{"id":4729,"date":"2015-07-29T15:09:26","date_gmt":"2015-07-29T15:09:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/?p=4729"},"modified":"2015-12-24T14:23:20","modified_gmt":"2015-12-24T14:23:20","slug":"analysis-of-russian-army-general-staff-plans-of-capturing-ukraine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/analysis-of-russian-army-general-staff-plans-of-capturing-ukraine\/","title":{"rendered":"Analysis of Russian Army General Staff Plans of Capturing Ukraine"},"content":{"rendered":"

As for the\u00a0authenticity of the Russian army documents about capturing Ukraine till Dnipro<\/strong><\/p>\n

Many journalists contact us for an\u00a0unbiased assessment of the plans of capturing Ukraine, which have been published by ‘Myrotvorets<\/a>‘ center volunteers.<\/p>\n

A lot of experts have spoken up\u00a0on this topic for the last 2 days. But their assessments are rather about the document ideas realization (taking into account the current political situation) than the document analysis itself.<\/p>\n

\"Myrotvorets<\/a><\/p>\n

Myrotvorets web site screenshot<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Talking about possibilities is senseless, that is why we will do it in a different way.<\/p>\n

Let’s make it clear, I was pretty skeptical about these documents which were printed with the ‘Peacekeeper’ watermarks and had no electronic copies (I got the opportunity to read them just a couple of days before the publication).\u00a0\u00a0On\u00a0the one hand I\u00a0felt concerned about the limitations of the documents, on the another hand the intelligence data about the Ukrainian side was extensive. Putting\u00a0such information into Internet would be stupid and criminal, despite it was from April, 2015, and in fact outdated. It is a different matter if this information was already known by the enemy or even has been processed by his\u00a0General Staff. My doubts were dispelled when I got the archives with large amount of initial data including\u00a0slides, tables, reports, decisions of ‘Sever’ [North] force grouping usage and other accompanying\u00a0documents with General Staff marks on them. Falsification\u00a0of such huge set of data (part of which has never been published in open sources) with the appropriate apparel, with correct estimations of the situation and available reserves is physically impossible. Even the misprints in the names of certain objects in the Ukrainian territory fit the expectations.<\/p>\n

\"\u0411\u043e\u043b\u044c\u0448\u0438\u043d\u0441\u0442\u0432\u043e<\/a><\/p>\n

Most of the documents were created for approval by Chief of the Staff of\u00a0WMD Lieutenant-General Viktor Ostapov<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Some military experts from both sides mention\u00a0that operation execution tactics is too straightforward – i.e. “Russians could be smarter”. This argument\u00a0is the basis for the supporters of the point of view that the documents are fake. From the Russian side it is caused by the imperial complex, and from the Ukrainian side by the insignificance complex. In reality everything is simpler – all the generals graduate from the same academies which have the same dump Soviet approach which results in ‘oldschool’ Soviet team.<\/p>\n

But we should pay tribute – these plans are not something that can\u00a0cause ‘shock and awe’. The estimated forces and means are definitely not enough to achieve goals. This is not a reference\u00a0that documents are fake. On the contrary, this is the reference\u00a0that the estimations\u00a0are real but made based on tutorials.<\/p>\n

\"\u041a\u043e\u043c\u0430\u043d\u0434\u0443\u044e\u0449\u0438\u0439<\/a><\/p>\n

Most of the documents were created for approval by\u00a0Commander\u00a0of WDM Colonel-General A.Sidorov<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Large group of the Russian Federation army is always in close proximity to the Ukrainian border\u00a0– this is undeniable fact. The fact is that if the militants can not cope with the encirclement of our troops or with the offence preparation – Russian servicemen ‘on vacation’ with white arm bands step in. Our investigation based on OSINT constantly confirm the fact of Russian army presence not only near the Ukrainian border, but also in the occupied territories of Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts of Ukraine – that is a fact as well.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"11\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Combat part of the explanatory note to the decision of the use of force grouping ‘Sever’<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Worth paying attention that during common\u00a0trainings, documents are always labeled as ‘Confidential’, ‘Secret’ or ‘Top Secret’. Also one of the rules\u00a0is to change or distort the actual object names of the potential enemy. For example ‘blue’ is used instead of the enemy forces, ‘red’ for own unit, etc. In\u00a0case of information leakage it would be impossible to proof the offensive intentions towards neighboring country, selected as a potential training opponent. But in the provided Russian documents these rules are ignored: both the terrain and\u00a0the Ukrainian units names are written without any distortion. There is the only explanation – the plan is\u00a0real. The only points to change\u00a0– the actual date of the start and small adjustments according to the actual intelligence information.<\/p>\n

So, taking into account the open but not yet published materials of the Russian General Staff documents we can state that the Russian officers did their job well. The plan of attack on\u00a0the neighboring country was developed and locked until the D-day, which might\u00a0never happen.<\/p>\n

I do not agree with the opinion that this plan is an attempt of Russians to frighten Ukraine. \u00a0For more than a year of undeclared war, a year of stress and waiting for a cynical and despicable strike many Ukrainians have learned to follow the principle of “Do what\u2019s right, come what may.”\u00a0Such plans only durst our desire to protect\u00a0our rights for freedom, independence and to see a quick\u00a0fall of the empire. The appearance of Russian General Staff \u00a0plans \u00a0in open access may serve as a signal that the opposite side also has a lot of people with the Ukrainian roots, who are related to us not only\u00a0by\u00a0blood, but also by soul and in\u00a0the critical moment they will try to stop the disaster\u00a0by all means.<\/p>\n

I believe in best personal qualities of people from both sides of the front. Not every Ukrainian is a patriot same as not every Russian is ‘moskal’. This is not a war of nations but of ideologies. A war between the striving for the past with its red flags, repressive authorities and mausoleums and the belief in future with the right to be free, progressive and successful. This is a spiritual war…<\/p>\n

P.S. Today, on June, 17, more than 2000 servicemen and about 250 pieces of\u00a0military equipment of Ulan-Ude and Ivanovskyi airborne forces were alarmed under conducting the head-quarter training\u00a0with landing operation at foreign\u00a0terrain…<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Original article<\/a> by\u00a0Roman Burko<\/a>\u00a0translated by Oleksandr Hoha and edited by Oleksandr Klymenko<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

As for the\u00a0authenticity of the Russian army documents about capturing Ukraine till Dnipro Many journalists contact us…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":4736,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[528,5,2],"tags":[357,167,240],"class_list":["post-4729","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","category-terrorussians","category-summaries","tag-russian-aggression","tag-russian-armed-forces","tag-war-in-ukraine"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nAnalysis of Russian Army General Staff Plans of Capturing Ukraine - InformNapalm.org (English)<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Here is our analysis of the Russian General Staff documents which contain detailed steps of aggression against Ukraine.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/analysis-of-russian-army-general-staff-plans-of-capturing-ukraine\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Analysis of Russian Army General Staff Plans of Capturing Ukraine\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Here is our analysis of the Russian General Staff documents which contain detailed steps of aggression against Ukraine.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/analysis-of-russian-army-general-staff-plans-of-capturing-ukraine\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"InformNapalm.org (English)\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2015-07-29T15:09:26+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2015-12-24T14:23:20+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/14\/2015\/07\/FC0U1273S2.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"550\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"390\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Falcon Born\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Falcon Born\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/analysis-of-russian-army-general-staff-plans-of-capturing-ukraine\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/analysis-of-russian-army-general-staff-plans-of-capturing-ukraine\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Falcon Born\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/0a9c5fc44a7fbf844f57e2c2fa5c4bef\"},\"headline\":\"Analysis of Russian Army General Staff Plans of Capturing Ukraine\",\"datePublished\":\"2015-07-29T15:09:26+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2015-12-24T14:23:20+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/analysis-of-russian-army-general-staff-plans-of-capturing-ukraine\/\"},\"wordCount\":1034,\"commentCount\":1,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/analysis-of-russian-army-general-staff-plans-of-capturing-ukraine\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/14\/2015\/07\/FC0U1273S2.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Russian aggression\",\"Russian Armed Forces\",\"War in Ukraine\"],\"articleSection\":[\"News\",\"Russian Military Assessment\",\"Summaries\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/analysis-of-russian-army-general-staff-plans-of-capturing-ukraine\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/analysis-of-russian-army-general-staff-plans-of-capturing-ukraine\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/analysis-of-russian-army-general-staff-plans-of-capturing-ukraine\/\",\"name\":\"Analysis of Russian Army General Staff Plans of Capturing Ukraine - 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But their assessments are rather about the document ideas realization (taking into account the current political situation) than the document analysis itself.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n[caption id=\"attachment_9935\" align=\"alignleft\" width=\"300\"]<a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/06\/p01.jpg\"><img class=\"wp-image-9935\" src=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/06\/p01.jpg\" alt=\"Myrotvorets web site screenshot\" width=\"300\" height=\"212\" \/><\/a> Myrotvorets web site screenshot[\/caption]\r\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Talking about possibilities is senseless, that is why we will do it in a different way.<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Let's make it clear, I was pretty skeptical about these documents which were printed with the 'Peacekeeper' watermarks and had no electronic copies (I got the opportunity to read them just a couple of days before the publication).\u00a0\u00a0On\u00a0the one hand I\u00a0felt concerned about the limitations of the documents, on the another hand the intelligence data about the Ukrainian side was extensive. Putting\u00a0such information into Internet would be stupid and criminal, despite it was from April, 2015, and in fact outdated. It is a different matter if this information was already known by the enemy or even has been processed by his\u00a0General Staff. My doubts were dispelled when I got the archives with large amount of initial data including\u00a0slides, tables, reports, decisions of 'Sever' [North] force grouping usage and other accompanying\u00a0documents with General Staff marks on them. Falsification\u00a0of such huge set of data (part of which has never been published in open sources) with the appropriate apparel, with correct estimations of the situation and available reserves is physically impossible. Even the misprints in the names of certain objects in the Ukrainian territory fit the expectations.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n[caption id=\"attachment_9930\" align=\"alignleft\" width=\"300\"]<a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/06\/general-lejtenant-Astapov.jpg\"><img class=\" wp-image-9930\" src=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/06\/general-lejtenant-Astapov.jpg\" alt=\"\u0411\u043e\u043b\u044c\u0448\u0438\u043d\u0441\u0442\u0432\u043e \u0434\u043e\u043a\u0443\u043c\u0435\u043d\u0442\u043e\u0432 \u043f\u043b\u0430\u043d\u0430 \u0440\u0430\u0437\u0440\u0430\u0431\u043e\u0442\u0430\u043d\u044b \u043f\u043e\u0434 \u0437\u0430\u0432\u0435\u0440\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0435 \u043d\u0430\u0447\u0430\u043b\u044c\u043d\u0438\u043a\u0430 \u0448\u0442\u0430\u0431\u0430 \u0417\u0412\u041e \u0420\u0424 \u0433\u0435\u043d\u0435\u0440\u0430\u043b-\u043b\u0435\u0439\u0442\u0435\u043d\u0430\u043d\u0442\u0430 \u0412\u0438\u043a\u0442\u043e\u0440\u0430 \u0410\u0441\u0442\u0430\u043f\u043e\u0432\u0430. \" width=\"300\" height=\"213\" \/><\/a> Most of the documents were created for approval by Chief of the Staff of\u00a0WMD Lieutenant-General Viktor Ostapov[\/caption]\r\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Some military experts from both sides mention\u00a0that operation execution tactics is too straightforward - i.e. \"Russians could be smarter\". This argument\u00a0is the basis for the supporters of the point of view that the documents are fake. From the Russian side it is caused by the imperial complex, and from the Ukrainian side by the insignificance complex. In reality everything is simpler - all the generals graduate from the same academies which have the same dump Soviet approach which results in 'oldschool' Soviet team.<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">But we should pay tribute - these plans are not something that can\u00a0cause 'shock and awe'. The estimated forces and means are definitely not enough to achieve goals. This is not a reference\u00a0that documents are fake. On the contrary, this is the reference\u00a0that the estimations\u00a0are real but made based on tutorials.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n[caption id=\"attachment_9931\" align=\"alignleft\" width=\"301\"]<a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/06\/head_0.jpg\"><img class=\"wp-image-9931\" src=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/06\/head_0.jpg\" alt=\"\u041a\u043e\u043c\u0430\u043d\u0434\u0443\u044e\u0449\u0438\u0439 \u0432\u043e\u0439\u0441\u043a\u0430\u043c\u0438 \u0417\u0412\u041e \u0433\u0435\u043d\u0435\u0440\u0430\u043b-\u043f\u043e\u043b\u043a\u043e\u0432\u043d\u0438\u043a \u0410.\u0421\u0438\u0434\u043e\u0440\u043e\u0432 \" width=\"301\" height=\"199\" \/><\/a> Most of the documents were created for approval by\u00a0Commander\u00a0of WDM Colonel-General A.Sidorov[\/caption]\r\n\r\nLarge group of the Russian Federation army is always in close proximity to the Ukrainian border\u00a0- this is undeniable fact. The fact is that if the militants can not cope with the encirclement of our troops or with the offence preparation - Russian servicemen 'on vacation' with white arm bands step in. Our investigation based on OSINT constantly confirm the fact of Russian army presence not only near the Ukrainian border, but also in the occupied territories of Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts of Ukraine - that is a fact as well.\r\n\r\n \r\n\r\n \r\n\r\n \r\n\r\n[caption id=\"attachment_9932\" align=\"aligncenter\" width=\"921\"]<a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/06\/111.jpg\"><img class=\"wp-image-9932 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/06\/111.jpg\" alt=\"11\" width=\"921\" height=\"541\" \/><\/a> Combat part of the explanatory note to the decision of the use of force grouping 'Sever'[\/caption]\r\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Worth paying attention that during common\u00a0trainings, documents are always labeled as 'Confidential', 'Secret' or 'Top Secret'. Also one of the rules\u00a0is to change or distort the actual object names of the potential enemy. For example 'blue' is used instead of the enemy forces, 'red' for own unit, etc. In\u00a0case of information leakage it would be impossible to proof the offensive intentions towards neighboring country, selected as a potential training opponent. But in the provided Russian documents these rules are ignored: both the terrain and\u00a0the Ukrainian units names are written without any distortion. There is the only explanation - the plan is\u00a0real. The only points to change\u00a0- the actual date of the start and small adjustments according to the actual intelligence information.<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">So, taking into account the open but not yet published materials of the Russian General Staff documents we can state that the Russian officers did their job well. The plan of attack on\u00a0the neighboring country was developed and locked until the D-day, which might\u00a0never happen.<\/p>\r\nI do not agree with the opinion that this plan is an attempt of Russians to frighten Ukraine. \u00a0For more than a year of undeclared war, a year of stress and waiting for a cynical and despicable strike many Ukrainians have learned to follow the principle of \"Do what\u2019s right, come what may.\"\u00a0Such plans only durst our desire to protect\u00a0our rights for freedom, independence and to see a quick\u00a0fall of the empire. The appearance of Russian General Staff \u00a0plans \u00a0in open access may serve as a signal that the opposite side also has a lot of people with the Ukrainian roots, who are related to us not only\u00a0by\u00a0blood, but also by soul and in\u00a0the critical moment they will try to stop the disaster\u00a0by all means.\r\n\r\nI believe in best personal qualities of people from both sides of the front. Not every Ukrainian is a patriot same as not every Russian is 'moskal'. This is not a war of nations but of ideologies. A war between the striving for the past with its red flags, repressive authorities and mausoleums and the belief in future with the right to be free, progressive and successful. This is a spiritual war...\r\n\r\nP.S. Today, on June, 17, more than 2000 servicemen and about 250 pieces of\u00a0military equipment of Ulan-Ude and Ivanovskyi airborne forces were alarmed under conducting the head-quarter training\u00a0with landing operation at foreign\u00a0terrain...\r\n\r\n \r\n\r\n<em><a href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/9928-analyz-dokumentov-gsh-vs-rf-po-zahvatu-ukrayny-ot-informnapalm\">Original article<\/a> by\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/burkonews\" target=\"_blank\">Roman Burko<\/a>\u00a0translated by Oleksandr Hoha and edited by Oleksandr Klymenko<\/em>","amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4729","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4729"}],"version-history":[{"count":12,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4729\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5238,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4729\/revisions\/5238"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4736"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4729"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4729"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4729"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}