Having analyzed open sources data, analytical reports, and doctrinal materials from the Russian Armed Forces, InformNapalm volunteer intelligence community identified patterns that offer an explanation to the nine-fold increase in the effectiveness of Iranian strikes against the allies.<\/p>\n
This significant change does not look like an organic evolution of the combat capability. It demonstrates a clear logic and coincide in time with the information about Russia sharing intelligence with Iran. Taken together, the facts point to a deeper process. Iran is gaining access to the Russian warfare model and experience, which centers on the Russian Special Operations Forces (SOF) as a core element enabling the entire operational complex.<\/p>\n
Over the past decades, Russian military theory has developed a concept bringing reconnaissance and firepower together into a unified process within reconnaissance-strike complex (RSC) and reconnaissance-fire complex (RFC).<\/p>\n
Their logic is simple, and at the same time, it fundamentally changes the nature of war. Target identification, transmission of coordinates, decision-making and the fires are looped into one continuous cycle. The time between these stages is reduced to a minimum.<\/p>\n
Satellites or drones alone are not enough for such a complex to operate. It requires a component that can update, verify, and adapt the information to a specific attack. In the Russian doctrine, this function is performed by the SOF interfacing the reconnaissance and fire assets. The SOF update the target coordinates, transmit them to the battle management system, adjust the strikes and evaluate the effect.<\/p>\n
This is why the SOF are at the core of the RSC and RFC.<\/p>\n
The reconnaissance and strike complex (RSC) was developed for the use of high-precision long-range weapon systems that receive data in near-real time. This complex combines satellite and drone reconnaissance, SIGINT and command centers, ensuring the engagement of targets at operational and strategic depth.<\/p>\n
The reconnaissance and fire complex (RFC) is traditionally described as a tactical-level network integrating the reconnaissance with artillery or close aviation support to quickly engage targets. At the same time, in modern Russian doctrine these complexes do not operate in isolation. They function as a single multi-level system, where tactical, operational and strategic assets are combined into a unified fires complex.<\/p>\n
Both complexes require constant interaction between their different components. In this system, the SOF play the role of an element that ensures accuracy and synchronization at all levels. They make it possible to connect different command and control levels ensuring the process continuity from reconnaissance to fires.<\/p>\n
Without this link, even the best intelligence data will not produce the desired result.<\/p>\n
Reuters<\/a> and CNN<\/a> report that Russia is providing Iran with satellite imagery and data on targets, including US military installations.<\/p>\n The Jerusalem Post<\/a> also recently reported that Russia handed over to Iran a hit list of 55 critical Israeli energy facilities.<\/p>\n In this context, it is worth mentioning the reports about Russia’s proposal to the US that it would stop the intelligence data transfer to Iran in exchange for the US limiting its intelligence support for Ukraine. A proposal of this kind is only possible if the data transfer really takes place.<\/p>\n However, the mere fact of intelligence sharing does not answer the main question of how exactly could Iran increase the effectiveness of its strikes so sharply.<\/p>\n Iranian missile hit rates against Israel have increased significantly, rising from 3% during the initial two weeks of the war to 27%.<\/p>\n Source: JP Morgan pic.twitter.com\/45erqvnl6X<\/a><\/p>\n \u2014 Clash Report (@clashreport) April 6, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n