The InformNapalm team has received the following information from our insider in occupied Sevastopol:
Recently, we observe a strange pattern: the aircrafts at the military air base in Belbek [on the outskirts of the Crimean city of Sevastopol] perform training flights exclusively in very difficult weather conditions when the lower edge of the clouds is within 150-200 meters and the visibility is about 700 meters. When the weather is good all flights stop.
This information indirectly confirms our assumption set out in the operational summary for January 20, 2015:
We cannot ignore a possibility of using air force by the Russian side. Panic has been spread among the local population of the occupied territory of Donetsk. People are told that the Ukrainian air forces are going to bomb them.
We want to remind you that the Ukrainian MiG-29 fighters seized by the Russians during the occupation of Crimea remain in Belbek. Back in April-June of 2014, military experts warned about such a possibility; however, for some reason that scenario was postponed. Now we are observing the escalation of the situation again.
There is some information that the city of Mariupol can be a possible target of an air attack, although we should not write off other objects as well.
Flights in adverse weather conditions, especially in cloudy conditions, make it difficult to trace the aircrafts from satellites.