{"id":40,"date":"2015-01-22T01:34:42","date_gmt":"2015-01-21T21:34:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/lt\/?p=40"},"modified":"2016-06-23T19:24:04","modified_gmt":"2016-06-23T15:24:04","slug":"informnapalm-komandos-analitine-santrauka-2015-metu-sausio-20","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/lt\/informnapalm-komandos-analitine-santrauka-2015-metu-sausio-20\/","title":{"rendered":"InformNapalm komandos analitin\u0117 santrauka 2015 met\u0173 sausio 20"},"content":{"rendered":"

Karo veiksm\u0173 santraukos<\/strong><\/p>\n

Pastarosiomis dienomis pagrindine tema, tiesiog prikaustanti skaitytoj\u0173 d\u0117mes\u012f, buvo ir lieka iki \u0161iol \u2013 tai Donecko aerouostas.<\/p>\n

Donecko aerouostas tapo savoti\u0161ku feti\u0161u. Tuo naudojasi rusi\u0161koji propaganda: dabar naudodama aerouosto tem\u0105, gana lengvai perorientuoja auditorijos d\u0117mes\u012f.<\/p>\n

Mes norime truput\u012f i\u0161pl\u0117sti skaitytoj\u0173 akirat\u012f, kadangi \u012fkaitinta pad\u0117tis Donecko aerouoste \u2013 tai viso \u201ekarini\u0173 veiksm\u0173 teatro\u201c gana lankstus manevras. Be to, tai nevykusi \u201eabejotina i\u0161vyka\u201c naujojo terminalo kryptimi, ir tai, kad Ukrainos kovotojai pateko \u012f nelaisv\u0119, visus veikia neigiamai, kad galima b\u016bt\u0173 adekva\u010diai suvokti esan\u010di\u0105 pad\u0117t\u012f.<\/p>\n

Informacija apie tai kad, \u012f Ukrain\u0105 buvo \u012fvesti du rusi\u0161kieji \u0411\u0422\u0413\u0440 kartu su 600-800 \u017emoni\u0173, \u0161iek tiek \u00a0sukr\u0117t\u0117, bet negalima buvo tiksliai \u012fsivaizduoti apie prie\u0161ininko ketinimus, tr\u016bko \u00a0oficialios informacijos – \u012f koki\u0173 rajon\u0173 pus\u0119 jie eina. I\u0161 sav\u0173 \u0161altini\u0173 pavyko i\u0161siai\u0161kinti, kad \u00a0vienas \u0411\u0422\u0413\u0440 buvo pasteb\u0117tas Luhansko rajone, o antrasis Telmanovo rajone va\u017eiuoja link Mariupolio.<\/p>\n

Dalis padalini\u0173 buvo pakeista ir sustiprino tas vietas, kur yra patirta nuostoli\u0173.<\/p>\n

Pagrindiniai technikos tiekimo keliai tokie: Matvejev Kurhan \u2013 Ilovaiskas, Novo\u0161achtinskas \u2013 Antracitas, Kamensk-\u0160achtinskij \u2013 Luhanskas. Pagrinde, visi yra \u012fsik\u016br\u0119 \u0160achtiorske (ten tikriausiai yra rezervas) Brianke ir Stachanove, Luhanske (Stanycos kryptis).<\/p>\n

Dabar remiantis pateikt\u0173 santrauk\u0173 analize per\u017evelgsime pra\u0117jusius \u012fvykius. ATO j\u0117goms prasid\u0117jus \u00a0\u0161turmuoti uost\u0105 staigiai aktyviai prad\u0117jo veikti kovotojai Doku\u010diajevsko rajone. I\u0161 Komsomolsko ir Starobe\u0161evo technika jud\u0117jo link Doku\u010diajevsko gyvenviet\u0117s. Be to, prie\u0161ininkas permet\u0117 technik\u0105 \u012f pietus nuo Mariupolio.<\/p>\n

Tokiu b\u016bdu pra\u0117jo pirmas etapas \u2013 buvo realizuotas atitraukiantis d\u0117mes\u012f sm\u016bgis. Visas d\u0117mesys buvo nukreiptas \u012f uost\u0105 ir M. sektori\u0173. Sausio 20 dien\u0105 kovotojai prad\u0117jo puolim\u0105 Lysi\u010dansko kryptimi, apie tai liudija paj\u0117g\u0173 i\u0161stumimas 31 blokposto rajone. Norime pabr\u0117\u017eti, kad suderintas Ukrainos ginkluot\u0173 paj\u0117g\u0173 padalini\u0173 darbas nedav\u0117 galimyb\u0117s pasiekti ypatingos s\u0117km\u0117s atvykusioms \u012f Slavianoserbsko rajon\u0105 prie\u0161ininko j\u0117goms. Dabar reik\u0117t\u0173 laukti protr\u016bki\u0173 Artemivsko kryptimi. Tai toks ivyki\u0173 scenarijaus vystymasis visai tik\u0117tinas, atsi\u017evelgiant \u012f nesuprantamus prie\u0161ininko manevrus Horlovkoje, kai buvo dengiamasi imituojant ap\u0161audym\u0105. \u00a0Norim pa\u017eym\u0117ti, kad tai nepaskutiniai rusi\u0161k\u0173j\u0173 \u0411\u0422\u0413\u0440 \u012f\u017eengimai ir sausio 21-22 grei\u010diausiai v\u0117l i\u0161girsime apie naujus incidentus.<\/p>\n

Rusi\u0161k\u0173j\u0173 tinkl\u0173 puslapiuose karinink\u0173 monitoringas parod\u0117, kad \u0161i\u0105 nakt\u012f naudojantis \u0161iuo metu tvyran\u010dio r\u016bko priedanga planuojama \u012fvesti \u012f Ukrain\u0105 dar kelet\u0105 grupi\u0173. Netiesiogiai \u0161ie duomenys patvirtina rus\u0173 grupuot\u0117s sukilus\u012f aktyvum\u0105 \u0161alia Rostovo prie Dono esan\u010diose stovyklose, kurios stov\u0117jo daugiau nei 3 m\u0117nesius. Dauguma rus\u0173 kareivi\u0173 puikuojasi prie\u0161 draugus, kad \u0161ianakt eis \u012f Doneck\u0105. \u017dinoma, toks elgesys gali b\u016bti tik informacinis \u017eaidimas, bet kad rengimasi vykdyti kovin\u0119 u\u017eduot\u012f, tai ai\u0161kiai atsekama.<\/p>\n

Steb\u0117tojai taip pat pa\u017eymi, kad amunicija \u012f Doneck\u0105 per Makejevk\u0105 atve\u017eama trasa H21ir dvigubai pagreitino savo tempus. Jei anks\u010diau sunkve\u017eimi\u0173 karavanai buvo atve\u017eami ryte, o vakare jie buvo ve\u017eami atgal, tai dabar jie daro du reisus per dien\u0105. Per par\u0105 trasa prava\u017eiuoja apie 30-40 sunkve\u017eimi\u0173, ma\u017einos vyksta be saugos. Gali b\u016bti, kad baz\u0117s su amunicija pastaruoju metu buvo perkeltos i\u0161 rus\u0173 teritorijos (Rostovo sritis) \u012f okupuot\u0105 Ukrainos teritorij\u0105 Luhansko srityje.<\/p>\n

Nereikia atmesti galimyb\u0117s, kad rusi\u0161koji pus\u0117 gali panaudoti ir aviacij\u0105, apie tai byloja tarp vietini\u0173 Donecko teritorijos gyventoj\u0173 esanti panika. \u017dmon\u0117ms per\u0161ama nuomon\u0117, kad ukrainie\u010di\u0173 aviacija juos bombarduos, tuo pa\u010diu v\u0117l u\u017esimenama, kad kovotojai turi savo \u201eoro paj\u0117gas\u201c. \u0160ie du epizodai leid\u017eia manyti ir daryti i\u0161vadas, kad galimos provokacijos i\u0161 oro.<\/p>\n

Prognoz\u0117: kelias dienas prie\u0161as stengsis menevrais i\u0161judinti pad\u0117t\u012f, paraleliai sukeldamas lokalius sm\u016bgius, po to gali sekti \u0161okiruojanti provokacija ir bandymas prasiver\u017eti per fronto linij\u0105.<\/p>\n

Paraleliai \u0161iaurin\u0117je Europoje gali b\u016bti vykdomi teroro aktai ar nukreipian\u010dios d\u0117mes\u012f akcijos.<\/p>\n

\u0160iandien \u00a0penki\u0173 Rusijos pilie\u010di\u0173 sulaikymas Pranc\u016bzijoje, kuriems pateiktas kaltinimas \u2013 teroristinio \u00a0i\u0161puolio parengimas \u2013 tai tik pirmoji kreg\u017ed\u0117.<\/p>\n

Tikriausiai, Ukrainos Jungties Dien\u0105 tur\u0117sime \u0161v\u0119sime ne su \u0161venti\u0161ka nuotaika, o karingai nusiteik\u0119.<\/p>\n

I\u0161laikykite tvirt\u0105 tik\u0117jim\u0105 ir pasitik\u0117jim\u0105 ateities pergale. Nepulkite \u012f nevilt\u012f ir panik\u0105 \u2013 mes laim\u0117sime.<\/p>\n

P.S. Tarp kitko, panikuoja ir m\u016bs\u0173 oponentai. I\u0161 patikim\u0173 \u0161altini\u0173 \u017einoma, kad Kremliuje tvyro sumi\u0161imas ir dvejon\u0117s. Ir jie turi pagrindo panikuoti \u2013 prie\u0161 juos beveik visas civilizuotas pasaulis…<\/p>\n

Straipsn\u012f paruo\u0161\u0117 komandos InformNapalm analitikai Artem Vasilenko ir Roman Burko.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

Parengta savi\u0161ki\u0173 ir savanori\u0173 InformNapalm d\u0117ka.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

\u012e lietuvi\u0173 kalb\u0105 vert\u0117 Vilga Kvitka<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Karo veiksm\u0173 santraukos Pastarosiomis dienomis pagrindine tema, tiesiog prikaustanti skaitytoj\u0173 d\u0117mes\u012f, buvo ir lieka iki \u0161iol \u2013…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":44,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,40,3],"tags":[8],"class_list":["post-40","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analitine-santrauka","category-donbass","category-naujienos","tag-donecko-aerouostas"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nInformNapalm komandos analitin\u0117 santrauka 2015 met\u0173 sausio 20 - InformNapalm.org (Lietuvi\u0173)<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/lt\/informnapalm-komandos-analitine-santrauka-2015-metu-sausio-20\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"InformNapalm komandos analitin\u0117 santrauka 2015 met\u0173 sausio 20 - 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Tuo naudojasi rusi\u0161koji propaganda: dabar naudodama aerouosto tem\u0105, gana lengvai perorientuoja auditorijos d\u0117mes\u012f.<!--more-->\r\n\r\nMes norime truput\u012f i\u0161pl\u0117sti skaitytoj\u0173 akirat\u012f, kadangi \u012fkaitinta pad\u0117tis Donecko aerouoste \u2013 tai viso \u201ekarini\u0173 veiksm\u0173 teatro\u201c gana lankstus manevras. Be to, tai nevykusi \u201eabejotina i\u0161vyka\u201c naujojo terminalo kryptimi, ir tai, kad Ukrainos kovotojai pateko \u012f nelaisv\u0119, visus veikia neigiamai, kad galima b\u016bt\u0173 adekva\u010diai suvokti esan\u010di\u0105 pad\u0117t\u012f.\r\n\r\nInformacija apie tai kad, \u012f Ukrain\u0105 buvo \u012fvesti du rusi\u0161kieji \u0411\u0422\u0413\u0440 kartu su 600-800 \u017emoni\u0173, \u0161iek tiek \u00a0sukr\u0117t\u0117, bet negalima buvo tiksliai \u012fsivaizduoti apie prie\u0161ininko ketinimus, tr\u016bko \u00a0oficialios informacijos - \u012f koki\u0173 rajon\u0173 pus\u0119 jie eina. I\u0161 sav\u0173 \u0161altini\u0173 pavyko i\u0161siai\u0161kinti, kad \u00a0vienas \u0411\u0422\u0413\u0440 buvo pasteb\u0117tas Luhansko rajone, o antrasis Telmanovo rajone va\u017eiuoja link Mariupolio.\r\n\r\nDalis padalini\u0173 buvo pakeista ir sustiprino tas vietas, kur yra patirta nuostoli\u0173.\r\n\r\nPagrindiniai technikos tiekimo keliai tokie: Matvejev Kurhan \u2013 Ilovaiskas, Novo\u0161achtinskas \u2013 Antracitas, Kamensk-\u0160achtinskij \u2013 Luhanskas. Pagrinde, visi yra \u012fsik\u016br\u0119 \u0160achtiorske (ten tikriausiai yra rezervas) Brianke ir Stachanove, Luhanske (Stanycos kryptis).\r\n\r\nDabar remiantis pateikt\u0173 santrauk\u0173 analize per\u017evelgsime pra\u0117jusius \u012fvykius. ATO j\u0117goms prasid\u0117jus \u00a0\u0161turmuoti uost\u0105 staigiai aktyviai prad\u0117jo veikti kovotojai Doku\u010diajevsko rajone. I\u0161 Komsomolsko ir Starobe\u0161evo technika jud\u0117jo link Doku\u010diajevsko gyvenviet\u0117s. Be to, prie\u0161ininkas permet\u0117 technik\u0105 \u012f pietus nuo Mariupolio.\r\n\r\nTokiu b\u016bdu pra\u0117jo pirmas etapas \u2013 buvo realizuotas atitraukiantis d\u0117mes\u012f sm\u016bgis. Visas d\u0117mesys buvo nukreiptas \u012f uost\u0105 ir M. sektori\u0173. Sausio 20 dien\u0105 kovotojai prad\u0117jo puolim\u0105 Lysi\u010dansko kryptimi, apie tai liudija paj\u0117g\u0173 i\u0161stumimas 31 blokposto rajone. Norime pabr\u0117\u017eti, kad suderintas Ukrainos ginkluot\u0173 paj\u0117g\u0173 padalini\u0173 darbas nedav\u0117 galimyb\u0117s pasiekti ypatingos s\u0117km\u0117s atvykusioms \u012f Slavianoserbsko rajon\u0105 prie\u0161ininko j\u0117goms. Dabar reik\u0117t\u0173 laukti protr\u016bki\u0173 Artemivsko kryptimi. Tai toks ivyki\u0173 scenarijaus vystymasis visai tik\u0117tinas, atsi\u017evelgiant \u012f nesuprantamus prie\u0161ininko manevrus Horlovkoje, kai buvo dengiamasi imituojant ap\u0161audym\u0105. \u00a0Norim pa\u017eym\u0117ti, kad tai nepaskutiniai rusi\u0161k\u0173j\u0173 \u0411\u0422\u0413\u0440 \u012f\u017eengimai ir sausio 21-22 grei\u010diausiai v\u0117l i\u0161girsime apie naujus incidentus.\r\n\r\nRusi\u0161k\u0173j\u0173 tinkl\u0173 puslapiuose karinink\u0173 monitoringas parod\u0117, kad \u0161i\u0105 nakt\u012f naudojantis \u0161iuo metu tvyran\u010dio r\u016bko priedanga planuojama \u012fvesti \u012f Ukrain\u0105 dar kelet\u0105 grupi\u0173. Netiesiogiai \u0161ie duomenys patvirtina rus\u0173 grupuot\u0117s sukilus\u012f aktyvum\u0105 \u0161alia Rostovo prie Dono esan\u010diose stovyklose, kurios stov\u0117jo daugiau nei 3 m\u0117nesius. Dauguma rus\u0173 kareivi\u0173 puikuojasi prie\u0161 draugus, kad \u0161ianakt eis \u012f Doneck\u0105. \u017dinoma, toks elgesys gali b\u016bti tik informacinis \u017eaidimas, bet kad rengimasi vykdyti kovin\u0119 u\u017eduot\u012f, tai ai\u0161kiai atsekama.\r\n\r\nSteb\u0117tojai taip pat pa\u017eymi, kad amunicija \u012f Doneck\u0105 per Makejevk\u0105 atve\u017eama trasa H21ir dvigubai pagreitino savo tempus. Jei anks\u010diau sunkve\u017eimi\u0173 karavanai buvo atve\u017eami ryte, o vakare jie buvo ve\u017eami atgal, tai dabar jie daro du reisus per dien\u0105. Per par\u0105 trasa prava\u017eiuoja apie 30-40 sunkve\u017eimi\u0173, ma\u017einos vyksta be saugos. Gali b\u016bti, kad baz\u0117s su amunicija pastaruoju metu buvo perkeltos i\u0161 rus\u0173 teritorijos (Rostovo sritis) \u012f okupuot\u0105 Ukrainos teritorij\u0105 Luhansko srityje.\r\n\r\nNereikia atmesti galimyb\u0117s, kad rusi\u0161koji pus\u0117 gali panaudoti ir aviacij\u0105, apie tai byloja tarp vietini\u0173 Donecko teritorijos gyventoj\u0173 esanti panika. \u017dmon\u0117ms per\u0161ama nuomon\u0117, kad ukrainie\u010di\u0173 aviacija juos bombarduos, tuo pa\u010diu v\u0117l u\u017esimenama, kad kovotojai turi savo \u201eoro paj\u0117gas\u201c. \u0160ie du epizodai leid\u017eia manyti ir daryti i\u0161vadas, kad galimos provokacijos i\u0161 oro.\r\n\r\nPrognoz\u0117: kelias dienas prie\u0161as stengsis menevrais i\u0161judinti pad\u0117t\u012f, paraleliai sukeldamas lokalius sm\u016bgius, po to gali sekti \u0161okiruojanti provokacija ir bandymas prasiver\u017eti per fronto linij\u0105.\r\n\r\nParaleliai \u0161iaurin\u0117je Europoje gali b\u016bti vykdomi teroro aktai ar nukreipian\u010dios d\u0117mes\u012f akcijos.\r\n\r\n\u0160iandien \u00a0penki\u0173 Rusijos pilie\u010di\u0173 sulaikymas Pranc\u016bzijoje, kuriems pateiktas kaltinimas \u2013 teroristinio \u00a0i\u0161puolio parengimas \u2013 tai tik pirmoji kreg\u017ed\u0117.\r\n\r\nTikriausiai, Ukrainos Jungties Dien\u0105 tur\u0117sime \u0161v\u0119sime ne su \u0161venti\u0161ka nuotaika, o karingai nusiteik\u0119.\r\n\r\nI\u0161laikykite tvirt\u0105 tik\u0117jim\u0105 ir pasitik\u0117jim\u0105 ateities pergale. Nepulkite \u012f nevilt\u012f ir panik\u0105 \u2013 mes laim\u0117sime.\r\n\r\nP.S. Tarp kitko, panikuoja ir m\u016bs\u0173 oponentai. I\u0161 patikim\u0173 \u0161altini\u0173 \u017einoma, kad Kremliuje tvyro sumi\u0161imas ir dvejon\u0117s. Ir jie turi pagrindo panikuoti \u2013 prie\u0161 juos beveik visas civilizuotas pasaulis...\r\n\r\n<em><strong>Straipsn\u012f paruo\u0161\u0117 komandos InformNapalm analitikai Artem Vasilenko ir Roman Burko.<\/strong><\/em>\r\n\r\n<em><strong>Parengta savi\u0161ki\u0173 ir savanori\u0173 InformNapalm d\u0117ka.<\/strong><\/em>\r\n\r\n<em><strong>\u012e lietuvi\u0173 kalb\u0105 vert\u0117 Vilga Kvitka<\/strong><\/em>\r\n\r\n \r\n\r\n \r\n\r\n ","amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":47,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40\/revisions\/47"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/44"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informnapalm.org\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}