{"id":3324,"date":"2015-02-27T10:59:45","date_gmt":"2015-02-27T10:59:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/?p=3324"},"modified":"2015-12-24T14:30:23","modified_gmt":"2015-12-24T14:30:23","slug":"vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/","title":{"rendered":"Vladimir Putin is already at war with Europe"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>At the Munich Security Conference at the beginning of February, Sergey Lavrov caused general amusement among the ministers and diplomats present when he declared that the reunification of Germany had happened without a referendum. Unquestionably, the cream of European diplomacy was laughing as much at itself \u2013 and could just as easily have cried. A year after Russia invaded and annexed Crimea, more than fifteen months since the beginning of the Euromaidan in Kyiv, and more than fifteen years since Vladimir Putin\u2019s accession to power in Russia, these politicians and diplomats are at a loss to describe what is shaking up the European continent.<span id=\"more-1312\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>In addition to the annexation of Crimea and the direct and indirect aggression in the Donbass, the last few months have seen Russian authorities, not least Vladimir Putin himself, go out of their way to multiply threats of nuclear retaliation \u2013 either in more or less veiled declarations <a id=\"return-note-1312-1\" class=\"simple-footnote\" title=\"\u201cNow, according to Russia\u2019s chief propagandist, Dmitry Kiselev, even a decision about the use of nuclear arms \u2018will be taken personally by Mr Putin, who has the undoubted support of the Russian people\u2019\u201d. \u201cWhat Russia Wants: From cold war to hot war\u201d, The Economist, 14 February 2015.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#note-1312-1\"><sup>1<\/sup><\/a> or by sending strategic bombers armed with a nuclear bomb and the transponder cut to fly over the coasts of the European Union, or by installing strategic missiles in annexed Crimea\u2026 All of this is not only extremely unpleasant, but also extremely worrying. All the more so because we have every reason to fear that the official impetus for Mrs. Merkel and Mr. Hollande\u2019s participation in the Minsk II negotiations \u2013 a letter sent by President Putin \u2013 misses what is at the heart of the matter, namely a host of new threats. How else can we interpret President Hollande\u2019s declaration on the eve of the Minsk Summit: Either we have a lasting accord (in Minsk) or it is war ? <a id=\"return-note-1312-2\" class=\"simple-footnote\" title=\"\u00ab\u00a0The Chancellor and I believe that there is a risk of war at the gates of Europe. I think this is our last chance. If we do not succeed in finding, not a compromise, but a lasting peace agreement, well, we know exactly what will happen. It has a name, and that name is war\u00a0\u00bb. Declaration by President Fran\u00e7ois Hollande, 11 February 2015.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#note-1312-2\"><sup>2<\/sup><\/a>How else can we understand Mrs. Merkel\u2019s refusal to participate in negotiations in the Kazakh capital a few weeks earlier? What conditions could have been missing from a possible summit in Astana that were later satisfied in Minsk? Looking at the outcomes of Minsk II, the answer is: none.<\/p>\n<p>If the lines of semantic clarification have finally begun to move since Minsk II, we are still wide of the mark. Yes, Germany\u2019s Minister of Foreign Affairs <a id=\"return-note-1312-3\" class=\"simple-footnote\" title=\"Declaration by Frank-Walter Steinmeier, German Foreign Affairs Minister, on 12 February 2015: \u201cThe most important thing is that Moscow and Kyiv have agreed to a ceasefire which will go into effect Saturday evening.\u201d\" href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#note-1312-3\"><sup>3<\/sup><\/a> <span lang=\"en-US\">did acknowledge that there <\/span>is a veritable war between Russia and Ukraine. And both the EU and Washington have in one way or another recognized the Russian army\u2019s direct involvement in Ukraine. Yet the reality is much more serious than that. Russia is not at war only with Ukraine. In one or more of the <em>modus operandi<\/em> of its strategy of hybrid war, Russia is already at war with NATO, the United States, and the whole of Europe. This harsh reality, which should be at the heart of the West\u2019s political rebuttal, is unfortunately still not a part of the Obama-Merkel-Hollande strategy.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Preamble for a new strategy: an economic \u00ab\u00a0nuclear bomb\u00a0\u00bb<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>If there is never an easy answer to blackmail, much less nuclear blackmail, two things are nevertheless certain: giving in to these threats is not an option, and the absence of an appropriate reaction is an invitation to Russia to escalate its aggression. So let Mr. Putin send his strategic bombers to fly over the European coastline, and multiply his allusive declarations. And let United States and Europe decide that any further nuclear threat, whether explicit or implicit, will entail the immediate exclusion of Russia from the SWIFT system. If the West took such a position and made its reasons clear, it would have the added advantage of immediately providing a subject for thought for the bigwigs of the Russian regime whose private transactions depend on the system.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Minsk II: an agreement that is already half-dead<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Laurent Fabius <a id=\"return-note-1312-4\" class=\"simple-footnote\" title=\"Laurent Fabius on his Twitter account, 17 February 2015.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#note-1312-4\"><sup>4<\/sup><\/a> <span lang=\"en-US\"><span lang=\"en-US\">may say what he will, and for him<\/span><\/span>\u00a0<span lang=\"en-US\">\u00ab\u00a0the cease-fire in the Donbass is generally <\/span>being respected\u00a0\u00bb, but there can be no illusions about the Minsk II agreement <a id=\"return-note-1312-5\" class=\"simple-footnote\" title=\"\u201cToday [February 20],\u00a0we have to face the reality that almost one week later there have been more than 300 violations of the ceasefire\u201d. Statement by the President of the European Council, 20 February 2015.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#note-1312-5\"><sup>5<\/sup><\/a>. <span lang=\"en-US\">On two crucial <\/span>points \u2013 the status of the Donbass region and the freeing of Captain Savchenko \u2013 the Russians have already broken the spirit and the letter of the agreement. It is therefore necessary to take stock of the limitations of the Obama-Merkel-Hollande strategy. Europe, the United States, and with them, Japan, Canada, Australia and South Korea, must work to reconsider the bulk of their policies in the face of Russian aggression in Ukraine, and develop a strategy that is not simply a reaction to Moscow\u2019s initiatives, but one that pre-empts, and if possible, prevents them.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Policies aimed at Russia: starting from scratch<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The annexation of Crimea \u00ab\u00a0is illegal, and as such, it threatens the European infrastructure of security. One day, we will have to give Crimea back to Ukraine.\u00a0\u00bb <a id=\"return-note-1312-6\" class=\"simple-footnote\" title=\"\u201cUkraine: \u2018What Vladimir Putin Wants\u2019, by his former Prime Minister\u201d, interview with Mikhail Kasyanov by Vincent Jauvert, L\u2019Obs, 11 February 2015.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#note-1312-6\"><sup>6<\/sup><\/a> <span lang=\"en-US\">It should be obvious that it <\/span>was not Nicolas Sarkozy <a id=\"return-note-1312-7\" class=\"simple-footnote\" title=\"Nicolas Sarkozy has in fact stated that \u00ab\u00a0Crimea chose Russia, and there is no fault in that\u00a0\u00bb, L\u2019Obs, 9 February 2015.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#note-1312-7\"><sup>7<\/sup><\/a> who said this, nor was it Daniel Cohn-Bendit <span lang=\"en-US\">who, on the day after <\/span>the Russian attack, said, \u00ab\u00a0Come on, let\u2019s not kid ourselves: Crimea is part of Russia. That\u2019s how it is\u00a0\u00bb <a id=\"return-note-1312-8\" class=\"simple-footnote\" title=\"\u00ab\u00a0Ukraine: Daniel Cohn-Bendit\u2019s Lesson on Pragmatism\u00a0\u00bb, France 24, 4 March 2014.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#note-1312-8\"><sup>8<\/sup><\/a>. <span lang=\"en-US\">No, it was a Russian figure of the highest order, Mikhail Kasyanov, the Russian <\/span>Prime Minister from 2000 to 2004.<\/p>\n<p>A large portion of the political and diplomatic establishment no longer has any illusion about the current Russian regime thanks to the multitude of freedom-quashing counter-reforms that have been put in place in that country since Vladimir Putin\u2019s rise to power, since the war between Russia and Georgia in 2008 and since Russia\u2019s incursion into Ukraine. That said, what remains is to draw the correct conclusions and adopt positions that are, at the very least, beyond the positions currently defended by the freest and most clear-sighted Russians. Not to do so would weaken those who will have to bring Russia back onto the path toward democracy and the Rule of Law. To do so means helping them very shortly to get rid of the grim inheritance of the old power structure.<\/p>\n<p>Therefore, from among existing sanctions, we must draw up a list of those that will end only when Crimea is returned to Ukraine. But the future stability of Europe \u2013 including Russia \u2013 requires us to go further. We must immediately impose new sanctions for each of the situations where Russia has violated the sovereignty of her neighbors. In addition to the annexation <em>de jure<\/em> of Crimea, these sanctions should also be explicitly tied to the <em>de facto<\/em> occupation of a part of the Donbass, to the <em>de facto<\/em> occupation of Transnistria and to the <em>de facto<\/em> annexation of Abkhazia and South Ossetia. <a id=\"return-note-1312-9\" class=\"simple-footnote\" title=\"\u00ab\u00a0Another Step toward Empire: Moscow \u2018Abolishes\u2019 Borders with Abkhazia and South Osetia\u00a0\u00bb, Paul Goble, Window on Eurasia, 19 February 2015.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#note-1312-9\"><sup>9<\/sup><\/a><\/p>\n<p>If we take the economist Paul de Grauwe\u2019s proposal as a foundation, the European Union could introduce five European taxes on Russian gas and oil \u2013 one each for Crimea, the Donbass, Abkhazia, South Ossetia and Transnistria. These taxes would be discontinued one by one as each situation is resolved, and they would be used by the EU to compensate European gas providers for the loss they would incur due to the momentary increase in costs that the introduction of the taxes would entail, at least until market fluctuation is able to absorb them. At the same time, it must be a top priority in establishing a common EU energy policy to form a purchasing confederation with exclusive authority to negotiate with Russian gas and oil producers.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Provide arms to Ukraine, or not ?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>In order to pre-empt the probable events of the coming months, we must immediately see the relevance of the declarations made by Aleksandr Zakharchenko, the head of the pro-Russian \u201cseparatists\u201d \u2013 backed by the declarations of the spokesperson for the Kremlin \u2013 which indicate that the military objective was not limited only to the region of Debaltseve, but rather encompassed the whole of the Donbass <a id=\"return-note-1312-10\" class=\"simple-footnote\" title=\"Currently, Russian forces and their proxies occupy about one third of the the Donbass.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#note-1312-10\"><sup>10<\/sup><\/a>. <span lang=\"en-US\">The question to ask therefore is not <\/span><em>whether<\/em> the Russian offensive will resume, but when it will resume. Knowing that the existing sanctions will only produce significant effects in the medium term, and knowing the extent of Russia\u2019s violations of the Minsk Protocol (massive provisioning of modern weapons, sending thousands of Russian soldiers and mercenaries, bombing Ukrainian positions from within Russian territory, \u2026), the moment has come to recognize that without modern defensive weapons (anti-tank missiles, radars, etc.), the Ukrainian army will not be able hold the demarcation line as defined by Minsk II, despite its impressive modernization and the determination of its soldiers. Not acting now means subjecting ourselves to a Minsk III, signalling a new defeat for Europe.<\/p>\n<p><strong>A new CoCom<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The vagueness surrounding the question of selling arms to Russia is harmful. The time has come for the Member States of the EU, for the United States as well as Japan, Canada, South Korea, Australia and Norway to decree a total embargo on arms deliveries to Russia \u2013 including those covered by contracts that pre-date the invasion of Crimea, like the Mistral contract \u2013 and to create, as Daniel W. Drezner suggests <a id=\"return-note-1312-11\" class=\"simple-footnote\" title=\"Daniel W. Drezner, \u201cHow the West should respond to Putin\u201d, The Washington Post, 13 February 2015.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#note-1312-11\"><sup>11<\/sup><\/a>, <span lang=\"en-US\">an institution comparable to the <\/span>CoCom of the Cold War that is charged with verifying that countries respect the ban on delivering weapons and sensitive or dual technologies <a id=\"return-note-1312-12\" class=\"simple-footnote\" title=\"According to a Polish newspaper for example, France is preparing to deliver drone submarines to \u2026 Khazakstan: http:\/\/www.defence24.pl\/News_powstana-kazachsko-francuskie-drony-podwodne-rosja-uzyska-dostep-do-technologii, Defence 24, 20 February 2015.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#note-1312-12\"><sup>12<\/sup><\/a> to Russia.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Blacklist<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Russian television stations constitute one of the most powerful weapons in the Kremlin\u2019s arsenal. With the exception of a few regional stations <a id=\"return-note-1312-13\" class=\"simple-footnote\" title=\"The Kremlin has just announced that regional television stations that do not match with the power structure will be made to toe the line.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#note-1312-13\"><sup>13<\/sup><\/a>, <span lang=\"en-US\">they pass along the Kremlin\u2019s <\/span>shameless propaganda day in and day out. The directors of these stations, as well as the journalists most deeply engaged in the disinformation campaign, should be blacklisted by the EU, the United State and their allies. In addition, this blacklist should also include everyone involved in the abduction and transfer of Captain Nadiya Savchenko to Russia. <a id=\"return-note-1312-14\" class=\"simple-footnote\" title=\"http:\/\/en.odfoundation.eu\/a\/5883,savchenko-list-persons-involeved-in-persecution-of-n-savchenko\" href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#note-1312-14\"><sup>14<\/sup><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>Three questions for Europe<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>It will therefore have taken Europe nearly one year to recognize that Russia was indeed the mastermind in the Donbass war. We cannot afford to wait out another year of \u00ab\u00a0reflection\u00a0\u00bb to size up the threat that the Russian regime represents. Mrs. Merkel\u2019s various incantations, such as \u00ab\u00a0We\u2019d like Russia to become our partner\u00a0\u00bb <a id=\"return-note-1312-15\" class=\"simple-footnote\" title=\"\u00ab\u00a0We\u2019d like Russia to become our partner, we\u2019d like to do this together with Russia, not against Russia\u00a0\u00bb, Unian, 18 February 2015\" href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#note-1312-15\"><sup>15<\/sup><\/a>, <span lang=\"en-US\">are, at best, nothing more than platitudes; at <\/span>worst, they are the sign of a staggering political void. What is at stake is neither Russia nor the interests of partnering with Russia: the question, the only question, concerns the nature of the regime in place in Moscow. No partnership is conceivable with the regime of Vladimir Putin and his vertical of power. What matters to the West and to Russia is to be rid of him as quickly as possible. Obviously it is up to the Russians to act, but the task of Western countries is not to complicate their endeavor.<\/p>\n<p>Neo-Kantian credos and getting bogged down in dreams of former national glory are pure illusions and necessarily constitute a serious threat to the security of the continent. Europe can no longer skimp on a common policy of defense and security. It is simply appalling that more than a year after the annexation of Crimea, no European leader has considered it his or her duty to suggest that this question be put on the agenda of the European Council. All the more so because the choice is not between a new politically quaint initiative like the creation of an bi- or multi-national battalion and the great leap into a single European army, but rather between \u00ab\u00a0nothing\u00a0\u00bb and the creation, by those Member States of the EU who are interested, of a common (and communitarian) European army that would neither threaten the existence of national armies, nor membership in NATO.<\/p>\n<p>The signs of the EU\u2019s cleavage are multiplying: Vladimir Putin\u2019s grand flourish in Budapest, the invitation of the Greek Defense Minister, Panos Kammenos, to Moscow, rumors that the Italian Prime Minister will shortly visit the Russian capital, the marginalization of EU institutions by two States\u2026 If there is not a radical change in course, the very existence of the EU will be in jeopardy. Measures to safeguard and reinforce the cohesion of the EU are paramount. To begin with, Member States should break with the paralyzing logic that decisions must be made unanimously. On the basis of Article 48 \u00a7 7 of the Treaty, Member States could decide that all decisions concerning relations with Russia, Ukraine, Belarus, Moldavia and Georgia be made by a qualified majority. It would be equally opportune for Member States to suspend all ministerial visits to Russia and all visits to them by Russian ministers. Lastly, and most importantly, the President of the European Council must be given exclusive authority to deal with the Russian President and government, as well as final say on the implementation of European policy with Russia, Ukraine, Belarus, Moldavia and Georgia.<\/p>\n<p>Author\u00a0Olivier Dupuis<\/p>\n<p>Original\u00a0http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/<\/p>\n<p class=\"notes\">Notes:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li id=\"note-1312-1\">\u201c<span lang=\"en-US\">Now, according to Russia\u2019s chief propagandist, Dmitry Kiselev, even a decision about the use of nuclear arms \u2018will be taken personally by Mr Putin, who has the undoubted support of the Russian people\u2019\u201d. \u201cWhat Russia Wants: From cold war to hot war\u201d, <\/span><span lang=\"en-US\"><i>The Economist<\/i><\/span><span lang=\"en-US\">, 14 February 2015.<\/span> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#return-note-1312-1\">\u21a9<\/a><\/li>\n<li id=\"note-1312-2\"><span lang=\"en-US\">\u00ab\u00a0The Chancellor and I believe that there is a risk of war at the gates of Europe. I think this is our last chance. If we do not succeed in finding, not a compromise, but a lasting peace agreement, well, we know exactly what will happen. It has a name, and that name is war\u00a0\u00bb. Declaration by President Fran\u00e7ois Hollande, 11 February 2015.<\/span> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#return-note-1312-2\">\u21a9<\/a><\/li>\n<li id=\"note-1312-3\"><span lang=\"en-US\">Declaration by Frank-Walter Steinmeier, German Foreign Affairs Minister, on 12 February 2015: \u201cThe most important thing is that Moscow and Kyiv have agreed to a ceasefire which will go into effect Saturday evening.\u201d<\/span> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#return-note-1312-3\">\u21a9<\/a><\/li>\n<li id=\"note-1312-4\"><span lang=\"en-US\">Laurent Fabius on his Twitter account, 17 February 2015.<\/span> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#return-note-1312-4\">\u21a9<\/a><\/li>\n<li id=\"note-1312-5\">\u201c<span lang=\"en-US\">Today [February 20],\u00a0we have to face the reality that almost one week later there have been more than 300 violations of the ceasefire\u201d. Statement by the President of the European Council, 20 February 2015.<\/span> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#return-note-1312-5\">\u21a9<\/a><\/li>\n<li id=\"note-1312-6\">\u201c<span lang=\"en-US\">Ukraine: \u2018What Vladimir Putin Wants\u2019, by his former Prime Minister\u201d, interview with Mikhail Kasyanov by Vincent Jauvert, <\/span><span lang=\"en-US\"><i>L\u2019Obs<\/i><\/span><span lang=\"en-US\">, 11 February 2015.<\/span> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#return-note-1312-6\">\u21a9<\/a><\/li>\n<li id=\"note-1312-7\"><span lang=\"en-US\">Nicolas Sarkozy has in fact stated that \u00ab\u00a0Crimea chose Russia, and there is no fault in that\u00a0\u00bb, <\/span><span lang=\"en-US\"><i>L\u2019Obs<\/i><\/span><span lang=\"en-US\">, 9 February 2015.<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#return-note-1312-7\">\u21a9<\/a><\/li>\n<li id=\"note-1312-8\"><span lang=\"en-US\">\u00ab\u00a0Ukraine: Daniel Cohn-Bendit\u2019s Lesson on Pragmatism\u00a0\u00bb, <\/span><span lang=\"en-US\"><i>France 24<\/i><\/span><span lang=\"en-US\">, 4 March 2014.<\/span> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#return-note-1312-8\">\u21a9<\/a><\/li>\n<li id=\"note-1312-9\"><span lang=\"en-US\">\u00ab\u00a0Another Step toward Empire: Moscow \u2018Abolishes\u2019 Borders with Abkhazia and South Osetia\u00a0\u00bb, Paul Goble, <\/span><span lang=\"en-US\"><i>Window on Eurasia<\/i><\/span><span lang=\"en-US\">, 19 February 2015.<\/span> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#return-note-1312-9\">\u21a9<\/a><\/li>\n<li id=\"note-1312-10\"><span lang=\"en-US\">Currently, Russian forces and their proxies occupy about one third of the the Donbass.<\/span> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#return-note-1312-10\">\u21a9<\/a><\/li>\n<li id=\"note-1312-11\"><span lang=\"en-US\">Daniel W. Drezner, \u201cHow the West should respond to Putin\u201d, <\/span><span lang=\"en-US\"><i>The Washington Post<\/i><\/span><span lang=\"en-US\">, 13 February 2015.<\/span> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#return-note-1312-11\">\u21a9<\/a><\/li>\n<li id=\"note-1312-12\"><span lang=\"en-US\">According to a Polish newspaper for example, France is preparing to deliver drone submarines to \u2026 Khazakstan:<\/span><span lang=\"zxx\"><a class=\"western\" href=\"http:\/\/www.defence24.pl\/News_powstana-kazachsko-francuskie-drony-podwodne-rosja-uzyska-dostep-do-technologii\">http:\/\/www.defence24.pl\/News_powstana-kazachsko-francuskie-drony-podwodne-rosja-uzyska-dostep-do-technologii<\/a><\/span><span lang=\"en-US\">, <\/span><span lang=\"en-US\"><i>Defence 24<\/i><\/span><span lang=\"en-US\">, 20 February 2015.<\/span> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#return-note-1312-12\">\u21a9<\/a><\/li>\n<li id=\"note-1312-13\"><span lang=\"en-US\">The Kremlin has just announced that regional television stations that do not match with the power structure will be made to toe the line.<\/span> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#return-note-1312-13\">\u21a9<\/a><\/li>\n<li id=\"note-1312-14\"><span lang=\"zxx\"><a class=\"western\" href=\"http:\/\/en.odfoundation.eu\/a\/5883,savchenko-list-persons-involeved-in-persecution-of-n-savchenko\"><span lang=\"en-US\">http:\/\/en.odfoundation.eu\/a\/5883,savchenko-list-persons-involeved-in-persecution-of-n-savchenko<\/span><\/a><\/span> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#return-note-1312-14\">\u21a9<\/a><\/li>\n<li id=\"note-1312-15\"><span lang=\"en-US\">\u00ab\u00a0We\u2019d like Russia to become our partner, we\u2019d like to do this together with Russia, not against Russia\u00a0\u00bb, <\/span><span lang=\"en-US\"><i>Unian<\/i><\/span><span lang=\"en-US\">, 18 February 2015<\/span> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#return-note-1312-15\">\u21a9<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>At the Munich Security Conference at the beginning of February, Sergey Lavrov caused general amusement among the&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":3325,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,528],"tags":[326,350,166,171,351,239,240],"class_list":["post-3324","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mainnews","category-news","tag-europe","tag-nato","tag-russia","tag-russian-invasion","tag-the-united-states","tag-war","tag-war-in-ukraine"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Vladimir Putin is already at war with Europe - InformNapalm.org (English)<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Russia is not at war only with Ukraine. Russia is already at war with NATO, the United States, and the whole of Europe.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Vladimir Putin is already at war with Europe - InformNapalm.org (English)\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Russia is not at war only with Ukraine. Russia is already at war with NATO, the United States, and the whole of Europe.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"InformNapalm.org (English)\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2015-02-27T10:59:45+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2015-12-24T14:30:23+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/14\/2015\/02\/18_0333.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"680\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"370\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Falcon Born\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Falcon Born\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"12 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Falcon Born\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/0a9c5fc44a7fbf844f57e2c2fa5c4bef\"},\"headline\":\"Vladimir Putin is already at war with Europe\",\"datePublished\":\"2015-02-27T10:59:45+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2015-12-24T14:30:23+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/\"},\"wordCount\":2423,\"commentCount\":2,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/14\/2015\/02\/18_0333.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Europe\",\"NATO\",\"Russia\",\"Russian invasion\",\"the United States\",\"war\",\"War in Ukraine\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Main News\",\"News\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/\",\"name\":\"Vladimir Putin is already at war with Europe - InformNapalm.org (English)\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/14\/2015\/02\/18_0333.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2015-02-27T10:59:45+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2015-12-24T14:30:23+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/0a9c5fc44a7fbf844f57e2c2fa5c4bef\"},\"description\":\"Russia is not at war only with Ukraine. Russia is already at war with NATO, the United States, and the whole of Europe.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/14\/2015\/02\/18_0333.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/14\/2015\/02\/18_0333.jpg\",\"width\":680,\"height\":370},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Vladimir Putin is already at war with Europe\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/\",\"name\":\"InformNapalm.org (English)\",\"description\":\"Latest News from Ukraine\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/0a9c5fc44a7fbf844f57e2c2fa5c4bef\",\"name\":\"Falcon Born\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/2ab3370fab9c246db359190da7fc69ece9dd5c0538f0fa255b77632480af62e6?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/2ab3370fab9c246db359190da7fc69ece9dd5c0538f0fa255b77632480af62e6?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"Falcon Born\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\"],\"url\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/author\/roman\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Vladimir Putin is already at war with Europe - InformNapalm.org (English)","description":"Russia is not at war only with Ukraine. Russia is already at war with NATO, the United States, and the whole of Europe.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Vladimir Putin is already at war with Europe - InformNapalm.org (English)","og_description":"Russia is not at war only with Ukraine. Russia is already at war with NATO, the United States, and the whole of Europe.","og_url":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/","og_site_name":"InformNapalm.org (English)","article_published_time":"2015-02-27T10:59:45+00:00","article_modified_time":"2015-12-24T14:30:23+00:00","og_image":[{"width":680,"height":370,"url":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/14\/2015\/02\/18_0333.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"Falcon Born","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Falcon Born","Est. reading time":"12 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/"},"author":{"name":"Falcon Born","@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/0a9c5fc44a7fbf844f57e2c2fa5c4bef"},"headline":"Vladimir Putin is already at war with Europe","datePublished":"2015-02-27T10:59:45+00:00","dateModified":"2015-12-24T14:30:23+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/"},"wordCount":2423,"commentCount":2,"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/14\/2015\/02\/18_0333.jpg","keywords":["Europe","NATO","Russia","Russian invasion","the United States","war","War in Ukraine"],"articleSection":["Main News","News"],"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/","url":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/","name":"Vladimir Putin is already at war with Europe - InformNapalm.org (English)","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/14\/2015\/02\/18_0333.jpg","datePublished":"2015-02-27T10:59:45+00:00","dateModified":"2015-12-24T14:30:23+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/0a9c5fc44a7fbf844f57e2c2fa5c4bef"},"description":"Russia is not at war only with Ukraine. Russia is already at war with NATO, the United States, and the whole of Europe.","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/14\/2015\/02\/18_0333.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/14\/2015\/02\/18_0333.jpg","width":680,"height":370},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Vladimir Putin is already at war with Europe"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/#website","url":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/","name":"InformNapalm.org (English)","description":"Latest News from Ukraine","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/0a9c5fc44a7fbf844f57e2c2fa5c4bef","name":"Falcon Born","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/2ab3370fab9c246db359190da7fc69ece9dd5c0538f0fa255b77632480af62e6?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/2ab3370fab9c246db359190da7fc69ece9dd5c0538f0fa255b77632480af62e6?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"Falcon Born"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/informnapalm.org"],"url":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/author\/roman\/"}]}},"post_src":"At the Munich Security Conference at the beginning of February, Sergey Lavrov caused general amusement among the ministers and diplomats present when he declared that the reunification of Germany had happened without a referendum. Unquestionably, the cream of European diplomacy was laughing as much at itself \u2013 and could just as easily have cried. A year after Russia invaded and annexed Crimea, more than fifteen months since the beginning of the Euromaidan in Kyiv, and more than fifteen years since Vladimir Putin\u2019s accession to power in Russia, these politicians and diplomats are at a loss to describe what is shaking up the European continent.<span id=\"more-1312\"><\/span>\r\n\r\nIn addition to the annexation of Crimea and the direct and indirect aggression in the Donbass, the last few months have seen Russian authorities, not least Vladimir Putin himself, go out of their way to multiply threats of nuclear retaliation \u2013 either in more or less veiled declarations <a id=\"return-note-1312-1\" class=\"simple-footnote\" title=\"\u201cNow, according to Russia\u2019s chief propagandist, Dmitry Kiselev, even a decision about the use of nuclear arms \u2018will be taken personally by Mr Putin, who has the undoubted support of the Russian people\u2019\u201d. \u201cWhat Russia Wants: From cold war to hot war\u201d, The Economist, 14 February 2015.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#note-1312-1\"><sup>1<\/sup><\/a> or by sending strategic bombers armed with a nuclear bomb and the transponder cut to fly over the coasts of the European Union, or by installing strategic missiles in annexed Crimea\u2026 All of this is not only extremely unpleasant, but also extremely worrying. All the more so because we have every reason to fear that the official impetus for Mrs. Merkel and Mr. Hollande\u2019s participation in the Minsk II negotiations \u2013 a letter sent by President Putin \u2013 misses what is at the heart of the matter, namely a host of new threats. How else can we interpret President Hollande\u2019s declaration on the eve of the Minsk Summit: Either we have a lasting accord (in Minsk) or it is war ? <a id=\"return-note-1312-2\" class=\"simple-footnote\" title=\"\u00ab\u00a0The Chancellor and I believe that there is a risk of war at the gates of Europe. I think this is our last chance. If we do not succeed in finding, not a compromise, but a lasting peace agreement, well, we know exactly what will happen. It has a name, and that name is war\u00a0\u00bb. Declaration by President Fran\u00e7ois Hollande, 11 February 2015.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#note-1312-2\"><sup>2<\/sup><\/a>How else can we understand Mrs. Merkel\u2019s refusal to participate in negotiations in the Kazakh capital a few weeks earlier? What conditions could have been missing from a possible summit in Astana that were later satisfied in Minsk? Looking at the outcomes of Minsk II, the answer is: none.\r\n\r\nIf the lines of semantic clarification have finally begun to move since Minsk II, we are still wide of the mark. Yes, Germany\u2019s Minister of Foreign Affairs <a id=\"return-note-1312-3\" class=\"simple-footnote\" title=\"Declaration by Frank-Walter Steinmeier, German Foreign Affairs Minister, on 12 February 2015: \u201cThe most important thing is that Moscow and Kyiv have agreed to a ceasefire which will go into effect Saturday evening.\u201d\" href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#note-1312-3\"><sup>3<\/sup><\/a> <span lang=\"en-US\">did acknowledge that there <\/span>is a veritable war between Russia and Ukraine. And both the EU and Washington have in one way or another recognized the Russian army\u2019s direct involvement in Ukraine. Yet the reality is much more serious than that. Russia is not at war only with Ukraine. In one or more of the <em>modus operandi<\/em> of its strategy of hybrid war, Russia is already at war with NATO, the United States, and the whole of Europe. This harsh reality, which should be at the heart of the West\u2019s political rebuttal, is unfortunately still not a part of the Obama-Merkel-Hollande strategy.\r\n\r\n<strong>Preamble for a new strategy: an economic \u00ab\u00a0nuclear bomb\u00a0\u00bb<\/strong>\r\n\r\nIf there is never an easy answer to blackmail, much less nuclear blackmail, two things are nevertheless certain: giving in to these threats is not an option, and the absence of an appropriate reaction is an invitation to Russia to escalate its aggression. So let Mr. Putin send his strategic bombers to fly over the European coastline, and multiply his allusive declarations. And let United States and Europe decide that any further nuclear threat, whether explicit or implicit, will entail the immediate exclusion of Russia from the SWIFT system. If the West took such a position and made its reasons clear, it would have the added advantage of immediately providing a subject for thought for the bigwigs of the Russian regime whose private transactions depend on the system.\r\n\r\n<strong>Minsk II: an agreement that is already half-dead<\/strong>\r\n\r\nLaurent Fabius <a id=\"return-note-1312-4\" class=\"simple-footnote\" title=\"Laurent Fabius on his Twitter account, 17 February 2015.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#note-1312-4\"><sup>4<\/sup><\/a> <span lang=\"en-US\"><span lang=\"en-US\">may say what he will, and for him<\/span><\/span>\u00a0<span lang=\"en-US\">\u00ab\u00a0the cease-fire in the Donbass is generally <\/span>being respected\u00a0\u00bb, but there can be no illusions about the Minsk II agreement <a id=\"return-note-1312-5\" class=\"simple-footnote\" title=\"\u201cToday [February 20],\u00a0we have to face the reality that almost one week later there have been more than 300 violations of the ceasefire\u201d. Statement by the President of the European Council, 20 February 2015.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#note-1312-5\"><sup>5<\/sup><\/a>. <span lang=\"en-US\">On two crucial <\/span>points \u2013 the status of the Donbass region and the freeing of Captain Savchenko \u2013 the Russians have already broken the spirit and the letter of the agreement. It is therefore necessary to take stock of the limitations of the Obama-Merkel-Hollande strategy. Europe, the United States, and with them, Japan, Canada, Australia and South Korea, must work to reconsider the bulk of their policies in the face of Russian aggression in Ukraine, and develop a strategy that is not simply a reaction to Moscow\u2019s initiatives, but one that pre-empts, and if possible, prevents them.\r\n\r\n<strong>Policies aimed at Russia: starting from scratch<\/strong>\r\n\r\nThe annexation of Crimea \u00ab\u00a0is illegal, and as such, it threatens the European infrastructure of security. One day, we will have to give Crimea back to Ukraine.\u00a0\u00bb <a id=\"return-note-1312-6\" class=\"simple-footnote\" title=\"\u201cUkraine: \u2018What Vladimir Putin Wants\u2019, by his former Prime Minister\u201d, interview with Mikhail Kasyanov by Vincent Jauvert, L\u2019Obs, 11 February 2015.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#note-1312-6\"><sup>6<\/sup><\/a> <span lang=\"en-US\">It should be obvious that it <\/span>was not Nicolas Sarkozy <a id=\"return-note-1312-7\" class=\"simple-footnote\" title=\"Nicolas Sarkozy has in fact stated that \u00ab\u00a0Crimea chose Russia, and there is no fault in that\u00a0\u00bb, L\u2019Obs, 9 February 2015.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#note-1312-7\"><sup>7<\/sup><\/a> who said this, nor was it Daniel Cohn-Bendit <span lang=\"en-US\">who, on the day after <\/span>the Russian attack, said, \u00ab\u00a0Come on, let\u2019s not kid ourselves: Crimea is part of Russia. That\u2019s how it is\u00a0\u00bb <a id=\"return-note-1312-8\" class=\"simple-footnote\" title=\"\u00ab\u00a0Ukraine: Daniel Cohn-Bendit\u2019s Lesson on Pragmatism\u00a0\u00bb, France 24, 4 March 2014.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#note-1312-8\"><sup>8<\/sup><\/a>. <span lang=\"en-US\">No, it was a Russian figure of the highest order, Mikhail Kasyanov, the Russian <\/span>Prime Minister from 2000 to 2004.\r\n\r\nA large portion of the political and diplomatic establishment no longer has any illusion about the current Russian regime thanks to the multitude of freedom-quashing counter-reforms that have been put in place in that country since Vladimir Putin\u2019s rise to power, since the war between Russia and Georgia in 2008 and since Russia\u2019s incursion into Ukraine. That said, what remains is to draw the correct conclusions and adopt positions that are, at the very least, beyond the positions currently defended by the freest and most clear-sighted Russians. Not to do so would weaken those who will have to bring Russia back onto the path toward democracy and the Rule of Law. To do so means helping them very shortly to get rid of the grim inheritance of the old power structure.\r\n\r\nTherefore, from among existing sanctions, we must draw up a list of those that will end only when Crimea is returned to Ukraine. But the future stability of Europe \u2013 including Russia \u2013 requires us to go further. We must immediately impose new sanctions for each of the situations where Russia has violated the sovereignty of her neighbors. In addition to the annexation <em>de jure<\/em> of Crimea, these sanctions should also be explicitly tied to the <em>de facto<\/em> occupation of a part of the Donbass, to the <em>de facto<\/em> occupation of Transnistria and to the <em>de facto<\/em> annexation of Abkhazia and South Ossetia. <a id=\"return-note-1312-9\" class=\"simple-footnote\" title=\"\u00ab\u00a0Another Step toward Empire: Moscow \u2018Abolishes\u2019 Borders with Abkhazia and South Osetia\u00a0\u00bb, Paul Goble, Window on Eurasia, 19 February 2015.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#note-1312-9\"><sup>9<\/sup><\/a>\r\n\r\nIf we take the economist Paul de Grauwe\u2019s proposal as a foundation, the European Union could introduce five European taxes on Russian gas and oil \u2013 one each for Crimea, the Donbass, Abkhazia, South Ossetia and Transnistria. These taxes would be discontinued one by one as each situation is resolved, and they would be used by the EU to compensate European gas providers for the loss they would incur due to the momentary increase in costs that the introduction of the taxes would entail, at least until market fluctuation is able to absorb them. At the same time, it must be a top priority in establishing a common EU energy policy to form a purchasing confederation with exclusive authority to negotiate with Russian gas and oil producers.\r\n\r\n<strong>Provide arms to Ukraine, or not ?<\/strong>\r\n\r\nIn order to pre-empt the probable events of the coming months, we must immediately see the relevance of the declarations made by Aleksandr Zakharchenko, the head of the pro-Russian \u201cseparatists\u201d \u2013 backed by the declarations of the spokesperson for the Kremlin \u2013 which indicate that the military objective was not limited only to the region of Debaltseve, but rather encompassed the whole of the Donbass <a id=\"return-note-1312-10\" class=\"simple-footnote\" title=\"Currently, Russian forces and their proxies occupy about one third of the the Donbass.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#note-1312-10\"><sup>10<\/sup><\/a>. <span lang=\"en-US\">The question to ask therefore is not <\/span><em>whether<\/em> the Russian offensive will resume, but when it will resume. Knowing that the existing sanctions will only produce significant effects in the medium term, and knowing the extent of Russia\u2019s violations of the Minsk Protocol (massive provisioning of modern weapons, sending thousands of Russian soldiers and mercenaries, bombing Ukrainian positions from within Russian territory, \u2026), the moment has come to recognize that without modern defensive weapons (anti-tank missiles, radars, etc.), the Ukrainian army will not be able hold the demarcation line as defined by Minsk II, despite its impressive modernization and the determination of its soldiers. Not acting now means subjecting ourselves to a Minsk III, signalling a new defeat for Europe.\r\n\r\n<strong>A new CoCom<\/strong>\r\n\r\nThe vagueness surrounding the question of selling arms to Russia is harmful. The time has come for the Member States of the EU, for the United States as well as Japan, Canada, South Korea, Australia and Norway to decree a total embargo on arms deliveries to Russia \u2013 including those covered by contracts that pre-date the invasion of Crimea, like the Mistral contract \u2013 and to create, as Daniel W. Drezner suggests <a id=\"return-note-1312-11\" class=\"simple-footnote\" title=\"Daniel W. Drezner, \u201cHow the West should respond to Putin\u201d, The Washington Post, 13 February 2015.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#note-1312-11\"><sup>11<\/sup><\/a>, <span lang=\"en-US\">an institution comparable to the <\/span>CoCom of the Cold War that is charged with verifying that countries respect the ban on delivering weapons and sensitive or dual technologies <a id=\"return-note-1312-12\" class=\"simple-footnote\" title=\"According to a Polish newspaper for example, France is preparing to deliver drone submarines to \u2026 Khazakstan: http:\/\/www.defence24.pl\/News_powstana-kazachsko-francuskie-drony-podwodne-rosja-uzyska-dostep-do-technologii, Defence 24, 20 February 2015.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#note-1312-12\"><sup>12<\/sup><\/a> to Russia.\r\n\r\n<strong>Blacklist<\/strong>\r\n\r\nRussian television stations constitute one of the most powerful weapons in the Kremlin\u2019s arsenal. With the exception of a few regional stations <a id=\"return-note-1312-13\" class=\"simple-footnote\" title=\"The Kremlin has just announced that regional television stations that do not match with the power structure will be made to toe the line.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#note-1312-13\"><sup>13<\/sup><\/a>, <span lang=\"en-US\">they pass along the Kremlin\u2019s <\/span>shameless propaganda day in and day out. The directors of these stations, as well as the journalists most deeply engaged in the disinformation campaign, should be blacklisted by the EU, the United State and their allies. In addition, this blacklist should also include everyone involved in the abduction and transfer of Captain Nadiya Savchenko to Russia. <a id=\"return-note-1312-14\" class=\"simple-footnote\" title=\"http:\/\/en.odfoundation.eu\/a\/5883,savchenko-list-persons-involeved-in-persecution-of-n-savchenko\" href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#note-1312-14\"><sup>14<\/sup><\/a>\r\n\r\n<strong>Three questions for Europe<\/strong>\r\n\r\nIt will therefore have taken Europe nearly one year to recognize that Russia was indeed the mastermind in the Donbass war. We cannot afford to wait out another year of \u00ab\u00a0reflection\u00a0\u00bb to size up the threat that the Russian regime represents. Mrs. Merkel\u2019s various incantations, such as \u00ab\u00a0We\u2019d like Russia to become our partner\u00a0\u00bb <a id=\"return-note-1312-15\" class=\"simple-footnote\" title=\"\u00ab\u00a0We\u2019d like Russia to become our partner, we\u2019d like to do this together with Russia, not against Russia\u00a0\u00bb, Unian, 18 February 2015\" href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#note-1312-15\"><sup>15<\/sup><\/a>, <span lang=\"en-US\">are, at best, nothing more than platitudes; at <\/span>worst, they are the sign of a staggering political void. What is at stake is neither Russia nor the interests of partnering with Russia: the question, the only question, concerns the nature of the regime in place in Moscow. No partnership is conceivable with the regime of Vladimir Putin and his vertical of power. What matters to the West and to Russia is to be rid of him as quickly as possible. Obviously it is up to the Russians to act, but the task of Western countries is not to complicate their endeavor.\r\n\r\nNeo-Kantian credos and getting bogged down in dreams of former national glory are pure illusions and necessarily constitute a serious threat to the security of the continent. Europe can no longer skimp on a common policy of defense and security. It is simply appalling that more than a year after the annexation of Crimea, no European leader has considered it his or her duty to suggest that this question be put on the agenda of the European Council. All the more so because the choice is not between a new politically quaint initiative like the creation of an bi- or multi-national battalion and the great leap into a single European army, but rather between \u00ab\u00a0nothing\u00a0\u00bb and the creation, by those Member States of the EU who are interested, of a common (and communitarian) European army that would neither threaten the existence of national armies, nor membership in NATO.\r\n\r\nThe signs of the EU\u2019s cleavage are multiplying: Vladimir Putin\u2019s grand flourish in Budapest, the invitation of the Greek Defense Minister, Panos Kammenos, to Moscow, rumors that the Italian Prime Minister will shortly visit the Russian capital, the marginalization of EU institutions by two States\u2026 If there is not a radical change in course, the very existence of the EU will be in jeopardy. Measures to safeguard and reinforce the cohesion of the EU are paramount. To begin with, Member States should break with the paralyzing logic that decisions must be made unanimously. On the basis of Article 48 \u00a7 7 of the Treaty, Member States could decide that all decisions concerning relations with Russia, Ukraine, Belarus, Moldavia and Georgia be made by a qualified majority. It would be equally opportune for Member States to suspend all ministerial visits to Russia and all visits to them by Russian ministers. Lastly, and most importantly, the President of the European Council must be given exclusive authority to deal with the Russian President and government, as well as final say on the implementation of European policy with Russia, Ukraine, Belarus, Moldavia and Georgia.\r\n\r\nAuthor\u00a0Olivier Dupuis\r\n\r\nOriginal\u00a0http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/\r\n<p class=\"notes\">Notes:<\/p>\r\n\r\n<ol>\r\n\t<li id=\"note-1312-1\">\u201c<span lang=\"en-US\">Now, according to Russia\u2019s chief propagandist, Dmitry Kiselev, even a decision about the use of nuclear arms \u2018will be taken personally by Mr Putin, who has the undoubted support of the Russian people\u2019\u201d. \u201cWhat Russia Wants: From cold war to hot war\u201d, <\/span><span lang=\"en-US\"><i>The Economist<\/i><\/span><span lang=\"en-US\">, 14 February 2015.<\/span> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#return-note-1312-1\">\u21a9<\/a><\/li>\r\n\t<li id=\"note-1312-2\"><span lang=\"en-US\">\u00ab\u00a0The Chancellor and I believe that there is a risk of war at the gates of Europe. I think this is our last chance. If we do not succeed in finding, not a compromise, but a lasting peace agreement, well, we know exactly what will happen. It has a name, and that name is war\u00a0\u00bb. Declaration by President Fran\u00e7ois Hollande, 11 February 2015.<\/span> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#return-note-1312-2\">\u21a9<\/a><\/li>\r\n\t<li id=\"note-1312-3\"><span lang=\"en-US\">Declaration by Frank-Walter Steinmeier, German Foreign Affairs Minister, on 12 February 2015: \u201cThe most important thing is that Moscow and Kyiv have agreed to a ceasefire which will go into effect Saturday evening.\u201d<\/span> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#return-note-1312-3\">\u21a9<\/a><\/li>\r\n\t<li id=\"note-1312-4\"><span lang=\"en-US\">Laurent Fabius on his Twitter account, 17 February 2015.<\/span> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#return-note-1312-4\">\u21a9<\/a><\/li>\r\n\t<li id=\"note-1312-5\">\u201c<span lang=\"en-US\">Today [February 20],\u00a0we have to face the reality that almost one week later there have been more than 300 violations of the ceasefire\u201d. Statement by the President of the European Council, 20 February 2015.<\/span> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#return-note-1312-5\">\u21a9<\/a><\/li>\r\n\t<li id=\"note-1312-6\">\u201c<span lang=\"en-US\">Ukraine: \u2018What Vladimir Putin Wants\u2019, by his former Prime Minister\u201d, interview with Mikhail Kasyanov by Vincent Jauvert, <\/span><span lang=\"en-US\"><i>L\u2019Obs<\/i><\/span><span lang=\"en-US\">, 11 February 2015.<\/span> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#return-note-1312-6\">\u21a9<\/a><\/li>\r\n\t<li id=\"note-1312-7\"><span lang=\"en-US\">Nicolas Sarkozy has in fact stated that \u00ab\u00a0Crimea chose Russia, and there is no fault in that\u00a0\u00bb, <\/span><span lang=\"en-US\"><i>L\u2019Obs<\/i><\/span><span lang=\"en-US\">, 9 February 2015.<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#return-note-1312-7\">\u21a9<\/a><\/li>\r\n\t<li id=\"note-1312-8\"><span lang=\"en-US\">\u00ab\u00a0Ukraine: Daniel Cohn-Bendit\u2019s Lesson on Pragmatism\u00a0\u00bb, <\/span><span lang=\"en-US\"><i>France 24<\/i><\/span><span lang=\"en-US\">, 4 March 2014.<\/span> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#return-note-1312-8\">\u21a9<\/a><\/li>\r\n\t<li id=\"note-1312-9\"><span lang=\"en-US\">\u00ab\u00a0Another Step toward Empire: Moscow \u2018Abolishes\u2019 Borders with Abkhazia and South Osetia\u00a0\u00bb, Paul Goble, <\/span><span lang=\"en-US\"><i>Window on Eurasia<\/i><\/span><span lang=\"en-US\">, 19 February 2015.<\/span> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#return-note-1312-9\">\u21a9<\/a><\/li>\r\n\t<li id=\"note-1312-10\"><span lang=\"en-US\">Currently, Russian forces and their proxies occupy about one third of the the Donbass.<\/span> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#return-note-1312-10\">\u21a9<\/a><\/li>\r\n\t<li id=\"note-1312-11\"><span lang=\"en-US\">Daniel W. Drezner, \u201cHow the West should respond to Putin\u201d, <\/span><span lang=\"en-US\"><i>The Washington Post<\/i><\/span><span lang=\"en-US\">, 13 February 2015.<\/span> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#return-note-1312-11\">\u21a9<\/a><\/li>\r\n\t<li id=\"note-1312-12\"><span lang=\"en-US\">According to a Polish newspaper for example, France is preparing to deliver drone submarines to \u2026 Khazakstan:<\/span><span lang=\"zxx\"><a class=\"western\" href=\"http:\/\/www.defence24.pl\/News_powstana-kazachsko-francuskie-drony-podwodne-rosja-uzyska-dostep-do-technologii\">http:\/\/www.defence24.pl\/News_powstana-kazachsko-francuskie-drony-podwodne-rosja-uzyska-dostep-do-technologii<\/a><\/span><span lang=\"en-US\">, <\/span><span lang=\"en-US\"><i>Defence 24<\/i><\/span><span lang=\"en-US\">, 20 February 2015.<\/span> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#return-note-1312-12\">\u21a9<\/a><\/li>\r\n\t<li id=\"note-1312-13\"><span lang=\"en-US\">The Kremlin has just announced that regional television stations that do not match with the power structure will be made to toe the line.<\/span> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#return-note-1312-13\">\u21a9<\/a><\/li>\r\n\t<li id=\"note-1312-14\"><span lang=\"zxx\"><a class=\"western\" href=\"http:\/\/en.odfoundation.eu\/a\/5883,savchenko-list-persons-involeved-in-persecution-of-n-savchenko\"><span lang=\"en-US\">http:\/\/en.odfoundation.eu\/a\/5883,savchenko-list-persons-involeved-in-persecution-of-n-savchenko<\/span><\/a><\/span> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#return-note-1312-14\">\u21a9<\/a><\/li>\r\n\t<li id=\"note-1312-15\"><span lang=\"en-US\">\u00ab\u00a0We\u2019d like Russia to become our partner, we\u2019d like to do this together with Russia, not against Russia\u00a0\u00bb, <\/span><span lang=\"en-US\"><i>Unian<\/i><\/span><span lang=\"en-US\">, 18 February 2015<\/span> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.leuropeen.eu\/2015\/02\/26\/vladimir-putin-is-already-at-war-with-europe\/#return-note-1312-15\">\u21a9<\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ol>\r\n&nbsp;","amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3324","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3324"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3324\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3328,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3324\/revisions\/3328"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3325"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3324"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3324"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3324"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}