidentem. Tito lid\u00e9 v\u00a0zemi vybudovali zkorumpovan\u00fd margin\u00e1ln\u00ed re\u017eim, kter\u00fd v\u0161ak na rozd\u00edl od toho \u00e1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho nebyl schopen zcela ignorovat vlastn\u00ed spole\u010dnost. Vzdorovat Moskv\u011b v\u0161ak tak\u00e9 nedok\u00e1zal. D\u016fkazem bylo, \u017ee si Sarkisjan po sch\u016fzce s\u00a0Vladimirem Putinem rozmyslel podpis asocia\u010dn\u00ed dohody s\u00a0Evropskou uni\u00ed, a n\u00e1sledn\u011b Arm\u00e9nie vstoupila do Euroasijsk\u00e9ho ekonomick\u00e9ho svazu.<\/p>\n

Pozd\u011bji se v\u0161ak v\u00a0Arm\u00e9nii odehr\u00e1lo n\u011bco, co \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n dosud neza\u017eil (i kdy\u017e by je\u0161t\u011b mohl), a to vlastn\u00ed \u201ebarevn\u00e1 revoluce\u201c, kdy klany, kter\u00e9 tuto zemi po Ter-Petrosjanov\u011b rezignaci \u0159\u00eddily, p\u0159i\u0161ly o\u00a0moc, i do nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho \u00fa\u0159adu ve st\u00e1t\u011b se dostal obl\u00edbenec protestuj\u00edc\u00edch Nikol Pa\u0161injan. Pro Vladimira Putina je Pa\u0161injan nejen\u017ee zcela ciz\u00edm \u010dlov\u011bkem, ale dokonce t\u00edm, kdo ohro\u017euje vliv a bezpe\u010dnost Putinov\u00fdch p\u0159\u00e1tel. T\u0159eba ji\u017e \u0159adu m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f se na pomez\u00ed v\u011bznice a svobody pohybuje n\u011bkdej\u0161\u00ed druh\u00fd prezident Arm\u00e9nie a prvn\u00ed prezident samozvan\u00e9ho Karabachu Robert Ko\u010darjan. A p\u0159esto\u017ee Putin pokra\u010duje v\u00a0osobn\u00edm kontaktu s\u00a0Ko\u010darjanem, Pa\u0161injan tyto sign\u00e1ly od rusk\u00e9ho vl\u00e1dce jako by nevn\u00edmal a neuv\u011bdomoval si jejich n\u00e1sledky pro sebe a svou zem.<\/p>\n

Uv\u011bdomuje si je v\u0161ak \u00e1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nsk\u00fd prezident a n\u00e1stupce sv\u00e9ho otce Ilham Alijev. A m\u016f\u017ee m\u00edt za to, \u017ee by zm\u011bna dosavadn\u00edho stavu v\u011bc\u00ed v\u00a0Arm\u00e9nii, tedy samostatn\u00e9 rozhodnut\u00ed arm\u00e9nsk\u00e9ho lidu o\u00a0tom, kdo bude jejich zemi \u0159\u00eddit, mohla pro n\u011bj otev\u0159\u00edt okno p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost\u00ed. \u017de kdyby mezi Arm\u00e9ni\u00ed a \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nem propukla v\u00e1lka, pak bez ohledu na to, kdo k\u00a0n\u00ed dal podn\u011bt (na tom moc nez\u00e1le\u017e\u00ed, u\u00a0vlekl\u00e9ho konfliktu m\u016f\u017ee k\u00a0poru\u0161en\u00ed klidu zbran\u00ed doj\u00edt kdykoliv), Rusko na stran\u011b Arm\u00e9nie aktivn\u011b nezas\u00e1hne a umo\u017en\u00ed \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nu znovu z\u00edskat kontrolu nad \u010d\u00e1st\u00ed sv\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed: ne-li nad samotn\u00fdm Karabachem, pak nad tzv. bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edm p\u00e1smem, tedy \u00e1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nsk\u00fdm \u00fazem\u00edm, kter\u00e9 N\u00e1horn\u011b-karaba\u0161skou autonomn\u00ed oblast obklopuje a uzav\u00edr\u00e1 do enkl\u00e1vy bez spole\u010dn\u00fdch hranic s\u00a0Arm\u00e9ni\u00ed; ostatn\u011b pr\u00e1v\u011b tak to bol\u0161evici zam\u00fd\u0161leli. A mo\u017en\u00e1 i nad samotn\u00fdm Karabachem, bude-li m\u00edt \u0161t\u011bst\u00ed. Pro\u010d by ale m\u011blo Rusko pom\u00e1hat Pa\u0161injanovi?<\/p>\n

A skute\u010dn\u011b\u00a0\u2013 pro\u010d vlastn\u011b? Je nutno si uv\u011bdomit, \u017ee z\u00a0objektivn\u00edho hlediska Moskva dnes nen\u00ed zainteresov\u00e1na na v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed Arm\u00e9nie, ale \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nu, by\u0165 t\u0159eba jen \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u00e9m. Z\u00edskala by tak dal\u0161\u00ed d\u016fkaz, \u017ee ve\u0161ker\u00e9 majdany, ve\u0161ker\u00e9 snahy si zvolit veden\u00ed neodsouhlasen\u00e9 s\u00a0Kremlem mohou v\u00a0kone\u010dn\u00e9m d\u016fsledku zp\u016fsobit jen n\u00e1rodn\u00ed ztroskot\u00e1n\u00ed a \u00fapadek. Moskva to dokazovala v\u00a0Gruzii rusko-gruz\u00ednskou v\u00e1lkou. Moskva to dokazovala v\u00a0Ukrajin\u011b po Majdanu okupac\u00ed Krymu a Donbasu. Pro\u010d by to nemohla dok\u00e1zat i v\u00a0Arm\u00e9nii, nav\u00edc nevlastn\u00edma rukama? Z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 jen ot\u00e1zka, jak\u00fd rozsah arm\u00e9nsk\u00e9 por\u00e1\u017eky Kreml napl\u00e1noval, zda te\u010f, nebo a\u017e v\u00a0dal\u0161\u00ed f\u00e1zi konfliktu. Zda jde jen o\u00a0kontrolu nad bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edm p\u00e1smem, nebo nad cel\u00fdm Karabachem, pop\u0159. dokonce o\u00a0vstup \u00e1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy na \u00fazem\u00ed samotn\u00e9 Arm\u00e9nie, co\u017e by Rusku umo\u017enilo p\u0159\u00edmo p\u0159evz\u00edt roli jej\u00edho obr\u00e1nce, se dnes d\u00e1 \u0159\u00edct jen t\u011b\u017eko. Nav\u00edc vzhledem k\u00a0tomu, \u017ee se kremelsk\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny zdaleka ne v\u017edy napln\u00ed tak, jak byly seps\u00e1ny v\u00a0kancel\u00e1\u0159\u00edch.<\/p>\n

Nenapln\u00ed se v\u017edy proto, \u017ee Kreml sice dok\u00e1\u017ee propo\u010d\u00edtat vlastn\u00ed postup, postup vl\u00e1d st\u00e1t\u016f, kter\u00e9 se chytily do kremelsk\u00e9 pasti, dokonce i z\u00e1padn\u00edch \u0161pi\u010dek nebo tureck\u00e9ho prezidenta, nikdy v\u0161ak nedok\u00e1\u017ee propo\u010d\u00edtat, jak budou reagovat n\u00e1rody.<\/p>\n

Pr\u00e1v\u011b proto se Moskv\u011b nepoda\u0159ilo ud\u011blat z\u00a0\u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nu loutkov\u00fd st\u00e1t. Pr\u00e1v\u011b proto v\u00a0Moskv\u011b p\u0159ehl\u00e9dli chv\u00edli, kdy klanov\u00fd re\u017eim v\u00a0Arm\u00e9nii zcela prohnil. Pr\u00e1v\u011b proto si Moskva jen st\u011b\u017e\u00ed uv\u011bdomuje, jak budou na skute\u010dnou v\u00e1lku reagovat oby\u010dejn\u00ed Arm\u00e9ni a \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nci. Ka\u017ed\u00e1 v\u00e1lka toti\u017e odhal\u00ed v\u00a0n\u00e1rodn\u00edch n\u00e1lad\u00e1ch n\u011bco, co nedok\u00e1\u017ee odhadnout \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd politick\u00fd prognostik ani etnolog. Nav\u00edc vzhledem k\u00a0tomu, \u017ee Kreml n\u00e1rody v\u016fbec zcela ignoruje, nebo\u0165 v\u011b\u0159\u00ed jen na pen\u00edze a moc.<\/p>\n

Co ov\u0161em odhadnout m\u016f\u017eeme, je, \u017ee dokud \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n a Arm\u00e9nie nebudou schopny vy\u0159e\u0161it vz\u00e1jemn\u00e9 probl\u00e9my dokonce ne mezi ob\u011bma st\u00e1ty, ale mezi ob\u011bma n\u00e1rody, z\u016fstanou v\u00a0kremelsk\u00e9 pasti, co\u017e zpochybn\u00ed jejich rozvoj nejen jako st\u00e1t\u016f, ale i jako n\u00e1rod\u016f. \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nce a Arm\u00e9ny nedok\u00e1\u017ee zachr\u00e1nit v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed jedn\u00e9 ze zem\u00ed nad tou druhou, ale jen dobr\u00e9 sousedsk\u00e9 vztahy a ochota spole\u010dn\u011b bez rusk\u00e9 \u00fa\u010dasti budovat budoucnost sv\u00e9ho komplikovan\u00e9ho regionu. Pouze toto odhodl\u00e1n\u00ed znemo\u017en\u00ed Rus\u016fm manipulovat s\u00a0Arm\u00e9ni\u00ed a \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nem a d\u011blat z\u00a0n\u00e1rod\u016f t\u011bchto zem\u00ed herce v\u00a0divadle sv\u00fdch geopolitick\u00fdch ambic\u00ed.<\/p>\n

\n

Autor: Vitalij Portnykov
\nZdroj: Bykvu.com<\/a>, 28.\u00a0z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2020
\nP\u0159eklad: Svatoslav \u0160\u010dyhol<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Nejlep\u0161\u00edm v\u00fdchodiskem z\u00a0karaba\u0161sk\u00e9 pasti je uv\u011bdomit si, pro koho je tento konflikt ve skute\u010dnosti v\u00fdhodn\u00fd, kdo je…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":78,"featured_media":8761,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[523,3235,516,520,519],"tags":[10055,10053,10052,10054,369,120,7448],"class_list":["post-8760","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analytics","category-nazor","category-all-news","category-misc","category-world","tag-arcach","tag-armenie","tag-azerbajdzan","tag-nahorni-karabach","tag-rusko","tag-valka","tag-vladimir-putin"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nV\u00e1lka v Karabachu: Putinovy z\u00e1jmy a \u201eokno p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost\u00ed\u201c pro Arm\u00e9nii a \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n - InformNapalm.org (\u010ce\u0161tina)<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/valka-v-karabachu-putinovy-zajmy-a-okno-prilezitosti-pro-armenii-a-azerbajdzan\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"V\u00e1lka v Karabachu: Putinovy z\u00e1jmy a \u201eokno p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost\u00ed\u201c pro Arm\u00e9nii a \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n - InformNapalm.org (\u010ce\u0161tina)\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Nejlep\u0161\u00edm v\u00fdchodiskem z\u00a0karaba\u0161sk\u00e9 pasti je uv\u011bdomit si, pro koho je tento konflikt ve skute\u010dnosti v\u00fdhodn\u00fd, kdo je...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/valka-v-karabachu-putinovy-zajmy-a-okno-prilezitosti-pro-armenii-a-azerbajdzan\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"InformNapalm.org (\u010ce\u0161tina)\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2020-09-30T16:42:28+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2020\/09\/Valka-v-Karabachu_-Putinovy-zajmy-a-okno-prilezitosti-pro-Armenii-a-Azerbajdzan.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"782\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"586\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"svatoslav\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"svatoslav\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"9 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/valka-v-karabachu-putinovy-zajmy-a-okno-prilezitosti-pro-armenii-a-azerbajdzan\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/valka-v-karabachu-putinovy-zajmy-a-okno-prilezitosti-pro-armenii-a-azerbajdzan\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"svatoslav\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/#\/schema\/person\/df2cf86bd5e35ae01a82d1108d3c5f51\"},\"headline\":\"V\u00e1lka v Karabachu: Putinovy z\u00e1jmy a \u201eokno p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost\u00ed\u201c pro Arm\u00e9nii a \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n\",\"datePublished\":\"2020-09-30T16:42:28+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/valka-v-karabachu-putinovy-zajmy-a-okno-prilezitosti-pro-armenii-a-azerbajdzan\/\"},\"wordCount\":1897,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/valka-v-karabachu-putinovy-zajmy-a-okno-prilezitosti-pro-armenii-a-azerbajdzan\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2020\/09\/Valka-v-Karabachu_-Putinovy-zajmy-a-okno-prilezitosti-pro-Armenii-a-Azerbajdzan.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Arcach\",\"Arm\u00e9nie\",\"\u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n\",\"N\u00e1horn\u00ed Karabach\",\"Rusko\",\"v\u00e1lka\",\"Vladimir Putin\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Analytika\",\"N\u00e1zor\",\"Novinky\",\"R\u016fzn\u00e9\",\"Sv\u011btov\u00fd\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/valka-v-karabachu-putinovy-zajmy-a-okno-prilezitosti-pro-armenii-a-azerbajdzan\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/valka-v-karabachu-putinovy-zajmy-a-okno-prilezitosti-pro-armenii-a-azerbajdzan\/\",\"name\":\"V\u00e1lka v Karabachu: Putinovy z\u00e1jmy a \u201eokno p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost\u00ed\u201c pro Arm\u00e9nii a \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n - InformNapalm.org (\u010ce\u0161tina)\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/valka-v-karabachu-putinovy-zajmy-a-okno-prilezitosti-pro-armenii-a-azerbajdzan\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/valka-v-karabachu-putinovy-zajmy-a-okno-prilezitosti-pro-armenii-a-azerbajdzan\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2020\/09\/Valka-v-Karabachu_-Putinovy-zajmy-a-okno-prilezitosti-pro-Armenii-a-Azerbajdzan.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2020-09-30T16:42:28+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/#\/schema\/person\/df2cf86bd5e35ae01a82d1108d3c5f51\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/valka-v-karabachu-putinovy-zajmy-a-okno-prilezitosti-pro-armenii-a-azerbajdzan\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/valka-v-karabachu-putinovy-zajmy-a-okno-prilezitosti-pro-armenii-a-azerbajdzan\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/valka-v-karabachu-putinovy-zajmy-a-okno-prilezitosti-pro-armenii-a-azerbajdzan\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2020\/09\/Valka-v-Karabachu_-Putinovy-zajmy-a-okno-prilezitosti-pro-Armenii-a-Azerbajdzan.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2020\/09\/Valka-v-Karabachu_-Putinovy-zajmy-a-okno-prilezitosti-pro-Armenii-a-Azerbajdzan.jpg\",\"width\":782,\"height\":586},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/valka-v-karabachu-putinovy-zajmy-a-okno-prilezitosti-pro-armenii-a-azerbajdzan\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"V\u00e1lka v Karabachu: Putinovy z\u00e1jmy a \u201eokno p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost\u00ed\u201c pro Arm\u00e9nii a \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/\",\"name\":\"InformNapalm.org (\u010ce\u0161tina)\",\"description\":\"Nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed zpr\u00e1vy z Ukrajiny\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/#\/schema\/person\/df2cf86bd5e35ae01a82d1108d3c5f51\",\"name\":\"svatoslav\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/0cc633af9f94c5bc8eca4c7a7bf1e1f390e89d3af1b6a34e2886692888437497?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/0cc633af9f94c5bc8eca4c7a7bf1e1f390e89d3af1b6a34e2886692888437497?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"svatoslav\"},\"url\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/author\/svatoslav\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"V\u00e1lka v Karabachu: Putinovy z\u00e1jmy a \u201eokno p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost\u00ed\u201c pro Arm\u00e9nii a \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n - InformNapalm.org (\u010ce\u0161tina)","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/valka-v-karabachu-putinovy-zajmy-a-okno-prilezitosti-pro-armenii-a-azerbajdzan\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"V\u00e1lka v Karabachu: Putinovy z\u00e1jmy a \u201eokno p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost\u00ed\u201c pro Arm\u00e9nii a \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n - InformNapalm.org (\u010ce\u0161tina)","og_description":"Nejlep\u0161\u00edm v\u00fdchodiskem z\u00a0karaba\u0161sk\u00e9 pasti je uv\u011bdomit si, pro koho je tento konflikt ve skute\u010dnosti v\u00fdhodn\u00fd, kdo je...","og_url":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/valka-v-karabachu-putinovy-zajmy-a-okno-prilezitosti-pro-armenii-a-azerbajdzan\/","og_site_name":"InformNapalm.org (\u010ce\u0161tina)","article_published_time":"2020-09-30T16:42:28+00:00","og_image":[{"width":782,"height":586,"url":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2020\/09\/Valka-v-Karabachu_-Putinovy-zajmy-a-okno-prilezitosti-pro-Armenii-a-Azerbajdzan.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"svatoslav","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"svatoslav","Est. reading time":"9 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/valka-v-karabachu-putinovy-zajmy-a-okno-prilezitosti-pro-armenii-a-azerbajdzan\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/valka-v-karabachu-putinovy-zajmy-a-okno-prilezitosti-pro-armenii-a-azerbajdzan\/"},"author":{"name":"svatoslav","@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/#\/schema\/person\/df2cf86bd5e35ae01a82d1108d3c5f51"},"headline":"V\u00e1lka v Karabachu: Putinovy z\u00e1jmy a \u201eokno p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost\u00ed\u201c pro Arm\u00e9nii a \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n","datePublished":"2020-09-30T16:42:28+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/valka-v-karabachu-putinovy-zajmy-a-okno-prilezitosti-pro-armenii-a-azerbajdzan\/"},"wordCount":1897,"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/valka-v-karabachu-putinovy-zajmy-a-okno-prilezitosti-pro-armenii-a-azerbajdzan\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2020\/09\/Valka-v-Karabachu_-Putinovy-zajmy-a-okno-prilezitosti-pro-Armenii-a-Azerbajdzan.jpg","keywords":["Arcach","Arm\u00e9nie","\u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n","N\u00e1horn\u00ed Karabach","Rusko","v\u00e1lka","Vladimir Putin"],"articleSection":["Analytika","N\u00e1zor","Novinky","R\u016fzn\u00e9","Sv\u011btov\u00fd"],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/valka-v-karabachu-putinovy-zajmy-a-okno-prilezitosti-pro-armenii-a-azerbajdzan\/","url":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/valka-v-karabachu-putinovy-zajmy-a-okno-prilezitosti-pro-armenii-a-azerbajdzan\/","name":"V\u00e1lka v Karabachu: Putinovy z\u00e1jmy a \u201eokno p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost\u00ed\u201c pro Arm\u00e9nii a \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n - InformNapalm.org (\u010ce\u0161tina)","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/valka-v-karabachu-putinovy-zajmy-a-okno-prilezitosti-pro-armenii-a-azerbajdzan\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/valka-v-karabachu-putinovy-zajmy-a-okno-prilezitosti-pro-armenii-a-azerbajdzan\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2020\/09\/Valka-v-Karabachu_-Putinovy-zajmy-a-okno-prilezitosti-pro-Armenii-a-Azerbajdzan.jpg","datePublished":"2020-09-30T16:42:28+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/#\/schema\/person\/df2cf86bd5e35ae01a82d1108d3c5f51"},"breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/valka-v-karabachu-putinovy-zajmy-a-okno-prilezitosti-pro-armenii-a-azerbajdzan\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/valka-v-karabachu-putinovy-zajmy-a-okno-prilezitosti-pro-armenii-a-azerbajdzan\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/valka-v-karabachu-putinovy-zajmy-a-okno-prilezitosti-pro-armenii-a-azerbajdzan\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2020\/09\/Valka-v-Karabachu_-Putinovy-zajmy-a-okno-prilezitosti-pro-Armenii-a-Azerbajdzan.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2020\/09\/Valka-v-Karabachu_-Putinovy-zajmy-a-okno-prilezitosti-pro-Armenii-a-Azerbajdzan.jpg","width":782,"height":586},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/valka-v-karabachu-putinovy-zajmy-a-okno-prilezitosti-pro-armenii-a-azerbajdzan\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"V\u00e1lka v Karabachu: Putinovy z\u00e1jmy a \u201eokno p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost\u00ed\u201c pro Arm\u00e9nii a \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/#website","url":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/","name":"InformNapalm.org (\u010ce\u0161tina)","description":"Nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed zpr\u00e1vy z Ukrajiny","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/#\/schema\/person\/df2cf86bd5e35ae01a82d1108d3c5f51","name":"svatoslav","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/0cc633af9f94c5bc8eca4c7a7bf1e1f390e89d3af1b6a34e2886692888437497?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/0cc633af9f94c5bc8eca4c7a7bf1e1f390e89d3af1b6a34e2886692888437497?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"svatoslav"},"url":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/author\/svatoslav\/"}]}},"post_src":"<strong>Nejlep\u0161\u00edm v\u00fdchodiskem z\u00a0karaba\u0161sk\u00e9 pasti je uv\u011bdomit si, pro koho je tento konflikt ve skute\u010dnosti v\u00fdhodn\u00fd, kdo je ji\u017e dlouh\u00e1 desetilet\u00ed benefici\u00e1\u0159em tohoto prvn\u00edho \u00fazemn\u00edho konfliktu na postsov\u011btsk\u00e9m prostranstv\u00ed. T\u00edmto benefici\u00e1\u0159em je pr\u00e1v\u011b Moskva.<\/strong><!--more-->\r\n\r\nNejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed eskalace mezi Arm\u00e9nii a \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nem, u\u017e druh\u00e1 b\u011bhem posledn\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f a nebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e ta minul\u00e1, n\u00e1m znovu p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1, \u017ee \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 zmrazen\u00e9 konflikty neexistuj\u00ed. \u017de ka\u017ed\u00fd tzv. zmrazen\u00fd konflikt je t\u011bhotn\u00fd v\u00e1lkou. \u017de zastaven\u00ed palby a re\u017eim klidu zbran\u00ed, by\u0165 dohodnut\u00fd na nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed \u00farovni a s\u00a0mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edmi prost\u0159edn\u00edky, d\u0159\u00edve \u010di pozd\u011bji vyst\u0159\u00edd\u00e1 dal\u0161\u00ed ost\u0159elov\u00e1n\u00ed, kter\u00e9 m\u016f\u017ee vy\u00fastit v\u00a0novou velkou v\u00e1lku. M\u011bli bychom to m\u00edt na pam\u011bti pr\u00e1v\u011b proto, \u017ee na Donbase z\u00a0vojensk\u00e9ho hlediska Kreml vybudoval pr\u00e1v\u011b konflikt karaba\u0161sk\u00e9ho typu, tedy tzv. vlekl\u00fd konflikt.\r\n\r\nPr\u00e1v\u011b u\u00a0podobn\u00fdch konflikt\u016f m\u016f\u017ee palba ust\u00e1t, ale \u010dasem znovu propuknout s\u00a0je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed s\u00edlou. Mohou p\u0159itom um\u00edrat voj\u00e1ci a civilist\u00e9. I tak to m\u016f\u017ee trvat des\u00edtky let. Je to dokonal\u00e1 past, co\u017e Rusov\u00e9 velmi dob\u0159e v\u011bd\u00ed, proto\u017ee do podobn\u00e9 pasti ji\u017e dostali Arm\u00e9nii a \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n. Ob\u011b tyto zem\u011b tedy pot\u0159ebuj\u00ed Rusko k\u00a0tomu, aby z\u00a0t\u00e9to pasti unikly, p\u0159inejmen\u0161\u00edm si to v\u00a0Jerevanu a Baku mohou myslet. I kdy\u017e nejlep\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdchodisko z\u00a0karaba\u0161sk\u00e9 pasti je uv\u011bdomit si, pro koho je tento konflikt ve skute\u010dnosti v\u00fdhodn\u00fd, kdo je ji\u017e dlouh\u00e1 desetilet\u00ed benefici\u00e1\u0159em tohoto prvn\u00edho \u00fazemn\u00edho konfliktu na postsov\u011btsk\u00e9m prostranstv\u00ed.\r\n\r\nT\u00edmto benefici\u00e1\u0159em je pr\u00e1v\u011b Moskva. Pro Arm\u00e9nii je Rusko ofici\u00e1ln\u00edm spojencem a z\u00e1rukou, \u017ee tento st\u00e1t nezlikviduj\u00ed soused\u00e9, s\u00a0nimi\u017e dlouh\u00e1 desetilet\u00ed, ne-li stolet\u00ed, nedok\u00e1\u017ee naj\u00edt spole\u010dnou \u0159e\u010d, a sice Turecko a \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 v\u0161ak m\u00e1 Moskva velmi dobr\u00e9 vztahy tak\u00e9 s\u00a0\u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nem, jemu\u017e d\u00e1v\u00e1 nad\u011bji, \u017ee d\u0159\u00edve \u010di pozd\u011bji \u201ep\u0159imhou\u0159\u00ed o\u010di\u201c a umo\u017en\u00ed Baku bez v\u00e1\u017en\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch n\u00e1sledk\u016f znovu dostat pod kontrolu \u00e1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nsk\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed, kter\u00e9 od za\u010d\u00e1tku devades\u00e1t\u00fdch let fyzicky ovl\u00e1d\u00e1 Arm\u00e9nie.\r\n\r\nBylo tomu tak hned od prvn\u00edho dne tohoto konfliktu. A to ani ne od 80., ale od 20.\u00a0let minul\u00e9ho stolet\u00ed, kdy bylo \u00fazem\u00ed os\u00eddlen\u00e9 p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b etnick\u00fdmi Arm\u00e9ny za\u010dlen\u011bno do \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nsk\u00e9 SSR pr\u00e1v\u011b proto, \u017ee bol\u0161evick\u00e9 Rusko, kter\u00e9 okupovalo jak Arm\u00e9nii, tak \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n, tehdy pot\u0159ebovalo podporu \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nc\u016fm bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho Turecka. A vzhledem k\u00a0tomu, \u017ee Arm\u00e9nie a \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n p\u0159edt\u00edm jako samostatn\u00e9 st\u00e1ty o\u00a0toto \u00fazem\u00ed v\u00e1l\u010dily, vr\u00e1tila se tato nedokon\u010den\u00e1 v\u00e1lka hned v\u00a0prvn\u00edch letech Gorba\u010dovovy tzv. p\u0159estavby. A Moskva tehdy mimochodem nestranila Arm\u00e9n\u016fm, ale \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nc\u016fm: negativn\u011b se postavila k\u00a0samotn\u00e9mu n\u00e1padu p\u0159edat N\u00e1horn\u011b-karaba\u0161skou autonomn\u00ed oblast Arm\u00e9nsk\u00e9 SSR, nechala zatknout \u010dleny v\u00fdboru Karabach, prvn\u00ed nekomunistick\u00e9 politick\u00e9 formace v\u00a0Sov\u011btsk\u00e9m svazu, p\u0159edhazovala Arm\u00e9n\u016fm nar\u016fstaj\u00edc\u00ed nacionalistick\u00e9 n\u00e1lady.\r\n\r\nKdy\u017e v\u0161ak za\u010daly podobn\u00e9 n\u00e1lady s\u00edlit i v\u00a0\u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nu a m\u00edstn\u00ed komunist\u00e9 v\u00a0t\u00e9to zemi utrp\u011bli por\u00e1\u017eku, rozhodla se Moskva pro Arm\u00e9nii. A to nikoli z\u00a0velk\u00e9 l\u00e1sky k\u00a0arm\u00e9nsk\u00e9mu lidu, na n\u011bj\u017e Kreml zvysoka ka\u0161le, ale proto\u017ee vzniklo nebezpe\u010d\u00ed, \u017ee \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n bude moci se svou ropou nakl\u00e1dat s\u00e1m a opust\u00ed sf\u00e9ru vlivu Kremlu. Karaba\u0161sk\u00fd konflikt se tehdy stal pro Moskvu n\u00e1strojem, jak ovlivnit \u00e1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nskou spole\u010dnost, nad\u011bj\u00ed, \u017ee se k\u00a0moci dostanou prorusk\u00e9 s\u00edly, kter\u00e9 tuto zemi dostanou pod kremelsk\u00fd patron\u00e1t.\r\n\r\nTento pl\u00e1n usp\u011bl jen z\u010d\u00e1sti. Por\u00e1\u017eka v\u00a0Karabachu skute\u010dn\u011b marginalizovala \u00e1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nsk\u00e9 n\u00e1rodn\u00ed demokraty a donutila prezidenta zem\u011b a l\u00eddra N\u00e1rodn\u00ed fronty Abulfaze El\u010dibeje odstoupit. P\u0159esto se Moskv\u011b nepoda\u0159ilo dosadit do \u010dela st\u00e1tu svou loutku. K\u00a0moci v\u00a0Baku se dostala n\u011bkdej\u0161\u00ed dlouholet\u00e1 hlava sov\u011btsk\u00e9ho \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nu a \u010dlen Politbyra \u00daV KSSS Hejdar Alijev, kter\u00fd sv\u00e9ho \u010dasu pat\u0159il dokonce mezi uva\u017eovan\u00e9 n\u00e1stupce Leonida Bre\u017en\u011bva. Pr\u00e1v\u011b tento zku\u0161en\u00fd st\u00e1tn\u00edk s\u00a0k\u00e1g\u00e9b\u00e1ckou minulost\u00ed vybudoval v\u00a0\u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nu autorit\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fd rodinn\u00fd re\u017eim, kter\u00fd dok\u00e1\u017ee man\u00e9vrovat mezi Z\u00e1padem, Tureckem a Ruskem a ignorovat \u00e1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nskou spole\u010dnost.\r\n\r\nNicm\u00e9n\u011b tak\u00e9 Arm\u00e9nie se stala rukojm\u00edm vlastn\u00edho v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed. Jej\u00ed p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed a kontrola nad Karabachem byly nyn\u00ed pln\u011b z\u00e1visl\u00e9 na spojenectv\u00ed s\u00a0Ruskem. Pr\u00e1v\u011b to zp\u016fsobilo marginalizaci arm\u00e9nsk\u00fdch n\u00e1rodn\u00edch demokrat\u016f. Zakladatel v\u00fdboru Karabach a prvn\u00ed arm\u00e9nsk\u00fd prezident Levon Ter-Petrosjan tak\u00e9 na sv\u016fj \u00fa\u0159ad rezignoval, a to mimochodem pr\u00e1v\u011b v\u00a0dob\u011b, kdy m\u011bl k\u00a0nalezen\u00ed kompromisu s\u00a0Alijevem ohledn\u011b Karabachu ji\u017e bl\u00edzko.\r\n\r\nMoskva sv\u011b\u0159ila Arm\u00e9nii t\u011bm, kdo by ji zcela jist\u011b nezklamal a byl pln\u011b z\u00e1visl\u00fd na jej\u00ed p\u0159\u00edzni, a sice n\u011bkdej\u0161\u00edm karaba\u0161sk\u00fdm poln\u00edm velitel\u016fm Robertu Ko\u010darjanovi a Ser\u017ei Sarkisjanovi, kte\u0159\u00ed se stali druh\u00fdm a t\u0159et\u00edm arm\u00e9nsk\u00fdm prezidentem. Tito lid\u00e9 v\u00a0zemi vybudovali zkorumpovan\u00fd margin\u00e1ln\u00ed re\u017eim, kter\u00fd v\u0161ak na rozd\u00edl od toho \u00e1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho nebyl schopen zcela ignorovat vlastn\u00ed spole\u010dnost. Vzdorovat Moskv\u011b v\u0161ak tak\u00e9 nedok\u00e1zal. D\u016fkazem bylo, \u017ee si Sarkisjan po sch\u016fzce s\u00a0Vladimirem Putinem rozmyslel podpis asocia\u010dn\u00ed dohody s\u00a0Evropskou uni\u00ed, a n\u00e1sledn\u011b Arm\u00e9nie vstoupila do Euroasijsk\u00e9ho ekonomick\u00e9ho svazu.\r\n\r\nPozd\u011bji se v\u0161ak v\u00a0Arm\u00e9nii odehr\u00e1lo n\u011bco, co \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n dosud neza\u017eil (i kdy\u017e by je\u0161t\u011b mohl), a to vlastn\u00ed \u201ebarevn\u00e1 revoluce\u201c, kdy klany, kter\u00e9 tuto zemi po Ter-Petrosjanov\u011b rezignaci \u0159\u00eddily, p\u0159i\u0161ly o\u00a0moc, i do nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho \u00fa\u0159adu ve st\u00e1t\u011b se dostal obl\u00edbenec protestuj\u00edc\u00edch Nikol Pa\u0161injan. Pro Vladimira Putina je Pa\u0161injan nejen\u017ee zcela ciz\u00edm \u010dlov\u011bkem, ale dokonce t\u00edm, kdo ohro\u017euje vliv a bezpe\u010dnost Putinov\u00fdch p\u0159\u00e1tel. T\u0159eba ji\u017e \u0159adu m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f se na pomez\u00ed v\u011bznice a svobody pohybuje n\u011bkdej\u0161\u00ed druh\u00fd prezident Arm\u00e9nie a prvn\u00ed prezident samozvan\u00e9ho Karabachu Robert Ko\u010darjan. A p\u0159esto\u017ee Putin pokra\u010duje v\u00a0osobn\u00edm kontaktu s\u00a0Ko\u010darjanem, Pa\u0161injan tyto sign\u00e1ly od rusk\u00e9ho vl\u00e1dce jako by nevn\u00edmal a neuv\u011bdomoval si jejich n\u00e1sledky pro sebe a svou zem.\r\n\r\nUv\u011bdomuje si je v\u0161ak \u00e1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nsk\u00fd prezident a n\u00e1stupce sv\u00e9ho otce Ilham Alijev. A m\u016f\u017ee m\u00edt za to, \u017ee by zm\u011bna dosavadn\u00edho stavu v\u011bc\u00ed v\u00a0Arm\u00e9nii, tedy samostatn\u00e9 rozhodnut\u00ed arm\u00e9nsk\u00e9ho lidu o\u00a0tom, kdo bude jejich zemi \u0159\u00eddit, mohla pro n\u011bj otev\u0159\u00edt okno p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost\u00ed. \u017de kdyby mezi Arm\u00e9ni\u00ed a \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nem propukla v\u00e1lka, pak bez ohledu na to, kdo k\u00a0n\u00ed dal podn\u011bt (na tom moc nez\u00e1le\u017e\u00ed, u\u00a0vlekl\u00e9ho konfliktu m\u016f\u017ee k\u00a0poru\u0161en\u00ed klidu zbran\u00ed doj\u00edt kdykoliv), Rusko na stran\u011b Arm\u00e9nie aktivn\u011b nezas\u00e1hne a umo\u017en\u00ed \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nu znovu z\u00edskat kontrolu nad \u010d\u00e1st\u00ed sv\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed: ne-li nad samotn\u00fdm Karabachem, pak nad tzv. bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edm p\u00e1smem, tedy \u00e1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nsk\u00fdm \u00fazem\u00edm, kter\u00e9 N\u00e1horn\u011b-karaba\u0161skou autonomn\u00ed oblast obklopuje a uzav\u00edr\u00e1 do enkl\u00e1vy bez spole\u010dn\u00fdch hranic s\u00a0Arm\u00e9ni\u00ed; ostatn\u011b pr\u00e1v\u011b tak to bol\u0161evici zam\u00fd\u0161leli. A mo\u017en\u00e1 i nad samotn\u00fdm Karabachem, bude-li m\u00edt \u0161t\u011bst\u00ed. Pro\u010d by ale m\u011blo Rusko pom\u00e1hat Pa\u0161injanovi?\r\n\r\nA skute\u010dn\u011b\u00a0\u2013 pro\u010d vlastn\u011b? Je nutno si uv\u011bdomit, \u017ee z\u00a0objektivn\u00edho hlediska Moskva dnes nen\u00ed zainteresov\u00e1na na v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed Arm\u00e9nie, ale \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nu, by\u0165 t\u0159eba jen \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u00e9m. Z\u00edskala by tak dal\u0161\u00ed d\u016fkaz, \u017ee ve\u0161ker\u00e9 majdany, ve\u0161ker\u00e9 snahy si zvolit veden\u00ed neodsouhlasen\u00e9 s\u00a0Kremlem mohou v\u00a0kone\u010dn\u00e9m d\u016fsledku zp\u016fsobit jen n\u00e1rodn\u00ed ztroskot\u00e1n\u00ed a \u00fapadek. Moskva to dokazovala v\u00a0Gruzii rusko-gruz\u00ednskou v\u00e1lkou. Moskva to dokazovala v\u00a0Ukrajin\u011b po Majdanu okupac\u00ed Krymu a Donbasu. Pro\u010d by to nemohla dok\u00e1zat i v\u00a0Arm\u00e9nii, nav\u00edc nevlastn\u00edma rukama? Z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 jen ot\u00e1zka, jak\u00fd rozsah arm\u00e9nsk\u00e9 por\u00e1\u017eky Kreml napl\u00e1noval, zda te\u010f, nebo a\u017e v\u00a0dal\u0161\u00ed f\u00e1zi konfliktu. Zda jde jen o\u00a0kontrolu nad bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edm p\u00e1smem, nebo nad cel\u00fdm Karabachem, pop\u0159. dokonce o\u00a0vstup \u00e1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy na \u00fazem\u00ed samotn\u00e9 Arm\u00e9nie, co\u017e by Rusku umo\u017enilo p\u0159\u00edmo p\u0159evz\u00edt roli jej\u00edho obr\u00e1nce, se dnes d\u00e1 \u0159\u00edct jen t\u011b\u017eko. Nav\u00edc vzhledem k\u00a0tomu, \u017ee se kremelsk\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny zdaleka ne v\u017edy napln\u00ed tak, jak byly seps\u00e1ny v\u00a0kancel\u00e1\u0159\u00edch.\r\n\r\nNenapln\u00ed se v\u017edy proto, \u017ee Kreml sice dok\u00e1\u017ee propo\u010d\u00edtat vlastn\u00ed postup, postup vl\u00e1d st\u00e1t\u016f, kter\u00e9 se chytily do kremelsk\u00e9 pasti, dokonce i z\u00e1padn\u00edch \u0161pi\u010dek nebo tureck\u00e9ho prezidenta, nikdy v\u0161ak nedok\u00e1\u017ee propo\u010d\u00edtat, jak budou reagovat n\u00e1rody.\r\n\r\nPr\u00e1v\u011b proto se Moskv\u011b nepoda\u0159ilo ud\u011blat z\u00a0\u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nu loutkov\u00fd st\u00e1t. Pr\u00e1v\u011b proto v\u00a0Moskv\u011b p\u0159ehl\u00e9dli chv\u00edli, kdy klanov\u00fd re\u017eim v\u00a0Arm\u00e9nii zcela prohnil. Pr\u00e1v\u011b proto si Moskva jen st\u011b\u017e\u00ed uv\u011bdomuje, jak budou na skute\u010dnou v\u00e1lku reagovat oby\u010dejn\u00ed Arm\u00e9ni a \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nci. Ka\u017ed\u00e1 v\u00e1lka toti\u017e odhal\u00ed v\u00a0n\u00e1rodn\u00edch n\u00e1lad\u00e1ch n\u011bco, co nedok\u00e1\u017ee odhadnout \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd politick\u00fd prognostik ani etnolog. Nav\u00edc vzhledem k\u00a0tomu, \u017ee Kreml n\u00e1rody v\u016fbec zcela ignoruje, nebo\u0165 v\u011b\u0159\u00ed jen na pen\u00edze a moc.\r\n\r\nCo ov\u0161em odhadnout m\u016f\u017eeme, je, \u017ee dokud \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n a Arm\u00e9nie nebudou schopny vy\u0159e\u0161it vz\u00e1jemn\u00e9 probl\u00e9my dokonce ne mezi ob\u011bma st\u00e1ty, ale mezi ob\u011bma n\u00e1rody, z\u016fstanou v\u00a0kremelsk\u00e9 pasti, co\u017e zpochybn\u00ed jejich rozvoj nejen jako st\u00e1t\u016f, ale i jako n\u00e1rod\u016f. \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nce a Arm\u00e9ny nedok\u00e1\u017ee zachr\u00e1nit v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed jedn\u00e9 ze zem\u00ed nad tou druhou, ale jen dobr\u00e9 sousedsk\u00e9 vztahy a ochota spole\u010dn\u011b bez rusk\u00e9 \u00fa\u010dasti budovat budoucnost sv\u00e9ho komplikovan\u00e9ho regionu. Pouze toto odhodl\u00e1n\u00ed znemo\u017en\u00ed Rus\u016fm manipulovat s\u00a0Arm\u00e9ni\u00ed a \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nem a d\u011blat z\u00a0n\u00e1rod\u016f t\u011bchto zem\u00ed herce v\u00a0divadle sv\u00fdch geopolitick\u00fdch ambic\u00ed.\r\n\r\n<hr \/>\r\n\r\n<em>Autor: Vitalij Portnykov\r\nZdroj: <a href=\"https:\/\/bykvu.com\/ua\/mysli\/viina-u-karabasi-interesy-putina-i-vikno-mozhlyvostei-dlia-virmenii-ta-azerbaidzhanu\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Bykvu.com<\/a>, 28.\u00a0z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2020\r\nP\u0159eklad: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/scyhol\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Svatoslav \u0160\u010dyhol<\/a><\/em>","amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8760","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/78"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8760"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8760\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8763,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8760\/revisions\/8763"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8761"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8760"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8760"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8760"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}