{"id":10339,"date":"2017-02-07T14:06:23","date_gmt":"2017-02-07T14:06:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/?p=10339"},"modified":"2017-02-07T14:06:23","modified_gmt":"2017-02-07T14:06:23","slug":"russia-paving-way-admitting-polite-military-invasion-ukraine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/russia-paving-way-admitting-polite-military-invasion-ukraine\/","title":{"rendered":"Is Russia paving the way for admitting its \u201cpolite\u201d military invasion of Ukraine?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Russia has changed its official stance on many issues many times. One can hardly expect anything else from a country whose past is rewritten by every new ruler. Presumably, we\u2019ve encountered a situation when Russia will start admitting its involvement in the war against Ukraine. However, they will be doing it gradually and with the familiar cynicism.<\/p>\n<p>Putin has been telling stories about the local \u201cpeople\u2019s militia\u201d in Crimea with the uniform and equipment purchased from a \u201csurplus shop\u201d since the very onset of war against Ukraine. However, he admitted later that the Ukrainian military units were blocked and disarmed by Russia\u2019s regular forces; InformNapalm\u2014international intelligence community\u2014covered details of the Crimea occupation operation in its OSINT studies a number of times <a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/10341-desant-berkut-krym\/\">[1]<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/12642-104dshp\/\">[2]<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Gradually, Russian \u201cpolitical technologists\u201d seem to start paving the way for the admission of the Russian military incursion in Ukraine. Local separatists, numerous Russian mercenaries, and Novorossia advocates have always been aware of the presence of the Russian regular troops and equipment. They\u2019ve even coined a special term \u2014 <em>Northerly Wind \u2014 <\/em>to refer to this.<\/p>\n<p>Russians \u2014 and Soviets before them \u2014 frequently replace conventional terms with some oblique euphemisms or come up with an altogether new terms. For instance, all Soviet Union\u2019s military operations abroad were referred to as <em>\u201cbrotherly assistance\u201d<\/em> or <em>\u201cinternational duty\u201d <\/em>in spite of their being acts of aggression and intervention in fact.<\/p>\n<p>Military equipment supply to Donbas is referred to as the <em>Voentorg <\/em>(\u201cmilitary surplus shop\u201d); Russian troops are known as <em>Otpuskniki <\/em>(\u201cvacationers\u201d) or <em>Ikhtamnet <\/em>(\u201cthey-are-not-there\u201d) etc. This substitution of terms is a fine psychological move. For instance, the Russian media pushed the term <em>\u201clittle green men\u201d<\/em> upon us, and we have accepted this euphemism instead of referring to the <em>Russian Army.<\/em> Is it mere coincidence or a result of the conscious effort of professional media psychologists?<\/p>\n<p>Putin\u2019s jocular reference to rumors of Donald Trump\u2019s adventures in Moscow is a recent example of such substitutions. The word <em>\u201cprostitute\u201d <\/em>would sound too gross, direct and confrontational, but a comment about <em>\u201cgirls with reduced social responsibility\u201d <\/em>made the media almost ecstatically happy. So, is it mere coincidence or yet another result of the conscious effort of professional media psychologists?<\/p>\n<p>However, let us get back to the Russians\u2019 attempts to make overtures for the admission of the fact of involvement of the Russian military in the War in Donbas. Political scientist Sergey Markov made a statement on <a href=\"http:\/\/echo.msk.ru\/programs\/personalno\/1919820-echo\/\">Osoboye Mneniye<\/a> show on Echo of Moscow radio. His style of speech is somewhat reminiscent of Zhirinovsky at the early stage of his political career. They play similar roles by voicing ideas that have been hatched by the Kremlin, but are too outrageous to be officially announced.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>\u201cYeah, I believe there are <strong>\u201csurplus shop\u201d<\/strong> supplies, there are some <strong>\u201cvacationers\u201d<\/strong>. According to my sources, there were two &#8220;vacations&#8221; of one week each. Do you remember that critical moment with the encirclement at Ilovaisk? Indeed, there were some vacationers there, who, so to say, contributed to tightening the noose at Ilovaisk, and they also helped later with the encirclement at Debaltseve. Otherwise, everything has been done by the Donetsk People&#8217;s Republic (DPR) and Luhansk People&#8217;s Republic (LPR) army which Stockholm Institute of Strategic Studies ranked, I believe, fifth or sixth in Europe in terms of its potential.\u201d<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" width=\"978\" height=\"550\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/7OW1___faH8?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p>One can readily notice the euphemisms, such as \u201cvacationers\u201d or \u201csurplus shop\u201d. Markov effectively admits the participation of the Russian military in the war against Ukraine in both Ilovaisk and Debaltseve. So, Russians are trying to console us instead of admitting the fact of the aggression: Yes, there was some involvement but only twice. And \u201cjust a bit\u201d doesn\u2019t count.<\/p>\n<p>Russian agitprop might gradually move to such an interpretation of this war with time. For the first three years, Russians kept demanding proofs <em>(\u201cWhere\u2019s the evidence?!\u201d) <\/em>However, the rhetoric can change gradually along the lines of their being unable to stand aloof and having to intervene twice. Merely twice. Many Western partners would even be glad to \u201caccept\u201d this version.<\/p>\n<p>However, let us recall that the first officially recognized Russian POW Andrey Balobanov was captured by the Ukrainian Army on July 16 or 17, 2014, one month before the Battle of Ilovaisk; two more Russian soldiers\u2014Petr Khokhlov and Ruslan Garafiyev\u2014were captured in early August. Both these events occurred before the Battle of Ilovaisk.<\/p>\n<p>GRU special forces soldiers Aleksandr Aleksandrov and Yevgeniy Yerofeyev were captured on May 16, 2015, long after the Battle of Debaltseve. Russian Army major Vladimir Starkov was taken captive in summer 2015, also long after Debaltseve.<\/p>\n<p>InformNapalm analysts have been observing <a href=\"http:\/\/russian-army-in-ukraine.silk.co\/\">activities of Russian troops in Ukraine<\/a> from the very beginning of the war until now.<\/p>\n<p>In addition to the regular infantry, there is <a href=\"http:\/\/rus-weaponry-in-donbas.silk.co\/\">regular technical military personnel<\/a> deployed to Donbas on a permanent basis to maintain sophisticated equipment in service only with the Russian Army.<\/p>\n<p>It is important for Ukraine to steal initiative at a right moment and demonstrate their permanent presence. Interestingly, it was after the presentation of our group\u2019s materials to the NATO and the OSCE that <a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/31595-za-kulisami-ros-propagandy\/\">LPR and DPR propagandists became more active<\/a> trying to discredit investigations pursued by the Ukrainian volunteers.<\/p>\n<p>Sooner or later, courts will pass their judgements. Sooner or later, courts will resolve that Russia has been supplying arms to Donbas. Sooner or later, the <em>Northerly Wind<\/em> will be called the regular Russian Army. And sooner or later, Russia will have to pay reparations to Ukraine for the military aggression and inflicted damage. And this agression will not be reduced to the two episodes.<\/p>\n<p><em>This publication was prepared by <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/anton.pavlushko\">Anton Pavlushko<\/a>, <\/strong>translated by<strong>\u00a0<\/strong><span class=\"fwn fcg\"><span class=\"fwb fcg\">Oleksandr Ivanov, edited by Artem Velichko<\/span><\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/14\/2016\/08\/InformNapalm_logo_05.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-8997 alignleft\" src=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/14\/2016\/08\/InformNapalm_logo_05.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"141\" height=\"62\" \/><\/a>(CC BY) Information specially prepared for\u00a0<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/\"><em>InformNapalm.org<\/em><\/a><strong><em> site, an active link to the authors and our project is obligatory for any reprint or further use of the material.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Russia has changed its official stance on many issues many times. One can hardly expect anything else&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":106,"featured_media":10341,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[528,532],"tags":[357,330],"class_list":["post-10339","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","category-world","tag-russian-aggression","tag-russian-invasion-of-ukraine"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Is Russia paving the way for admitting its \u201cpolite\u201d military invasion of Ukraine? - InformNapalm.org (English)<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/russia-paving-way-admitting-polite-military-invasion-ukraine\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Is Russia paving the way for admitting its \u201cpolite\u201d military invasion of Ukraine? - InformNapalm.org (English)\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Russia has changed its official stance on many issues many times. One can hardly expect anything else...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/russia-paving-way-admitting-polite-military-invasion-ukraine\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"InformNapalm.org (English)\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2017-02-07T14:06:23+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/14\/2017\/02\/sergey_markov-642x336.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"642\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"336\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"vasgri\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"vasgri\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/russia-paving-way-admitting-polite-military-invasion-ukraine\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/russia-paving-way-admitting-polite-military-invasion-ukraine\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"vasgri\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/d9ac22904157eeb67f0b60921e87d8bf\"},\"headline\":\"Is Russia paving the way for admitting its \u201cpolite\u201d military invasion of Ukraine?\",\"datePublished\":\"2017-02-07T14:06:23+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/russia-paving-way-admitting-polite-military-invasion-ukraine\/\"},\"wordCount\":989,\"commentCount\":0,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/russia-paving-way-admitting-polite-military-invasion-ukraine\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/14\/2017\/02\/sergey_markov-642x336.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Russian aggression\",\"Russian invasion of Ukraine\"],\"articleSection\":[\"News\",\"World\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/russia-paving-way-admitting-polite-military-invasion-ukraine\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/russia-paving-way-admitting-polite-military-invasion-ukraine\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/russia-paving-way-admitting-polite-military-invasion-ukraine\/\",\"name\":\"Is Russia paving the way for admitting its \u201cpolite\u201d military invasion of Ukraine? 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One can hardly expect anything else from a country whose past is rewritten by every new ruler. Presumably, we\u2019ve encountered a situation when Russia will start admitting its involvement in the war against Ukraine. However, they will be doing it gradually and with the familiar cynicism.\r\n\r\nPutin has been telling stories about the local \u201cpeople\u2019s militia\u201d in Crimea with the uniform and equipment purchased from a \u201csurplus shop\u201d since the very onset of war against Ukraine. However, he admitted later that the Ukrainian military units were blocked and disarmed by Russia\u2019s regular forces; InformNapalm\u2014international intelligence community\u2014covered details of the Crimea occupation operation in its OSINT studies a number of times <a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/10341-desant-berkut-krym\/\">[1]<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/12642-104dshp\/\">[2]<\/a>.\r\n\r\nGradually, Russian \u201cpolitical technologists\u201d seem to start paving the way for the admission of the Russian military incursion in Ukraine. Local separatists, numerous Russian mercenaries, and Novorossia advocates have always been aware of the presence of the Russian regular troops and equipment. They\u2019ve even coined a special term \u2014 <em>Northerly Wind \u2014 <\/em>to refer to this.\r\n\r\nRussians \u2014 and Soviets before them \u2014 frequently replace conventional terms with some oblique euphemisms or come up with an altogether new terms. For instance, all Soviet Union\u2019s military operations abroad were referred to as <em>\u201cbrotherly assistance\u201d<\/em> or <em>\u201cinternational duty\u201d <\/em>in spite of their being acts of aggression and intervention in fact.\r\n\r\nMilitary equipment supply to Donbas is referred to as the <em>Voentorg <\/em>(\u201cmilitary surplus shop\u201d); Russian troops are known as <em>Otpuskniki <\/em>(\u201cvacationers\u201d) or <em>Ikhtamnet <\/em>(\u201cthey-are-not-there\u201d) etc. This substitution of terms is a fine psychological move. For instance, the Russian media pushed the term <em>\u201clittle green men\u201d<\/em> upon us, and we have accepted this euphemism instead of referring to the <em>Russian Army.<\/em> Is it mere coincidence or a result of the conscious effort of professional media psychologists?\r\n\r\nPutin\u2019s jocular reference to rumors of Donald Trump\u2019s adventures in Moscow is a recent example of such substitutions. The word <em>\u201cprostitute\u201d <\/em>would sound too gross, direct and confrontational, but a comment about <em>\u201cgirls with reduced social responsibility\u201d <\/em>made the media almost ecstatically happy. So, is it mere coincidence or yet another result of the conscious effort of professional media psychologists?\r\n\r\nHowever, let us get back to the Russians\u2019 attempts to make overtures for the admission of the fact of involvement of the Russian military in the War in Donbas. Political scientist Sergey Markov made a statement on <a href=\"http:\/\/echo.msk.ru\/programs\/personalno\/1919820-echo\/\">Osoboye Mneniye<\/a> show on Echo of Moscow radio. His style of speech is somewhat reminiscent of Zhirinovsky at the early stage of his political career. They play similar roles by voicing ideas that have been hatched by the Kremlin, but are too outrageous to be officially announced.\r\n<blockquote><em>\u201cYeah, I believe there are <strong>\u201csurplus shop\u201d<\/strong> supplies, there are some <strong>\u201cvacationers\u201d<\/strong>. According to my sources, there were two \"vacations\" of one week each. Do you remember that critical moment with the encirclement at Ilovaisk? Indeed, there were some vacationers there, who, so to say, contributed to tightening the noose at Ilovaisk, and they also helped later with the encirclement at Debaltseve. Otherwise, everything has been done by the Donetsk People's Republic (DPR) and Luhansk People's Republic (LPR) army which Stockholm Institute of Strategic Studies ranked, I believe, fifth or sixth in Europe in terms of its potential.\u201d<\/em><\/blockquote>\r\nhttps:\/\/youtu.be\/7OW1___faH8\r\n\r\n<em>\u00a0<\/em>\r\n\r\nOne can readily notice the euphemisms, such as \u201cvacationers\u201d or \u201csurplus shop\u201d. Markov effectively admits the participation of the Russian military in the war against Ukraine in both Ilovaisk and Debaltseve. So, Russians are trying to console us instead of admitting the fact of the aggression: Yes, there was some involvement but only twice. And \u201cjust a bit\u201d doesn\u2019t count.\r\n\r\nRussian agitprop might gradually move to such an interpretation of this war with time. For the first three years, Russians kept demanding proofs <em>(\u201cWhere\u2019s the evidence?!\u201d) <\/em>However, the rhetoric can change gradually along the lines of their being unable to stand aloof and having to intervene twice. Merely twice. Many Western partners would even be glad to \u201caccept\u201d this version.\r\n\r\nHowever, let us recall that the first officially recognized Russian POW Andrey Balobanov was captured by the Ukrainian Army on July 16 or 17, 2014, one month before the Battle of Ilovaisk; two more Russian soldiers\u2014Petr Khokhlov and Ruslan Garafiyev\u2014were captured in early August. Both these events occurred before the Battle of Ilovaisk.\r\n\r\nGRU special forces soldiers Aleksandr Aleksandrov and Yevgeniy Yerofeyev were captured on May 16, 2015, long after the Battle of Debaltseve. Russian Army major Vladimir Starkov was taken captive in summer 2015, also long after Debaltseve.\r\n\r\nInformNapalm analysts have been observing <a href=\"http:\/\/russian-army-in-ukraine.silk.co\/\">activities of Russian troops in Ukraine<\/a> from the very beginning of the war until now.\r\n\r\nIn addition to the regular infantry, there is <a href=\"http:\/\/rus-weaponry-in-donbas.silk.co\/\">regular technical military personnel<\/a> deployed to Donbas on a permanent basis to maintain sophisticated equipment in service only with the Russian Army.\r\n\r\nIt is important for Ukraine to steal initiative at a right moment and demonstrate their permanent presence. Interestingly, it was after the presentation of our group\u2019s materials to the NATO and the OSCE that <a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/31595-za-kulisami-ros-propagandy\/\">LPR and DPR propagandists became more active<\/a> trying to discredit investigations pursued by the Ukrainian volunteers.\r\n\r\nSooner or later, courts will pass their judgements. Sooner or later, courts will resolve that Russia has been supplying arms to Donbas. Sooner or later, the <em>Northerly Wind<\/em> will be called the regular Russian Army. And sooner or later, Russia will have to pay reparations to Ukraine for the military aggression and inflicted damage. And this agression will not be reduced to the two episodes.\r\n\r\n<em>This publication was prepared by <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/anton.pavlushko\">Anton Pavlushko<\/a>, <\/strong>translated by<strong>\u00a0<\/strong><span class=\"fwn fcg\"><span class=\"fwb fcg\">Oleksandr Ivanov, edited by Artem Velichko<\/span><\/span><\/em>\r\n\r\n<em><a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/14\/2016\/08\/InformNapalm_logo_05.png\"><img class=\" wp-image-8997 alignleft\" src=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/14\/2016\/08\/InformNapalm_logo_05.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"141\" height=\"62\" \/><\/a>(CC BY) Information specially prepared for\u00a0<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/\"><em>InformNapalm.org<\/em><\/a><strong><em> site, an active link to the authors and our project is obligatory for any reprint or further use of the material.<\/em><\/strong>\r\n\r\n&nbsp;","amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10339","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/106"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10339"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10339\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10345,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10339\/revisions\/10345"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10341"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10339"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10339"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10339"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}