{"id":9985,"date":"2023-05-29T19:26:59","date_gmt":"2023-05-29T19:26:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/?p=9985"},"modified":"2023-06-07T19:41:31","modified_gmt":"2023-06-07T19:41:31","slug":"osint-analyza-jak-pocitat-ztraty-ruske-armady-podle-cisel-udelenych-radu-statecnosti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/osint-analyza-jak-pocitat-ztraty-ruske-armady-podle-cisel-udelenych-radu-statecnosti\/","title":{"rendered":"OSINT anal\u00fdza: jak po\u010d\u00edtat ztr\u00e1ty rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy podle \u010d\u00edsel ud\u011blen\u00fdch \u0159\u00e1d\u016f State\u010dnosti"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Prvn\u00ed m\u011bs\u00edc po tot\u00e1ln\u00ed invazi RF do Ukrajiny p\u0159inesli analytici od mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed zpravodajsk\u00e9 komunity InformNapalm <a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/medailove-poradi-osint-analyza-skutecnych-ztrat-rf-za-prvni-tyden-boju-v-ukrajine\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">odhady ztr\u00e1t rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy<\/a> z\u00a0prvn\u00edch t\u00fddn\u016f, kdy jako d\u016fkazy pou\u017eili \u010d\u00edsla z\u00a0eviden\u010dn\u00edch knih ud\u011blen\u00fdch \u0159\u00e1d\u016f rusk\u00fdm okupant\u016fm. Uk\u00e1zalo se, \u017ee rusk\u00e1 st\u00e1tn\u00ed vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed umo\u017e\u0148uj\u00ed rusk\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty p\u0159esn\u011b spo\u010d\u00edtat. V\u00a0na\u0161\u00ed anal\u00fdze jsme pokra\u010dovali a \u010d\u00edsla rusk\u00fdch vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed metodicky sb\u00edrali. B\u011bhem prvn\u00edch 15\u00a0m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f bylo shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bno p\u0159es tis\u00edcovku r\u016fzn\u00fdch listin o\u00a0vyznamen\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed rusk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f.<!--more--><\/p>\n<h2>Kdo tvo\u0159\u00ed \u201erusk\u00e9\u201c ztr\u00e1ty. Metodologie v\u00fdpo\u010dt\u016f<\/h2>\n<p>Ka\u017edodenn\u011b p\u0159edkl\u00e1d\u00e1 Gener\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0161t\u00e1b Ozbrojen\u00fdch sil Ukrajiny statistick\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy o\u00a0orienta\u010dn\u00edch ztr\u00e1t\u00e1ch rusk\u00fdch okupant\u016f. Uveden\u00e9 hodnoty v\u0161ak zahrnuj\u00ed nejen z\u00e1stupce arm\u00e1dy RF. Hned od prvn\u00edho dne v\u00e1lky proti Ukrajin\u011b v\u00e1l\u010d\u00ed tyto ozbrojen\u00e9 formace:<\/p>\n<h3>Rusk\u00e1 federace:<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>regul\u00e9rn\u00ed arm\u00e1da RF<\/li>\n<li>Rosgvardija (rusk\u00e1 n\u00e1rodn\u00ed garda)<\/li>\n<li>pohrani\u010dn\u00edci (FSB)<\/li>\n<li>odd\u00edly BARS (bojov\u00e9 arm\u00e1dn\u00ed z\u00e1lohy zem\u011b, z\u010d\u00e1sti dobrovoln\u00edci v\u00a0prvn\u00edch dnech v\u00e1lky)<\/li>\n<li>dobrovoln\u00edci z\u00a0RF<\/li>\n<li>\u00fadajn\u011b soukrom\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti<\/li>\n<li>mobilizovan\u00ed Rusov\u00e9 (od 22.\u00a09.\u00a02022)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Do aktivit na frontov\u00e9 linii Rusov\u00e9 d\u00e1le zapojuj\u00ed tyto formace:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Ministerstvo pro mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u00e9 situace (minov\u00e1n\u00ed a odminov\u00e1n\u00ed, \u017eenijn\u00ed pr\u00e1ce, z\u00e1chrann\u00e9 pr\u00e1ce)<\/li>\n<li>oprav\u00e1rensk\u00e9 t\u00fdmy v\u00fdrobn\u00edch podnik\u016f vojensk\u00e9 techniky<\/li>\n<li>civiln\u00ed zdravotn\u00edci z\u00a0RF pracuj\u00edc\u00ed pro rusk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 nemocnice<\/li>\n<li>stavebn\u00ed t\u00fdmy z\u00a0civilist\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed stav\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 objekty na z\u00e1klad\u011b kontraktu s\u00a0arm\u00e1dou RF<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3>Formace kolaborant\u016f z\u00a0tzv. DLR:<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>1. arm\u00e1dn\u00ed sbor a dal\u0161\u00ed ozbrojen\u00e9 slo\u017eky tzv. Don\u011bck\u00e9 lidov\u00e9 republiky<\/li>\n<li>mobilizovan\u00ed ob\u010dan\u00e9 na do\u010dasn\u011b okupovan\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed Don\u011bck\u00e9 oblasti<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3>Formace kolaborant\u016f z\u00a0tzv. LLR:<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>2. arm\u00e1dn\u00ed sbor a dal\u0161\u00ed ozbrojen\u00e9 slo\u017eky tzv. Luhansk\u00e9 lidov\u00e9 republiky<\/li>\n<li>mobilizovan\u00ed ob\u010dan\u00e9 na do\u010dasn\u011b okupovan\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed Luhansk\u00e9 oblasti<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Z\u00e1stupci t\u011bchto t\u0159\u00ed velk\u00fdch skupin se budou ve statistik\u00e1ch Ozbrojen\u00fdch sil Ukrajiny po\u010d\u00edtat jako celkov\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty rusk\u00fdch okupant\u016f.<\/p>\n<h2>Invazn\u00ed arm\u00e1da<\/h2>\n<p>V\u00a0\u00fanoru 2022 spustila RF tot\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lku, kdy m\u011bla na hranic\u00edch s\u00a0Ukrajinou cca 150.000 a\u017e 250.000\u00a0voj\u00e1k\u016f (arm\u00e1da RF\u00a0+ Rosgvardija). Tato hodnota je dost pomysln\u00e1, do invazn\u00ed arm\u00e1dy toti\u017e m\u016f\u017eeme za\u0159adit v\u0161echny rusk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 \u00fatvary, kter\u00e9 jsou n\u011bkter\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem z\u00fa\u010dastn\u011bny na napaden\u00ed Ukrajiny. Jde o\u00a0vojensk\u00e1 leti\u0161t\u011b a raketov\u00e1 vojska, kter\u00e1 Ukrajinu ve velk\u00e9m ost\u0159eluj\u00ed, oprav\u00e1rensk\u00e9 t\u00fdmy, \u00fatvary zapojen\u00e9 do logistiky arm\u00e1dy RF a dal\u0161\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Do rusk\u00e9 invazn\u00ed arm\u00e1dy mus\u00edme zapo\u010d\u00edtat ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly tzv. lidov\u00fdch republik na Donbase, kter\u00e9 od roku 2014 z\u010d\u00e1sti tvo\u0159ili <a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/db\/russian-invasion\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ru\u0161t\u00ed voj\u00e1ci<\/a> (velen\u00ed, d\u016fstojnick\u00fd sbor, instrukto\u0159i, techni\u010dt\u00ed specialist\u00e9, tzv. dovolenk\u00e1\u0159i).<\/p>\n<p>Na okupovan\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti Don\u011bck\u00e9 oblasti p\u016fjde o\u00a0tzv. 1.\u00a0arm\u00e1dn\u00ed sbor (1AS, tzv. Lidov\u00e9 milice DLR). V\u00a0r\u016fzn\u00fdch letech tento svazek m\u011bl ve stavu 20.000 a\u017e 35.000\u00a0voj\u00e1k\u016f p\u0159ed tot\u00e1ln\u00ed invaz\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Na okupovan\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti Luhansk\u00e9 oblasti p\u016fjde o\u00a0tzv. 2.\u00a0arm\u00e1dn\u00ed sbor (2AS, tzv. Lidov\u00e9 milice LLR). V\u00a0r\u016fzn\u00fdch letech se stav tohoto svazku pohyboval mezi 15.000 a\u017e 20.000\u00a0voj\u00e1k\u016f p\u0159ed tot\u00e1ln\u00ed invaz\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Hned od prvn\u00edch dn\u016f v\u00e1lky zah\u00e1jili Rusov\u00e9 na okupovan\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed ve velk\u00e9m mobilizaci, kdy do struktur 1. a 2.\u00a0AS p\u0159ib\u00edrali dal\u0161\u00ed brance z\u00a0okupovan\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed. Od t\u00e9to doby prob\u011bhlo na \u00fazem\u00ed tzv. lidov\u00fdch republik ji\u017e n\u011bkolik vln mobilizace. Jde o\u00a0desetitis\u00edce mobilizovan\u00fdch osob.<\/p>\n<p>V\u00a0samotn\u00e9m Rusku se po linii Ministerstva obrany RF rozjelo z\u0159izov\u00e1n\u00ed odd\u00edl\u016f BARS (\u201ebojov\u00e9 arm\u00e1dn\u00ed z\u00e1lohy zem\u011b\u201c) z\u00a0dobrovoln\u00fdch z\u00e1lo\u017e\u00e1k\u016f. Prvn\u00ed aktivn\u00ed soust\u0159ed\u011bn\u00ed tzv. bars\u00e1k\u016f se konalo koncem roku 2021. \u010c\u00e1st z\u00a0t\u011bchto \u00fatvar\u016f byla r\u00e1zu dobrovolnick\u00e9ho, \u010d\u00e1st m\u011bla podepsan\u00e9 kontrakty s\u00a0n\u011bkter\u00fdm \u00fa\u0159adem Ministerstva obrany RF, nikoli v\u0161ak p\u0159\u00edmo s\u00a0Ministerstvem obrany RF. Tyto odd\u00edly se nejaktivn\u011bji zapojovaly v\u00a0prvn\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch v\u00e1lky.<\/p>\n<p>Kdy\u017e za\u010dalo b\u00fdt jasn\u00e9, \u017ee regul\u00e9rn\u00ed arm\u00e1da nesta\u010d\u00ed, za\u010daly v\u00a0regionech RF vznikat m\u00edstn\u00ed dobrovolnick\u00e9 odd\u00edly. Sem pat\u0159\u00ed tak\u00e9 velk\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed <a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/kozaci-sluzebnici-kremlu-hrobari-rise\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">odd\u00edl\u016f rusk\u00fdch koz\u00e1ck\u00fdch formac\u00ed<\/a>. Celkov\u011b lze mluvit o\u00a0cca 100\u00a0r\u016fzn\u00fdch <a href=\"https:\/\/ru.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/%D0%94%D0%BE%D0%B1%D1%80%D0%BE%D0%B2%D0%BE%D0%BB%D1%8C%D1%87%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%BA%D0%B8%D0%B5_%D0%B1%D0%B0%D1%82%D0%B0%D0%BB%D1%8C%D0%BE%D0%BD%D1%8B_%D0%A0%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%81%D0%B8%D0%B8_%D0%B2%D0%BE_%D0%B2%D1%82%D0%BE%D1%80%D0%B6%D0%B5%D0%BD%D0%B8%D0%B8_%D0%BD%D0%B0_%D0%A3%D0%BA%D1%80%D0%B0%D0%B8%D0%BD%D1%83\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">dobrovolnick\u00fdch odd\u00edlech<\/a>. Velikost ka\u017ed\u00e9ho z\u00a0nich je t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 odhadnout, v\u00a0pr\u016fm\u011bru jde o\u00a0n\u011bkolik rot a\u017e n\u011bkolik prapor\u016f. Celkov\u00fd stav takto zapojen\u00fdch vojsk tedy nep\u0159esahuje 50.000\u00a0voj\u00e1k\u016f.<\/p>\n<p>Soub\u011b\u017en\u011b prob\u00edhalo roz\u0161i\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed regul\u00e9rn\u00ed arm\u00e1dy, kter\u00e1 tak\u0159ka z\u00a0ulice p\u0159ib\u00edrala rekruty na kr\u00e1tkodob\u00fd t\u0159\u00edm\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u00ed kontrakt.<\/p>\n<p>Do v\u00e1lky s\u00a0Ukrajinou se museli zapojit voj\u00e1ci z\u00a0okupa\u010dn\u00edch z\u00e1kladen mimo Rusko (Ji\u017en\u00ed Osetie, Abch\u00e1zie, T\u00e1d\u017eikist\u00e1n, N\u00e1horn\u00ed Karabach, S\u00fdrie)\u00a0\u2013 ozn\u00e1men\u00ed o\u00a0\u00famrt\u00ed t\u011bchto voj\u00e1k\u016f se pravideln\u011b objevuj\u00ed v\u00a0tisku.<\/p>\n<p>V\u00e1lka se nevyhnula ani vzd\u00e1len\u00fdm region\u016fm samotn\u00e9 RF (Kurily, Murmansk, Kaliningrad). U\u00a0n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva byly lodn\u00ed pos\u00e1dky tla\u010deny do p\u0159estupu k\u00a0n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed p\u011bchot\u011b.<\/p>\n<p>Po vypuknut\u00ed v\u00e1lky se na front\u011b za\u010daly objevovat prvn\u00ed jednotky tzv. \u00fadajn\u011b soukrom\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch spole\u010dnost\u00ed typu Vagner. P\u0159ed tot\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lkou \u0161lo o\u00a0dost specifick\u00e9 odd\u00edly, kter\u00e9 se z\u0159izovaly <a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.rocks\/pmc_rush\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">na p\u016fd\u011b nebo pod z\u00e1\u0161titou GRU<\/a> a jejich\u017e stav kol\u00edsal v\u00a0rozmez\u00ed n\u011bkolika prapor\u016f a\u017e jedn\u00e9 brig\u00e1dy. V\u00a0dob\u011b aktivn\u00edch boj\u016f za\u010daly s\u00e1zet na p\u0159ib\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed nevycvi\u010den\u00e9 p\u011bchoty. Od \u010dervence a\u017e srpna 2022 se za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed na front\u011b objevovat prvn\u00ed \u201evagnerovci\u201c nabran\u00ed z\u00a0osob ve v\u00fdkonu trestu. Stavy \u201evagnerovc\u016f\u201c jsou velmi dynamick\u00e9, jsou toti\u017e nasazov\u00e1n\u00ed jako tzv. potrava pro d\u011bla.<\/p>\n<p>Akutn\u00ed nedostatek voj\u00e1k\u016f kv\u016fli velk\u00fdm ztr\u00e1t\u00e1m p\u0159im\u011bl Rusy 22.\u00a0z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed vyhl\u00e1sit (\u010d\u00e1ste\u010dnou) mobilizaci, kter\u00e1 de iure st\u00e1le trv\u00e1. Po\u010det z\u00edskan\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm tohoto mechanismu lze zjistit jen t\u011b\u017eko.<\/p>\n<p>Po linii Ministerstva vnitra RF byly do v\u00e1lky zapojov\u00e1ny jak jednotky Rosgvardiji (prvn\u00ed etapa v\u00e1lky), tak <a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/nabourani-ruskeho-valecneho-zlocince-zastupce-velitele-omon-krasnojarskeho-kraje-rf\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">sdru\u017een\u00e9 odd\u00edly z\u00a0policist\u016f z\u00a0rusk\u00fdch region\u016f<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Po linii Ministerstva RF pro mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u00e9 situace byly do boj\u016f zapojeny oprav\u00e1rensk\u00e9, \u017eenijn\u00ed a z\u00e1chrann\u00e9 t\u00fdmy.<\/p>\n<p>Po linii FSB se v\u00e1lky \u00fa\u010dastn\u00ed ru\u0161t\u00ed pohrani\u010dn\u00edci a zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed odd\u00edly. Po linii Feder\u00e1ln\u00ed slu\u017eby ostrahy se do Ukrajiny dost\u00e1vaj\u00ed in\u017een\u00fd\u0159i spoj\u016f a ostraha \u00fastavn\u00edch \u010dinitel\u016f.<\/p>\n<p>Z\u00e1stupci t\u011bchto vojensk\u00fdch skupin tak\u00e9 <a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/db\/russian-invasion\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">trp\u011bli ztr\u00e1ty ve v\u00e1lce proti Ukrajin\u011b<\/a>. Zkusme nyn\u00ed zjistit, jak m\u016f\u017eeme ztr\u00e1ty t\u011bchto \u201eRus\u016f\u201c odhadnout.<\/p>\n<h2>Anal\u00fdza ve\u0159ejn\u00fdch zdroj\u016f (OSINT)<\/h2>\n<p>Z\u00a0ve\u0159ejn\u00fdch zdroj\u016f dok\u00e1\u017eeme z\u00edskat informace jen o\u00a0\u010d\u00e1sti ztr\u00e1t RF. Nejlep\u0161\u00edm badatelem na toto t\u00e9ma je ukrajinsk\u00fd twitterov\u00fd u\u017eivatel <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/666_mancer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Necro Mancer<\/a>, kter\u00fd p\u016fsob\u00ed ji\u017e od roku 2014. Analyzuje pouze rusk\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty. Za posledn\u00ed rok p\u0159idal do datab\u00e1ze p\u0159es 8.000\u00a0\u00famrtn\u00edch ozn\u00e1men\u00ed Rus\u016f s\u00a0uveden\u00edm vojensk\u00fdch \u00fatvar\u016f, m\u00edst \u00famrt\u00ed a dal\u0161\u00edch \u00fadaj\u016f. Dal\u0161\u00edch n\u011bkolik desetitis\u00edc\u016f Rus\u016f na svou \u0159adu \u010dek\u00e1. Mancerova datab\u00e1ze je nejlep\u0161\u00edm zdrojem pro jmenn\u00e9 a podrobn\u00e9 pochopen\u00ed rusk\u00fdch ztr\u00e1t.<\/p>\n<p>Novin\u00e1\u0159i od BBC se tohoto trendu chytili a analyzuj\u00ed ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 zdroje, kdy sv\u00e9 statistky pravideln\u011b aktualizuj\u00ed. S\u00a0platnost\u00ed pro kv\u011bten 2023 identifikovali p\u0159es 22.000\u00a0zlikvidovan\u00fdch Rus\u016f. Zkoumaj\u00ed vylo\u017een\u011b rusk\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty, tzv. bez n\u00e1hradn\u00edch formac\u00ed tzv. lidov\u00fdch republik. Tyto studie vyhodnocuj\u00ed zpr\u00e1vy v\u00a0rusk\u00e9m tisku, p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvky na soci\u00e1ln\u00edch s\u00edt\u00edch, fotografie z\u00a0poh\u0159ebi\u0161\u0165 a vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed in memoriam, pam\u011btn\u00ed desky atd. Tento p\u0159\u00edstup umo\u017e\u0148uje odhalit jen \u010d\u00e1st Rus\u016f, jejich\u017e \u00famrtn\u00ed ozn\u00e1men\u00ed se mihla v\u00a0tisku.<\/p>\n<p>Ztr\u00e1ty mezi kolaboranty z\u00a0tzv. lidov\u00fdch republik prakticky nikdo nesleduje. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee \u010d\u00e1st \u201erusk\u00fdch\u201c ztr\u00e1t, kter\u00e9 hl\u00e1s\u00ed Gener\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0161t\u00e1b Ozbrojen\u00fdch sil Ukrajiny, se ned\u00e1 v\u016fbec vyhodnotit.<\/p>\n<p>Poznamenejme, \u017ee pr\u00e1v\u011b z\u00e1stupci tzv. lidov\u00fdch republik trp\u011bli velk\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty na Donbase v\u00a0prvn\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch v\u00e1lky, <a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/zpravodajska-data-o-jednotkach-1-a-2-armadniho-sboru-rf-na-okupovanem-donbase\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">1AS a 2AS<\/a> toti\u017e Rusov\u00e9 nasazovali jako potravu pro d\u011bla ji\u017e dlouho p\u0159ed \u201evagnerovci\u201c. Tyto \u201erepublikov\u00e9\u201c jednotky byly \u201ehistoricky\u201c h\u016f\u0159 technicky vybaveny ne\u017e rusk\u00e1 regul\u00e9rn\u00ed arm\u00e1da. Velk\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty u\u00a0t\u011bchto jednotek p\u0159im\u011bly Rusy urychlit mobilizaci na okupovan\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed Luhansk\u00e9 a Don\u011bck\u00e9 oblasti. Kdy\u017e za\u010dal tento pramen vysychat, muselo se p\u0159ikro\u010dit k\u00a0mobilizaci ji\u017e v\u00a0samotn\u00e9 RF.<\/p>\n<h2>Nezv\u011bstn\u00ed<\/h2>\n<p>Rozbor ztr\u00e1t podle \u00famrtn\u00edch ozn\u00e1men\u00ed zahrnuje jen ty ztr\u00e1ty, kter\u00e9 byly ofici\u00e1ln\u011b p\u0159izn\u00e1ny. \u010c\u00e1st ztr\u00e1t v\u0161ak spad\u00e1 do kategorie nezv\u011bstn\u00fdch. Takov\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty ve ve\u0159ejn\u00fdch zdroj\u00edch ani \u00famrtn\u00edch ozn\u00e1men\u00edch nenajdeme, ofici\u00e1ln\u011b toti\u017e je\u0161t\u011b nebyli prohl\u00e1\u0161eni za mrtv\u00e9. Ot\u00e1zkou je, jak velk\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st t\u011bchto vyk\u00e1zan\u00fdch ztr\u00e1t do t\u00e9to kategorie spad\u00e1.<\/p>\n<p>Nap\u0159. mluv\u00edme-li o\u00a0v\u00e1lce SSSR v\u00a0Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu, p\u016fjde o\u00a02\u20133\u00a0%. V\u00a0Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu v\u0161ak Sov\u011btsk\u00fd svaz v\u00e1l\u010dil regul\u00e9rn\u00ed arm\u00e1dou proti partyz\u00e1n\u016fm.<\/p>\n<p>V\u00a0Prvn\u00edm \u010de\u010densk\u00e9m ta\u017een\u00ed dos\u00e1hla tato hodnota 20\u00a0% nezv\u011bstn\u00fdch z\u00a0celkov\u00fdch ztr\u00e1t. (<a href=\"https:\/\/web.archive.org\/web\/20170208082735\/http:\/memo.ru\/hr\/hotpoints\/n-caucas\/soldat\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">[1]<\/a>)<\/p>\n<p>V\u00a0tomto ohledu je zaj\u00edmav\u011bj\u0161\u00ed posoudit statistiky z\u00a0Druh\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, kde spolu v\u00e1l\u010dily dv\u011b regul\u00e9rn\u00ed arm\u00e1dy ve velk\u00e9m pou\u017e\u00edvaj\u00edc\u00ed d\u011blost\u0159electvo a obrn\u011bnou techniku. V\u00a0r\u016fzn\u00fdch obdob\u00edch v\u00e1lky jsou tyto hodnoty velmi odli\u0161n\u00e9. Na za\u010d\u00e1tku v\u00e1lky kv\u016fli rychl\u00e9mu postupu Wehrmachtu \u0161lo o\u00a0pom\u011br m\u00e1lem 1:1. Zat\u00edmco ke konci v\u00e1lky, kdy SSSR aktivn\u011b postupoval kup\u0159edu, \u0161lo ji\u017e o\u00a0pom\u011br 12:1. Odhod\u00edme-li tyto extr\u00e9my a posoud\u00edme-li \u201epomysln\u00fd\u201c rok 1943, pak p\u016fjde o\u00a0pom\u011br 5 ku 1. (<a href=\"https:\/\/web.archive.org\/web\/20120320223821\/http:\/gpw.tellur.ru\/page.html?r=facts&amp;s=losses\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">[2]<\/a>)<\/p>\n<p>To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee 15 a\u017e 20\u00a0% zlikvidovan\u00fdch rusk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f je zat\u00edm vedeno jako nezv\u011bstn\u00ed. Jm\u00e9na t\u011bchto voj\u00e1k\u016f nenajdeme v\u00a0\u00famrtn\u00edch ozn\u00e1men\u00edch, pam\u011btn\u00ed desky s\u00a0jejich jm\u00e9ny se zat\u00edm neobjevuj\u00ed ve vestibulech rusk\u00fdch \u0161kol. Nebyli ani vyznamen\u00e1ni \u0159\u00e1dy nebo medailemi in memoriam.<\/p>\n<p>A zde se dost\u00e1v\u00e1me k\u00a0v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 metod\u011b v\u00fdpo\u010dtu ztr\u00e1t pr\u00e1v\u011b rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy, a sice vyznamen\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00edm in memoriam.<\/p>\n<h2>Rusk\u00e1 vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed (in memoriam)<\/h2>\n<p>V\u00a0dob\u011b posledn\u00ed v\u00e1lky SSSR v\u00a0Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu dost\u00e1vali padl\u00ed a v\u00e1\u017en\u011b zran\u011bn\u00ed voj\u00e1ci \u0159\u00e1d Rud\u00e9 hv\u011bzdy. Po rozpadu SSSR Rusov\u00e9 \u201ehv\u011bzdu\u201c nahradili nov\u00fdm \u0159\u00e1dem State\u010dnosti (1994). T\u00edmto \u0159\u00e1dem byli vyznamen\u00e1v\u00e1ni padl\u00ed v\u00a0po\u010detn\u00fdch rusk\u00fdch v\u00e1lk\u00e1ch, jako\u017e i v\u00e1\u017en\u011b zran\u011bn\u00ed voj\u00e1ci nebo ti, kte\u0159\u00ed \u201eprok\u00e1zali state\u010dnost\u201c. Tento \u0159\u00e1d byl tak\u00e9 \u010dasto p\u0159ed\u00e1v\u00e1n vy\u0161\u0161\u00edm d\u016fstojn\u00edk\u016fm, aby se nepl\u00fdtvalo hv\u011bzdami Hrdiny.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/80480_kuzhuget.jpg\" width=\"1200\" height=\"1600\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Tento \u0159\u00e1d mohou z\u00edskat tak\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161nici Ministerstva vnitra nebo Ministerstva pro mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u00e9 situace, po\u010detn\u00ed hasi\u010di a z\u00e1chran\u00e1\u0159i, kte\u0159\u00ed \u201eprok\u00e1zali state\u010dnost\u201c. N\u011bkdy b\u00fdv\u00e1 toto vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed ud\u011blov\u00e1no i civilist\u016fm, hv\u011bzd\u00e1m \u0161oubyznysu, politik\u016fm nebo zn\u00e1m\u00fdm osobnostem. V\u00a0dob\u011b aktivn\u00edch boj\u016f se v\u0161ak \u201estate\u010d\u0148\u00e1k\u201c ud\u011bluje p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b in memoriam nebo za v\u00e1\u017en\u00e1 zran\u011bn\u00ed.<\/p>\n<h2>Statistiky vyznamen\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed<\/h2>\n<p>Ji\u017e od prvn\u00edch dn\u016f v\u00e1lky jsme sb\u00edrali fotografie pr\u016fvodn\u00edch listin k\u00a0\u0159\u00e1d\u016fm State\u010dnosti. K\u00a0dne\u0161n\u00edmu dni jsme shrom\u00e1\u017edili informace k\u00a0v\u00edce ne\u017e 550\u00a0\u0159\u00e1d\u016fm ud\u011blen\u00fdm od \u00fanora 2022. Tato vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed se vypisuj\u00ed na p\u0159\u00edkaz prezidenta RF, v\u00fdpis z\u00a0p\u0159\u00edkazu m\u00edv\u00e1 \u010d\u00edslo s\u00a0pozn\u00e1mkou \u201eSS\u201c (sover\u0161enno sekretno\u00a0= p\u0159\u00edsn\u011b tajn\u00e9). Tyto p\u0159\u00edkazy se na webu prezidenta RF kremlin.ru neuve\u0159ej\u0148uj\u00ed. Na z\u00e1klad\u011b t\u011bchto \u201etajn\u00fdch\u201c p\u0159\u00edkaz\u016f doch\u00e1z\u00ed k\u00a0vyznamen\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed rusk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f ve velk\u00e9m.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/prikaz_1-300x195.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/prikaz_1-300x195.jpg\" width=\"300\" height=\"195\" \/><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/prikaz_2-300x183.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/prikaz_2-300x183.jpg\" width=\"300\" height=\"183\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>B\u011bhem 10\u00a0m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f roku 2022 bylo podeps\u00e1no minim\u00e1ln\u011b 72\u00a0podobn\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edkaz\u016f. B\u0159ezen 2022 byl prvn\u00edm m\u011bs\u00edcem, kdy se za\u010dalo vyznamen\u00e1vat ve velk\u00e9m, i za tento m\u011bs\u00edc bylo vyd\u00e1no 11\u00a0p\u0159\u00edkaz\u016f k\u00a0vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed. Pozd\u011bji bylo tempo podepisov\u00e1ni optimalizov\u00e1no, tak\u017ee Putin podobn\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edkazy podepisuje ka\u017ed\u00e9 \u010dty\u0159i dny.<\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 611px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/orden_muzhestva_kilkist_nakaziv.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/orden_muzhestva_kilkist_nakaziv.jpg\" width=\"601\" height=\"315\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-caption-text\">Po\u010det v\u00fdnos\u016f o vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed \u0159\u00e1dem State\u010dnosti ozna\u010den\u00fdch &#8220;SS&#8221; (p\u0159\u00edsn\u011b tajn\u00e9) v roce 2022<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Zaj\u00edmav\u00e9 je, \u017ee po vyhl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed mobilizace Rusov\u00e9 zp\u016fsob vypisov\u00e1n\u00ed bojov\u00fdch vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed zm\u011bnili: dle p\u0159\u00edkazu \u010d.\u00a0722 ze 7.\u00a010.\u00a02022 \u201e<em>s\u00a0c\u00edlem pohotov\u00e9ho \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed \u00fakol\u016f vyznamen\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed voj\u00e1k\u016f<\/em>\u201c mohli vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed vypisovat a p\u0159ed\u00e1vat velitel\u00e9 vojskov\u00fdch skupin v\u00a0m\u00edstech boj\u016f jm\u00e9nem prezidenta RF. Gener\u00e1lov\u00e9 na m\u00edst\u011b tedy z\u00edskali mo\u017enost sv\u00e9 pod\u0159\u00edzen\u00e9 pohotov\u011b vyznamen\u00e1vat.<\/p>\n<p>Specifikum \u0159\u00e1du State\u010dnosti spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v\u00a0tom, \u017ee se ud\u011bluje p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b in memoriam nebo za v\u00e1\u017en\u00e1 zran\u011bn\u00ed. Jist\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st t\u011bchto vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed se skute\u010dn\u011b ud\u011bluje za \u201estate\u010dnost\u201c, jde p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b o\u00a0vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed d\u016fstojnick\u00fd sbor. Pom\u011br posmrtn\u00fdch vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed k\u00a0vyznamenan\u00fdm \u017eiv\u00fdm voj\u00e1k\u016fm se pohybuje v\u00a0rozmez\u00ed 4,5:1 a\u017e 5,5:1, tento pom\u011br se dr\u017eel cel\u00fd rok, kdy se na\u0161lo prvn\u00edch 100\/200\/300\/400\u00a0vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed. Na ka\u017ed\u00fd \u0159\u00e1d State\u010dnosti ud\u011blen\u00fd \u017eiv\u00e9mu voj\u00e1kovi bylo v\u00a0pr\u016fm\u011bru vyps\u00e1no 4 a\u017e 6\u00a0\u0159\u00e1d\u016f in memoriam. Za\u010d\u00e1tkem v\u00e1lky se \u0159\u00e1dy ud\u011blovaly in memoriam \u010dast\u011bji, \u010d\u00edm v\u00edc v\u0161ak rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da zab\u0159ed\u00e1vala do v\u00e1lky a ztr\u00e1t, t\u00edm v\u00edc \u0159\u00e1d\u016f se muselo ud\u011blovat pr\u00e1v\u011b za state\u010dnost a pob\u00edzet jimi vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed d\u016fstojnick\u00fd sbor, proto pod\u00edl posmrtn\u00fdch ud\u011blen\u00ed m\u00edrn\u011b klesl. V\u00a0z\u00e1jmu zjednodu\u0161en\u00ed a objektivity v\u00fdpo\u010dt\u016f p\u0159ipus\u0165me minim\u00e1ln\u00ed pom\u011br posmrtn\u00fdch vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed jako 4 ku 1.<\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 610px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/orden_muzhestva_month_mortal_quote.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/orden_muzhestva_month_mortal_quote.jpg\" width=\"600\" height=\"351\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u0158\u00e1d State\u010dnosti: m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u00ed statistiky vyznamen\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed in memoriam za rok 2022<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Prvn\u00ed masov\u00e9 vyznamen\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed se konalo v\u00a0b\u0159eznu 2022, kdy \u010d\u00edslov\u00e1n\u00ed \u0159\u00e1d\u016f startovalo zhruba na hodnot\u011b 77.000. Ke konci roku 2022 se dost\u00e1v\u00e1me k\u00a0\u0159\u00e1d\u016fm State\u010dnosti s\u00a0\u010d\u00edsly cca 117.000, tzn. za rok byl p\u0159ekon\u00e1n rozsah cca 40.000\u00a0vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>\u010c\u00edsla se \u0159\u00e1d\u016fm nep\u0159id\u011bluj\u00ed line\u00e1rn\u011b, tzn. ka\u017ed\u00fd n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed ud\u011blen\u00fd \u0159\u00e1d nemus\u00ed m\u00edt vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed po\u0159adov\u00e9 \u010d\u00edslo. R\u016fzn\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 okruhy nebo vojensk\u00e9 \u00fatvary nejsp\u00ed\u0161 pou\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed vlastn\u00ed sloty \u010d\u00edslov\u00e1n\u00ed vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed. Postupem \u010dasu proto \u010d\u00edsla vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed celkov\u011b stoupaj\u00ed. V\u00a0roce 2023 se st\u00e1le ud\u011bluj\u00ed jednotliv\u00e9 \u0159\u00e1dy ze s\u00e9rie \u010d\u00edsel 94.8xx, 97.xxx. V\u00a0prvn\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch 2023 se horn\u00ed pr\u00e1h \u010d\u00edslov\u00e1n\u00ed postupn\u011b posouv\u00e1 nahoru a dos\u00e1hl hodnoty 123.500+.<\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 611px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/orden_muzhestva_number_statistic.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/orden_muzhestva_number_statistic.jpg\" width=\"601\" height=\"349\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u0158\u00e1d State\u010dnosti: dynamika \u010d\u00edslov\u00e1n\u00ed \u0159\u00e1d\u016f podle m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f p\u0159ed\u00e1n\u00ed v roce 2022<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Mezi dnem \u00famrt\u00ed a vyps\u00e1n\u00edm vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed uplyne n\u011bkolik m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f: ti, co byli zlikvidov\u00e1ni v\u00a0\u00fanoru a\u017e b\u0159eznu 2022, se do\u010dkali vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00a0pr\u016fm\u011bru po 27 a\u017e 40\u00a0dnech. V\u00a0prvn\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch byli Rusov\u00e9 na hromadn\u00e9 vyznamen\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159ipraveni a prvn\u00ed padl\u00e9 odbavovali velmi rychle. Napom\u00e1hal tomu i form\u00e1t boj\u016f, kdy Rusov\u00e9 \u0161li do \u00fatoku a jejich mrtv\u00ed voj\u00e1ci z\u016fst\u00e1vali v\u00a0jejich tylu. Pozd\u011bji byla pozornost vojensk\u00fdch komisa\u0159stv\u00ed \u201erozpt\u00fdlena\u201c mobilizac\u00ed, i tato byla \u00farovn\u00ed ztr\u00e1t p\u0159et\u00ed\u017eena, proto se ke konci roku tato hodnota prodlou\u017eila na 55 a\u017e 60\u00a0dn\u016f.<\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 611px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/orden_muzhestva_daily_distance.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/orden_muzhestva_daily_distance.jpg\" width=\"601\" height=\"301\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u0158\u00e1d State\u010dnosti: po\u010dty dn\u016f mezi \u00famrt\u00edm a vyznamen\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00edm, m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u00ed statistiky za rok 2022<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Mezi dnem vyps\u00e1n\u00ed vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed a dnem, kdy se tato informace dostane do m\u00e9di\u00ed, m\u016f\u017ee nav\u00edc uplynut n\u011bkolik dal\u0161\u00edch t\u00fddn\u016f a\u017e m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f. Na za\u010d\u00e1tku roku 2023 se v\u00a0tisku st\u00e1le objevuj\u00ed voj\u00e1ci, kte\u0159\u00ed byli zlikvidov\u00e1ni v\u00a0l\u00e9t\u011b 2022.<\/p>\n<h2>200.000: jak moc re\u00e1ln\u00e9 jsou \u00fadaje o\u00a0rusk\u00fdch ztr\u00e1t\u00e1ch od ukrajinsk\u00e9ho Gener\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0161t\u00e1bu?<\/h2>\n<p>V\u00a0kv\u011btnu 2023 rusk\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty na padl\u00fdch podle zpr\u00e1v Gener\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0161t\u00e1bu Ozbrojen\u00fdch sil Ukrajiny p\u0159ekonaly 200.000. Letos se pro zm\u011bnu v\u00a0tisku objevilo i n\u011bkolik dal\u0161\u00edch ukazatel\u016f:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>180.000 mrtv\u00fdch a zran\u011bn\u00fdch ke dni 22. 1. 2023 od velitele Ozbrojen\u00fdch sil Norska gener\u00e1la Eirika Christophersena.<\/li>\n<li>cca 200.000\u00a0mrtv\u00fdch a zran\u011bn\u00fdch ke dni 2.\u00a02.\u00a02023 dle \u010dl\u00e1nku v\u00a0NYT o\u00a0rusk\u00fdch ztr\u00e1t\u00e1ch.<\/li>\n<li>500 a\u017e 43.000\u00a0padl\u00fdch a 154.000 a\u017e 180.000\u00a0zran\u011bn\u00fdch k\u00a0\u00fanoru 2023 dle \u201e\u00fanik\u016f\u201c z\u00a0Pentagonu.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Tyto hodnoty z\u00a0m\u00e9di\u00ed se s\u00a0hodnotami od ukrajinsk\u00e9ho Gener\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0161t\u00e1bu n\u011bjak moc nekryj\u00ed. Kdo tedy m\u00e1 v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pravdu?<\/p>\n<p>Za dok 2022 bylo vyps\u00e1no a\u017e 40.000\u00a0\u0159\u00e1d\u016f State\u010dnosti. Pamatujme na koeficient \u201eposmrtn\u00e9ho\u201c vyznamen\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed (4,5 a\u017e 5,5 ku 1) a vych\u00e1zejme z\u00a0toho, \u017ee m\u016f\u017ee j\u00edt o\u00a0cca 32.000\u00a0zlikvidovan\u00fdch rusk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f (z\u00a0povol\u00e1n\u00ed), kter\u00e9 stihli vyznamenat v\u00a0roce 2022. Vezmeme-li v\u00a0potaz, \u017ee to mezi likvidac\u00ed a vyznamen\u00e1n\u00edm trv\u00e1 55 a\u017e 60\u00a0dn\u016f, tato hodnota zhruba odpov\u00edd\u00e1 \u00farovni ztr\u00e1t rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy v\u00a0\u0159\u00edjnu a\u017e listopadu 2022. K\u00a0tomuto odhadu \u201erusk\u00fdch\u201c ztr\u00e1t se p\u0159id\u00e1vaj\u00ed tak\u00e9 ru\u0161t\u00ed dobrovoln\u00edci, kte\u0159\u00ed v\u00a0l\u00e9t\u011b 2022 je\u0161t\u011b \u0159\u00e1dy State\u010dnosti vyznamen\u00e1v\u00e1ni nebyli, a \u0159adov\u00ed \u010dlenov\u00e9 SVS Vagner, jim\u017e se in memoriam ud\u011bluje pouze <a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/medaile-za-statecnost-putin-zacal-vyznamenavat-ruskou-potravu-pro-dela\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">medaile Za state\u010dnost<\/a>. K\u00a0\u201erusk\u00fdm\u201c ztr\u00e1t\u00e1m je tak\u00e9 nutn\u00e9 p\u0159idat z\u00e1stupce tzv. lidov\u00fdch republik na Donbase, jim\u017e se rusk\u00e1 vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed in memoriam neud\u011bluj\u00ed v\u016fbec.<\/p>\n<p>Odhadn\u00ed vzorec pro <strong>\u0159\u00edjen a\u017e listopad 2022 <\/strong>tedy m\u016f\u017ee vypadat zhruba takto:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><em>\u2248<\/em><em>32.000 (profesion\u00e1ln\u00ed arm\u00e1da RF\/Rosgvardija)\u00a0+ dobrovoln\u00edci RF (BARS vzor l\u00e9to 2022)\u00a0+ SVS\u00a0Vagner\u00a0+ DLR\u00a0+ LLR\u00a0+ nezv\u011bstn\u00ed<br \/>\nvs.<br \/>\n70.000 a\u017e 90.000 dle Gener\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0161t\u00e1bu Ozbrojen\u00fdch sil Ukrajiny<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Vypad\u00e1 to, \u017ee by horn\u00ed p\u0159\u00ed\u010dka rusk\u00fdch ztr\u00e1t dle \u201e\u00fanik\u016f\u201c z\u00a0Pentagonu za \u00fanor 2023 (43.000\u00a0= \u0159\u00edjen-listopad\u00a0+ ztr\u00e1ty za dal\u0161\u00ed 2\u20133\u00a0m\u011bs\u00edce) mohla zhruba odpov\u00eddat skute\u010dnosti. Nav\u00edc se tato hodnota t\u00fdk\u00e1 pouze regul\u00e9rn\u00ed arm\u00e1dy a jej\u00edch ztr\u00e1t.<\/p>\n<p>\u00dadaje Gener\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0161t\u00e1bu Ozbrojen\u00fdch sil Ukrajiny jsou nejsp\u00ed\u0161 m\u00edrn\u011b nadhodnocen\u00e9, po\u010d\u00edt\u00e1me-li pouze ztr\u00e1ty arm\u00e1dy RF na padl\u00fdch. Jejich po\u010det je\u0161t\u011b pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b 200.000\u00a0nedos\u00e1hl. Po\u010d\u00edt\u00e1me-li v\u0161ak v\u0161echny souhrnn\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty (mrtv\u00e9 a zran\u011bn\u00e9), pak jsou \u00fadaje od ukrajinsk\u00e9ho Gener\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0161t\u00e1bu ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed se skute\u010dn\u00fdmi celkov\u00fdmi ztr\u00e1tami rusk\u00e9 strany dokonce podhodnoceny.<\/p>\n<h2>\u010ct\u011bte dal\u0161\u00ed publikace zalo\u017een\u00e9 na \u00fadaj\u00edch od hacktivist\u016f z Cyber Odboje<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/nabourani-ruskeho-valecneho-zlocince-zastupce-velitele-omon-krasnojarskeho-kraje-rf\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Nabour\u00e1n\u00ed rusk\u00e9ho v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9ho zlo\u010dince, z\u00e1stupce velitele OMON Krasnojarsk\u00e9ho kraje RF<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/nabourani-ruskeho-valecneho-zlocince-velitele-vojenskeho-utvaru-c-75387-960-utocneho-leteckeho-pluku\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Nabour\u00e1n\u00ed rusk\u00e9ho v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9ho zlo\u010dince, velitele vojensk\u00e9ho \u00fatvaru \u010d.\u00a075387, 960.\u00a0\u00fato\u010dn\u00e9ho leteck\u00e9ho pluku<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/informnapalm\/16517\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Nabour\u00e1n\u00ed rusk\u00e9ho Z-dobrovoln\u00edka Michaila Lu\u010dina, kter\u00fd nam\u00edsto dron\u016f pro ruskou arm\u00e1du objednal erotick\u00e9 hra\u010dky za 25.000\u00a0USD<\/a> <em>(ukrajinsky)<\/em><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/bagdasarovleaks-nabourani-exposlance-statni-dumy-rf-semjona-bagdasarova-iransky-gambit\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">BagdasarovLeaks: Nabour\u00e1n\u00ed exposlance St\u00e1tn\u00ed dumy RF Semjona Bagdasarova. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd gambit<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/nabourani-dustojnika-gru-rf-kuratora-hackerske-skupiny-apt-28-po-nemz-patra-fbi\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Nabour\u00e1n\u00ed d\u016fstojn\u00edka GRU RF, kur\u00e1tora hackersk\u00e9 skupiny APT\u00a028, po n\u011bm\u017e p\u00e1tr\u00e1 FBI<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/nabourani-jamese-bonda-nacelnika-zdravotni-sluzby-960-utocneho-leteckeho-pluku-rf-seznam-vojenskeho-utvaru-c-75387\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Nabour\u00e1n\u00ed \u201eJamese Bonda\u201c, n\u00e1\u010deln\u00edka zdravotn\u00ed slu\u017eby 960.\u00a0\u00fato\u010dn\u00e9ho leteck\u00e9ho pluku RF. Seznam vojensk\u00e9ho \u00fatvaru \u010d.\u00a075387<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/nabourani-andreje-lugoveho-poslance-statni-dumy-rf-prvniho-mistopredsedy-bezpecnostniho-vyboru\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Nabour\u00e1n\u00ed Andreje Lugov\u00e9ho, poslance St\u00e1tn\u00ed dumy RF, prvn\u00edho m\u00edstop\u0159edsedy bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edho v\u00fdboru<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/ukrajinsti-hackeri-ziskali-jedinecnou-fotku-velitele-vojenskeho-utvaru-c-26165-po-nemz-patra-fbi-kvuli-ovlivnovani-voleb-v-usa\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed hacke\u0159i z\u00edskali jedine\u010dnou fotku velitele vojensk\u00e9ho \u00fatvaru \u010d.\u00a026165, po n\u011bm\u017e p\u00e1tr\u00e1 FBI kv\u016fli ovliv\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed voleb v\u00a0USA<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft \" src=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2020\/10\/%D1%81%D1%81.jpg\" width=\"100\" height=\"48\" \/>Tento rozbor zpracoval OSINT analytik <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/anton.pavlushko\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Anton Pavlu\u0161ko<\/a> speci\u00e1ln\u011b pro InformNapalm. \u0160\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed nebo p\u0159evzet\u00ed s\u00a0odkazem na InformNapalm je v\u00edt\u00e1no. (Creative Commons\u00a0\u2014 Attribution\u00a04.0 International\u00a0\u2014 CC BY\u00a04.0). \u010cesk\u00e1 str\u00e1nka komunity InformNapalm na Facebooku: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/informnapalmcesko\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">InformNapalm \u010cesko<\/a>.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft \" src=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2016\/01\/InformNapalm_logo_07.png\" width=\"100\" height=\"44\" \/><a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">InformNapalm<\/a> nedost\u00e1v\u00e1 \u017e\u00e1dnou finan\u010dn\u00ed podporu od vl\u00e1d ani od d\u00e1rc\u016f. Zaji\u0161\u0165ovat provoz webu pom\u00e1haj\u00ed pouze dobrovoln\u00edci pracuj\u00edc\u00ed pro na\u0161i komunitu a na\u0161i \u010dten\u00e1\u0159i. Mezi dobrovoln\u00edky se m\u016f\u017eete zapojit i vy. Tak\u00e9 v\u00e1s pros\u00edme, abyste rozvoj jedine\u010dn\u00e9ho dobrovolnick\u00e9ho zpravodajsk\u00e9ho m\u00e9dia InformNapalm podpo\u0159ili sv\u00fdmi p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvky na <a href=\"https:\/\/www.buymeacoffee.com\/informnapalm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">buymeacoffee<\/a>.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>P\u0159eklad: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/scyhol\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Svatoslav \u0160\u010dyhol<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Prvn\u00ed m\u011bs\u00edc po tot\u00e1ln\u00ed invazi RF do Ukrajiny p\u0159inesli analytici od mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed zpravodajsk\u00e9 komunity InformNapalm odhady ztr\u00e1t&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":78,"featured_media":9986,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[523,516,3776],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9985","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analytics","category-all-news","category-rusko-ukrajinska-valka"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>OSINT anal\u00fdza: jak po\u010d\u00edtat ztr\u00e1ty rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy podle \u010d\u00edsel ud\u011blen\u00fdch \u0159\u00e1d\u016f State\u010dnosti - InformNapalm.org (\u010ce\u0161tina)<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/osint-analyza-jak-pocitat-ztraty-ruske-armady-podle-cisel-udelenych-radu-statecnosti\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"OSINT anal\u00fdza: jak po\u010d\u00edtat ztr\u00e1ty rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy podle \u010d\u00edsel ud\u011blen\u00fdch \u0159\u00e1d\u016f State\u010dnosti - InformNapalm.org (\u010ce\u0161tina)\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Prvn\u00ed m\u011bs\u00edc po tot\u00e1ln\u00ed invazi RF do Ukrajiny p\u0159inesli analytici od mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed zpravodajsk\u00e9 komunity InformNapalm odhady ztr\u00e1t...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/osint-analyza-jak-pocitat-ztraty-ruske-armady-podle-cisel-udelenych-radu-statecnosti\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"InformNapalm.org (\u010ce\u0161tina)\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-05-29T19:26:59+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-06-07T19:41:31+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2023\/06\/OSINT-analyza_-jak-pocitat-ztraty-ruske-armady-podle-cisel-vyznamenani-Rad-Statecnosti.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"642\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"336\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"svatoslav\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"svatoslav\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"14 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/osint-analyza-jak-pocitat-ztraty-ruske-armady-podle-cisel-udelenych-radu-statecnosti\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/osint-analyza-jak-pocitat-ztraty-ruske-armady-podle-cisel-udelenych-radu-statecnosti\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"svatoslav\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/#\/schema\/person\/df2cf86bd5e35ae01a82d1108d3c5f51\"},\"headline\":\"OSINT anal\u00fdza: jak po\u010d\u00edtat ztr\u00e1ty rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy podle \u010d\u00edsel ud\u011blen\u00fdch \u0159\u00e1d\u016f State\u010dnosti\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-05-29T19:26:59+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2023-06-07T19:41:31+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/osint-analyza-jak-pocitat-ztraty-ruske-armady-podle-cisel-udelenych-radu-statecnosti\/\"},\"wordCount\":3571,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/osint-analyza-jak-pocitat-ztraty-ruske-armady-podle-cisel-udelenych-radu-statecnosti\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2023\/06\/OSINT-analyza_-jak-pocitat-ztraty-ruske-armady-podle-cisel-vyznamenani-Rad-Statecnosti.jpg\",\"articleSection\":[\"Analytika\",\"Novinky\",\"Rusko-ukrajinsk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/osint-analyza-jak-pocitat-ztraty-ruske-armady-podle-cisel-udelenych-radu-statecnosti\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/osint-analyza-jak-pocitat-ztraty-ruske-armady-podle-cisel-udelenych-radu-statecnosti\/\",\"name\":\"OSINT anal\u00fdza: jak po\u010d\u00edtat ztr\u00e1ty rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy podle \u010d\u00edsel ud\u011blen\u00fdch \u0159\u00e1d\u016f State\u010dnosti - 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Uk\u00e1zalo se, \u017ee rusk\u00e1 st\u00e1tn\u00ed vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed umo\u017e\u0148uj\u00ed rusk\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty p\u0159esn\u011b spo\u010d\u00edtat. V\u00a0na\u0161\u00ed anal\u00fdze jsme pokra\u010dovali a \u010d\u00edsla rusk\u00fdch vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed metodicky sb\u00edrali. B\u011bhem prvn\u00edch 15\u00a0m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f bylo shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bno p\u0159es tis\u00edcovku r\u016fzn\u00fdch listin o\u00a0vyznamen\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed rusk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f.<!--more-->\r\n<h2>Kdo tvo\u0159\u00ed \u201erusk\u00e9\u201c ztr\u00e1ty. Metodologie v\u00fdpo\u010dt\u016f<\/h2>\r\nKa\u017edodenn\u011b p\u0159edkl\u00e1d\u00e1 Gener\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0161t\u00e1b Ozbrojen\u00fdch sil Ukrajiny statistick\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy o\u00a0orienta\u010dn\u00edch ztr\u00e1t\u00e1ch rusk\u00fdch okupant\u016f. Uveden\u00e9 hodnoty v\u0161ak zahrnuj\u00ed nejen z\u00e1stupce arm\u00e1dy RF. Hned od prvn\u00edho dne v\u00e1lky proti Ukrajin\u011b v\u00e1l\u010d\u00ed tyto ozbrojen\u00e9 formace:\r\n<h3>Rusk\u00e1 federace:<\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n \t<li>regul\u00e9rn\u00ed arm\u00e1da RF<\/li>\r\n \t<li>Rosgvardija (rusk\u00e1 n\u00e1rodn\u00ed garda)<\/li>\r\n \t<li>pohrani\u010dn\u00edci (FSB)<\/li>\r\n \t<li>odd\u00edly BARS (bojov\u00e9 arm\u00e1dn\u00ed z\u00e1lohy zem\u011b, z\u010d\u00e1sti dobrovoln\u00edci v\u00a0prvn\u00edch dnech v\u00e1lky)<\/li>\r\n \t<li>dobrovoln\u00edci z\u00a0RF<\/li>\r\n \t<li>\u00fadajn\u011b soukrom\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti<\/li>\r\n \t<li>mobilizovan\u00ed Rusov\u00e9 (od 22.\u00a09.\u00a02022)<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\nDo aktivit na frontov\u00e9 linii Rusov\u00e9 d\u00e1le zapojuj\u00ed tyto formace:\r\n<ul>\r\n \t<li>Ministerstvo pro mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u00e9 situace (minov\u00e1n\u00ed a odminov\u00e1n\u00ed, \u017eenijn\u00ed pr\u00e1ce, z\u00e1chrann\u00e9 pr\u00e1ce)<\/li>\r\n \t<li>oprav\u00e1rensk\u00e9 t\u00fdmy v\u00fdrobn\u00edch podnik\u016f vojensk\u00e9 techniky<\/li>\r\n \t<li>civiln\u00ed zdravotn\u00edci z\u00a0RF pracuj\u00edc\u00ed pro rusk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 nemocnice<\/li>\r\n \t<li>stavebn\u00ed t\u00fdmy z\u00a0civilist\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed stav\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 objekty na z\u00e1klad\u011b kontraktu s\u00a0arm\u00e1dou RF<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n<h3>Formace kolaborant\u016f z\u00a0tzv. DLR:<\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n \t<li>1. arm\u00e1dn\u00ed sbor a dal\u0161\u00ed ozbrojen\u00e9 slo\u017eky tzv. Don\u011bck\u00e9 lidov\u00e9 republiky<\/li>\r\n \t<li>mobilizovan\u00ed ob\u010dan\u00e9 na do\u010dasn\u011b okupovan\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed Don\u011bck\u00e9 oblasti<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n<h3>Formace kolaborant\u016f z\u00a0tzv. LLR:<\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n \t<li>2. arm\u00e1dn\u00ed sbor a dal\u0161\u00ed ozbrojen\u00e9 slo\u017eky tzv. Luhansk\u00e9 lidov\u00e9 republiky<\/li>\r\n \t<li>mobilizovan\u00ed ob\u010dan\u00e9 na do\u010dasn\u011b okupovan\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed Luhansk\u00e9 oblasti<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\nZ\u00e1stupci t\u011bchto t\u0159\u00ed velk\u00fdch skupin se budou ve statistik\u00e1ch Ozbrojen\u00fdch sil Ukrajiny po\u010d\u00edtat jako celkov\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty rusk\u00fdch okupant\u016f.\r\n<h2>Invazn\u00ed arm\u00e1da<\/h2>\r\nV\u00a0\u00fanoru 2022 spustila RF tot\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lku, kdy m\u011bla na hranic\u00edch s\u00a0Ukrajinou cca 150.000 a\u017e 250.000\u00a0voj\u00e1k\u016f (arm\u00e1da RF\u00a0+ Rosgvardija). Tato hodnota je dost pomysln\u00e1, do invazn\u00ed arm\u00e1dy toti\u017e m\u016f\u017eeme za\u0159adit v\u0161echny rusk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 \u00fatvary, kter\u00e9 jsou n\u011bkter\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem z\u00fa\u010dastn\u011bny na napaden\u00ed Ukrajiny. Jde o\u00a0vojensk\u00e1 leti\u0161t\u011b a raketov\u00e1 vojska, kter\u00e1 Ukrajinu ve velk\u00e9m ost\u0159eluj\u00ed, oprav\u00e1rensk\u00e9 t\u00fdmy, \u00fatvary zapojen\u00e9 do logistiky arm\u00e1dy RF a dal\u0161\u00ed.\r\n\r\nDo rusk\u00e9 invazn\u00ed arm\u00e1dy mus\u00edme zapo\u010d\u00edtat ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly tzv. lidov\u00fdch republik na Donbase, kter\u00e9 od roku 2014 z\u010d\u00e1sti tvo\u0159ili <a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/db\/russian-invasion\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ru\u0161t\u00ed voj\u00e1ci<\/a> (velen\u00ed, d\u016fstojnick\u00fd sbor, instrukto\u0159i, techni\u010dt\u00ed specialist\u00e9, tzv. dovolenk\u00e1\u0159i).\r\n\r\nNa okupovan\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti Don\u011bck\u00e9 oblasti p\u016fjde o\u00a0tzv. 1.\u00a0arm\u00e1dn\u00ed sbor (1AS, tzv. Lidov\u00e9 milice DLR). V\u00a0r\u016fzn\u00fdch letech tento svazek m\u011bl ve stavu 20.000 a\u017e 35.000\u00a0voj\u00e1k\u016f p\u0159ed tot\u00e1ln\u00ed invaz\u00ed.\r\n\r\nNa okupovan\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti Luhansk\u00e9 oblasti p\u016fjde o\u00a0tzv. 2.\u00a0arm\u00e1dn\u00ed sbor (2AS, tzv. Lidov\u00e9 milice LLR). V\u00a0r\u016fzn\u00fdch letech se stav tohoto svazku pohyboval mezi 15.000 a\u017e 20.000\u00a0voj\u00e1k\u016f p\u0159ed tot\u00e1ln\u00ed invaz\u00ed.\r\n\r\nHned od prvn\u00edch dn\u016f v\u00e1lky zah\u00e1jili Rusov\u00e9 na okupovan\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed ve velk\u00e9m mobilizaci, kdy do struktur 1. a 2.\u00a0AS p\u0159ib\u00edrali dal\u0161\u00ed brance z\u00a0okupovan\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed. Od t\u00e9to doby prob\u011bhlo na \u00fazem\u00ed tzv. lidov\u00fdch republik ji\u017e n\u011bkolik vln mobilizace. Jde o\u00a0desetitis\u00edce mobilizovan\u00fdch osob.\r\n\r\nV\u00a0samotn\u00e9m Rusku se po linii Ministerstva obrany RF rozjelo z\u0159izov\u00e1n\u00ed odd\u00edl\u016f BARS (\u201ebojov\u00e9 arm\u00e1dn\u00ed z\u00e1lohy zem\u011b\u201c) z\u00a0dobrovoln\u00fdch z\u00e1lo\u017e\u00e1k\u016f. Prvn\u00ed aktivn\u00ed soust\u0159ed\u011bn\u00ed tzv. bars\u00e1k\u016f se konalo koncem roku 2021. \u010c\u00e1st z\u00a0t\u011bchto \u00fatvar\u016f byla r\u00e1zu dobrovolnick\u00e9ho, \u010d\u00e1st m\u011bla podepsan\u00e9 kontrakty s\u00a0n\u011bkter\u00fdm \u00fa\u0159adem Ministerstva obrany RF, nikoli v\u0161ak p\u0159\u00edmo s\u00a0Ministerstvem obrany RF. Tyto odd\u00edly se nejaktivn\u011bji zapojovaly v\u00a0prvn\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch v\u00e1lky.\r\n\r\nKdy\u017e za\u010dalo b\u00fdt jasn\u00e9, \u017ee regul\u00e9rn\u00ed arm\u00e1da nesta\u010d\u00ed, za\u010daly v\u00a0regionech RF vznikat m\u00edstn\u00ed dobrovolnick\u00e9 odd\u00edly. Sem pat\u0159\u00ed tak\u00e9 velk\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed <a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/kozaci-sluzebnici-kremlu-hrobari-rise\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">odd\u00edl\u016f rusk\u00fdch koz\u00e1ck\u00fdch formac\u00ed<\/a>. Celkov\u011b lze mluvit o\u00a0cca 100\u00a0r\u016fzn\u00fdch <a href=\"https:\/\/ru.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/%D0%94%D0%BE%D0%B1%D1%80%D0%BE%D0%B2%D0%BE%D0%BB%D1%8C%D1%87%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%BA%D0%B8%D0%B5_%D0%B1%D0%B0%D1%82%D0%B0%D0%BB%D1%8C%D0%BE%D0%BD%D1%8B_%D0%A0%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%81%D0%B8%D0%B8_%D0%B2%D0%BE_%D0%B2%D1%82%D0%BE%D1%80%D0%B6%D0%B5%D0%BD%D0%B8%D0%B8_%D0%BD%D0%B0_%D0%A3%D0%BA%D1%80%D0%B0%D0%B8%D0%BD%D1%83\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">dobrovolnick\u00fdch odd\u00edlech<\/a>. Velikost ka\u017ed\u00e9ho z\u00a0nich je t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 odhadnout, v\u00a0pr\u016fm\u011bru jde o\u00a0n\u011bkolik rot a\u017e n\u011bkolik prapor\u016f. Celkov\u00fd stav takto zapojen\u00fdch vojsk tedy nep\u0159esahuje 50.000\u00a0voj\u00e1k\u016f.\r\n\r\nSoub\u011b\u017en\u011b prob\u00edhalo roz\u0161i\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed regul\u00e9rn\u00ed arm\u00e1dy, kter\u00e1 tak\u0159ka z\u00a0ulice p\u0159ib\u00edrala rekruty na kr\u00e1tkodob\u00fd t\u0159\u00edm\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u00ed kontrakt.\r\n\r\nDo v\u00e1lky s\u00a0Ukrajinou se museli zapojit voj\u00e1ci z\u00a0okupa\u010dn\u00edch z\u00e1kladen mimo Rusko (Ji\u017en\u00ed Osetie, Abch\u00e1zie, T\u00e1d\u017eikist\u00e1n, N\u00e1horn\u00ed Karabach, S\u00fdrie)\u00a0\u2013 ozn\u00e1men\u00ed o\u00a0\u00famrt\u00ed t\u011bchto voj\u00e1k\u016f se pravideln\u011b objevuj\u00ed v\u00a0tisku.\r\n\r\nV\u00e1lka se nevyhnula ani vzd\u00e1len\u00fdm region\u016fm samotn\u00e9 RF (Kurily, Murmansk, Kaliningrad). U\u00a0n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva byly lodn\u00ed pos\u00e1dky tla\u010deny do p\u0159estupu k\u00a0n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed p\u011bchot\u011b.\r\n\r\nPo vypuknut\u00ed v\u00e1lky se na front\u011b za\u010daly objevovat prvn\u00ed jednotky tzv. \u00fadajn\u011b soukrom\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch spole\u010dnost\u00ed typu Vagner. P\u0159ed tot\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lkou \u0161lo o\u00a0dost specifick\u00e9 odd\u00edly, kter\u00e9 se z\u0159izovaly <a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.rocks\/pmc_rush\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">na p\u016fd\u011b nebo pod z\u00e1\u0161titou GRU<\/a> a jejich\u017e stav kol\u00edsal v\u00a0rozmez\u00ed n\u011bkolika prapor\u016f a\u017e jedn\u00e9 brig\u00e1dy. V\u00a0dob\u011b aktivn\u00edch boj\u016f za\u010daly s\u00e1zet na p\u0159ib\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed nevycvi\u010den\u00e9 p\u011bchoty. Od \u010dervence a\u017e srpna 2022 se za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed na front\u011b objevovat prvn\u00ed \u201evagnerovci\u201c nabran\u00ed z\u00a0osob ve v\u00fdkonu trestu. Stavy \u201evagnerovc\u016f\u201c jsou velmi dynamick\u00e9, jsou toti\u017e nasazov\u00e1n\u00ed jako tzv. potrava pro d\u011bla.\r\n\r\nAkutn\u00ed nedostatek voj\u00e1k\u016f kv\u016fli velk\u00fdm ztr\u00e1t\u00e1m p\u0159im\u011bl Rusy 22.\u00a0z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed vyhl\u00e1sit (\u010d\u00e1ste\u010dnou) mobilizaci, kter\u00e1 de iure st\u00e1le trv\u00e1. Po\u010det z\u00edskan\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm tohoto mechanismu lze zjistit jen t\u011b\u017eko.\r\n\r\nPo linii Ministerstva vnitra RF byly do v\u00e1lky zapojov\u00e1ny jak jednotky Rosgvardiji (prvn\u00ed etapa v\u00e1lky), tak <a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/nabourani-ruskeho-valecneho-zlocince-zastupce-velitele-omon-krasnojarskeho-kraje-rf\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">sdru\u017een\u00e9 odd\u00edly z\u00a0policist\u016f z\u00a0rusk\u00fdch region\u016f<\/a>.\r\n\r\nPo linii Ministerstva RF pro mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u00e9 situace byly do boj\u016f zapojeny oprav\u00e1rensk\u00e9, \u017eenijn\u00ed a z\u00e1chrann\u00e9 t\u00fdmy.\r\n\r\nPo linii FSB se v\u00e1lky \u00fa\u010dastn\u00ed ru\u0161t\u00ed pohrani\u010dn\u00edci a zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed odd\u00edly. Po linii Feder\u00e1ln\u00ed slu\u017eby ostrahy se do Ukrajiny dost\u00e1vaj\u00ed in\u017een\u00fd\u0159i spoj\u016f a ostraha \u00fastavn\u00edch \u010dinitel\u016f.\r\n\r\nZ\u00e1stupci t\u011bchto vojensk\u00fdch skupin tak\u00e9 <a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/db\/russian-invasion\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">trp\u011bli ztr\u00e1ty ve v\u00e1lce proti Ukrajin\u011b<\/a>. Zkusme nyn\u00ed zjistit, jak m\u016f\u017eeme ztr\u00e1ty t\u011bchto \u201eRus\u016f\u201c odhadnout.\r\n<h2>Anal\u00fdza ve\u0159ejn\u00fdch zdroj\u016f (OSINT)<\/h2>\r\nZ\u00a0ve\u0159ejn\u00fdch zdroj\u016f dok\u00e1\u017eeme z\u00edskat informace jen o\u00a0\u010d\u00e1sti ztr\u00e1t RF. Nejlep\u0161\u00edm badatelem na toto t\u00e9ma je ukrajinsk\u00fd twitterov\u00fd u\u017eivatel <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/666_mancer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Necro Mancer<\/a>, kter\u00fd p\u016fsob\u00ed ji\u017e od roku 2014. Analyzuje pouze rusk\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty. Za posledn\u00ed rok p\u0159idal do datab\u00e1ze p\u0159es 8.000\u00a0\u00famrtn\u00edch ozn\u00e1men\u00ed Rus\u016f s\u00a0uveden\u00edm vojensk\u00fdch \u00fatvar\u016f, m\u00edst \u00famrt\u00ed a dal\u0161\u00edch \u00fadaj\u016f. Dal\u0161\u00edch n\u011bkolik desetitis\u00edc\u016f Rus\u016f na svou \u0159adu \u010dek\u00e1. Mancerova datab\u00e1ze je nejlep\u0161\u00edm zdrojem pro jmenn\u00e9 a podrobn\u00e9 pochopen\u00ed rusk\u00fdch ztr\u00e1t.\r\n\r\nNovin\u00e1\u0159i od BBC se tohoto trendu chytili a analyzuj\u00ed ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 zdroje, kdy sv\u00e9 statistky pravideln\u011b aktualizuj\u00ed. S\u00a0platnost\u00ed pro kv\u011bten 2023 identifikovali p\u0159es 22.000\u00a0zlikvidovan\u00fdch Rus\u016f. Zkoumaj\u00ed vylo\u017een\u011b rusk\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty, tzv. bez n\u00e1hradn\u00edch formac\u00ed tzv. lidov\u00fdch republik. Tyto studie vyhodnocuj\u00ed zpr\u00e1vy v\u00a0rusk\u00e9m tisku, p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvky na soci\u00e1ln\u00edch s\u00edt\u00edch, fotografie z\u00a0poh\u0159ebi\u0161\u0165 a vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed in memoriam, pam\u011btn\u00ed desky atd. Tento p\u0159\u00edstup umo\u017e\u0148uje odhalit jen \u010d\u00e1st Rus\u016f, jejich\u017e \u00famrtn\u00ed ozn\u00e1men\u00ed se mihla v\u00a0tisku.\r\n\r\nZtr\u00e1ty mezi kolaboranty z\u00a0tzv. lidov\u00fdch republik prakticky nikdo nesleduje. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee \u010d\u00e1st \u201erusk\u00fdch\u201c ztr\u00e1t, kter\u00e9 hl\u00e1s\u00ed Gener\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0161t\u00e1b Ozbrojen\u00fdch sil Ukrajiny, se ned\u00e1 v\u016fbec vyhodnotit.\r\n\r\nPoznamenejme, \u017ee pr\u00e1v\u011b z\u00e1stupci tzv. lidov\u00fdch republik trp\u011bli velk\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty na Donbase v\u00a0prvn\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch v\u00e1lky, <a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/zpravodajska-data-o-jednotkach-1-a-2-armadniho-sboru-rf-na-okupovanem-donbase\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">1AS a 2AS<\/a> toti\u017e Rusov\u00e9 nasazovali jako potravu pro d\u011bla ji\u017e dlouho p\u0159ed \u201evagnerovci\u201c. Tyto \u201erepublikov\u00e9\u201c jednotky byly \u201ehistoricky\u201c h\u016f\u0159 technicky vybaveny ne\u017e rusk\u00e1 regul\u00e9rn\u00ed arm\u00e1da. Velk\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty u\u00a0t\u011bchto jednotek p\u0159im\u011bly Rusy urychlit mobilizaci na okupovan\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed Luhansk\u00e9 a Don\u011bck\u00e9 oblasti. Kdy\u017e za\u010dal tento pramen vysychat, muselo se p\u0159ikro\u010dit k\u00a0mobilizaci ji\u017e v\u00a0samotn\u00e9 RF.\r\n<h2>Nezv\u011bstn\u00ed<\/h2>\r\nRozbor ztr\u00e1t podle \u00famrtn\u00edch ozn\u00e1men\u00ed zahrnuje jen ty ztr\u00e1ty, kter\u00e9 byly ofici\u00e1ln\u011b p\u0159izn\u00e1ny. \u010c\u00e1st ztr\u00e1t v\u0161ak spad\u00e1 do kategorie nezv\u011bstn\u00fdch. Takov\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty ve ve\u0159ejn\u00fdch zdroj\u00edch ani \u00famrtn\u00edch ozn\u00e1men\u00edch nenajdeme, ofici\u00e1ln\u011b toti\u017e je\u0161t\u011b nebyli prohl\u00e1\u0161eni za mrtv\u00e9. Ot\u00e1zkou je, jak velk\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st t\u011bchto vyk\u00e1zan\u00fdch ztr\u00e1t do t\u00e9to kategorie spad\u00e1.\r\n\r\nNap\u0159. mluv\u00edme-li o\u00a0v\u00e1lce SSSR v\u00a0Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu, p\u016fjde o\u00a02\u20133\u00a0%. V\u00a0Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu v\u0161ak Sov\u011btsk\u00fd svaz v\u00e1l\u010dil regul\u00e9rn\u00ed arm\u00e1dou proti partyz\u00e1n\u016fm.\r\n\r\nV\u00a0Prvn\u00edm \u010de\u010densk\u00e9m ta\u017een\u00ed dos\u00e1hla tato hodnota 20\u00a0% nezv\u011bstn\u00fdch z\u00a0celkov\u00fdch ztr\u00e1t. (<a href=\"https:\/\/web.archive.org\/web\/20170208082735\/http:\/memo.ru\/hr\/hotpoints\/n-caucas\/soldat\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">[1]<\/a>)\r\n\r\nV\u00a0tomto ohledu je zaj\u00edmav\u011bj\u0161\u00ed posoudit statistiky z\u00a0Druh\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, kde spolu v\u00e1l\u010dily dv\u011b regul\u00e9rn\u00ed arm\u00e1dy ve velk\u00e9m pou\u017e\u00edvaj\u00edc\u00ed d\u011blost\u0159electvo a obrn\u011bnou techniku. V\u00a0r\u016fzn\u00fdch obdob\u00edch v\u00e1lky jsou tyto hodnoty velmi odli\u0161n\u00e9. Na za\u010d\u00e1tku v\u00e1lky kv\u016fli rychl\u00e9mu postupu Wehrmachtu \u0161lo o\u00a0pom\u011br m\u00e1lem 1:1. Zat\u00edmco ke konci v\u00e1lky, kdy SSSR aktivn\u011b postupoval kup\u0159edu, \u0161lo ji\u017e o\u00a0pom\u011br 12:1. Odhod\u00edme-li tyto extr\u00e9my a posoud\u00edme-li \u201epomysln\u00fd\u201c rok 1943, pak p\u016fjde o\u00a0pom\u011br 5 ku 1. (<a href=\"https:\/\/web.archive.org\/web\/20120320223821\/http:\/gpw.tellur.ru\/page.html?r=facts&amp;s=losses\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">[2]<\/a>)\r\n\r\nTo znamen\u00e1, \u017ee 15 a\u017e 20\u00a0% zlikvidovan\u00fdch rusk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f je zat\u00edm vedeno jako nezv\u011bstn\u00ed. Jm\u00e9na t\u011bchto voj\u00e1k\u016f nenajdeme v\u00a0\u00famrtn\u00edch ozn\u00e1men\u00edch, pam\u011btn\u00ed desky s\u00a0jejich jm\u00e9ny se zat\u00edm neobjevuj\u00ed ve vestibulech rusk\u00fdch \u0161kol. Nebyli ani vyznamen\u00e1ni \u0159\u00e1dy nebo medailemi in memoriam.\r\n\r\nA zde se dost\u00e1v\u00e1me k\u00a0v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 metod\u011b v\u00fdpo\u010dtu ztr\u00e1t pr\u00e1v\u011b rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy, a sice vyznamen\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00edm in memoriam.\r\n<h2>Rusk\u00e1 vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed (in memoriam)<\/h2>\r\nV\u00a0dob\u011b posledn\u00ed v\u00e1lky SSSR v\u00a0Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu dost\u00e1vali padl\u00ed a v\u00e1\u017en\u011b zran\u011bn\u00ed voj\u00e1ci \u0159\u00e1d Rud\u00e9 hv\u011bzdy. Po rozpadu SSSR Rusov\u00e9 \u201ehv\u011bzdu\u201c nahradili nov\u00fdm \u0159\u00e1dem State\u010dnosti (1994). T\u00edmto \u0159\u00e1dem byli vyznamen\u00e1v\u00e1ni padl\u00ed v\u00a0po\u010detn\u00fdch rusk\u00fdch v\u00e1lk\u00e1ch, jako\u017e i v\u00e1\u017en\u011b zran\u011bn\u00ed voj\u00e1ci nebo ti, kte\u0159\u00ed \u201eprok\u00e1zali state\u010dnost\u201c. Tento \u0159\u00e1d byl tak\u00e9 \u010dasto p\u0159ed\u00e1v\u00e1n vy\u0161\u0161\u00edm d\u016fstojn\u00edk\u016fm, aby se nepl\u00fdtvalo hv\u011bzdami Hrdiny.\r\n\r\n<img class=\"alignnone size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/80480_kuzhuget.jpg\" width=\"1200\" height=\"1600\" \/>\r\n\r\nTento \u0159\u00e1d mohou z\u00edskat tak\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161nici Ministerstva vnitra nebo Ministerstva pro mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u00e9 situace, po\u010detn\u00ed hasi\u010di a z\u00e1chran\u00e1\u0159i, kte\u0159\u00ed \u201eprok\u00e1zali state\u010dnost\u201c. N\u011bkdy b\u00fdv\u00e1 toto vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed ud\u011blov\u00e1no i civilist\u016fm, hv\u011bzd\u00e1m \u0161oubyznysu, politik\u016fm nebo zn\u00e1m\u00fdm osobnostem. V\u00a0dob\u011b aktivn\u00edch boj\u016f se v\u0161ak \u201estate\u010d\u0148\u00e1k\u201c ud\u011bluje p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b in memoriam nebo za v\u00e1\u017en\u00e1 zran\u011bn\u00ed.\r\n<h2>Statistiky vyznamen\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed<\/h2>\r\nJi\u017e od prvn\u00edch dn\u016f v\u00e1lky jsme sb\u00edrali fotografie pr\u016fvodn\u00edch listin k\u00a0\u0159\u00e1d\u016fm State\u010dnosti. K\u00a0dne\u0161n\u00edmu dni jsme shrom\u00e1\u017edili informace k\u00a0v\u00edce ne\u017e 550\u00a0\u0159\u00e1d\u016fm ud\u011blen\u00fdm od \u00fanora 2022. Tato vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed se vypisuj\u00ed na p\u0159\u00edkaz prezidenta RF, v\u00fdpis z\u00a0p\u0159\u00edkazu m\u00edv\u00e1 \u010d\u00edslo s\u00a0pozn\u00e1mkou \u201eSS\u201c (sover\u0161enno sekretno\u00a0= p\u0159\u00edsn\u011b tajn\u00e9). Tyto p\u0159\u00edkazy se na webu prezidenta RF kremlin.ru neuve\u0159ej\u0148uj\u00ed. Na z\u00e1klad\u011b t\u011bchto \u201etajn\u00fdch\u201c p\u0159\u00edkaz\u016f doch\u00e1z\u00ed k\u00a0vyznamen\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed rusk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f ve velk\u00e9m.\r\n\r\n<a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/prikaz_1-300x195.jpg\"><img class=\"alignnone size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/prikaz_1-300x195.jpg\" width=\"300\" height=\"195\" \/><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/prikaz_2-300x183.jpg\"><img class=\"alignnone size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/prikaz_2-300x183.jpg\" width=\"300\" height=\"183\" \/><\/a>\r\n\r\nB\u011bhem 10\u00a0m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f roku 2022 bylo podeps\u00e1no minim\u00e1ln\u011b 72\u00a0podobn\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edkaz\u016f. B\u0159ezen 2022 byl prvn\u00edm m\u011bs\u00edcem, kdy se za\u010dalo vyznamen\u00e1vat ve velk\u00e9m, i za tento m\u011bs\u00edc bylo vyd\u00e1no 11\u00a0p\u0159\u00edkaz\u016f k\u00a0vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed. Pozd\u011bji bylo tempo podepisov\u00e1ni optimalizov\u00e1no, tak\u017ee Putin podobn\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edkazy podepisuje ka\u017ed\u00e9 \u010dty\u0159i dny.\r\n\r\n[caption id=\"\" align=\"alignnone\" width=\"601\"]<a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/orden_muzhestva_kilkist_nakaziv.jpg\"><img class=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/orden_muzhestva_kilkist_nakaziv.jpg\" width=\"601\" height=\"315\" \/><\/a> Po\u010det v\u00fdnos\u016f o vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed \u0159\u00e1dem State\u010dnosti ozna\u010den\u00fdch \"SS\" (p\u0159\u00edsn\u011b tajn\u00e9) v roce 2022[\/caption]\r\n\r\nZaj\u00edmav\u00e9 je, \u017ee po vyhl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed mobilizace Rusov\u00e9 zp\u016fsob vypisov\u00e1n\u00ed bojov\u00fdch vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed zm\u011bnili: dle p\u0159\u00edkazu \u010d.\u00a0722 ze 7.\u00a010.\u00a02022 \u201e<em>s\u00a0c\u00edlem pohotov\u00e9ho \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed \u00fakol\u016f vyznamen\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed voj\u00e1k\u016f<\/em>\u201c mohli vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed vypisovat a p\u0159ed\u00e1vat velitel\u00e9 vojskov\u00fdch skupin v\u00a0m\u00edstech boj\u016f jm\u00e9nem prezidenta RF. Gener\u00e1lov\u00e9 na m\u00edst\u011b tedy z\u00edskali mo\u017enost sv\u00e9 pod\u0159\u00edzen\u00e9 pohotov\u011b vyznamen\u00e1vat.\r\n\r\nSpecifikum \u0159\u00e1du State\u010dnosti spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v\u00a0tom, \u017ee se ud\u011bluje p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b in memoriam nebo za v\u00e1\u017en\u00e1 zran\u011bn\u00ed. Jist\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st t\u011bchto vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed se skute\u010dn\u011b ud\u011bluje za \u201estate\u010dnost\u201c, jde p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b o\u00a0vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed d\u016fstojnick\u00fd sbor. Pom\u011br posmrtn\u00fdch vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed k\u00a0vyznamenan\u00fdm \u017eiv\u00fdm voj\u00e1k\u016fm se pohybuje v\u00a0rozmez\u00ed 4,5:1 a\u017e 5,5:1, tento pom\u011br se dr\u017eel cel\u00fd rok, kdy se na\u0161lo prvn\u00edch 100\/200\/300\/400\u00a0vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed. Na ka\u017ed\u00fd \u0159\u00e1d State\u010dnosti ud\u011blen\u00fd \u017eiv\u00e9mu voj\u00e1kovi bylo v\u00a0pr\u016fm\u011bru vyps\u00e1no 4 a\u017e 6\u00a0\u0159\u00e1d\u016f in memoriam. Za\u010d\u00e1tkem v\u00e1lky se \u0159\u00e1dy ud\u011blovaly in memoriam \u010dast\u011bji, \u010d\u00edm v\u00edc v\u0161ak rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da zab\u0159ed\u00e1vala do v\u00e1lky a ztr\u00e1t, t\u00edm v\u00edc \u0159\u00e1d\u016f se muselo ud\u011blovat pr\u00e1v\u011b za state\u010dnost a pob\u00edzet jimi vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed d\u016fstojnick\u00fd sbor, proto pod\u00edl posmrtn\u00fdch ud\u011blen\u00ed m\u00edrn\u011b klesl. V\u00a0z\u00e1jmu zjednodu\u0161en\u00ed a objektivity v\u00fdpo\u010dt\u016f p\u0159ipus\u0165me minim\u00e1ln\u00ed pom\u011br posmrtn\u00fdch vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed jako 4 ku 1.\r\n\r\n[caption id=\"\" align=\"alignnone\" width=\"600\"]<a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/orden_muzhestva_month_mortal_quote.jpg\"><img class=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/orden_muzhestva_month_mortal_quote.jpg\" width=\"600\" height=\"351\" \/><\/a> \u0158\u00e1d State\u010dnosti: m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u00ed statistiky vyznamen\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed in memoriam za rok 2022[\/caption]\r\n\r\nPrvn\u00ed masov\u00e9 vyznamen\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed se konalo v\u00a0b\u0159eznu 2022, kdy \u010d\u00edslov\u00e1n\u00ed \u0159\u00e1d\u016f startovalo zhruba na hodnot\u011b 77.000. Ke konci roku 2022 se dost\u00e1v\u00e1me k\u00a0\u0159\u00e1d\u016fm State\u010dnosti s\u00a0\u010d\u00edsly cca 117.000, tzn. za rok byl p\u0159ekon\u00e1n rozsah cca 40.000\u00a0vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed.\r\n\r\n\u010c\u00edsla se \u0159\u00e1d\u016fm nep\u0159id\u011bluj\u00ed line\u00e1rn\u011b, tzn. ka\u017ed\u00fd n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed ud\u011blen\u00fd \u0159\u00e1d nemus\u00ed m\u00edt vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed po\u0159adov\u00e9 \u010d\u00edslo. R\u016fzn\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 okruhy nebo vojensk\u00e9 \u00fatvary nejsp\u00ed\u0161 pou\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed vlastn\u00ed sloty \u010d\u00edslov\u00e1n\u00ed vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed. Postupem \u010dasu proto \u010d\u00edsla vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed celkov\u011b stoupaj\u00ed. V\u00a0roce 2023 se st\u00e1le ud\u011bluj\u00ed jednotliv\u00e9 \u0159\u00e1dy ze s\u00e9rie \u010d\u00edsel 94.8xx, 97.xxx. V\u00a0prvn\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch 2023 se horn\u00ed pr\u00e1h \u010d\u00edslov\u00e1n\u00ed postupn\u011b posouv\u00e1 nahoru a dos\u00e1hl hodnoty 123.500+.\r\n\r\n[caption id=\"\" align=\"alignnone\" width=\"601\"]<a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/orden_muzhestva_number_statistic.jpg\"><img class=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/orden_muzhestva_number_statistic.jpg\" width=\"601\" height=\"349\" \/><\/a> \u0158\u00e1d State\u010dnosti: dynamika \u010d\u00edslov\u00e1n\u00ed \u0159\u00e1d\u016f podle m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f p\u0159ed\u00e1n\u00ed v roce 2022[\/caption]\r\n\r\nMezi dnem \u00famrt\u00ed a vyps\u00e1n\u00edm vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed uplyne n\u011bkolik m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f: ti, co byli zlikvidov\u00e1ni v\u00a0\u00fanoru a\u017e b\u0159eznu 2022, se do\u010dkali vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00a0pr\u016fm\u011bru po 27 a\u017e 40\u00a0dnech. V\u00a0prvn\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch byli Rusov\u00e9 na hromadn\u00e9 vyznamen\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159ipraveni a prvn\u00ed padl\u00e9 odbavovali velmi rychle. Napom\u00e1hal tomu i form\u00e1t boj\u016f, kdy Rusov\u00e9 \u0161li do \u00fatoku a jejich mrtv\u00ed voj\u00e1ci z\u016fst\u00e1vali v\u00a0jejich tylu. Pozd\u011bji byla pozornost vojensk\u00fdch komisa\u0159stv\u00ed \u201erozpt\u00fdlena\u201c mobilizac\u00ed, i tato byla \u00farovn\u00ed ztr\u00e1t p\u0159et\u00ed\u017eena, proto se ke konci roku tato hodnota prodlou\u017eila na 55 a\u017e 60\u00a0dn\u016f.\r\n\r\n[caption id=\"\" align=\"alignnone\" width=\"601\"]<a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/orden_muzhestva_daily_distance.jpg\"><img class=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/orden_muzhestva_daily_distance.jpg\" width=\"601\" height=\"301\" \/><\/a> \u0158\u00e1d State\u010dnosti: po\u010dty dn\u016f mezi \u00famrt\u00edm a vyznamen\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00edm, m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u00ed statistiky za rok 2022[\/caption]\r\n\r\nMezi dnem vyps\u00e1n\u00ed vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed a dnem, kdy se tato informace dostane do m\u00e9di\u00ed, m\u016f\u017ee nav\u00edc uplynut n\u011bkolik dal\u0161\u00edch t\u00fddn\u016f a\u017e m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f. Na za\u010d\u00e1tku roku 2023 se v\u00a0tisku st\u00e1le objevuj\u00ed voj\u00e1ci, kte\u0159\u00ed byli zlikvidov\u00e1ni v\u00a0l\u00e9t\u011b 2022.\r\n<h2>200.000: jak moc re\u00e1ln\u00e9 jsou \u00fadaje o\u00a0rusk\u00fdch ztr\u00e1t\u00e1ch od ukrajinsk\u00e9ho Gener\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0161t\u00e1bu?<\/h2>\r\nV\u00a0kv\u011btnu 2023 rusk\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty na padl\u00fdch podle zpr\u00e1v Gener\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0161t\u00e1bu Ozbrojen\u00fdch sil Ukrajiny p\u0159ekonaly 200.000. Letos se pro zm\u011bnu v\u00a0tisku objevilo i n\u011bkolik dal\u0161\u00edch ukazatel\u016f:\r\n<ul>\r\n \t<li>180.000 mrtv\u00fdch a zran\u011bn\u00fdch ke dni 22. 1. 2023 od velitele Ozbrojen\u00fdch sil Norska gener\u00e1la Eirika Christophersena.<\/li>\r\n \t<li>cca 200.000\u00a0mrtv\u00fdch a zran\u011bn\u00fdch ke dni 2.\u00a02.\u00a02023 dle \u010dl\u00e1nku v\u00a0NYT o\u00a0rusk\u00fdch ztr\u00e1t\u00e1ch.<\/li>\r\n \t<li>500 a\u017e 43.000\u00a0padl\u00fdch a 154.000 a\u017e 180.000\u00a0zran\u011bn\u00fdch k\u00a0\u00fanoru 2023 dle \u201e\u00fanik\u016f\u201c z\u00a0Pentagonu.<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\nTyto hodnoty z\u00a0m\u00e9di\u00ed se s\u00a0hodnotami od ukrajinsk\u00e9ho Gener\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0161t\u00e1bu n\u011bjak moc nekryj\u00ed. Kdo tedy m\u00e1 v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pravdu?\r\n\r\nZa dok 2022 bylo vyps\u00e1no a\u017e 40.000\u00a0\u0159\u00e1d\u016f State\u010dnosti. Pamatujme na koeficient \u201eposmrtn\u00e9ho\u201c vyznamen\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed (4,5 a\u017e 5,5 ku 1) a vych\u00e1zejme z\u00a0toho, \u017ee m\u016f\u017ee j\u00edt o\u00a0cca 32.000\u00a0zlikvidovan\u00fdch rusk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f (z\u00a0povol\u00e1n\u00ed), kter\u00e9 stihli vyznamenat v\u00a0roce 2022. Vezmeme-li v\u00a0potaz, \u017ee to mezi likvidac\u00ed a vyznamen\u00e1n\u00edm trv\u00e1 55 a\u017e 60\u00a0dn\u016f, tato hodnota zhruba odpov\u00edd\u00e1 \u00farovni ztr\u00e1t rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy v\u00a0\u0159\u00edjnu a\u017e listopadu 2022. K\u00a0tomuto odhadu \u201erusk\u00fdch\u201c ztr\u00e1t se p\u0159id\u00e1vaj\u00ed tak\u00e9 ru\u0161t\u00ed dobrovoln\u00edci, kte\u0159\u00ed v\u00a0l\u00e9t\u011b 2022 je\u0161t\u011b \u0159\u00e1dy State\u010dnosti vyznamen\u00e1v\u00e1ni nebyli, a \u0159adov\u00ed \u010dlenov\u00e9 SVS Vagner, jim\u017e se in memoriam ud\u011bluje pouze <a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/medaile-za-statecnost-putin-zacal-vyznamenavat-ruskou-potravu-pro-dela\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">medaile Za state\u010dnost<\/a>. K\u00a0\u201erusk\u00fdm\u201c ztr\u00e1t\u00e1m je tak\u00e9 nutn\u00e9 p\u0159idat z\u00e1stupce tzv. lidov\u00fdch republik na Donbase, jim\u017e se rusk\u00e1 vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed in memoriam neud\u011bluj\u00ed v\u016fbec.\r\n\r\nOdhadn\u00ed vzorec pro <strong>\u0159\u00edjen a\u017e listopad 2022 <\/strong>tedy m\u016f\u017ee vypadat zhruba takto:\r\n<blockquote>\r\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><em>\u2248<\/em><em>32.000 (profesion\u00e1ln\u00ed arm\u00e1da RF\/Rosgvardija)\u00a0+ dobrovoln\u00edci RF (BARS vzor l\u00e9to 2022)\u00a0+ SVS\u00a0Vagner\u00a0+ DLR\u00a0+ LLR\u00a0+ nezv\u011bstn\u00ed\r\nvs.\r\n70.000 a\u017e 90.000 dle Gener\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0161t\u00e1bu Ozbrojen\u00fdch sil Ukrajiny<\/em><\/p>\r\n<\/blockquote>\r\nVypad\u00e1 to, \u017ee by horn\u00ed p\u0159\u00ed\u010dka rusk\u00fdch ztr\u00e1t dle \u201e\u00fanik\u016f\u201c z\u00a0Pentagonu za \u00fanor 2023 (43.000\u00a0= \u0159\u00edjen-listopad\u00a0+ ztr\u00e1ty za dal\u0161\u00ed 2\u20133\u00a0m\u011bs\u00edce) mohla zhruba odpov\u00eddat skute\u010dnosti. Nav\u00edc se tato hodnota t\u00fdk\u00e1 pouze regul\u00e9rn\u00ed arm\u00e1dy a jej\u00edch ztr\u00e1t.\r\n\r\n\u00dadaje Gener\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0161t\u00e1bu Ozbrojen\u00fdch sil Ukrajiny jsou nejsp\u00ed\u0161 m\u00edrn\u011b nadhodnocen\u00e9, po\u010d\u00edt\u00e1me-li pouze ztr\u00e1ty arm\u00e1dy RF na padl\u00fdch. Jejich po\u010det je\u0161t\u011b pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b 200.000\u00a0nedos\u00e1hl. Po\u010d\u00edt\u00e1me-li v\u0161ak v\u0161echny souhrnn\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty (mrtv\u00e9 a zran\u011bn\u00e9), pak jsou \u00fadaje od ukrajinsk\u00e9ho Gener\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0161t\u00e1bu ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed se skute\u010dn\u00fdmi celkov\u00fdmi ztr\u00e1tami rusk\u00e9 strany dokonce podhodnoceny.\r\n<h2>\u010ct\u011bte dal\u0161\u00ed publikace zalo\u017een\u00e9 na \u00fadaj\u00edch od hacktivist\u016f z Cyber Odboje<\/h2>\r\n<ul>\r\n \t<li><a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/nabourani-ruskeho-valecneho-zlocince-zastupce-velitele-omon-krasnojarskeho-kraje-rf\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Nabour\u00e1n\u00ed rusk\u00e9ho v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9ho zlo\u010dince, z\u00e1stupce velitele OMON Krasnojarsk\u00e9ho kraje RF<\/a><\/li>\r\n \t<li><a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/nabourani-ruskeho-valecneho-zlocince-velitele-vojenskeho-utvaru-c-75387-960-utocneho-leteckeho-pluku\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Nabour\u00e1n\u00ed rusk\u00e9ho v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9ho zlo\u010dince, velitele vojensk\u00e9ho \u00fatvaru \u010d.\u00a075387, 960.\u00a0\u00fato\u010dn\u00e9ho leteck\u00e9ho pluku<\/a><\/li>\r\n \t<li><a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/informnapalm\/16517\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Nabour\u00e1n\u00ed rusk\u00e9ho Z-dobrovoln\u00edka Michaila Lu\u010dina, kter\u00fd nam\u00edsto dron\u016f pro ruskou arm\u00e1du objednal erotick\u00e9 hra\u010dky za 25.000\u00a0USD<\/a> <em>(ukrajinsky)<\/em><\/li>\r\n \t<li><a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/bagdasarovleaks-nabourani-exposlance-statni-dumy-rf-semjona-bagdasarova-iransky-gambit\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">BagdasarovLeaks: Nabour\u00e1n\u00ed exposlance St\u00e1tn\u00ed dumy RF Semjona Bagdasarova. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd gambit<\/a><\/li>\r\n \t<li><a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/nabourani-dustojnika-gru-rf-kuratora-hackerske-skupiny-apt-28-po-nemz-patra-fbi\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Nabour\u00e1n\u00ed d\u016fstojn\u00edka GRU RF, kur\u00e1tora hackersk\u00e9 skupiny APT\u00a028, po n\u011bm\u017e p\u00e1tr\u00e1 FBI<\/a><\/li>\r\n \t<li><a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/nabourani-jamese-bonda-nacelnika-zdravotni-sluzby-960-utocneho-leteckeho-pluku-rf-seznam-vojenskeho-utvaru-c-75387\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Nabour\u00e1n\u00ed \u201eJamese Bonda\u201c, n\u00e1\u010deln\u00edka zdravotn\u00ed slu\u017eby 960.\u00a0\u00fato\u010dn\u00e9ho leteck\u00e9ho pluku RF. Seznam vojensk\u00e9ho \u00fatvaru \u010d.\u00a075387<\/a><\/li>\r\n \t<li><a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/nabourani-andreje-lugoveho-poslance-statni-dumy-rf-prvniho-mistopredsedy-bezpecnostniho-vyboru\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Nabour\u00e1n\u00ed Andreje Lugov\u00e9ho, poslance St\u00e1tn\u00ed dumy RF, prvn\u00edho m\u00edstop\u0159edsedy bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edho v\u00fdboru<\/a><\/li>\r\n \t<li><a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/ukrajinsti-hackeri-ziskali-jedinecnou-fotku-velitele-vojenskeho-utvaru-c-26165-po-nemz-patra-fbi-kvuli-ovlivnovani-voleb-v-usa\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed hacke\u0159i z\u00edskali jedine\u010dnou fotku velitele vojensk\u00e9ho \u00fatvaru \u010d.\u00a026165, po n\u011bm\u017e p\u00e1tr\u00e1 FBI kv\u016fli ovliv\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed voleb v\u00a0USA<\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n\r\n<hr \/>\r\n\r\n<img class=\"alignleft \" src=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2020\/10\/%D1%81%D1%81.jpg\" width=\"100\" height=\"48\" \/>Tento rozbor zpracoval OSINT analytik <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/anton.pavlushko\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Anton Pavlu\u0161ko<\/a> speci\u00e1ln\u011b pro InformNapalm. \u0160\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed nebo p\u0159evzet\u00ed s\u00a0odkazem na InformNapalm je v\u00edt\u00e1no. (Creative Commons\u00a0\u2014 Attribution\u00a04.0 International\u00a0\u2014 CC BY\u00a04.0). \u010cesk\u00e1 str\u00e1nka komunity InformNapalm na Facebooku: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/informnapalmcesko\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">InformNapalm \u010cesko<\/a>.\r\n\r\n<hr \/>\r\n\r\n<img class=\"alignleft \" src=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2016\/01\/InformNapalm_logo_07.png\" width=\"100\" height=\"44\" \/><a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">InformNapalm<\/a> nedost\u00e1v\u00e1 \u017e\u00e1dnou finan\u010dn\u00ed podporu od vl\u00e1d ani od d\u00e1rc\u016f. Zaji\u0161\u0165ovat provoz webu pom\u00e1haj\u00ed pouze dobrovoln\u00edci pracuj\u00edc\u00ed pro na\u0161i komunitu a na\u0161i \u010dten\u00e1\u0159i. Mezi dobrovoln\u00edky se m\u016f\u017eete zapojit i vy. Tak\u00e9 v\u00e1s pros\u00edme, abyste rozvoj jedine\u010dn\u00e9ho dobrovolnick\u00e9ho zpravodajsk\u00e9ho m\u00e9dia InformNapalm podpo\u0159ili sv\u00fdmi p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvky na <a href=\"https:\/\/www.buymeacoffee.com\/informnapalm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">buymeacoffee<\/a>.\r\n\r\n<hr \/>\r\n\r\nP\u0159eklad: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/scyhol\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Svatoslav \u0160\u010dyhol<\/a>","amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9985","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/78"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9985"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9985\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9989,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9985\/revisions\/9989"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9986"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9985"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9985"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9985"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}